QUARTER ONE MARKET REPORT 2021
TABLE OF C ONTENT S 2021 Q1 MARKET REPORT
5
OVERVIEW
6
MAP
7
ALL AVAIL ABLE INVENTORY
9
PROPERTIES SOLD
11
TOTAL SOLD VOLUME
13
AVER AGE DAYS ON MARKE T
15
MONTHS SUPPLY OF INVENTORY
MARKET REPORT QUARTER ONE 2021
Welcome to Summit Sotheby’s International Realty’s Quarter 1 Market Report. This report will take a look at Utah’s current real estate market conditions for the Wasatch Front, Wasatch Back and Southern Utah areas. US Market Conditions. Forecasts for the 2021 US GDP (gross domestic product) are ramping up. Economists agree and estimates are now at 5.7%. This number is up from 4.9% in February, 4.2% in January and 4.0 in December, respectively. All signs point toward these estimates rising further, reaching closer to the Fed’s 6.5% GDP growth forecast. How the US Housing Market Fits In. The residential housing market is a sizable chunk of the US GDP. Roughly 5% of the GDP is made up by our housing market. Coast to coast, the available inventory of homes listed has dropped by 51% over the past year. The lack of inventory is not due to homeowners choosing not to sell or taking their homes of f of the market. Surging buyer demand is to blame, with available inventory being purchased quickly by a growing swell of qualified purchasers. Simply put, demand is outpacing supply. The number of new homes sold in the US jumped to 1,021,000 in March of 2021. This is a 66.8% increase from March of 2020, where 612,000 homes sold. Nationally, the median price of homes sold in March of 2021 was $330,800, with the average sale hitting $397,800. Utah in the News. Utah continues to make headlines not just for our state’s robust economy but for exponential population growth and a hot housing market. Metrics such as months of inventory, sales volume and average home prices continue to break records. This theme isn’t isolated to one region or city, with state-wide real estate demand holding steady, making for a highly competitive market for buyers and a highly lucrative market for sellers.
THE ARE AS AREAS INCLUDED IN OUR Q1 MARKET REPORT
FARMINGTON
S A LT L A K E CI T Y
PA R K CI T Y
H EB ER CI T Y PR OVO
WASATCH BACK C EDA R CI T Y
CO U N T I E S : SU M M I T A N D WA S ATC H
WASATCH FRONT
CO U N T I E S : DAV I S , S A LT L A K E A N D U TA H
S PR I N G DA L E , ZION
S T. G EO R G E
SOUTHERN UTAH
CO U N T I E S : WA S H I N G TO N A N D I R O N
ALL AVAIL ABLE INVENTORY UTAH - DECEMBER 2018 - MARCH 2021
All Available Inventory Utah - December 2018 to March 2021 2018
2019
13,513
1,484
1,559
1,609
1,717
1,749
1,702
1,594
2,110
2,117
2,216
2,112
1,877
2,093
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
7,806
8,313
9,917
2,077
Jun
11,141
11,700
2,071
May
11,239
11,698
2,173
Apr
11,019 2,230
Mar
10,562 2,267
Feb
9,743 2,156
Jan
10,067
Dec
9,906
2,086
11,687
11,396
1,840
11,675
1,508
11,698
1,497
13,537
14,965 14,916
1,638
1,598
1,655
13,808 13,344
1,623
14,452
14,843
1,630
15,478 15,471 15,526 15,514
All Available Inventory is the total "# For Sale" that month. This includes any property that was on the market at any point during the month, as listed and sold within the same month. Data is aggregated from three different MLS databases (PCBAOR, WFMLS, WCMLS) and was pulled on M properties sold by Summit Sotheby's. "Wasatch Back' includes all listings from Summit and Wasatch Counties. 'Southern Utah' includes Washingt
summitsothebysrealty.com
DEFINING ALL AVAIL ABLE INVENTORY This metric gives us a glance of the total amount of properties for sale in Utah by month, from 2018 to present. Broken down by area, we see a steady decline in inventory, with a slight seasonal increase in March of 2021. Current inventory is at 50.4% of the inventory from March 2020.
