Q1 Market Report 2022

Page 1

2 022 QUA RT ER ON E

market report



table of contents 2022 QUARTER ONE MARKET REPORT

4 OVERVIEW

5 MAP

7 ALL AVAIL ABLE INVENTORY

9 PROPERTIES SOLD

11 TOTA L SO L D VO LUME

13 AV E R AG E DAYS O N M A R K E T

15 MO N T H S S U P P LY O F I N V E N TO RY

17 AVER AGE AND MEDIAN SOLD PRICES


market report

quarter one 2022

WELCOME TO SUMMIT SOTHEBY ’S INTERNATIONAL RE ALT Y ’S QUARTER ONE MARKE T REPORT.

This report reviews and compares Utah’s current and historical real estate market conditions for the Wasatch Front, Wasatch Back and Southern Utah areas.

US ECONOMY The US economy fell by 1.4% in the first three months of 2022, after more than a year of rapid growth. The slowdown is the first since the Covid-19 recession in April 2020. In contrast, 2021 was marked by a 5.7% growth rate, the fastest since 1984. Now some economists are seeing clouds on the horizon, fueled by inflation concerns, the record widening of the US trade deficit marked by a decrease in inventory investment, and some worrisome signs among the world’s largest economies. Also contributing to the uncertainty is Russia’s war in Ukraine, and exponentially rising gas prices domestically. Inflation is now being clocked at 8.5% in the last 12 months, the highest in 40 years. Mortgage rates, which have hovered around 3%, have exceeded 5% in March for the first time in a decade. While one quarter does not make a trend, two quarters of declining GDP is commonly used to define the beginning of a recession. With multiple rate hikes still being signaled from the Fed, economists are now admitting that the risks of a recession are high.

US RE AL ESTATE MARKE T The residential housing market is a sizable chunk of the US GDP, roughly 5%. Several indicators now point to a slowing market. Existing home sales were down 2.7% in March from the prior month, and down 4.5% from a year ago. The number of homes under contract – a leading indicator for the housing market’s health – fell for the fifth straight month in March. Analysts agree there are certainly some ‘abnormal behaviors’ in the current housing market, however this is fundamentally not a bubble scenario. The lack of supply and sustained demand are keeping prices high. The national median home sale price was up 15% year over year to $375,300. Home prices are reaching record highs, and while the drastic home price growth has increased the underlying wealth for American Homeowners, it has raised questions of affordability for first-time buyers. With the 30-year fixed mortgage rates rising to 5.10%, and additional rate hikes by the Fed expected this year, many homebuyers are starting to be priced out of the market.

THE UTAH MARKE T Utah remains a magnet for in-migration, especially among those in other Western states. Many who are looking to improve their quality of life and enjoy the lower overall cost of living. Utah also boasts robust job growth, and a rock-bottom unemployment level of only 2%. Housing inventory in Utah continues to trend lower than previous years. Standing inventory statewide is at 6,570 for March 2022, that’s 11% lower than March of 2021 (7,400), and only half of what was available in March of 2020 (12,380). The average and median prices continue to rise across the state. Along the Wasatch Front the average sold price has increased by 22.7% over last year at this time to $599,635. In Southern Utah average home prices are up 30.3% to $668,794, and prices along the Wasatch Back are up 7.6% to $1,863,349.


the areas

areas included in our quarter one report FARMINGTON PARK CIT Y SALT L AKE CIT Y HEBER CIT Y PROVO

