Is Organic Food the next big thing in US Retail ? April, 2014
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What is Organic?
Definition as per USDA National Organic Program (NOP): Organic food is produced by farmers who emphasize the use of renewable resources and the conservation of soil and water to enhance environmental quality for future generations. Organic meat, poultry, eggs, and dairy products come from animals that are given no antibiotics or growth hormones. Organic food is produced without using most conventional pesticides; fertilizers made with synthetic ingredients or sewage sludge; bioengineering; or ionizing radiation
Source: USDA
Before a product can be labeled ‘organic’, a Governmentapproved certifier inspects the farm where the food is grown to make sure the farmer is following all the rules necessary to meet USDA organic standards. Companies that handle or process organic food before it gets to the local supermarket or restaurant must be certified, too
Source: USDA, Secondary Research, Sutherland Research and Analysis Š 2014 Sutherland Global Services Inc., All rights reserved. Privileged and confidential information of Sutherland Global Services Inc.
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Quick Statistics on the spread of Organic Retail in US
USA is home to about 18500 certified farms and businesses as of 2014
Between 2002 and 2011, the country’s domestic organic food production increased to about 240%
Key Market Players • Whole Food Market • The Fresh Market • Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage • Sprouts Farmers Market
Key segments: • Organic fruits & vegetables • Organic dairy products • Organic packaged food
Organic food’s contribution to the overall food market in USA in terms of revenues is about 4% as of 2010
As of 2013, Global organic sales accounted to USD 63 Bn with US amounting to almost 50% of that
Key Growth Drivers: • Increased consumer awareness • Increasing consumer expenditure per capita on food
c.81% families have begun purchasing organic food once in a while as per surveys conducted by independent bodies with research focus on natural and organic food consumption
In US, Organic food market revenues are projected to grow at the CAGR of c.14% during 2013-18
Source: Secondary Research, Sutherland Research and Analysis © 2014 Sutherland Global Services Inc., All rights reserved. Privileged and confidential information of Sutherland Global Services Inc.
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U.S. Organic Food Sales have been registering a high growth 40
35-40
35
31-35
21%
31 29
30
27
18% 17% 25
25 23 15%
15%
15%
20 20
17 14
15
9%
12
8%
7%
10
7%
6%
5
0
0%
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
U.S. Sales ($ billion)
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013*
2014*
Annual Growth (percent)
*Estimated. Source: USDA, Economic Research Service using data from Nutrition Business Journal, 2013. Š 2014 Sutherland Global Services Inc., All rights reserved. Privileged and confidential information of Sutherland Global Services Inc.
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All product categories have been registering +ve growth
16%
16%
14% 13%
13%
8%
13% 12%
13%
12%
9%
9%
9%
8%
7%
2012
2013
2014
Dairy
2012
2013
2014
Fruits and Vegetables
2012
2013
2014
Breads and Grains
2012
2013
2014
Meat, Poultry and Fish
2012
2013
2014
Snack Foods
Note: 2013 and 2014 percentages are estimates
Source: Organic Trade Association Š 2014 Sutherland Global Services Inc., All rights reserved. Privileged and confidential information of Sutherland Global Services Inc.
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Experts suggest that the market is conducive for further growth and acceptance of Organic food
Tom Vilsack Agricultural Secretary
“ … consumer demand for organic products has grown exponentially over the past decade. With retail sales valued at $35 billion last year, the organic industry represents a tremendous economic opportunity for farmers, ranchers and rural communities… “
Karan Chechi Research Director, TechSci Research
“ … the organic food market contributed about 4% to the country’s overall food market in terms of revenues during 2010. Furthermore, the retail organic food market is an emerging trend in the country. Therefore, with the increased consumer food expenditure of about 7.67% during 2010-12 the demand for organic food through retail sales medium is anticipated to increase …”
Diane Dempster Organic specialist, Charlie’s Produce
“ … it (organic food) used to be a fad … but now it’s mainstream. And it just keeps growing. I don’t see that changing … People are interested in health … They want to know where their food is coming from, who’s growing it, and that it’s safe. And they’re willing to pay more for it … ”
Jack Sinclair Executive VP, Grocery, Walmart
“ ... we know our customers are interested in purchasing organic products and, traditionally, those customers have had to pay more … we are changing that ...”
Source: Secondary Research, Sutherland Research and Analysis
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Key Market Participants (1/2)
Logo and Company name
Business Description
Financial Stats
• Revenues: USD 19.757 Bn • Operating Income: USD 0.44 Bn • Employees: >60,000
Whole Foods Market
• American foods supermarket chain specializing in natural and organic foods • Headquartered in Austin, Texas in 1980 • Runs stores in USA, Canada, and the UK • Locations: 365 (as of October 2013) • Area covered: multiple states in USA, Canada, and the UK
• Chain of gourmet supermarkets • Headquartered in Greensboro, North Carolina in 1982 • Locations: 131 (all in US) • Area covered: Southeastern U.S., Mid Atlantic U.S., Midwest, Western U.S.
• Revenues: USD 1.33 Bn • Operating Income: USD 0.10 Bn • Employees: >6250
The Fresh Market
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Key Market Participants (2/2)
Logo and Company name
Business Description
Financial Stats
• Family-operated specialty retailer of natural and organic foods and dietary supplements • Headquartered in Colorado in 1955 • Runs stores in Midwest, Mountain States, and West US • Locations: 70 (as of 2013)
• Revenues: USD 0.43 Bn • Operating Income: 0.03 Bn • Employees: N/A
• Retailer of natural and organic foods, also selling supplements • Headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona in 2001 • Locations: >150 (all in US) • Area covered: Arizona, California, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Texas, Utah, Kansas, Georgia
• Revenues: USD 2.4 4 Bn • Operating Income: 0.19 Bn • Employees: > 50,000
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage
Sprouts Farmers Market
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End of Presentation
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