January 2015 TDMAW Surgeons of Steel

Page 1

January 2015 - Volume 9; Issue 1

SURGEONS of STEEL

Help TDMAW Make a Difference in 2015 Announcing: TDMAW Board of Directors and Committee Chairs Economic Forecast….It’s GO Time! IT Advice CEOs Should Never Ignore Fostering a Safe Workplace Within the Bounds of the Law


President's Letter

I want to wish all of you a busy & successful 2015!

I

am truly honored to serve as President of the TDMAW this year, and respect the history in our organization. I admire the dedication and commitment that many others before me have given, and continue to give to our association. I look forward to working with our new Board Members, committee chair people, TEAM, and our Partners & Sponsors this year. We held our annual TDMAW Members Only Meeting again this year at Alioto’s in Milwaukee, on Tuesday Jan 6th. It was an informative meeting, and one that I really enjoy and look forward to each year. It’s a fun and an important meeting that all members should try to make each year. The new Board of Directors and new President are voted in and introduced. The new President accepts the gavel from the previous year’s President and gives his or her plans and vision for the New Year. What I enjoy most are the individual committee reports. It’s interesting to hear about all of the work that each committee has done throughout the year, and to hear about their plans and vision for the New Year. I’m always impressed to hear about the different work that each of our committees do and am thankful for our many volunteers and leaders that continue to help and that donate time each year. I want thank Steve Latus (Journeymen Tool & Technologies) for his help and leadership this last year as our President and for helping out again as our 2015 Chairman of the Board. I also want to recognize and thank two committee chairs that have decided it was time for someone new to take the helm of their committees. Ken Heins (KLH Industries) has dedicated his time and work to the TDMAW Apprenticeship Committee, since 2001. Ken was very in-

volved and promoted and led the way for the TDMAW and the Wisconsin Apprenticeship program, primarily working on the NIMS Apprenticeship pilot program the past few years. Al Weiss (Integrity Wire EDM) has chaired the Insurance Committee since 2007, working with our valued partner, Federated Insurance. We sincerely appreciate Ken’s and Al’s hard work and dedication on behalf of the TDMAW! Mary Wehrhiem (Stanek Tool) will be the new chair of the Apprenticeship Committee, with Al Weiss working as co-chair, and Kirk Kussman (Aztalan Engineering) will now be taking over as the Insurance Committee chair. Last I would like to thank Mike Mallwitz (Busch Precision) and Doug Brockelman (Stanek Tool) for their many years of help and leadership while they served on our Board of Directors. The nice thing is they are both still involved on for help and advice, as needed. On behalf of our members, I sincerely thank all of you for everything that you have done and continue to do for our association. their members, primarily the ones who are active through service on the Board and/ or committee participation. These same people often attend most meetings and events each year and will always step up and volunteer and help whenever needed. After being involved in the TDMAW, I see we have these same special and dedicated people. And after getting to know and work with some of our previous Presidents, Board members, TEAM, and some of our committees I realize what a special and unique association and culture we have. I believe the TDMAW has done more for manufacturing and all of our members and our companies than any other association, or government agency in Southeastern Wisconsin, maybe the entire state. The TDMAW plays a key role for all manufacturing companies in Wisconsin; I have seen

me and my company. We have to spread the word to others and need to get more Wisconsin companies to join us. Like last year, where we were able to help by donating $24,000 to WCTC for their new (IMC) Integrated Manufacturing Center. We need to be able to help and do more positive work like this in our communities and for manufacturing. But we can’t do it withfrom membership, and our valued partners & sponsors. There are a lot of things we want to accomplish this year, like growing our membership and setting up more company tours with teachers, students, parents, and our legislators. I personally want to continue to help and work with our new TDMAW Treasurer Alan Petelinsek (Power Test) and TEAM on our budget to make sure that we continue to grow our cash reserves this year and into the future. I also want to get to know more about each of our committee’s and provide them the resources and whatever additional help they might need. Another primary goal for me this year is to invite and encourage more good members to step up and to get involved. It’s a lot of fun and I can tell you that it will help you in your daily work and business. I can’t believe how many new friendships and other good and important contacts I have made over the years, after getting involved. We have many fun and active committees that look forward to new people and new ideas. Please contact me randy@daco-precision. com if you want to get involved this year and you could likely chose the committee or special area that you would prefer. port, so I want to again thank all of you for your new 2015 president. Until next month, Yours truly, — Randy A. Weber , TDMAW President

TDMAW Headquarters W175 N11117 Stonewood Drive, Suite 204, Germantown, WI 53022 262.532.2440 Phone | 262.532.2430 Fax | toolmaker@tdmaw.org | www.tdmaw.org

2 | TDMAW HQ 262-532-2440

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2015 Board of Directors President - Randy Weber Daco Precision-Tool 262.626.6591 | randy@daco-precision.com Vice President - Brian Nuetzel Matzel Manufacturing, Inc. 414.466.3800 | Briann@mzmatzel.com

Save the Dates 2015 Feb. 3rd [Tuesday]

Dinner Meeting featuring Tim O’Driscoll, official Scorer for MKE Brewers

Feb. 24th [Tuesday]

Roundtable Discussion Haas Factory Outlet Breakfast with Aleta Norris 8:00 a.m. Networking of Living as a Leader and Breakfast