WA S A T C H B A C K

counties: summit and wasatch

WA S A T C H F R O N T

counties: davis, salt lake and utah

E ASTER N UTA H

counties: emery, grand, wayne, san juan SOUTHER N UTA H

counties: washington and iron

MOAB

CEDAR CIT Y

ZION & SPRINGDALE ST. GEORGE


all available inventory

All Available Inventory

utah: january 2020 - march 2022

2020 14K

13,646 13,087

13K

1,528

12,596

1,663

1,395

12K

13,254 12,507 11,885

1,482

1,668

11,174

1,596

11K

10,763

1,431 1,386

10K

10,022 1,220

9K

8,080

8K

1,030

7K

8,719

9,290

9,720

6,919

9,322 8,759

6K

1,080 8,407

7,357

6,575 6,513 960

873

4,476

4,477

7,684 7,204

5K

5,730

4K

4,647

3K

2K 2,189

2,179

2,181

2,164

2,021

1K

0K

1,848

1,661

1,468

1,379

1,120

1,019

979

1,020

197

216

221

234

248

232

221

225

219

200

173

160

143

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

"All Available Inventory" is the cumulative total number of units that were on the market for sale during the calendar month, as opposed to units remaining available for sale at month end. "Properties three different MLS databases (PCBAOR, WFMLS, WCMLS) and was compiled on April 6, 2022. Information not verifiable by Park City Board of Realtors®. 'Wasatch Back' includes all listings from S Grand, San Juan, and Wayne Counties. Prepared By Summit Sotheby's International Realty. ©MMXXI Sotheby's International Realty Affiliates, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Sotheby's International Realt Sotheby's International Realty 2021.

S U M M I T S OT H E BYS R E A LT Y.C O M


DEFINING ALL AVAIL ABLE INVENTORY This metric gives us a glance of the total amount of properties marketed for sale in Utah by month and geographic region, starting with February of 2020 and running through the end of Q1 2022.

2021

2022 # For Sale - Wasatch Back

# For Sale - Wasatch Front

# For Sale - Southern Utah # For Sale - Eastern Utah

9,602 8,675

7,542

7,798 782

7,943

9,059

826

9,096 8,982 724

867

661

867

7,855 574

820

868

6,661 548

5,798 504 7,149 6,464 5,533

5,856

6,709

6,738

5,581 5,695 480

482

6,743 5,810

5,892

4,941 4,126

999

1,030

1,063

1,187

1,311

1,472

142

130

168

157

172

155

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

1,488

4,041

4,073

1,074

976

1,061

1,081

1,437

1,342

146

141

129

94

84

79

91

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Sold" includes any property listed as sold for the respective calendar month in the respective MLS, and is not restricted to properties sold by Summit Sotheby's. Data is aggregated from Summit and Wasatch Counties. 'Southern Utah' includes Washington and Iron Counties. 'Wasatch Front' includes Davis, Salt Lake, and Utah Counties. "Eastern Utah" includes Emery, ty® is a licensed trademark to Sotheby's International Realty Affiliates, Inc. An Equal Opportunity Company. Each Office Is Independently Owned And Operated. Copyright© Summit

q1 market report | P A G E 7


properties sold

Properties Sold

utah: january 2020 - march 2022

2020

5500

5,149 291

5000

4,735 4,738 4,569 4500

333

183

390

4,643 405

3,941

4000

313

3,885 382

3,484

3500

79

3,272 137

2,930

3000

100

2,764

4,122

132

3,742

3,790

2500

3,682

2,550

166

191

3,579

3,066

2000

2,663

2,939

3,018

2,638 2,419

1500

2,250 1,960

2,060

1000

500 698

629

639

391

453

23

10

20

13

16

38

31

27

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

359

0

580

487

632

530

455

27

32

Oct

Nov

377

417

30

22

20

Dec

Jan

Feb

"All Available Inventory" is the cumulative total number of units that were on the market for sale during the calendar month, as opposed to units remaining available for sale at month end. "Properties S three different MLS databases (PCBAOR, WFMLS, WCMLS) and was compiled on April 6, 2022. Information not verifiable by Park City Board of Realtors®. 'Wasatch Back' includes all listings from S Grand, San Juan, and Wayne Counties. Prepared By Summit Sotheby's International Realty. ©MMXXI Sotheby's International Realty Affiliates, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Sotheby's International Realty Sotheby's International Realty 2021.

