Kansas Population as a Percentage of United States Population 1.25% 1.20%
29th 1.15% 1.10%
28th
1.05%
32nd
1.00%
32nd 0.95%
0.90%
Projected 32nd
Actual
33rd
0.85%
35th
0.80%
35th 0.75%
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
Source: U.S. Census Bureau
2010
2020
2030
Kansas Counties with Population Loss – 1% or Higher 2000-2010 Annual Average
There were 28 counties that experienced average yearly population loss of 1% or higher.
Kansas Counties with Population Loss 2010-2013 Improvements
Of those 28 counties, only 4 did not improve. The remaining 24 saw decreases in average yearly population loss.
Wallace, Gove, Sherman, Finney, & Stanton counties now see population growth.
Pro-Growth Tax Reform
7.00 6.45%
6.45%
6.00
Tax Rate Percentage
5.00 4.00 3.9% 3.5%
3.00
2.3%
2.00 1.00
0% 0.00 2012
2018
Top Rate
2012
2018
Bottom Rate
2012
2013
Small Business Rate
FY 2015 Shortfall
Revenues Lowered $205 Million
School Finance Caseloads Increased by $63 Million
Capital Outlay
$34 Million Local Option Budget $19.8 Million Bond & Interest Aid $9.5 Million
Medicaid Caseloads Increased by $46 Million
Additional Support for K-12 Schools Including Allotment – Numbers in Millions $4,500.00 $28.301 $4,000.00
$177.639
$3,500.00
Millions
$3,000.00
$2,500.00 Allotment Amount ($28.3M) Additional Funds ($177M) $2,000.00
$3,864.339
$3,864.339
FY2014
FY2015
$1,500.00
$1,000.00
$500.00
$0.00
FY14 Funding Level
State General Fund Expenditures by Fiscal Year Numbers in Billions $7.00
$6.00
Billions
$5.00
$4.00
$3.00
$2.00
$1.00
$0.00 2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015*
State General Fund Annual Growth Rate
10.6% 10.1% 10.0%
7.6%
8.0%
6.7%
6.0%
5.8%
4.0% 4.0%
2.5% 2.0% 1.4%
0.0%
Percent Change in Private Sector Employment By State 3.36% 2.66% 3.00% 2.29%
1.00%
-1.00%
2000 to 2010
-3.00%
2011 to 2013
-3.16%
-5.00%
-4.83%
-7.00%
-9.00%
-8.57% Illinois
Kansas
*Numbers are calculated using annual averages of private sector employment
Missouri
Nov-14
Sep-14
Jul-14
May-14
Mar-14
Jan-14
Nov-13
Sep-13
Jul-13
May-13
Mar-13
Jan-13
Nov-12
Sep-12
Jul-12
May-12
Mar-12
Jan-12
Nov-11
Sep-11
Jul-11
May-11
Mar-11
Jan-11
7.0
Kansas Unemployment Rate
6.5
10th Lowest in the Nation
6.0
5.5
5.0
4.5
4.0
Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Nov-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Feb-12 Mar-12 Apr-12 May-12 Jun-12 Jul-12 Aug-12 Sep-12 Oct-12 Nov-12 Dec-12 Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14
Kansas Statewide Employment
1,439,000
1,434,000
1,429,000
1,424,000
1,419,000
1,414,000
1,409,000
1,404,000
1,399,000
1,394,000
1,090,000
Jan '11 Feb '11 Mar '11 Apr '11 May '11 Jun '11 Jul '11 Aug '11 Sep '11 Oct '11 Nov '11 Dec '11 Jan '12 Feb '12 Mar '12 Apr '12 May '12 Jun '12 Jul '12 Aug '12 Sep '12 Oct '12 Nov '12 Dec '12 Jan '13 Feb '13 Mar '13 Apr '13 May '13 Jun '13 Jul '13 Aug '13 Sep '13 Oct '13 Nov '13 Dec '13 Jan '14 Feb '14 Mar '14 Apr '14 May '14 Jun '14 Jul '14 Aug '14 Sep '14 Oct '14 Nov '14 Dec '14
1,140,000
Brownback Administration Job Growth
1,130,000
1,120,000
1,110,000
1,100,000
Total Private Sector Job Growth from January 2011 to December 2014 : 63,000 Jobs
1,080,000
1,070,000
261.5
Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Nov-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Feb-12 Mar-12 Apr-12 May-12 Jun-12 Jul-12 Aug-12 Sep-12 Oct-12 Nov-12 Dec-12 Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14
Decline in the Size of Government
Public Sector Jobs – Numbers in Thousands
263.5
Total Public Sector Jobs from January 2011 to December 2014 : Decrease of 5,400
259.5
257.5
255.5
253.5
251.5
Kansas New Business Formation Domestic New Entity Filings 15,780
16,000
15,469 15,008 15,000
14,000
13,646 13,354 12,929
13,000
12,831
13,024
12,811 12,387
12,419
12,000
11,347 11,000
10,000 2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Source: Kansas Secretary of State
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
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Small Business Income Growth
Annual Average Growth Rate Since 2013Q1
7.0%
6.0% 6.0%
5.0% 4.5%
4.0%
3.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.0%
Hourly Wages Growth 2014 5.0
4.5
4.0
3.5
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0 Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
KS Wage Growth
Jul
Aug
US Wage Growth
Note - Shaded area represents wage growth target set by Federal Reserve Board of Governors * - U.S. data is Seasonally Adjusted while KS data is Not Seasonally Adjusted Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Kansas City MSA Hourly Wages Total Private Current Employment Statistics* $27.00
$2.93 Difference
$26.00
$25.00
$0.40 Difference $24.00
$23.00
$22.00
$21.00 Jan 2011
* - Not Seasonally Adjusted Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
Jan 2012
Jan 2013
Kansas City, KS
Kansas City, MO
Jan 2014
Percentage of Months KCK beat KCMO in Private Sector Job Growth By Governor 75% 72.34%
70%
66.67% 65.63% 65%
60%
55%
50%
50.00%
45% Governor Finney
Governor Graves
Governor Sebelius/Parkinson
Governor Brownback
Private Sector Jobs Kansas City, KS and Kansas City, MO Historical Data 2011 to 2014 (Extrapolated 2015 to 2025) 550,000
Private Sector Jobs (Kansas City, KS)
Private Sector Jobs (Kansas City, MO)
Private Sector Jobs (Kansas City, KS) extrapolation
Private Sector Jobs (Kansas City, MO) extrapolation
525,000
Kansas City, MO (2015-2025) rate of growth 1.0% 500,000
475,000
2014 471,658
2011 457,800
450,000 Jobs
Kansas City, KS (2015-2025) rate of growth 1.8% 425,000
400,000 2014 394,450
375,000
2011 373,900 350,000 Note: 2014 estimates are preliminary and subject to revision.
325,000 2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Note 2015 to 2025 rate of growth is extrapolated from the average growt h rate from 2011 to 2014 Source: Kansas Department of Labor, Labor Market Information Services in conjunction with the Bureau of Labor Statistics
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
Year
Note: Kansas City MO includes the counties of Bates, Caldwell, Cass, Clay, Clinton, Jackson, Lafayette, Platte, and Ray. Kansas City KS includes the counties of Franklin, Linn, Leavenworth, Wyandotte, Johnson, and Miami