2020
2021
# For Sale - Wasatch Back
# For Sale - Wasatch Front
# For Sale - Southern Utah
12,289 11,604 10,401 9,596
1,220
1,386
1,596
1,668
1,663
13,042
1,431
10,977
1,482
12,380
1,395
12,866
1,528
13,497
802 4,785
810
2,181
2,161
2,014
1,841
1,610
1,418
1,320
1,109
992
948
960
909
3,969
916
2,179
4,326
5,739
2,189
5,446
6,496 5,908
4,044
1,043
998
6,361
7,056
7,597
8,398
8,780
9,365
9,808
9,290
8,719
7,357
7,553
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
s opposed to just the number of "For Sale at the End of the Month" which would be lower. This chart would capture any property that was March 10th, 2021. Properties Sold includes any property listed as sold that month in the respective MLS, and is not restricted to only ton and Iron Counties. 'Wasatch Front' includes Davis, Salt Lake, and Utah Counties. Prepared By Summit Sotheby's International Realty.
Q1 MARKET REPORT | Page 7
PROPERTIES SOLD UTAH - DECEMBER 2018 - MARCH 2021
Properties Sold Utah - December 2018 to March 2021 2018
2019
# Sold - Wasatch Back
# Sold - Wasatch Front
# Sold - Southern Utah 4,283
4,194
207
3,911
196
4,232 220
147
3,625
3,579
172
216
3,698 216
3,174
3,025
191
143
2,824
3,282 198
118
2,422
2,405 2,170
130
3,513
116
3,295
2,956
3,495
161
3,487 2,938
3,047 2,558
2,485
2,357 1,733
2,653
1,915
1,965
349
321
310
397
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
497
563
469
503
525
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
425
435
425
431
346
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Data is aggregated from three different MLS databases (PCBAOR, WFMLS, WCMLS) and was pulled on March 10th, 2021. Properties Sold includ Back' includes all listings from Summit and Wasatch Counties. 'Southern Utah' includes Washington and Iron Counties. 'Wasatch Front' includes
summitsothebysrealty.com
DEFINING PROPERTIES SOLD This metric calculates the number of properties sold, by month, broken down by our three key regions: Wasatch Front, Wasatch Back and Southern Utah. Spiking in July of 2020 with 5,111 properties sold, this chart shows the cyclical nature of Utah’s real estate seasons and the above average sales that marked the end of 2020 .
2020
2021
5,111 291
4,553 183
4,704
4,710
333
390
4,616 405
3,899 312
3,471
3,836 382
79
3,262
3,319 241
137
2,910 100
2,741
4,122
132
3,742
3,790
189 3,058
2,610 165
3,001
2,526
2,419
2,250
Feb
3,579
2,939
2,638
359
3,682
2,507
1,937
487
Mar
391
453
Apr
May
580
Jun
698
Jul
629
638
632
Aug
Sep
Oct
2,020
529
453
381
425
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
552
Mar
des any property listed as sold that month in the respective MLS, and is not restricted to only properties sold by Summit Sotheby's. "Wasatch Davis, Salt Lake, and Utah Counties. Prepared By Summit Sotheby's International Realty.
Q1 MARKET REPORT | Page 9
TOTAL SOLD VOLUME UTAH - DECEMBER 2018 - MARCH 2021
Total Sold Volume Utah - December 2018 to March 2021 2018
2019 Total Volume - Wasatch Back
Total Volume - Wasatch Front
Total Volume - Southern Utah
1.55B
168M
186M 738M
1,025M
964M
1,158M
1,115M
1,321M
1,347M
1,262M
1,104M
102M
99M
136M
175M
203M
165M
168M
183M
151M
151M
158M
152M
123M
688M
908M
160M
141M 123M
616M
842M
1,328M
134M
1.05B
0.95B 0.86B
1.42B 242M
1.21B 1.10B
1.36B 239M
246M
1.51B 246M
241M
1.57B 142M
210M
232M
1.51B
204M
1.72B 1.75B
1.74B
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Data is aggregated from three different MLS databases (PCBAOR, WFMLS, WCMLS) and was pulled on March 10th, 2021. Properties Sold includ Back' includes all listings from Summit and Wasatch Counties. 'Southern Utah' includes Washington and Iron Counties. 'Wasatch Front' includes
summitsothebysrealty.com
DEFINING TOTAL SOLD VOLUME This metric defines the total dollar volume of real estate sales by area. The Wasatch Back experienced exponential sales growth in 2020, with sales volume more than doubling when comparing to the same time period in years prior. The Wasatch Front and Southern Utah areas also saw growth patterns during this period.