Treasurer - Alan Petelinsek Power Test, Inc. 262.252.4301 | alan@pwrtst.com Secretary - Kirk Kussman Aztalan Engineering Inc. 920.648-3411 | kkussman@aztalan.com

8:30 a.m. Roundtable Discussion

March 13th [Friday]

Advisory Co-Chairs Jim Persik 262.781.3190 | jim@milfab.com Mary Wehrheim 262.786.0120 l mwehrheim@stanektool.com

Mid-Winter Celebration Potawatomi Hotel & Casino Get Lucky on Friday the 13th 6:00-9:00 p.m. Room Block Available! Contact Potawatomi TODAY at 844.217.4100. Reference “TDMAW” event for block pricing. Reservations must be received on or before Wednesday, February 11, 2015

Chairman of the Board - Steve Latus Journeymen Tool & Technologies, Inc. 414.228.8338 | steve@journeymentool.com

2015 Committee Chairs

Hilton Garden Inn MKE Park Place 6:00-8:30 p.m.

April 7th [Tuesday]

Dinner Meeting

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May 5th [Tuesday]

Dinner Meeting featuring Federated Insurance & Ma Baensch

Delafield Brewhaus 6:00-8:30 p.m.

June 16th [Tuesday]

Apprenticeship Co-Chairs Mary Wehrheim 262.786.0120 | mwehrheim@stanektool.com

June Outing: Annual Golf and Fishing Outing

River Club of Mequon/ Lake Michigan

August 4th [Tuesday]

Allen Weiss 262.820.3400 | aweiss@integritywireedm.com

Summer Outing: Sporting Clays Event and Dinner

Wern Valley Sportsman’s Club

November TBD

Tool, Die & Machining Expo TBD

Budget Alan Petelinsek 262.252.4301 | alan@pwrtst.com Business Support Brian Nuetzel 414.466.3800 | Briann@mzmatzel.com Insurance Kirk Kussman 920.648.3411 | kkussman@aztalan.com Legislative Kathy Pfannerstill 262.250.7640 | kathy@toolcraft.com Membership/Programs/Events Randy Weber 262.626.6591 | randy@daco-precision.com Nominating Steve Latus 414.228.8338 | steve@journeymentool.com Promotions Lynn Mahuta 262.502.4100 | lynn@mahutatool.com Scholarship Steve Latus 414.228.8338 | steve@journeymentool.com

2015 Ad Hoc Committee Chairs Communications & Technology Austin Weber 262.626.6591 | austin@daco-precision.com Workforce Development Michael Mallwitz 414.362.7305 | mmallwitz@buschprecision.com

Register Today! February 3rd

Keynote: Tim O’Driscoll Dinner Meeting 6:00 pm - 8:30 pm Hilton Garden Inn Milwaukee Park Place 11600 W. Park Place - Milwaukee

Join us for networking, dinner and Keynote, Tim O’Driscoll, official scorer for the Milwaukee Brewers, who will entertain us with stories from his years behind the scenes of America’s favorite pastime.

IN THE KNOW NADCA invites TDMAW Members to join them for a Plant Tour of Versevo Inc, on Thursday, January 22, 2015. Refreshments and appetizers will be served after the tour, followed by dinner on site at 6:00 p.m. After dinner, guest speaker Daniel Twarog will present: “State of the Die Cast Industry”. Visit TDMAW website/news/news-alert for more details. Join us Friday, March 13, 2015 for the Mid-Winter Celebration 6:00 PM - ? Including: cash bar with 2 bartenders, appetizers, a buffet dinner, desserts, giveaways, music and dancing, and of course, gambling at Potawatomi Hotel & Casino, 1721 West Canal Street, Milwaukee. Watch for your invitation and share with your key employees, to enjoy a fun night with fellow TDMAW Members, Partners, and Sponsors. Announcing the unanimously approved 2015 TDMAW Board of Directors:

Randy Weber, President Kirk Kussman, Secretary Brian Nuetzel, Vice President Steve Latus, Chairman of the Board Alan Petelinsek, Treasurer We look forward to an exciting 2015!

toolmaker@TDMAW.org | 3


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NEW TDMAW MEMBER Astro Tool & Die Co., Inc. 5201 S. Whitnall Ave., Cudahy, WI 53110 (414) 483-0343 Astro@astrotool.net, www.astrotool.net Owner and main contact: Elmer Lorenzen Please be sure to update your TDMAW Member Roster.

