Tamara Keilberg's MARKET UPDATE HURST, TX
· Current Real Estate Market Conditions for Single Family Homes · Trends in Pricing · Current Levels of Supply and Demand · Value Metrics
· Report for the week of May 03, 2010
· Presented by Tamara Keilberg Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate www.LuxuryHomesDFW.com - tamara@luxuryhomesdfw.com 817-485-1118
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City Overview
Single Family Homes in
HURST, TX
Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887
This Week
Real-Time Market Profile
The median list price in HURST, TX this week is $149,900. The 184 properties have been on the market for an average of 148 days.
Inventory is up and Market Action is trending down recently. While dayson-market appears to be trending lower, the overall conditions are weakening a bit.
Trend
Median List Price
$ 149,900
Average List Price
$ 171,912
Asking Price Per Square Foot
$ 82
±+
Average Days on Market (DoM)
148
≠≠
Inventory of Properties Listed
184
==
Most Expensive Listing
$ 636,000
Least Expensive Listing
$ 48,000
Average Age of Listing
31
Percent of Properties with Price Decrease
41 %
Percent Relisted (reset DOM)
6%
Percent Flip (price increased)
4%
Median House Size (sq ft)
1947
Median Lot Size
Supply and Demand
±+
8,001 - 10,000 sqft
Median Number of Bedrooms
3.0
Median Number of Bathrooms
2.0
Altos Research Value Statistics
Home sales have been exceeding new inventory for several weeks. However because of excess inventory, prices have not yet stopped falling. Should the sales trend continue, expect prices to level off soon and potentially to resume their climb from there. Watch prices as the market transitions from a Buyer's market to a Seller's market.
Market Action Index
Strong Buyer's
19.8
≠≠
The Market Action Index answers the question "How's the Market?" By measuring the current rate of sale versus the amount of the inventory. Index above 30 implies a seller's advantage. Below 30, conditions give the advantage to the buyer.
Trend Key:
±+
== Strong upward trend ≠≠ Strong downward trend = Slight upward trend ≠ Slight downward trend
No change
Characteristics per Quartile Quartile
Median Price
Sq. Ft. Lot Size
Beds
Baths
Age Inventory New
Absorbed
DOM
Top/First
$ 269,950
2671
8,001 10,000 sqft
4.0
2.5
10
46
2
2
183
Most expensive 25% of properties
Upper/Second
$ 174,950
2112
8,001 10,000 sqft
3.0
2.0
23
46
5
3
159
Upper-middle 25% of properties
Lower/Third
$ 129,900
1624
8,001 10,000 sqft
3.0
2.0
44
46
7
5
116
Lower-middle 25% of properties
Bottom/Fourth
$ 93,950
1327
8,001 10,000 sqft
3.0
2.0
51
46
11
3
133
Least expensive 25% of properties
Page 2 of 16
Monday May 3, 2010
Single Family Homes in
City Overview
Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887
HURST, TX
Median Price Despite this week's down tic, the market seems to have paused around this plateau. The Market Action Index is a good leading indicator for the durability of this shift.
7-day Average
90-day Average
Quartile Prices Pricing is on a slightly negative trend lately. Prices in Quartile 4 and 1 have been mixed recently, while the rest of the market is trending downward. Look to a strong, persistent up shift in the Market Action Index as a leading indicator of the trough in the market.
First/Top
Page 3 of 16
Second/Upper
Third/Lower
Monday May 3, 2010
Fourth/Bottom
Single Family Homes in
City Overview
Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887
HURST, TX
Price per Square Foot The market plateau is seen across the price and value. The price per square foot and median list price have both been reasonably stagnant. Watch the Market Action Index for persistent changes as a leading indicator before the market moves from these levels.
7-day Average
90-day Average
Inventory of Properties Listed for Sale Inventory has been climbing lately. Note that rising inventory alone does not signal a weakening market. Look to the Market Action Index and Days on Market trends to gauge whether buyer interest is keeping up with available supply.