S U M M I T S OT H E BYS R E A LT Y.C O M


DEFINING PROPERTIES SOLD This metric calculates the number of properties sold, by month, broken down by Utah’s four key geographic regions: Wasatch Front, Wasatch Back, Southern Utah and Eastern Utah.

2021

2022 # Sold - Wasatch Back

# Sold - Wasatch Front

# Sold - Southern Utah # Sold - Eastern Utah

4,255 262

3,851 286

3,468

3,977 263

4,035 245

3,858 260

3,543

3,710 241

191

242

3,654 206

3,717 238

3,220 205

2,381 3,198

3,263

3,068

2,865

2,638

195

190

3,421 2,982

2,523

3,004

2,934

2,932 2,517

1,810

552

544

36

39

Mar

Apr

536

476

495

495

432

478

507

38

36

40

32

35

33

36

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

449

1,924

481

363

376

40

18

28

17

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Sold" includes any property listed as sold for the respective calendar month in the respective MLS, and is not restricted to properties sold by Summit Sotheby's. Data is aggregated from Summit and Wasatch Counties. 'Southern Utah' includes Washington and Iron Counties. 'Wasatch Front' includes Davis, Salt Lake, and Utah Counties. "Eastern Utah" includes Emery, y® is a licensed trademark to Sotheby's International Realty Affiliates, Inc. An Equal Opportunity Company. Each Office Is Independently Owned And Operated. Copyright© Summit

q1 market report | P A G E 9


total sold volume

Total Sold Volume

utah: january 2020 - march 2022

2020

Wasatch Back

Wasatch Front

2.49B 2.48B

2.45B

Southern Utah

2.34B

Eastern Utah

413M 620M

645M

474M

2.11B

2.14B

1.98B 200M

1.16B

553M

1.47B

1.43B

1.38B 143M

509M

1.36B

95M

290M

1.24B 122M

278M

1,734M

138M

1,612M

1,594M

1,554M

1,564M 1,345M

1,377M

1,155M

1,053M

969M 885M

958M 881M

130M 6.9M

Feb

217M

180M

150M

3.9M

6.4M

3.6M

7.1M

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

172M

286M

244M

262M

264M

245M

13.2M

8.9M

9.9M

10.3M

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

199M

188M

200M

13.0M

11.8M

8.6M

7.4M

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

"All Available Inventory" is the cumulative total number of units that were on the market for sale during the calendar month, as opposed to units remaining available for sale at month end. "Proper three different MLS databases (PCBAOR, WFMLS, WCMLS) and was compiled on April 6, 2022. Information not verifiable by Park City Board of Realtors®. 'Wasatch Back' includes all listings fro Grand, San Juan, and Wayne Counties. Prepared By Summit Sotheby's International Realty. ©MMXXI Sotheby's International Realty Affiliates, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Sotheby's International R Sotheby's International Realty 2021.

S U M M I T S OT H E BYS R E A LT Y.C O M


DEFINING TOTAL SOLD VOLUME This metric calculates the total dollar amount of properties sold across Utah, month by month. Statewide and regional information is included, showing how the sales volume is dispersed between Utah’s diverse areas.

2021

2022

2.58B

2.35B

442M

2.30B 434M

2.01B

538M

2.46B

2.43B 2.41B 2.39B

395M

2.26B

440M 417M

1.99B

2.22B

479M 365M

382M

271M

419M

1.72B 1.61B 366M 341M

1,840M 1,711M

1,750M

1,670M

1,524M

1,634M

1,605M

1,670M 1,509M

1,470M

1,289M

1,104M 1,042M

283M

274M

15.2M

16.0M

Mar

Apr

274M

292M

16.4M

16.0M

Oct

Nov

280M

263M

249M

263M

229M

17.6M

15.0M

18.7M

11.7M

14.2M

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

226M

322M

215M

233M

17.3M

8.9M

16.7M

8.6M

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

rties Sold" includes any property listed as sold for the respective calendar month in the respective MLS, and is not restricted to properties sold by Summit Sotheby's. Data is aggregated from om Summit and Wasatch Counties. 'Southern Utah' includes Washington and Iron Counties. 'Wasatch Front' includes Davis, Salt Lake, and Utah Counties. "Eastern Utah" includes Emery, Realty® is a licensed trademark to Sotheby's International Realty Affiliates, Inc. An Equal Opportunity Company. Each Office Is Independently Owned And Operated. Copyright© Summit