February 24, 2015 Roundtable Discussion Event facilitated by

Aleta Norris, Co-Founder

CLASSIFIEDS Wisconsin Engraving Company / UNITEX has added two new HAAS VM-2 machining centers to our equipment list. Machines feature 12,000 RPM spindles, 4th axis machining capabilities and 30” x 20” x 20” of travel. Call 262-786-4521 or E-mail: info@wi-engraving.com For Sale: ELB Surface Grinder: Max Length 23 5/8 feet, Max Width 13 3/4 feet, Max height 20". Asking $4,000 or best offer. Please contact Ron Tritz at 262-544-5454 or rontritz@centralmachine.com

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For Sale: Dual Pallet Horizontal Machining Center: X=26 3/8, Y=13 7/16, Z=13 1/2. Asking $40,000 or best offer. Please contact Ron Tritz at 262-544-5454 or rontritz@centralmachine.com

8:30 – 9:30 a.m. Corporate Roundtable Discussion

Join your peers for our annual roundtable discussion event. UÊ ÞÊ> Ê v À > ÊÃiÌÌ } UÊ*>ÀÌ V «>ÌiÊ ÊÌ ÀiiÊÀ Õ ` Ì>L iÊ` ÃVÕÃÃ Ã UÊ ÌÀ LÕÌiÊÞ ÕÀÊ `i>Ã UÊ i> Ê `i>ÃÊvÀ Ê Ì iÀÃÊÊÊÊÊÊ

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TDMAW Committees are Seeking to Increase Member Participation. Make a difference, get involved! If there is a particular area of interest you have, please contact the TDMAW Headquarters, and we’ll connect you with the appropriate committee.

403 S. Hawley Road, Milwaukee, WI 53214 Toll Free: 800.837.9270 | Fax: 414.771.9043

toolmaker@TDMAW.org | 5


tornadoes—22 of which were “killer tornadoes.� From droughts to floods to temperature extremes, it seems that weather systems are upside down all over the country. January 2012 was an unusually violent month for severe weather, with more than 70 tornadoes reported. Unfortunately, extreme weather is becoming more commonplace: Over the past three years, the Federated Insurance United States has averaged more than 1,300 tornadoes.1

Fostering a Safe Workplace Within the Bounds of the Law

Deaths and property damage from tornadoes are not limited to the most severe storms: 109 people were killed in 2011 by storms rated EF3 or lower.2 So what can we do? In a word, PREPARE!

Tornado season lasts from March to August, but tornadoes can occur year-round. More than 80 percent of tornados occur between noon and midnight, and one quarter occur from 4:00 p.m. to 6:00 p.m. Tornadoes are most likely to occur between 4:00 p.m. and 9:00 p.m. While tornadoes have been reported in every state, they are most prevalent in the area known as Best Practices Conducting Effective and Compliant Criminal and Background Checks “Tornado Alley,�for which includes states located between the Rocky Mountains Appalachians.

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mployers across the country appreciate hiring and retaining

discrimination under Title VII of the Civil Rights Act of 1964.�

Tornado strength measured on the safety, Enhanced Fujita (EF) employees whoisfoster workplace minimize the Intensity Scale, which correlates damage with wind speed. The scale has six levels, as not shown on in theconduct accompanying potential forwind-damage fraud and theft, and do engage Operational Scale history chart. checks, and the refusal of some employers EF to hire people

that places the public in harm’s way or the employer in court.

who are unemployed as EF examples Number of possible 3-Second“systemic� Gust (mph)

How can you prepare for a tornado? Plan with discriminatory a PURPOSE practices that will receive top enforcement priority. 0 65-85

tool for selecting the right person for the job. According to a The EEOC’s General Counsel recently commented that “credit 1 86-110 Although tornadoes havecriminal been screens (were big) 2010 survey by the Society for Human Resource Management, checks and and sort 2 in the ‘70s and ‘80s 111-135 throughout the United some areas higher riskBut, than 73%reported of employers conducted criminalStates, background checksare onclearly all ofat disappeared. with the new economy, employers are adopting 3 136-165 applicants. these types of employment screens.� In 2012, the EEOC outlined its others. 4 166-200 Conducting criminal background checks, however, is not without position on the subject, and made it clear that employers must take 5 Over 200and Identify a “safe� room where others can gather during a tornado. In the care to ensure that their background screening is “job related its own challenges. Federal, state, and local authorities have Joplin, Missouri, storms of 2011, the people survived by taking consistent shelter inwith a walk-in business necessity.� increasingly scrutinized and regulated practice. For example, Whatever youAct designate your safe room, notice, it should beThe determined before youisneed Examine your property— the cooler. Fair Credit Reporting (FCRA) as imposes procedural cost of non-compliance quiteit. high. Violations of the FCRA or disclosure, and consent requirements oncreate the process. And, a Title VII can result private or is administrative enforcement both your home and business—and a plan. A basement location away in from all lawsuits windows preferable. If there is no number of states also imposed own set limitations and is best. A nearby sturdy building is another option. Once you basement, anhave interior hallwaytheir or room on of the lowest floor requirements. and penalties. Caught between the desire to promote sound hiring designate a safe room, consider having it reinforced, if possible, for additional protection. More recently, the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission practices on one hand, and the potential for employment-related (EEOC) has made its position clear that “an employer’s use of an claims on the other, the obvious question is “What are employers individual’s criminal history in making employment decisions supposed to do?� may, in some instances, violate the prohibition against employment

.

It’s Our Business to Protect YoursŽ .... ‌.. ......................

..............................

This publication is intended to provide general recommendations regarding risk prevention. It is not intended to include all steps or processes necessary to adequately protect you, your business, or your customers. You should always consult your personal attorney and insurance advisor for advice unique to you and your business. Š 2012 Federated Mutual Insurance Company. All rights reserved. Federated Mutual Insurance Company Federated Service Insurance Company* Federated Life Insurance Company www.federatedinsurance.com *Federated Service Insurance Company is not licensed in the states of NH, NJ, RI, and VT.