7-day Average
Page 4 of 16
90-day Average
Monday May 3, 2010
Single Family Homes in
City Overview
HURST, TX
Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887
Market Action Index The HURST market is currently quite strongly in the Buyer's Advantage zone (below 30). The 90-day Market Action Index stands at 19.76. With several months of inventory available at the current sales rate, buyers should find ample choice.
90-day Average
Buyers/Sellers Cutoff
Market Action Index per Quartile Not surprisingly given the overall Market Action Index, all quartiles are in the Buyer's Market zone with several months of inventory given the current rate of demand for homes in the quartile. Watch the quartile for changes before the overall market shifts. Often one end of the market (e.g. the low end) will improve and signal a strengthening market before the whole group
First/Top
Second/Upper
Third/Lower
Fourth/Bottom
Buyers/Sellers Cutoff Residential house prices are a function of supply and demand, and market conditions can be characterized by analyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained changes: if the index falls into the Buyer’s Advantage zone (below 30) for a long period, prices are likely in for a downward correction. The Market Action Index (MAI) illustrates a blance between supply and demand using a statistical function of the current rate of sale versus current inventory.
Page 5 of 16
Monday May 3, 2010
Single Family Homes in
City Overview
HURST, TX
Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887
Days on Market The properties have been on the market for an average of 148 days. Half of the listings have come newly on the market in the past 74 or so days.
7-day Average
90-day Average
Days on Market per Quartile It is not uncommon for the higher priced homes in an area to take longer to sell than those in the lower quartiles.
First/Top
Page 6 of 16
Second/Upper
Third/Lower
Monday May 3, 2010
Fourth/Bottom
Neighborhood Detail
Single Family Homes in
HURST, TX 76054
Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887
This Week
Real-Time Market Profile
The median list price in HURST, TX 76054 this week is $219,875. The 71 properties have been on the market for an average of 164 days.
Inventory is up and Market Action is trending down recently. While dayson-market appears to be trending lower, the overall conditions are weakening a bit.
Trend
Median List Price
$ 219,875
Average List Price
$ 233,387
Asking Price Per Square Foot
$ 90
±+
Average Days on Market (DoM)
164
≠≠
Inventory of Properties Listed
71
==
Most Expensive Listing
$ 636,000
Least Expensive Listing
$ 112,900
Average Age of Listing
23
Percent of Properties with Price Decrease
42 %
Percent Relisted (reset DOM)
4%
Percent Flip (price increased)
3%
Median House Size (sq ft)
2373
Median Lot Size
Supply and Demand
==
8,001 - 10,000 sqft
Median Number of Bedrooms
3.0
Median Number of Bathrooms
2.5
Altos Research Value Statistics
Home sales have been exceeding new inventory for several weeks. Since this is a Buyer's market prices are not yet moving higher as excess inventory is consumed. However, the as supply and demand trends continue, the market moves into the Seller's zone, and we are likely to see upward pressure on pricing.
Market Action Index
Strong Buyer's
19.4
≠≠
The Market Action Index answers the question "How's the Market?" By measuring the current rate of sale versus the amount of the inventory. Index above 30 implies a seller's advantage. Below 30, conditions give the advantage to the buyer.
Trend Key:
±+
== Strong upward trend ≠≠ Strong downward trend = Slight upward trend ≠ Slight downward trend
No change
Characteristics per Quartile Quartile
Median Price
Sq. Ft. Lot Size
Beds
Baths
Age Inventory New
Absorbed
DOM
Top/First
$ 329,900
3299
8,001 10,000 sqft
4.0
3.0
8
17
1
0
200
Most expensive 25% of properties
Upper/Second
$ 242,400
2451
8,001 10,000 sqft
3.0
2.5
10
18
1
1
146
Upper-middle 25% of properties
Lower/Third
$ 199,900
2272
8,001 10,000 sqft
3.5
2.2
26
18
1
1
135
Lower-middle 25% of properties
Bottom/Fourth
$ 146,000
1782
8,001 10,000 sqft
3.0
2.0
40
18
0
1
180
Least expensive 25% of properties
Page 7 of 16
Monday May 3, 2010
Single Family Homes in
Neighborhood Detail
Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887
HURST, TX 76054
Median Price In this zip code this week saw relatively little price change from last week. However, we continue to demonstrate a nice up trend in general over the last several weeks.