q1 market report | P A G E 11


average sold days on market

Average Days on the M

utah: january 2020 - march 2022 220

213 202

200

180

164 160

156

152

157

140

116

120 111

115 101

102

100

98

100 92

80

82

82

97

101 87

85

77

60

53 46

53 39

40

44 30

20

50 31

45 40

30

28

38

26 26

25

32

28

Dec

Nov

Oct

Sep

Aug

Jul

Jun

May

Apr

202 Mar

Feb

38

27

2020 Jan

0

55

47 31

74

73

62

Jan

120

Data is aggregated from three different MLS databases (PCBAOR, WFMLS, WCMLS) and was pulled on April 6, 2022. Properties Sold includes any prop from Summit and Wasatch Counties. 'Southern Utah' includes Washington and Iron Counties. 'Wasatch Front' includes Davis, Salt Lake, and Utah Coun

S U M M I T S OT H E BYS R E A LT Y.C O M


DEFINING AVER AGE SOLD DAYS ON MARKE T This metric follows the amount of days a property is available for sale. In all areas, we see this average number in steady decline. Cash offers, efficient financing and robust buyer demand are driving forces in this trend.

Market

Sold Avg DOM - Wasatch Back

Sold Avg DOM - Wasatch Front

Sold Avg DOM - Southern Utah

184

Sold Avg DOM - Eastern Utah

139

121

128

108

96

99

92

91 83

88 66

64

54 53

20 19

17

52

36

18

16

16

18

16

15

15

16

20

22 20

21

63

34 27

30

22

46 33

36 23

27

29 22 16

Apr

Mar

Feb

Jan

Dec

Nov

Oct

Sep

Aug

Jul

Jun

May

Apr

2022 Mar

21 Feb

58

52

47

45

40

30 29 25

53

61

72

perty listed as sold that month in the respective MLS, and is not restricted to only properties sold by Summit Sotheby's. 'Wasatch Back' includes all listings nties. Prepared By Summit Sotheby's International Realty. Information not verifiable by the Park City Board of Realtors.

q1 market report | P A G E 1 3


mont hs supply of inventory utah: january 2020 - march 2022

Months Supply of Inve 2020

Wasatch Front

2.0

1.9

1.7 1.4 1.2

1.1

1.1

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

0.9

Wasatch Back

15.8 13.3 9.5 7.0 4.2

Southern Utah

3.9

3.1

2.1

2.3

2.4

1.3

1.2

1.1

2.7

1.9

2.0

3.7

3.1 2.4 1.8

12.6

Eastern Utah

MSI 1.0

1.5

1.5

1.3 0.9

13.0

10.8

10.6

6.8 5.0

6.1

6.6 5.1

5.3

5.5 3.0

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Months Supply of Inventory refers to the number of months it would take for the current inventory of homes on the market to sell give

includes any property listed as sold that month in the respective MLS, and is not restricted to only properties sold by Summit Sotheby's. 'Wasatch Ba Utah Counties. Prepared By Summit Sotheby's International Realty. Information S Unot Mverifiable M I T SbyOthe T HPark E BCity Y SBoard R E Aof LRealtors. T Y.C O M


DEFINING MONTHS SUPPLY OF INVENTORY (MSI)

entory

This metric is defined by how long (in months) it would take to sell all available properties currently on the market. Generally speaking, anywhere from four to six months of inventory is considered balanced. With each of Utah’s key selling regions well below this range, sellers have a key advantage due to the lack of properties for sale given the current sales pace.