Call

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6 | TDMAW HQ 262-532-2440

www.TDMAW.org


There are a number of “best practices” to consider when using criminal background checks. Make sure all FCRA notices and appropriate written consent forms are up-to-date, used regularly by all hiring managers, and maintained as part of your business records. The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau issued corrected model forms on November 14, 2012, which employers had to begin using effective January 1, 2013. Do not adopt a policy or practice that prohibits any applicant from any position for any conviction. Instead, the EEOC recommends evaluating each position and applicant on a case-by-case basis, taking into consideration: ÊÊÊÊÊUÊÌ iÊ >ÌÕÀiÊ vÊÌ iÊVÀ > Ê vvi ÃiÆ ÊÊÊÊÊUÊÊÌ iÊÌ iÊÌ >ÌÊ >ÃÊ«>ÃÃi`Êà ViÊ V Û VÌ Æ ÊÊÊÊÊUÊÌ iÊiÃÃi Ì > ÊvÕ VÌ ÃÊ vÊÌ iÊ LÆÊ> ` ÊÊÊÊÊUÊ> ÞÊ Ì }>Ì }Êv>VÌ Àð Avoid inquiring about convictions on LÊ>«« V>Ì Ã°Ê ÃÌi>`]ÊV `ÕVÌÊ the background check after making a conditional offer of employment. Avoid making any employment decisions based on an arrest record in and of itself. When outsourcing the criminal background check, make sure the vendor’s service contract represents and warrants that its background checks will be conducted in accordance with all applicable law, and you will be indemnified if they are not. Consult with your attorney to ensure your policy and program are compliant. Leverage “centers of influence” when recruiting. For instance, establish relationships with people at colleges or vocational institutes, trade associations, or other businesses you deal with who can help you discover potential talent. Good referral sources are more likely to yield higher quality candidates who will have no issues with background screening in the first place. Criminal background checks serve an important role in protecting business owners and promoting a safe workplace environment. By taking time to develop centers of influence and following best practices, you can maximize the benefits of background checks while minimizing the potential for employment-related claims.

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Apprenticeship Committee Report

Academic and Career Plans for Wisconsin students grades 6-12

and career plans, including training and technical assistance that is necessary to implement the information technology.

During the 2013-15 Wisconsin budget cycle, Wisconsin passed a budget bill that included funding and legal authority for the Department of Public Instruction to develop an academic and career Superintendent must: Ensure that beginning in the 20172018 school year, every school board is providing academic and career planning services to pupils enrolled in grades 6-12, Procure, install and maintain information technology, including computer software, to be used statewide by school districts to provide academic and career planning services to pupils grades 6-12.

Academic and Career Plans (ACPs) present an opportunity to improve academic and post-secondary success for all students. The bipartisan legislation hopes to ensure that every child graduates ready for further education and the workplace. Research validates that ACPs improve student motivation, foster school-family communication, aid goal setting and improve transitioning after high school. There is a ACP task force advising DPI on material required to meet this law. With the emphasis on apprenticeship, hopefully this will get the word out statewide.

Provide guidance, training and technical assistance to school districts and

Apprenticeship Completion Award Update

on how to implement model academic

Apprenticeship Completion Award Program was signed into law and

partially reimbursed apprentices, employers and sponsors for tuition, books and material related to paid related instruction. Two eligibility events allow for reimbursement: the apprentice successfully completes the 1 year anniversary of the start date of the current contract or successfully completes the entire apprenticeship program. When the Bureau’s database recognizes that an apprentice has met an eligibility event, the database will automatically mail the reimbursement forms to the apprentice and a courtesy form to the employer or included 508 notices and all but 100 No payments have been made due to a programming need to record the correct

Miscellaneous The Educational Linkage/Marketing Sub-Committee of the Wisconsin Apprenticeship Advisory council is developing parent resources to familiarize parents with apprenticeships. In addition, an apprenticeship guide for school counselors will be developed. The Bureau of Apprenticeship is completing a computer game that kids and anyone interested in learning more about apprenticeships can plan on line. I will get you the link when it is up and running. Submitted by Mary Wehrheim – Committee Chair

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TDMAW Committee Updates

Workforce Development

T

his ad-hoc committee was set-up to assist the needs of TDMAW members in addressing the skills gap. An initial round table discussion was held at State Fair Park with interested member companies, educational partners and community friends. We soon determined there were many great resource organizations to assist at the meeting. Our new website will be the collection time associates. To keep the spirit of this challenge alive, committee members Ken Heins (KLH) and Wayne Matthiesen/Brian Nuetzel (Matzel) joined forces with the MCP committee (Milwaukee 7) to work collectively to craft a Machining 101 Skills survey to be used to determine a state-wide standard for all Wisconsin Technical College. It will be based on the NIMS standards. Upon its release, all TDMAW members are strongly encouraged to participate in completion of this survey. This partnership with the MCP will expand our resource base in the region and keep TDMAW as a leading manufacturing association. — Michael A. Mallwitz – Chair

Shift Workers Should Skip High-Iron Foods At Night, Researchers Say

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hift workers who eat high-iron foods at night may disrupt their liver's circadian clock and experience abnormal blood glucose levels, indicates a study from the University of Utah. Disrupted circadian clocks, some experts believe, are why shift workers experience higher incidences of type 2 diabetes, obesity and cancer. As part of the study, the researchers fed iron to mice and found that it increased the cellular concentration of heme, an iron compound in hemoglobin. A circadian protein's activity increases when heme binds to it. Increased activity of the protein when the circadian clock is out of sync, such as during a graveyard shift, could lead to abnormal blood glucose levels, the study states. "When you add iron, it's resettling those proteins and how they're functioning and their timing. It's not an idea of iron is bad - it's when you're eating the iron," Judith Simcox, the study's lead author and a University of Utah postdoctoral fellow in biochemistry, told Today's Supervisor. Simcox suggested avoiding foods such as steak, other red meat and spinach at night.