7-day Average
90-day Average
Quartile Prices In the quartile market segments, we see prices in this zip code generally settled at a plateau, although Quartile 2 is on a bit of an up trend in recent weeks. We'll need to see a persistent shift in the Market Action Index before we see prices across the board move from these levels.
First/Top
Page 8 of 16
Second/Upper
Third/Lower
Monday May 3, 2010
Fourth/Bottom
Single Family Homes in
Neighborhood Detail
Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887
HURST, TX 76054
Price per Square Foot In a market where prices are rising fairly consistently, price per square foot is essentially flat. This often implies that new homes coming on the market are pricier, and also larger than older homes. As a result the value one can buy stays the same.
7-day Average
90-day Average
Inventory of Properties Listed for Sale Inventory has been climbing lately. Note that rising inventory alone does not signal a weakening market. Look to the Market Action Index and Days on Market trends to gauge whether buyer interest is keeping up with available supply.
7-day Average
Page 9 of 16
90-day Average
Monday May 3, 2010
Single Family Homes in
Neighborhood Detail
Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887
HURST, TX 76054
Market Action Index The HURST, 76054 market is currently quite strongly in the Buyer's Advantage zone (below 30). The 90-day Market Action Index stands at 19.42. With several months of inventory available at the current sales rate, buyers should find ample choice.
90-day Average
Buyers/Sellers Cutoff
Market Action Index per Quartile Not surprisingly, all quartiles are in the Buyer's Market zone with several months of inventory given the current levels of demand. Watch the quartiles for changes before the overall market shifts.
First/Top
Second/Upper
Third/Lower
Fourth/Bottom
Buyers/Sellers Cutoff Residential house prices are a function of supply and demand, and market conditions can be characterized by analyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained changes: if the index falls into the Buyer’s Advantage zone (below 30) for a long period, prices are likely in for a downward correction. The Market Action Index (MAI) illustrates a blance between supply and demand using a statistical function of the current rate of sale versus current inventory.
Page 10 of 16
Monday May 3, 2010
Single Family Homes in
Neighborhood Detail
Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887
HURST, TX 76054
Days on Market The properties have been on the market for an average of 164 days. Half of the listings have come newly on the market in the past 70 or so days.
7-day Average
90-day Average
Days on Market per Quartile It is not uncommon for the higher priced homes in an area to take longer to sell than those in the lower quartiles.
First/Top
Page 11 of 16
Second/Upper
Third/Lower
Monday May 3, 2010
Fourth/Bottom
Neighborhood Detail
Single Family Homes in
HURST, TX 76053
Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887
This Week
Real-Time Market Profile
The median list price in HURST, TX 76053 this week is $119,900. The 113 properties have been on the market for an average of 137 days.
The Market Action Index has been trending down lately, while inventory and days-on-market are climbing. The trends imply a weakening market.
Trend
Median List Price
$ 119,900
Average List Price
$ 133,287
Asking Price Per Square Foot
$ 76
==
Average Days on Market (DoM)
137
==
Inventory of Properties Listed
113
==
Most Expensive Listing
$ 317,500
Least Expensive Listing
$ 48,000
Average Age of Listing
37
Percent of Properties with Price Decrease
41 %
Percent Relisted (reset DOM)
7%
Percent Flip (price increased)
4%
Median House Size (sq ft)
1723
Median Lot Size
Supply and Demand
≠≠
8,001 - 10,000 sqft
Median Number of Bedrooms
3.0
Median Number of Bathrooms
2.0
Altos Research Value Statistics
Home sales have been exceeding new inventory for several weeks. However because of excess inventory, prices have not yet stopped falling. Should the sales trend continue, expect prices to level off soon and potentially to resume their climb from there. Watch prices as the market transitions from a Buyer's market to a Seller's market.