2021

1.0

0.9 0.6

0.7

0.7

0.8

2022

0.9

1.0 0.8

0.8

0.8

0.7

0.6

0.5

13.0

1.9

0.8

1.6

0.7

1.9

0.8

2.0

1.0

1.8

1.2

1.5

1.6

1.5

1.6

4.8 3.1 Feb

3.2

2.1

1.8

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

2.1

2.4

Jul

Aug

1.9

1.8

3.5

Sep

1.4

1.1

1.6

1.5

2.5

2.2

Oct

Nov

1.3

1.8

1.2

1.2

3.1

3.1

3.4

Dec

Jan

Feb

1.7

1.4

1.4

1.0

2.1 Mar

en the current sales pace. Data is aggregated from three different MLS databases (PCBAOR, WFMLS, WCMLS) and was pulled on April 6, 2022. Properties Sold

ack' includes all listings from Summit and Wasatch Counties. 'Southern Utah' includes Washington and Iron Counties. 'Wasatch Front' includes Davis, Salt Lake, and

q1 market report | P A G E 1 5


average & median sold price wasatch front

22.7%

O N E -Y E A R C H A N G E I N T H E AV E R AG E S O L D P R I C E

Average & Median Sold Prices Wasatch Front

1 Year Chg in Avg Sold Price:

22.7% $599,635

600K

$575,622

Sold Median $ - Wasatch Front Avg Sold $ - Wasatch Front 550K

$535,000

500K

$499,900 $488,598 450K

$451,621

$399,058

400K

$420,000 $393,500

$385,401 350K

$357,000

$344,000

Apr

Mar

Feb

Jan

Dec

Nov

Oct

Sep

Aug

Jul

Jun

May

Apr

Feb

2022 Mar

Jan

Dec

Nov

Oct

Sep

Aug

Jul

Jun

May

Apr

2021 Mar

Feb

Jan

2020

Data is aggregated from the WFMLS, and was pulled on April 6, 2022. Properties Sold includes any property listed as sold that month in the respective MLS, and is not restricted to only properties sold by Summit Sotheby's. "Wasatch Front" includes Davis, Salt Lake, and Utah Counties. Prepared By Summit Sotheby's International S U M M I T S OT H E BYS R E A LT Y.C O M Realty.


average & median sold price wasatch back

7.6%

O N E -Y E A R C H A N G E I N T H E AV E R AG E S O L D P R I C E

Average & Median Sold Prices Wasatch Back 2.0M

Avg Sold $ - Wasatch Back Median Sold $ - Wasatch Back

1.9M

1 Year Chg in Avg Sold Price:

7.6%

$1,863,349

$1,731,605

1.8M

$1,796,376

1.7M 1.6M 1.5M

$1,454,624

1.4M

$1,325,000 $1,287,500

1.3M 1.2M

$1,156,303

1.1M 1.0M

$1,043,470

$990,000

0.9M

Apr

Mar

Feb

Jan

Dec

Nov

Oct

Sep

Aug

Jul

Jun

May

Apr

2022 Mar

Feb

Jan

Nov

Oct

Sep

Aug

Jul

Jun

May

Apr

Mar

Dec

$805,000 2021

2020 Jan

0.7M

$750,000 $720,000

Feb

0.8M

Data is aggregated from the PCBAOR, and was pulled on April 6, 2022. Properties Sold includes any property listed as sold that month in the respective MLS, and is not restricted to only properties sold by Summit Sotheby's. "Wasatch Back" includes all listings from Summit and Wasatch Counties. Prepared By Summit Sotheby's International Realty. Information not verifiable by the Park City Board of Realtors.