Dear Steve: On behalf of empoWer, I would like to extend our sincerest appreciation for the unwavering support provided by you and the Tool, Die & Machining Association of Wisconsin over the past year and a half. Certainly our success as an Ad Hoc Committee could not have been achieved without TDMAW’s generous monetary contribution and promotion through various communication channels. In lieu of previous conversations, starting on January 1, 2015, empoWer will operate as a separate entity and will no longer serve as an Ad Hoc Committee. With an established foundation, our mission will remain the same: to inspire women to pursue manufacturing careers and enable leadership through education, training, mentorship, networking and advocacy. As organizations both supporting the manufacturing industry, we hope to cross paths in the near future. Thank you again for your support and partnership. Best Regards, Antonia Stone, Committee Chair, empoWer

The study was published online on October 14 in the journal Diabetes.

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toolmaker@TDMAW.org | 9


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CALIBRATION SERVICES Oshkosh, WI (920) 426-5894 foxvalleymetrology.com

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10 | TDMAW HQ 262-532-2440

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AFS 77th Annual Regional Foundry Conference and Exposition

The 77th Annual

Wisconsin Regional Foundry Conference and Exposition In cooperation with AFS-Northeastern Wisconsin Chapter and AFS-Stateline Chapter

T

he Wisconsin Chapter of the American Foundry Society announces the 77th Annual Regional Foundry Conference and Exposition being held on Wednesday, February 11, 2015 thru Friday, February 13, 2015 at the Crowne Plaza Hotel – Milwaukee Airport.

Made in Wisconsin

The Wisconsin Chapter of the American Foundry Society welcomes our friends from the Tool, Die & Machining Association of Wisconsin to participate as an exhibitor and/or an attendee at our event to understand more about the important issues and opportunities that our industries share. Our theme for this year is “Made in Wisconsin” where we have targeted exhibitors and informative speakers that produce or support manufacturing in Wisconsin. The mission of the Wisconsin Chapter is to serve our membership through educational, professional, and social activities designed to strengthen and promote the local metal castings industry today and for the future. Our annual conference provides us the venue and industry gathering to best service our mission through informative technical sessions, access to the largest Regional Foundry Exposition

the suppliers that support our regional foundry industry. In conjunction with our event, we are hosting the 2nd Annual Wisconsin Chapter Invitational Student Casting Competition. The students and their competition casting entries will be on display across from the Exposition Hall for all to view and to discuss with the students and their professor representatives. Please come and support these students pursuing an education and potential career path in the foundry industry. Join us as we welcome our keynote speakers for our event, which include Mr. Rich Meeusen, Chairman, President & CEO of Badger Meter, Inc. , Mr. Gary Gigante, President & CEO of Waupaca Foundry, Inc., and a special guest appearance by Lt. Governor Rebecca To learn more about exhibiting or attending our event, please visit www. 262-532-2440 Ext. 16 or by email, afswi@ teamwi.com. We look forward to seeing you there! Eric Lovejoy, Joy-Mark, Inc. Wisconsin AFS Chapter Vice President Wisconsin AFS Chapter Regional Conference Chair

February 11-13, 2015

Transform your leaders – send them to the Open Enrollment Leadership Development Series beginning in February, June and October of 2015. Contact Lisa Raebel for more information and to register: lraebel@livingasaleader.com

Employees leave bosses, not jobs.

www.livingasaleader.com toolmaker@TDMAW.org | 11


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12 | TDMAW HQ 262-532-2440

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Economic Forecast….It’s GO Time! Are you ready to invest into your company and take it to the next level? Do you want or need more equipment? Do you want or need to build on to your building? How do you know if the timing is right? Are you worried about the future business climate and economy? I guess nobody really knows or can predict the future exactly but I do have some important business information that I would like to share with you. It might help some of you as you set your goals and vision for the New Year, 2016, and beyond. I was lucky to get my hands on a report from Brian Beaulieu’s “Economic Forecast” presentation that he gave in the last quarter of 2014. Brian is highly respected and admired by many for his vision and accuracy in forecasting the future. In 2008 he predicted oil would hit $150 a barrel, in 2009, and then return to $100 a barrel in 2010. Both things happened. Last year he predicted gas would be less than $3.00 a gallon, again he was right on. He also predicted that Europe would be slipping back into a recession and that China would be slowing and struggle for 2-3 quarters. He said that North America, the global economy. Every year Brian is able to predict what will happen with amazing accuracy. Here are some notes from his recent presentation; I hope it might help some of you: Nobody really knows or can they predict the future exactly, Brian Beaulieu has come close, in the past. I have some important business information I’d like to share with you. It might help some of you as you set your goals and vision for the New Year, 2016, and beyond.

