North Richland Hills Market Report 5/3/10

Page 1

Tamara Keilberg's MARKET UPDATE NORTH RICHLAND HILLS, TX

· Current Real Estate Market Conditions for Single Family Homes · Trends in Pricing · Current Levels of Supply and Demand · Value Metrics

· Report for the week of May 03, 2010

· Presented by Tamara Keilberg Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate www.LuxuryHomesDFW.com - tamara@luxuryhomesdfw.com 817-485-1118

Powered by Altos Research LLC | www.altosresearch.com | Copyright © 2005-2010 Altos Research LLC


City Overview

Single Family Homes in

NORTH RICHLAND HILLS, TX

Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887

This Week

Real-Time Market Profile

The median list price in NORTH RICHLAND HILLS, TX this week is $199,000. The 305 properties have been on the market for an average of 128 days.

Trend

Median List Price

$ 199,000

Average List Price

$ 238,599

Asking Price Per Square Foot

$ 88

≠≠

Average Days on Market (DoM)

128

≠≠

Inventory of Properties Listed

305

==

Most Expensive Listing

Demand measured by the Market Action Index is increasing and dayson-market is trending downward. Even as more properties come available, these are positive trends for the market.

$ 1,750,000

Least Expensive Listing

$ 59,000

Average Age of Listing

21

Percent of Properties with Price Decrease

40 %

Percent Relisted (reset DOM)

8%

Percent Flip (price increased)

5%

Median House Size (sq ft)

2249

Median Lot Size

Supply and Demand

±+

8,001 - 10,000 sqft

Median Number of Bedrooms

3.0

Median Number of Bathrooms

2.5

Altos Research Value Statistics

Inventory levels have been relatively consistent relative to sales. Despite the fact that there is a relatively high amount of available inventory, this Buyer's market is still seeing prices move higher. Given inventory levels, these price conditions are relatively fragile. If the market cools off further, the price trend is likely to reverse.

Market Action Index

Strong Buyer's

17.9

==

The Market Action Index answers the question "How's the Market?" By measuring the current rate of sale versus the amount of the inventory. Index above 30 implies a seller's advantage. Below 30, conditions give the advantage to the buyer.

Trend Key:

±+

== Strong upward trend ≠≠ Strong downward trend = Slight upward trend ≠ Slight downward trend

No change

Characteristics per Quartile Quartile

Median Price

Sq. Ft. Lot Size

Beds

Baths

Age Inventory New

Absorbed

DOM

Top/First

$ 399,250

3845

0.25 - 0.50 acre

4.0

3.5

4

76

1

4

161

Most expensive 25% of properties

Upper/Second

$ 265,325

2763

8,001 10,000 sqft

4.0

2.8

7

76

3

6

124

Upper-middle 25% of properties

Lower/Third

$ 149,948

1926

8,001 10,000 sqft

3.0

2.0

26

76

7

8

120

Lower-middle 25% of properties

Bottom/Fourth

$ 97,500

1441

8,001 10,000 sqft

3.0

2.0

39

77

9

8

105

Least expensive 25% of properties

Page 2 of 16

Monday May 3, 2010


Single Family Homes in

City Overview

Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887

NORTH RICHLAND HILLS, TX

Median Price Despite this week's down tic, the market seems to have paused around this plateau. The Market Action Index is a good leading indicator for the durability of this shift.

7-day Average

90-day Average

Quartile Prices Pricing trends have been lacking strong directional indication lately. Only Quartile 3 is trending higher. Look to the Market Action Index for persistent changes (up or down) as a leading indicator for the significant price changes.

First/Top

Page 3 of 16

Second/Upper

Third/Lower

Monday May 3, 2010

Fourth/Bottom


Single Family Homes in

City Overview

Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887

NORTH RICHLAND HILLS, TX

Price per Square Foot While prices have been basically flat, the price per square foot has been heading downward. While not a sign of broad strength in a market, larger homes are coming more available and buyers are tending to get more home for their money.

7-day Average

90-day Average

Inventory of Properties Listed for Sale Inventory has been climbing lately. Note that rising inventory alone does not signal a weakening market. Look to the Market Action Index and Days on Market trends to gauge whether buyer interest is keeping up with available supply.

