SP's Land Forces Oct-Nov 2010

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October-November l 2010

SP’s

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CAN INDIA AND CHINA RISE TOGETHER PEACEFULLY IN A HIGHLY COMPETITIVE WORLD?  Yes

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IN THIS ISSUE

T h e O N LY j o u r n a l i n A s i a d e d i c a t e d t o L a n d F o r c e s

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C H I N A F O CU S COV E R STO R Y

Power Play

Let’s Dance Together As two large countries with a shared border and a long history of peaceful coexistence, the Governments of China and India have a responsibility towards their own people and the people of Asia. Both can and must work together in the interest of peace, stability and the future prosperity of Asia. ILLUSTRATION: Anoop Kamath

In a quarter of a century from today, China may just end up placing its military and diplomatic force to be able to affirm more power and influence than it is today, with a greater propensity to assert itself on issues and project power far beyond its shores Dr Monika Chansoria PAGE 5 The Ultimate Victory While there is a global fascination for China, the supremacy of the US soft power is gradually being challenged Lt General (Retd) V.K. Kapoor PAGE 10 An Unquestionable Act AFSPA is not and cannot be a solution to our internal security caused by ethnic, social and governance problems. With changed political and operational circumstances, it may be desirable to review the Act; more importantly its application Viewpoint By General (Retd) V.P. Malik

n BRIGADIER (RETD) GURMEET KANWAL

Strategic Stability, Tactical Aggressiveness

PLUS Cyber Threat From China Showcasing Advanced Tech Technologies & Systems to Protect the Frontiers Viewpoint: The Elephant is Bumbling Act Fast Avoid Delays First & Exercise News in Brief

7 8 11 12 14 16 18 19

China and India, both Asian giants and emerging world powers, have begun to exercise immense influence in international political and economic affairs. As China’s GDP is much larger than that of India, it enjoys a correspondingly greater international clout at present. Political and economic relations between India and China are much better now than these have ever been since the 1962 border war between the two countries. Mutual economic dependence is growing rapidly every year, with bilateral trade increasing at a brisk pace. Even though it is skewed in China’s favour, bilateral trade has crossed $50 billion (`2,25,500 crore) and is expected to touch $60 billion (`2,70,000 crore) soon. If India’s trade with Hong Kong is included, China is already India’s largest trading partner. However, growth in the strategic and security relationship has not kept pace with the political and economic relationship. De-

spite prolonged negotiations at the political level to resolve the long-standing territorial and boundary dispute between the two countries, there has been little progress on this sensitive issue. China has a clandestine nuclear warheads-ballistic missiles-military hardware technology transfer relationship with Pakistan that causes apprehension in India. Also, in recent years, China appears to have raised the ante by way of its shrill political rhetoric, frequent transgressions across the Line of Actual Control (LAC) and unprecedented cyber attacks on Indian networks. The security relationship has the potential to act as a spoiler in the larger relationship and will ultimately determine whether the two Asian giants will clash or cooperate for mutual gains. Arguably, while the India-China relationship is relatively stable at the strategic level, China’s political, diplomatic and military aggressiveness at the tactical level is acting as a dampener. In its annual report to the US Congress on China’s military power, the Pentagon has revealed that the Second Artillery, China’s strategic missile force, has deployed

long-range CSS-5 (DF-21) nuclear-tipped ballistic missiles close to the Indian borders. It has also been widely reported that China has agreed to provide two new nuclear reactors to Pakistan in violation of its non-proliferation commitments and in complete disregard of the Nuclear Supplier Group guidelines. The “all-weather” friendship between China and Pakistan is in Chinese President Hu Jintao’s words, “higher than the mountains and deeper than the oceans”. Under a Treaty of Friendship, Cooperation and Good Neighbourly Relations, signed during Premier Wen Jiabao’s 2005 tour, China has guaranteed Pakistan’s territorial integrity. Had it not been for the cover provided by its nuclear shield, an internally unstable and economically failing Pakistan would have been in no position to wage a proxy war against India in Jammu and Kashmir and elsewhere through its mercenary terrorists. The Chinese are engaged in building ports, roads, gas pipelines and even dams in Pakistan, including in Pakistan Occupied Kashmir (PoK). The Chinese also have plans

5/2010

SP’s LAND FORCES

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