I was lucky to get my hands on a report from Brian Beaulieu’s “Economic Forecast” presentation that he gave in the last quarter of 2014. Brian is highly respected and admired by many for his vision and accuracy in forecasting the future. In 2008 he predicted oil would hit $150 a barrel, in 2009, and then return to $100 a barrel in 2010. Both things happened. Last year he predicted gas would be less than $3.00 a gallon, again he was right on. He also predicted that Europe would be slipping back into a recession and that China would be slowing and struggle for 2-3 quarters. the USA, is the shining star of the global economy. Every year Brian is able to predict what will happen with amazing accuracy. Here are some notes from his recent presentation. I hope it might help some of you. 2015-2018 should all be growth years. It’s GO TIME right now! His only fear for us is that we won’t be ready for the growth opportunities that are in front of us. He sees a rising trend in the stock market. The labor market is tight, and will get even tighter, especially construction. To grow, companies will need to improve their internal training programs and unfortunately our competitors will likely be poaching talented employees from us and others, whenever possible, so all of us need to be aware. The tight labor market, along with increased pricing of commodities, will hurt your margins, and start raising prices now and get ahead of the curve. No change to mortgage rates is predicted in the 1st half of 2015, but slowly and manageably, after that.

market can handle 150, not 300. He said 2018 is a good time to retire. Commercial construction will last a little longer, into 2019, before slowing down. He predicts the recession will be mild and manageable for most, with the right business plan. Long range outlook, 2019 -2020, he expects interest rates to rise, and the interest expense paid by the USA will TRIPLE! Healthcare will cost the USA 80% more by then. Social Security will cost the USA 80% by then. 2015 – 2029, the economy should be ok, no major disruptions. 20302040 a GREAT RECESSION, everything is working against the US during this time, demographics, and entitlements. Starting in 2036, and moving forward, there will be a complete rebirth of the USA. Baby boomer age is over, demographics swing strongly to the USA’s favor. Brian wrapped his presentation up by saying a major positive that we have going now is our energy independence, thanks primarily to fracking. Large manufacturers are moving their businesses back to the US due to our lower energy costs and rising narrowing quickly. I hope a lot of Brian’s visions are accurate, and that the years starting in 2017 will be minor bumps in the road, and not deep sink holes. None of us, including Brian, really know the exact future, but hopefully some of his insight might help you in your business and future planning. — Randy Weber, TDMAW President

In 2016 we will see global economic reacceleration; this will cause commodities to rise sharply with the increase global demand. In late 2017, 2018, rising interest rates make the mistake of keeping interest rates too low for too long, trying to improve The structural labor market is relying on old percentage goals, which will cause the Fed to act too slowly. There will be a recession in 2018-2019 but nothing like we saw in 2008, and 2009. We will see a minor housing recession that will start in 2017, which will be the precursor to the 2018 recession. This will be the cause of higher interest rates. He said to watch the rates, and if we see 300 basis points in a year span, that it will be trouble. The toolmaker@TDMAW.org | 13


Upcoming Manufacturing Related Events Friday, February 13, 2015 New Faces of Manufacturing Country Springs Hotel, 2810 Golf Road, Pewaukee www.waukesha.org/pages/NewFacesofManufacturing1/ This annual program highlights a panel of Waukesha County manufacturing leaders, who provide an overview of their business and address a timely and relevant topic. A Q&A session follows the presentations, giving attendees an opportunity to hear from some of our county’s leading manufacturing executives.

s -ANUFACTURING s 2EAL %STATE (OLDING #OMPANIES s $ISTRIBUTORS 7HOLESALERS s .OT FOR 0ROl T %NTITIES s 4RUCKING #OMPANIES s 2ETIREMENT 0LANS

Thursday, February 26, 2015

s !CCOUNTING 4AX s "USINESS #ONSULTING s !UDITS 2EVIEWS

Manufacturing Matters! Hyatt Hotel, Milwaukee www.manufacturingmatters.org Manufacturers across Wisconsin are meeting in Milwaukee on February 26th, 2015 for a unique opportunity to learn, network and celebrate Wisconsin manufacturing.

Services offered: s "USINESS 3TART UPS s 3UCCESSION 0LANNING s "USINESS 6ALUATIONS

Daniel E. Hau, CPA, Shareholder 414.282.9000 | fax 414.282.8932 DHAU SITZHAU COM

www.sitzhau.com

Locations across the Upper Midwest:

Milwaukee Wausau Merrill Minneapolis

Articles Wanted! Interested in making the TDMAW Surgeons of Steel up to date with industry news? Have topic ideas that are important to you and fellow members? Contact the TDMAW HQ to find out how to contribute! Email SOS@TDMAW.org subject: Surgeons of Steel interest

14 | TDMAW HQ 262-532-2440

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IT Advice CEOs Should Never Ignore

W

ahead of the curve is proactive, but it can be expensive. If your company ends up investing in a new technology format that ends up sputtering out, you’ll end up back at square one and feeling the ache in your wallet.

