MONDAY 5th - THURSDAY 8th SEPTEMBER 2016
No. 2284
FAIRVIEW poly 1:05pm (Monday)
VAAL
1:05pm (Tuesday)
SCOTTSVILLE
12:50pm (Wednesday)
VAAL classic
1:00pm (Thursday)
Course and distance specialist Humidor looks to go close
The Best Bet Racecards & Selections
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MR80 HANDICAP at Scottsville on Wednesday
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Wednesday’s Scottsville meeting will be the second one run with the potentially handy tool of Sectional Timing. There are many who won’t bother to even look at it, but used properly we believe the numbers can add value to the science of form study and ultimately improve one’s betting strike rate. ach player will adapt the information to their own template in reaching informed deductions. A good starting point would be to familiarise oneself with each track’s unique quirks – like Scottsville’s slight uphill over the final 200m of the straight track.
In Moderation
Basic physics tells us that a horse which spends its energy in a non-optimal way will compromise the overall speed at which it gets from A to B. If the horse goes too fast, it will pay by slowing more later on than it gained by
MR 124 Dynasty – Moonlit Prairie by Cozzene
Triple Gr1 winner
running quickly early; if it goes too slow, it will speed up later but not to a degree which would make up all of the lost ground. That is not to say, of course, that a horse going quicker or slower than ideal will automatically lose. That depends on many factors, not
least the other horses in the race. Those other horses may be running their races even less suitably. But what we can be sure of is that a horse running its race in a significantly nonoptimal way will record a time slower than it otherwise would - disregarding per-
RES HIGHLANDS SI 16 20 r fo Dynasty Jackson Pathfork Potala Palace Antonius Pius Great Britain Windrush
• Son of x3 Equus Outstanding Sire Dynasty
sonalised factors like, for example, an aversion to being in front.
Optimal
The crux of the issue, therefore, is – ‘what is an optimal way of running a given race?’ Cont. p.2
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Tel: Mike Sharkey 082 372 2682 www.highlandsfarmstud.co.za