q1 market report | P A G E 1 7


average & median sold price southern utah

30.3%

O N E -Y E A R C H A N G E I N T H E AV E R AG E S O L D P R I C E

Average & Median Sold Prices Southern Utah

1 Year Chg in Avg Sold Price:

30.3% $668,794

650K

$592,363

Median Sold $ - Southern Utah Avg Sold $ - Southern Utah

600K

550K

$513,414 $499,133

500K

$548,658

$520,000 450K

400K

$369,162

$430,000

$355,624

$389,555

350K

$328,000 $301,868

Apr

Mar

Feb

Jan

Dec

Nov

Oct

Sep

Aug

Jul

Jun

May

Apr

Feb

2022 Mar

Dec

Nov

Oct

Sep

Aug

Jul

Jun

May

Apr

2021 Mar

Feb

Jan

2020

Jan

300K

Data is aggregated from the WCMLS and was pulled on April 6, 2022. Properties Sold includes any property listed as sold that month in the respective MLS, and is not S U M By MSummit I T S OSotheby's T H E BInternational Y S R E A LRealty. T Y.C O M restricted to only properties sold by Summit Sotheby's. "Southern Utah" includes Washington and Iron Counties. Prepared


average & median sold price eastern utah

19.8%

O N E -Y E A R C H A N G E I N T H E AV E R AG E S O L D P R I C E

Average & Median Sold Prices Eastern Utah

1 Year Chg in Avg Sold Price:

19.8%

600K

Avg Sold $ - Eastern Utah Sold Median $ - Eastern Utah

550K

$506,500 $493,317

500K

$487,000 450K

$451,500

$422,550 $397,000

$390,400

400K

$389,682 350K

$352,250 $298,387

300K

$327,500 $267,000

Apr

Mar

Feb

Jan

Dec

Nov

Oct

Sep

Aug

Jul

Jun

May

Apr

2022 Mar

Feb

Dec

Nov

Oct

Sep

Aug

Jul

Jun

May

Apr

2021 Mar

Feb

Jan

2020

Jan

250K

Data is aggregated from the WCMLS and was pulled on April 6, 2022. Properties Sold includes any property listed as sold that month in the respective MLS, and is not | PA G E 19 restricted to only properties sold by Summit Sotheby's.

q1 market report


our

OFFICES 17 5 0 PA R K A V E N U E PA R K C I T Y

362 N MAIN STREET HEBER CITY

625 MAIN STREET PA R K C I T Y

8020 VICTORY RANC H ROAD VICTORY RANC H, KAMAS

545 MAIN STREET PA R K C I T Y

12 6 0 E S T R I N G H A M A V E N U E , # 1 0 0 SUGAR HOUSE, SALT L AKE CIT Y

M O N T C E RV I N P L A Z A , # 10 5 D E E R V A L L E Y ®, P A R K C I T Y

870 EAST 900 SOUTH 9 TH & 9 TH, S A L T L A K E C I T Y

18 3 5 T H R E E K I N G S D R I V E , # 7 0 S I LV E R STA R , PA R K C I T Y

13 6 9 3 S O U T H 2 0 0 W E S T , # 10 0 DRAPER

7085 GLENWILD DRIVE G L E N W I L D , PA R K C I T Y

151 N M A I N S T R E E T ANCESTOR SQUARE, ST. GEORGE 59 E CENTER STREET MOAB

S U MM I TS OT H E BYS R E A LT Y.C O M

“All Available Inventory” is the cumulative total number of units that were on the market for sale during the calendar month, as opposed to units remaining available for sale at month end. “Properties Sold” includes any property listed as sold for the respective calendar month in the respective MLS, and is not restricted to properties sold by Summit Sotheby’s. Data is aggregated from three different MLS databases (PCBAOR, WFMLS, WCMLS) and was compiled on April 14th, 2022. Information not verifiable by Park City Board of Realtors®. “Wasatch Back’ includes all listings from Summit and Wasatch Counties. ‘Southern Utah’ includes Washington and Iron Counties. ‘Wasatch Front’ includes Davis, Salt Lake, Utah Grand, Emery, San Juan and Wayne Counties. Prepared By Summit Sotheby’s International Realty. ©MMXXII Sotheby’s International Realty Affiliates, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Sotheby’s International Realty® is a licensed trademark to Sotheby’s International Realty Affiliates, Inc. An Equal Opportunity Company. Each Office Is Independently Owned And Operated. Copyright© Summit Sotheby’s International Realty 2022


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