e get it—you’re busy. You’ve got a company to run, the last thing you need is those guys from IT

spend even more money on new IT tools and gadgets. Don’t they realize you're trying to make money, not spend it? You know IT is important, but sometimes it’s hard to know what IT advice you absolutely NEED to pay attention to versus the IT advice you can probably ignore without worry. While some of your IT people may be eager to upgrade their computers with the newest graphics card or smart(whatever), most of the folks on your IT team have pertinent advice and recommendations on how to manage with security measures and data backup, and complete important updates to your company's IT infrastructure. There is IT “needs” and IT “wants” that can wait. Trust and communication is a big part of this relationship. You may not like spending a lot of money on IT, and you

This doesn’t mean that you should ignore your IT professionals’ advice when they think new technology should be integrated

it’s vulnerable to attack, theft or loss. Data security is always a top priority for your IT department. To keep your sensitive data secure and protected, your IT team must ensure all best-practice security measures are in place, and that upgrades to your data backup and defense are never overlooked.

IT Infrastructure Slow technology performance, security issues, out of date software/hardware, and less productive employees are all the result of a poorly designed network infrastructure. Your IT professionals want to help your business grow. You want your

but if your IT professionals feel strongly about something—and they will—then it’s your job to listen and hear them out. After all, it might be important.

If they’re asking for your permission to update your IT Infrastructure, trust their reasoning and work with them to make it

How do you know what can wait and what you absolutely can’t ignore?

from productivity to your company’s ability to grow and adapt long-term.

Advice To Heed

IT Evolution

Data Security Your company’s data is always at risk;

investment

don’t want to be left in the dust playing catch-up while your competitors get a leg up on you, but you also can’t waste money on technology that won’t last. Working with your IT professionals here is very important; you’ll both need to do your research and be open to alternative solutions to determine how your day-toby technology changes. You’ll need to formulate a plan to determine whether new technology is a must or if it can wait. Again, communication is key here.

Listen If your IT professionals present a problem any one of the above mentioned points, please listen! These issues should never be ignored. Working together is always ideal. This will improve workplace morale, productivity and ultimately improve your grow your business. Submitted by Swick Technoloiges, TDMAW Group Buying Partner

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TDMAW Happenings

T

he evening opened with a Members Only Social and Annual Meeting, recapping the Committee happenings and unanimously voting in the 2015 TDMAW Board of Directors. The remainder of the evening concluded with dinner and an informative presentation by Ulice Payne Jr. For highlights on the evening, see the presentation recap below.

Ulice Payne Jr.: The Legal Joys and Concerns of Global Trade Compliance Developments 2014-2015. Since September 11, 2001, the United States and foreign governments have altered their position of “free trade” to “free AND secure trade”. As such, the rules and regulations that control exports, imports and international transactions have tightened. Before entering into international trade, it is imperative that a company fully understands the rules and regulations that have been set forth by the following agencies, among others depending upon your product, end use, and end user. Mr. Payne directed attendees to the following resources:

Jan 6th Program attendees enjoy dinner together. From left to right: Steve Latus, Randy Weber, Austin Weber, Susan Paprcka, Karen and Mike Mallwitz.

http://www.cbp.gov/ http://www.bis.doc.gov/ http://www.bis.doc.gov/index. php/enforcement/oac Thank you to Mr. Payne for sharing his personal insights on entering into international transactions and the pitfalls of which to be aware. Pictured are: Randy Weber, TDMAW Membership Chair, and Dave Weaver, owner of Kelly Welding, TDMAW’s newest member. Dave is receiving his TDMAW membership plaque at the Jan 6 Dinner Meeting. Kelly Welding is a past TDMAW Member, with a new owner, Dave Weaver.

16 | TDMAW HQ 262-532-2440

www.TDMAW.org


Thank you to those TDMAW Members who have already renewed their 2015 Membership, and to the following TDMAW members for their additional Voluntary Contributions, which will be used towards initiatives such as: Student Scholarships, Workforce Development, the WCTC Integrated Manufacturing Center (IMC) and Student & Legislative Tours.

Contributions received thus far have totaled

$1525

Roll of Donors:

Gold ($250) Reich Tool & Design KLM Machining, Inc. Members wishing to remain anonymous (2)

Silver ($150) Members wishing to remain anonymous (1)

Bronze ($75) Nitschke Mold & Manufacturing Kivela, Inc. Members wishing to remain anonymous (3) If you have not yet sent in your 2015 dues, please consider this as a friendly reminder. If at any time during the year you would like to make an additional contribution, please contact TDMAW Headquarters.

THE MORRIS ADVANTAGE

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TDMAW Members in the News Tool Box Winner Tool and Die Makers Association and MSC Industrial Supply, I would like to thank all of you for the tool box scholarship you awarded me. I felt very honored to receive this as it will be very valuable in the near future and in advancing my career. This machinist box is one that will be needed at just about any shop I work at in my career ahead and am looking forward to filling it with tools of my own. Thanks, Eric Opine

ICE TOOLS

A DIVISION OF SUSSEX TOOL & SUPPLY Eric Opine, of MATC, shows his appreciation of the tool box awarded to him recently as part of the Tools to Succeed Program

19967 WEST MAIN STREET LANNON WI 53046 P 262-251-4020 F 262-251-4181 Email : ice@sussextool.com

I would like to thank you, MSC, and the Tool, Die, & Machining Association of Wisconsin for your contribution of the tool box. WCTC has laid the foundation for me to become a great tool maker in the making. With your continued support of the program, there will be many more Tool & Die Makers with the same enthusiasm and ambition as I have. The tool box is with me on the job at Charter Automotive and is a good daily reminder of the accomplishments I have made at WCTC. Thank you again! Sincerely, Eric BerghoeferDMAW Tools To Succeed scholarship program.