7-day Average

Page 4 of 16

90-day Average

Monday May 3, 2010


Single Family Homes in

City Overview

Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887

NORTH RICHLAND HILLS, TX

Market Action Index The NORTH RICHLAND HILLS market is currently quite strongly in the Buyer's Advantage zone (below 30). The 90-day Market Action Index stands at 17.89. With several months of inventory available at the current sales rate, buyers should find ample choice.

90-day Average

Buyers/Sellers Cutoff

Market Action Index per Quartile Not surprisingly given the overall Market Action Index, all quartiles are in the Buyer's Market zone with several months of inventory given the current rate of demand for homes in the quartile. Watch the quartile for changes before the overall market shifts. Often one end of the market (e.g. the low end) will improve and signal a strengthening market before the whole group

First/Top

Second/Upper

Third/Lower

Fourth/Bottom

Buyers/Sellers Cutoff Residential house prices are a function of supply and demand, and market conditions can be characterized by analyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained changes: if the index falls into the Buyer’s Advantage zone (below 30) for a long period, prices are likely in for a downward correction. The Market Action Index (MAI) illustrates a blance between supply and demand using a statistical function of the current rate of sale versus current inventory.

Page 5 of 16

Monday May 3, 2010


Single Family Homes in

City Overview

Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887

NORTH RICHLAND HILLS, TX

Days on Market The properties have been on the market for an average of 128 days. Half of the listings have come newly on the market in the past 70 or so days.

7-day Average

90-day Average

Days on Market per Quartile It is not uncommon for the higher priced homes in an area to take longer to sell than those in the lower quartiles.

First/Top

Page 6 of 16

Second/Upper

Third/Lower

Monday May 3, 2010

Fourth/Bottom


Neighborhood Detail

Single Family Homes in

NORTH RICHLAND HILLS, TX 76182

Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887

This Week

Real-Time Market Profile

The median list price in NORTH RICHLAND HILLS, TX 76182 this week is $249,950. The 166 properties have been on the market for an average of 91 days.

Trend

Median List Price

$ 249,950

Average List Price

$ 268,946 $ 93

±+

Average Days on Market (DoM)

91

±+

Inventory of Properties Listed

166

==

Asking Price Per Square Foot

Most Expensive Listing

Demand measured by the Market Action Index is increasing and dayson-market is holding steady. With more properties coming available, conditions are mildly positive.

$ 1,750,000

Least Expensive Listing

$ 69,995

Average Age of Listing

17

Percent of Properties with Price Decrease

42 %

Percent Relisted (reset DOM)

11 %

Percent Flip (price increased)

7%

Median House Size (sq ft)

2507

Median Lot Size

Supply and Demand

==

8,001 - 10,000 sqft

Median Number of Bedrooms

4.0

Median Number of Bathrooms

2.5

Altos Research Value Statistics

Home sales have been exceeding new inventory for several weeks. While still a Buyer's market, prices seem to have responded by moving upward. If the demand trends continue, expect prices to keep marching upward, especially once we see a Seller's Market.

Market Action Index

Strong Buyer's

17.1

==

The Market Action Index answers the question "How's the Market?" By measuring the current rate of sale versus the amount of the inventory. Index above 30 implies a seller's advantage. Below 30, conditions give the advantage to the buyer.

Trend Key:

±+

== Strong upward trend ≠≠ Strong downward trend = Slight upward trend ≠ Slight downward trend

No change

Characteristics per Quartile Quartile

Median Price

Sq. Ft. Lot Size

Beds

Baths

Age Inventory New

Absorbed

DOM

Top/First

$ 449,000

3985

0.25 - 0.50 acre

4.0

3.5

3

41

1

0

127

Upper/Second

$ 310,000

2970

0.25 - 0.50 acre

4.0

3.0

9

41

1

7

90

Upper-middle 25% of properties

Lower/Third

$ 179,700

2060

8,001 10,000 sqft

3.0

2.0

18

42

4

6

80

Lower-middle 25% of properties

Bottom/Fourth

$ 106,150

1491

8,001 10,000 sqft

3.0

2.0

32

42

9

6

69

Least expensive 25% of properties

Page 7 of 16

Monday May 3, 2010

Most expensive 25% of properties


Single Family Homes in

Neighborhood Detail

Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887

NORTH RICHLAND HILLS, TX 76182

Median Price Despite this week's down tic, price trends in this zip code have generally been moving up lately. We are below the market's high point, and we'll investigate the Market Action Index later on to see if we expect this week's blip to become a downward trend.