2020
2021 2.48B 2.47B
2.43B
1.97B
645M
620M
474M
413M
2.33B
418M 1,236M
277M
Oct
Nov
952M
Dec
Jan
Feb
284M
Sep
206M
Aug
193M
Jul
201M
249M
Jun
264M
May
261M
Apr
244M
217M
Mar
286M
172M
876M
1,371M
1,343M
1,564M
1,594M
1,612M
1,554M 1,155M
150M
958M
1,734M
122M
1.23B
289M
1.35B
180M
1,053M
553M
1.45B
95M
143M 138M 881M 130M
Feb
508M
200M
1.94B
1.42B
1.38B
1.15B
2.10B 2.12B
Mar
des any property listed as sold that month in the respective MLS, and is not restricted to only properties sold by Summit Sotheby's. "Wasatch Davis, Salt Lake, and Utah Counties. Prepared By Summit Sotheby's International Realty.
Q1 MARKET REPORT | Page 11
AVER AGE SOLD DAYS ON THE MARK E T UTAH - DECEMBER 2018 - MARCH 2021
Average Days on the Market Utah - December 2018 to March 2021 138
135
140 130 120 110
119
106
100
118
113
106
102
101
90
93 85
80
98
10
82
70
44
40
52 39
30
50 35
47
60
33
34
35
54
53
37
Aug '19
45
Jul '19
40
53
58 45
57
56
Jun '19
50
60
59
60
47 38
45 41
50
46
20 10
Jan '20
Dec '19
Nov '19
Oct '19
Sep '19
May '19
Apr '19
Mar '19
Feb '19
Jan '19
Dec '18
0
Data is aggregated from three different MLS databases (PCBAOR, WFMLS, WCMLS) and was pulled on April 15th, 2021. Properties Sold include Back' includes all listings from Summit and Wasatch Counties. 'Southern Utah' includes Washington and Iron Counties. 'Wasatch Front' includes
summitsothebysrealty.com
DEFINING AVERAGE SOLD DAYS ON THE MARKET This metric follows the amount of days a property is available for sale. In all areas, we see this average number in steady decline. Cash of fers, ef ficient financing and robust buyer demand are driving forces in this trend.
Sold Avg DOM - Wasatch Back
Sold Avg DOM - Wasatch Front
Sold Avg DOM - Southern Utah
116 101 92 87
85
77
47
45 31
30
28
40
37
27 26
Oct '20
25
Jun '20
May '20
Apr '20
Mar '20
Feb '20
30
31
Sep '20
44
64
51
Aug '20
39
Jul '20
46 53
55
32
38 27
27
29 24
30 18
Mar '21
53
74
73
62
Feb '21
82
96
Jan '21
100
Nov '20
01
97
Dec '20
111
es any property listed as sold that month in the respective MLS, and is not restricted to only properties sold by Summit Sotheby's. "Wasatch Davis, Salt Lake, and Utah Counties. Prepared By Summit Sotheby's International Realty.
