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Save SA: end lockdown! Mkhize defends rules as storm erupts with scientists saying they are being sidelined By STHEMBILE CELE, HILARY JOFFE, NICK WILSON, BELINDA PHETO, PAUL ASH, MPUMZI ZUZILE, ALEX PATRICK and NIVASHNI NAIR
● Scientists, business and labour have delivered a stark warning to the government to fast-track the easing of lockdown restrictions, saying they are having little or no effect on stemming infections — but are killing the economy. Some members of the ministerial advisory committee (MAC), the body headed by professor Salim Abdool Karim that advises the government on its response to the pandemic, have supported their colleague Dr Glenda Gray, who said yesterday that the lockdown has no basis in science and should be called off. They said a false impression had been created about the level of consultation with scientists on the lockdown. Others questioned who is advising President Cyril Ramaphosa, calling the official risk-adjusted strategy a “catastrophe”. But health minister Zweli Mkhize yesterday defended the regulations, though he conceded that there is not much more the lockdown can do to contain the disease. And business and labour have called for the easing of restrictions to be ramped up to level 2 as soon as possible. Gray, chair of the South African Medical Research Council, said the strategy “is not based in science and is completely unmeasured” in remarks to News24. The MAC scientists the Sunday Times spoke to all agreed that the lockdown should be lifted. Their claims that they are being sidelined tend to undermine the government’s insistence that its lockdown rules, and its exit from the lockdown, are always based on sound scientific advice. However, the acting director-general of the department of health, Anban Pillay, said the government has “adopted almost all of the recommendations” they have made. “We have never been engaged by Gray individually, or as a collective by the advisory committee, on the reasons for some of the measures that have been put in place. If they were engaged and wanted to understand something, we would be able to provide explanations. “They could then share their views about alternatives, but we have never had such a discussion. They are directly in contact with us on almost a daily basis,” said Pillay. MAC member professor Shabir Madhi, who chairs its public health committee, said the government is ill-informed. He questioned who is advising the president that SA is doing well. He and others also said the MAC was not asked about measures involved in lifting the lockdown. “Decisions about different lockdown levels and what should be allowed are not
BOYS WILL BE … BALLERINOS Mihlali Ntshangana, right, and his younger brother Hlumelo give their Gugulethu neighbours an impromptu exhibition of ballet to break the tedium of the lockdown in the Cape Town township. Both boys attend a ballet school, which is closed during lockdown. In the middle, shading her eyes, proud mother Linda Ntshangana looks on with the rest of her family. See page 12. Picture: Esa Alexander
Dr Glenda Gray, chair of the South African Medical Research Council.
based on anything discussed by MAC,” he said. Several MAC members, who spoke to the Sunday Times on condition of anonymity because they are not allowed to speak to the media, said they had not been involved in lockdown decisions.
“Everyone, including the World Health Organisation [WHO], seems to think that there is a group of scientists out there advising government about extending the lockdown. That’s wrong. The MAC was never part of the big decisions on extending the lockdown,” said one member. “The risk-adjusted strategy was never shared with us, it was presented to us the day before it was announced. We saw the models eight days ago. It’s a catastrophe. There’s panic in the MAC that decisions are being ascribed to us but we have never seen them, we were not party to them.” “We never had discussions on banning alcohol and cigarettes. No single scientist would have supported the cigarette ban. We don’t know who’s advising government. This whole thing has been politicised … it’s either you are for or against government.” Another MAC member, Prof Wolfgang Preiser, said that all countries that had implemented lockdowns are starting to ease restrictions and “hardly anyone is just stop-
ping it all of a sudden”. “In my personal opinion we should also start easing, carefully, obviously in a sensical way i.e. not distinguishing between long- and short-sleeved T-shirts, allowing people to exercise alone or in family groups throughout the day. Careful does it, and looking at infection rates. We are also moving into winter with influenza and other infections which is another concern,” he said. Another MAC member , who also asked not to be named, agreed with Gray, who advocated for “non-pharmaceutical interventions” such as hand washing, mask wearing, social distancing, and bans on gatherings bans. “We should release the lockdown but with major community engagement," he said. Mkhize told the Sunday Times yesterday it was “untrue that we don’t take the MAC seriously”. “We have asked the ministerial advisory To Page 4 ➜
Smokes ban ‘a big failure in every way’ By DAVE CHAMBERS
● Economists behind an extensive survey of smokers say the lockdown ban on cigarette sales has been a spectacular failure and should be lifted as soon as possible. More than 90% of the 12,000-plus smokers who completed an online questionnaire said they had bought cigarettes in spite of the ban. On top of its failure to stop people smoking, the ban had strengthened illicit distribution networks that would now be difficult to dismantle, the economists said. In a report entitled “Lighting up the illicit
About nine in 10 smokers are still buying cigarettes, using back-door outlets.
market”, members of the University of Cape Town’s (UCT’s) research unit on the economics of excisable products said the ban had: ● Caused nearly half of smokers to switch from multinational brands to local brands; ● Caused “hyperinflation” in which cigarette prices “skyrocketed” by 4.4% a day; To Page 4 ➜
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