7-day Average

90-day Average

Quartile Prices In the quartile market segments, we see prices in this zip code with a lack of strong directional indication lately. Quartile 4 is down, Quartile 1 is essentially flat, while Quartiles 2 and 3 are up in recent weeks. Slack demand sometimes takes hold at either end of the market and converges on the center. Watch for persistent shifts in the Market Action Index for a leading indicator of stronger price moves in the market as a whole.

First/Top

Page 8 of 16

Second/Upper

Third/Lower

Monday May 3, 2010

Fourth/Bottom


Single Family Homes in

Neighborhood Detail

Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887

NORTH RICHLAND HILLS, TX 76182

Price per Square Foot In a market where prices are rising fairly consistently, price per square foot is essentially flat. This often implies that new homes coming on the market are pricier, and also larger than older homes. As a result the value one can buy stays the same.

7-day Average

90-day Average

Inventory of Properties Listed for Sale Inventory has been climbing lately. Note that rising inventory alone does not signal a weakening market. Look to the Market Action Index and Days on Market trends to gauge whether buyer interest is keeping up with available supply.

7-day Average

Page 9 of 16

90-day Average

Monday May 3, 2010


Single Family Homes in

Neighborhood Detail

Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887

NORTH RICHLAND HILLS, TX 76182

Market Action Index The NORTH RICHLAND HILLS, 76182 market is currently quite strongly in the Buyer's Advantage zone (below 30). The 90-day Market Action Index stands at 17.12. With several months of inventory available at the current sales rate, buyers should find ample choice.

90-day Average

Buyers/Sellers Cutoff

Market Action Index per Quartile Not surprisingly, all quartiles are in the Buyer's Market zone with several months of inventory given the current levels of demand. Watch the quartiles for changes before the overall market shifts.

First/Top

Second/Upper

Third/Lower

Fourth/Bottom

Buyers/Sellers Cutoff Residential house prices are a function of supply and demand, and market conditions can be characterized by analyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained changes: if the index falls into the Buyer’s Advantage zone (below 30) for a long period, prices are likely in for a downward correction. The Market Action Index (MAI) illustrates a blance between supply and demand using a statistical function of the current rate of sale versus current inventory.

Page 10 of 16

Monday May 3, 2010


Single Family Homes in

Neighborhood Detail

Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887

NORTH RICHLAND HILLS, TX 76182

Days on Market The properties have been on the market for an average of 91 days. Half of the listings have come newly on the market in the past 70 or so days.

7-day Average

90-day Average

Days on Market per Quartile It is not uncommon for the higher priced homes in an area to take longer to sell than those in the lower quartiles.

First/Top

Page 11 of 16

Second/Upper

Third/Lower

Monday May 3, 2010

Fourth/Bottom


Neighborhood Detail

Single Family Homes in

NORTH RICHLAND HILLS, TX 76180

Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887

This Week

Real-Time Market Profile

The median list price in NORTH RICHLAND HILLS, TX 76180 this week is $150,000. The 139 properties have been on the market for an average of 171 days. Inventory is up and Market Action is trending down recently. While dayson-market appears to be trending lower, the overall conditions are weakening a bit.

Trend

Median List Price

$ 150,000

Average List Price

$ 202,358

Asking Price Per Square Foot

$ 79

≠≠

Average Days on Market (DoM)

171

≠≠

Inventory of Properties Listed

139

==

Most Expensive Listing

$ 695,000

Least Expensive Listing

$ 59,000

Average Age of Listing

27

Percent of Properties with Price Decrease

38 %

Percent Relisted (reset DOM)

5%

Percent Flip (price increased)

3%

Median House Size (sq ft)

2082

Median Lot Size

Supply and Demand

±+

8,001 - 10,000 sqft

Median Number of Bedrooms

3.0

Median Number of Bathrooms

2.0

Altos Research Value Statistics

The market has been consistently cool for several weeks. Demand level are low relative to the available inventory. It's a Buyer's market and prices continue to fall. Look for a persistent shift in Market Action before prices plateau or begin to rise again.