Q1 MARKET REPORT | Page 13
MONTHS SUPPLY OF INVENTORY (MSI) UTAH - FEBRUARY 2019 - MARCH 2021
Months Supply of Inventor Utah By Region 2.4 1.9
7.4
7.3
1.8
8.0
1.9
7.4
2.0
2.0
2.1
2.3
8.8
2.3
8.7 5.7
6.3
4.4
Southern Utah
2.6
6.1
7.0
4.3
4.2
Nov
Jul
Oct
2.9
3.3
3.2
Aug
3.0
Jun
Apr
Mar
Feb
2.6
3.0
May
3.8 3.2
10.0
Dec
2.5
Sep
Wasatch Back
Wasatch Front
2019
Months Supply of Inventory refers to the number of months it would take for the current inventory of homes on the mark
18th, 2021. Properties Sold includes any property listed as sold that month in the respective MLS, and is not restricted to only proper Counties. 'Wasatch Front' includes Davis, Salt Lake, and Utah Counties. Prepared By Summit Sotheby's International Realty.
summitsothebysrealty.com
DEFINING MONTHS SUPPLY OF INVENTORY (MSI) This metric is defined by how long (in months) it would take to sell all available properties currently on the market. Generally speaking, any where from four to six months of inventory is considered balanced. With each of Utah’s key selling regions well below this range, sellers have a key advantage
ry (MSI)
due to the lack of properties for sale given the current sales pace.
2020
2021 MSI
2.0 1.7
1.7
1.0
1.9
13.0
1.4 1.1
1.1
1.0
1.0
0.9
1.0
0.9
0.8
0.7 0.4
15.8 13.3 9.5
3.5
3.9
3.1
2.1
2.3
2.4
1.3
1.2
1.1
2.7
1.9
1.8
1.6
0.9
0.8 Feb
4.2
Jan
7.0
6.5
1.3
3.7
3.1
0.6 Mar
1.3
Dec
1.5
Nov
Oct
Sep
1.5
Jul
Jun
May
Apr
Mar
Feb
Jan
1.8
Aug
2.4
ket to sell given the current sales pace. Data is aggregated from three different MLS databases (PCBAOR, WFMLS, WCMLS) and was pulled on March rties sold by Summit Sotheby's. "Wasatch Back' includes all listings from Summit and Wasatch Counties. 'Southern Utah' includes Washington and Iron
Q1 MARKET REPORT | Page 15
OUR OFFICES 175 0 Park Avenue Park Ci ty 62 5 Ma in Street Park Ci ty
362 N M ai n Street Heber Ci ty
545 Ma in Street Park Ci ty
8020 Vi c tor y Ran ch Roa d Vi c tor y Ran ch, Kamas
Mont Ce r v in Plaz a #10 5 Deer Va lley ® , Park Ci ty 1 8 35 Three Kin g s Drive, #70 S ilver S ta r, Park Ci ty 8 41 7 E Ran ch Club Trai l Dri ve Prom on tor y, Park Ci ty 7085 G le nwild Dri ve Glenwild, Park Ci ty
1260 E Stri n gham Avenue, Sui te 100 Sugar Ho use, Sal t L ake Ci ty 870 East 90 0 South 9 th & 9 th , Sal t L ake Ci ty 13693 South 20 0 West , Sui te 10 0 Draper 15 1 N M ai n Street An cesto r Square, St . Geo rge
summit s otheby srealt y.com
All Available Inventory is the total “Number For Sale” that month. This includes any property that was on the market at any point during the month, as opposed to just the number of “For Sale at the End of the Month” which would be lower. This chart would capture any property that was listed and sold within the same month. Data is aggregated from three different MLS databases (PCBAOR, WFMLS, WCMLS) and was pulled on April 15th, 2021. Properties Sold includes any property listed as sold that month in the respective MLS, and is not restricted to only properties sold by Summit Sotheby’s. “Wasatch Back’ includes all listings from Summit and Wasatch Counties. ‘Southern Utah’ includes Washington and Iron Counties. ‘Wasatch Front’ includes Davis, Salt Lake, and Utah Counties. Prepared By Summit Sotheby’s International Realty. ©MMXXI Sotheby’s International Realty Affiliates, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Sotheby’s International Realty® is a licensed trademark to Sotheby’s International Realty Affiliates, Inc. An Equal Opportunity Company. Each Office Is Independently Owned And Operated. Copyright© Summit Sotheby’s International Realty 2021.