18 | TDMAW HQ 262-532-2440

www.TDMAW.org


2015

For more information visit tdmaw.org

Partners

Bank—Equipment Loans

Heat Treating ThermTech of Waukesha, Inc.

US Bank

Charles Starck | (920) 791-9089 www.usbank.com

Computer Services for Business

Kirk Springer | (262) 549-1878 www.thermtech.net

Insurance—P&C, Health & Workers Comp Federated Insurance

Swick Technologies

Visit www.federatedinsurance.com for the nearest agent

Gary Swick | (414) 257-9266 www.swicktech.com

Supplies/Full Line

Cutting Tools

E.L Simeth - Milwaukee

Midwest Cutting Tool, Inc. Waukesha

EDM Services

Steve Simeth | (414)771-9270 www.elsimeth.com

Charles Wright / Ronald Abts (262) 896-0883 www.midwestcuttingtools.com

MSC/J&L Metalworking Pewaukee

Sales | (262) 703-4000 www.metalworking.mscdirect.com

K L H Industries, Inc. Germantown

Sussex Tool & Supply - Sussex

Ken Heins | (262) 253-4990 www.klhindustries.com

Sales | (262) 251-4020 www.sussextool.com

Sponsors Accurate Die Design Inc./ Logopress3 Ray Proeber | (262) 938-9316 www.accuratediedesign.com

Cultivate Communications Dee Jensen | (262) 373-4000 www.cultivatecommunications.com

Alro Specialty Metals Wauwatosa Inside Sales | (800) 365-4140 www.alro.com

The Dickman Company, Inc./ CORFAC International Dave Hazenfield | (414) 271-6100 www.dickmanrealestate.com

ApTex Waukesha Industrial Peter Delany | (262) 970-4833 www.aptex.biz Bell-Well Sales Co. Tom Schoenecker | (262) 781-3670 www.bellwellsales.com Busch Precision, Inc. Micheal Mallwitz | (414) 362-7305 www.buschprecision.com Cincinnati Tool Steel Co. Ronald Cincinnati | (800) 435-0717 www.cintool.com Citizens Bank Of Mukwonago John Schmitz I (262) 548-0208 www.citizenbank.com

Federated Insurance Brock Martinez | (920) 299-0010 www.federatedinsurance.com Foundations Bank Steve Rossmeissel l (262) 746-3969 www.foundationsbank.com Fox Valley Metrology Kit Krabel | (920) 426-5894 www.foxvalleymetrology.com Haas Factory Outlet Wally Mulvaney | (262) 373-5050 www.hfomilwaukee.com

Industrial Fluid Solutions Sales | (920) 783-6600 www.industrialfluidsolutions.com

Schenck M & A Solutions Corey Vanderpoel | (414) 465-5607 www.schencksc.com/ mergeradvisors

The Kinetic Co., Inc. Jared or Cash Masters (414) 425-8221 www.KnifeMaker.com

ShopWare, Inc. Jeff Angsten | (847) 428-4350 www.shopwareinc.com

ManagePoint LLC David Steger | (414) 456-9837 www.manage-point.com

Sikich LLP Cheryl Aschenbrener (262) 754-9400 www.sikich.com

Midwest Forman Metal Co. Marty Forman | (414) 351-5990 www.midwestformanrecycling.com Morris Midwest Walter Weigel | (414) 586-0450 www.morrismidwest.com Progressive Machinery, Inc. John Gennrich | (414) 577-3200 www.progressivemachinerywi.com

Sitzberger Hau & Company, S.C. Dan Hau I (414)282-9000 www.sitzhau.com United Milwaukee Scrap Jeff Katz | (414) 449-4410 www.umswi.com Weller Machinery Mike Weller | (262) 251-1500 www.wellerusa.com

toolmaker@TDMAW.org | 19


W175 N11117 Stonewood Drive Suite 204 Germantown, WI 53022

REgistER tODAy! February 3rd

February24th

Keynote:

Facilitator:

Tim O’Driscoll

Aleta Norris

Dinner Meeting

Roundtable Discussion Event

6:00 pm - 8:30 pm Hilton garden inn Milwaukee Park Place 11600 W. Park Place - Milwaukee Join us for networking, dinner and Keynote,

pastime.

8:00 - 8:30 AM Networking and Breakfast

8:30 - 9:30 AM Roundtable Discussion

Haas Factory Outlet Join your peers for our annual roundtable discussion event, facilitated by Aleta Norris, co-founder of Living as a Leader.

Invited to attend are TDMAW Members, Prospective Members, Partners, Sponsors, other local trade association members and community friends of TDMAW. Contact TDMAW Headquarters for more information. Printed by American Print Quik, Menomonee Falls www.APQprinting.com


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