Market Action Index

Strong Buyer's

18.4

≠≠

The Market Action Index answers the question "How's the Market?" By measuring the current rate of sale versus the amount of the inventory. Index above 30 implies a seller's advantage. Below 30, conditions give the advantage to the buyer.

Trend Key:

±+

== Strong upward trend ≠≠ Strong downward trend = Slight upward trend ≠ Slight downward trend

No change

Characteristics per Quartile Quartile

Median Price

Sq. Ft. Lot Size

Beds

Baths

Age Inventory New

Absorbed

DOM

Top/First

$ 339,250

3498

0.25 - 0.50 acre

4.0

3.2

5

34

0

2

247

Most expensive 25% of properties

Upper/Second

$ 223,990

2658

8,001 10,000 sqft

3.0

2.5

7

35

3

0

150

Upper-middle 25% of properties

Lower/Third

$ 124,900

1721

8,001 10,000 sqft

3.0

2.0

39

35

0

2

137

Lower-middle 25% of properties

Bottom/Fourth

$ 87,977

1393

8,001 10,000 sqft

3.0

2.0

51

35

2

3

149

Least expensive 25% of properties

Page 12 of 16

Monday May 3, 2010


Single Family Homes in

Neighborhood Detail

Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887

NORTH RICHLAND HILLS, TX 76180

Median Price We continue to see prices in this zip code bouncing around this plateau. Look for a persistent up-shift in the Market Action Index before we see prices move from these levels.

7-day Average

90-day Average

Quartile Prices In the quartile market segments, we see prices in the individual quartiles without strong directional correlation lately. Quartiles 2 and 4 have been in price decline in recent weeks, with Quartiles 1 and 3 remaining basically flat. Look to the Market Action Index as a leading indicator of the bottom of the market.

First/Top

Page 13 of 16

Second/Upper

Third/Lower

Monday May 3, 2010

Fourth/Bottom


Single Family Homes in

Neighborhood Detail

Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887

NORTH RICHLAND HILLS, TX 76180

Price per Square Foot While prices have been basically flat, the price per square foot has been heading downward. While not a sign of broad strength in a market, larger homes are coming more available and buyers are tending to get more home for their money.

7-day Average

90-day Average

Inventory of Properties Listed for Sale Inventory has been climbing lately. Note that rising inventory alone does not signal a weakening market. Look to the Market Action Index and Days on Market trends to gauge whether buyer interest is keeping up with available supply.

7-day Average

Page 14 of 16

90-day Average

Monday May 3, 2010


Single Family Homes in

Neighborhood Detail

Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887

NORTH RICHLAND HILLS, TX 76180

Market Action Index The NORTH RICHLAND HILLS, 76180 market is currently quite strongly in the Buyer's Advantage zone (below 30). The 90-day Market Action Index stands at 18.42. With several months of inventory available at the current sales rate, buyers should find ample choice.

90-day Average

Buyers/Sellers Cutoff

Market Action Index per Quartile Not surprisingly, all quartiles are in the Buyer's Market zone with several months of inventory given the current levels of demand. Watch the quartiles for changes before the overall market shifts.

First/Top

Second/Upper

Third/Lower

Fourth/Bottom

Buyers/Sellers Cutoff Residential house prices are a function of supply and demand, and market conditions can be characterized by analyzing those factors. Watch this index for sustained changes: if the index falls into the Buyer’s Advantage zone (below 30) for a long period, prices are likely in for a downward correction. The Market Action Index (MAI) illustrates a blance between supply and demand using a statistical function of the current rate of sale versus current inventory.

Page 15 of 16

Monday May 3, 2010


Single Family Homes in

Neighborhood Detail

Tamara Keilberg | Tamara Keilberg Luxury Real Estate | 8179965887

NORTH RICHLAND HILLS, TX 76180

Days on Market The properties have been on the market for an average of 171 days. Half of the listings have come newly on the market in the past 70 or so days.

7-day Average

90-day Average

Days on Market per Quartile It is not uncommon for the higher priced homes in an area to take longer to sell than those in the lower quartiles.

First/Top

Page 16 of 16

Second/Upper

Third/Lower

Monday May 3, 2010

Fourth/Bottom


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