Market Action Index
Strong Buyer's
19.1
≠≠
The Market Action Index answers the question "How's the Market?" By measuring the current rate of sale versus the amount of the inventory. Index above 30 implies a seller's advantage. Below 30, conditions give the advantage to the buyer.
Trend Key:
±+
== Strong upward trend ≠≠ Strong downward trend = Slight upward trend ≠ Slight downward trend
No change
Characteristics per Quartile Quartile
Median Price
Sq. Ft. Lot Size
Beds
Baths
Age Inventory New
Absorbed
DOM
Top/First
$ 192,450
2398
8,001 10,000 sqft
4.0
2.0
8
28
4
2
166
Most expensive 25% of properties
Upper/Second
$ 138,700
1790
6,501 8,000 sqft
3.0
2.0
32
28
4
3
142
Upper-middle 25% of properties
Lower/Third
$ 114,200
1502
8,001 10,000 sqft
3.0
2.0
48
28
7
2
79
Lower-middle 25% of properties
Bottom/Fourth
$ 80,000
1242
8,001 10,000 sqft
3.0
1.5
54
29
7
3
160
Page 12 of 16
Monday May 3, 2010
Least expensive 25% of properties
Single Family Homes in
Neighborhood Detail
Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887
HURST, TX 76053
Median Price Again this week in this zip code we see a downward notch for prices. We continue to pull back from the market's highs. At this point, we will be looking for a persistent upward shift in the Market Action Index as a leading indicator for a trough in prices.
7-day Average
90-day Average
Quartile Prices In the quartile market segments, we see the market's price weakness evident across the board. All four quartiles have been in price decline in recent weeks. Look to the Market Action Index as a leading indicator of the bottom of the market.
First/Top
Page 13 of 16
Second/Upper
Third/Lower
Monday May 3, 2010
Fourth/Bottom
Single Family Homes in
Neighborhood Detail
Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887
HURST, TX 76053
Price per Square Foot We're seeing fairly unusual market conditions as prices have been in a downward trend but price per square foot is actually increasing. (Buyers are paying less and getting less home for their money.) Anomalies like these can be attributed to microlocation variables.
7-day Average
90-day Average
Inventory of Properties Listed for Sale Inventory has been climbing lately. Note that rising inventory alone does not signal a weakening market. Look to the Market Action Index and Days on Market trends to gauge whether buyer interest is keeping up with available supply.
7-day Average
Page 14 of 16
90-day Average
Monday May 3, 2010
Single Family Homes in
Neighborhood Detail
Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887
HURST, TX 76053
Market Action Index The HURST, 76053 market is currently quite strongly in the Buyer's Advantage zone (below 30). The 90-day Market Action Index stands at 19.07. With several months of inventory available at the current sales rate, buyers should find ample choice.
90-day Average
Buyers/Sellers Cutoff
Market Action Index per Quartile Not surprisingly, all quartiles are in the Buyer's Market zone with several months of inventory given the current levels of demand. Watch the quartiles for changes before the overall market shifts.
First/Top
Second/Upper
Third/Lower
Fourth/Bottom
Buyers/Sellers Cutoff Residential house prices are a function of supply and demand, and market conditions can be characterized by analyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained changes: if the index falls into the Buyer’s Advantage zone (below 30) for a long period, prices are likely in for a downward correction. The Market Action Index (MAI) illustrates a blance between supply and demand using a statistical function of the current rate of sale versus current inventory.
Page 15 of 16
Monday May 3, 2010
Single Family Homes in
Neighborhood Detail
Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887
HURST, TX 76053
Days on Market The properties have been on the market for an average of 137 days. Half of the listings have come newly on the market in the past 77 or so days.
7-day Average
90-day Average
Days on Market per Quartile It is not uncommon for the higher priced homes in an area to take longer to sell than those in the lower quartiles.
First/Top
Page 16 of 16
Second/Upper
Third/Lower
Monday May 3, 2010
Fourth/Bottom