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MILKER’S MESSAGE www.thelandonline.com — “Where Farm and Family Meet”
THE LAND — MAY 14/MAY 21, 2021
Feed costs look to have major influence on herd sizes This column was written for the marketing week ending May 14. The U.S. Department of Agriculture raised its estimate on 2021 milk production and gave us our first peak at 2022 output in the latest World Agricultural Supply and Demand News and information for Minnesota and Northern Iowa dairy producers Estimates report. The report cited 2022 production and marketings were per cwt., up 60 cents from last month’s estimate, higher cow inventories for the gain in MIELKE MARKET estimated at 230.3 and 229.2 billion pounds and compares to $18.16 in 2020 and $16.96 in 2019. 2021 output and continued gains in WEEKLY respectively. If realized, 2022 production The 2022 average is projected at $16.85, due to milk per cow more than offsetting a By Lee Mielke would be up 2.4 billion pounds or 1.1 perexpected weaker cheese and whey prices. slight reduction in the dairy cow herd cent from 2021. for 2022. The 2021 Class IV price is estimated to average Fat basis exports were raised on higher expected $15.75, also up 60 cents from a month ago, and comPredicting milk output in the coming months will exports of butterfat products. The skim-solids basis pares to $13.49 in 2020 and $16.30 in 2019. The be a challenge, considering the rising costs of feed. export forecast was lowered as weaker-than-previ2022 average was projected at $15.70, as lower nonMany operations are already pinched from recent ously-expected nonfat dry milk/skim milk powder fat dry milk prices more than offsets higher butter high producer price differentials and de-pooling. prices, according to the USDA. Eyes will be on culling rates and if they climb much, sales more than offset higher expected whey-product exports. Fat basis and skim-solids basis import U.S. milk output could slip. But no one can guess Commercial fat basis exports for 2022 were foreforecasts were raised from last month on recent how much. cast lower as the department believes higher import data and higher expected second-quarter domestic butter prices will reduce competitiveness The WASDE’s 2021 production and marketings butterfat imports. in world markets but strong global demand and were estimated at 227.9 and 226.8 billion pounds Cheese, nonfat dry milk and whey prices were weaker domestic prices for cheese, nonfat dry milk respectively, up 200 million pounds on production raised from last month’s report, but butter was low- and whey are expected to support slightly higher and up 100 million pounds on marketings. If realized, 2021 production would be up 4.7 billion pounds ered. Class III and Class IV milk prices were raised. exports on a skim-solids basis. The 2021 Class III average was pegged at $17.70 or 2.1 percent from 2020. Fat basis imports were forecast lower on lower expected imports of butterfat products and cheese, while skim-solids basis imports are expected to decline, mainly on lower cheese imports. Butter prices were forecast higher, but cheese was Dairy Calf and Heifer Association’s May 25 webi- weaned calves, a quick diagnosis of coccidiosis is nar features “Your Calves Are Shedding Cocci: The often made and treatment begins. But what if it’s the forecast lower as an increased proportion of milk is Magnitude of the Problem.” This free, one-hour edu- wrong treatment? What if the problem isn’t coccidio- expected to move into cheese production. Nonfat dry cational offering starts at 2 p.m. sis? While diarrhea is a common symptom of coccid- milk and whey prices were lowered reflecting comDuring this webinar, Gerald Mechor, a technical iosis, its occurrence in calves does not always equate petition in international markets. n consultant at Elanco Animal Health, will discuss the to coccidia. Bacteria, viruses, parasitic infections and importance of a thorough examination and diagnos- dietary changes are other common causes of diarrhea Switching to the crop and feed side of the report, tic testing to help confirm a positive case of coccidio- in weaned calves. some of the USDA’s data differed from what many sis, as well as prevention tips to keep calves healthy To register for the webinar, go to http://bit.ly/ had expected and may have shifted the market tone during this critical growth stage. Coccidiosis remains DCHARUMENSIN2021 and follow the prompts. As slightly lower, according to HighGround Dairy’s a common disease pathogen present on all dairies the webinar approaches, you will receive an e-mail Lucas Fuess. Speaking in the May 17 “Dairy Radio with the potential to significantly impact calves and with information on how to log in to participate. Now” broadcast, Fuess warned that dairy producers heifers. This article was submitted by the Dairy Calf and will likely see the highest costs in almost a decade. Mechor notes that when diarrhea is present in Heifer Association. v The U.S. feed-grain outlook for 2021-22 is for greater production and domestic use, lower exports, and increased ending stocks. The corn crop was projected at 15 billion bushels, up 5.7 percent from last National Mastitis Council’s next webinar features molecular methods; and interpretation of results and year, with a yield projection of 179.5 bushels per acre. With beginning stocks down sharply from a “From Dairy Lab to Veterinary Lab: The Do’s and use in management decisions. year ago, total corn supplies were forecast to Don’ts of Mastitis Diagnostics.” This free, one-hour To register for this webinar, go to http://bit.ly/ increase only modestly to 16.3 billion bushels. educational offering starts at 2 p.m. on June 24. June24NMCwebinar and follow the prompts. As the Total U.S. corn use was forecast to decline from a During the webinar, Justine Britten, an NMC webinar approaches, registrants will receive an board member and laboratory director at Udder e-mail with information on how to log in to partici- year ago as greater domestic use is more than offset Health Systems of Meridian, Idaho, will discuss mas- pate. If you are an NMC member and cannot attend by lower exports. Food, seed and industrial use was titis diagnostics, including microbiological culture, the live program, you may access the webinar at projected to rise 220 million bushels to 6.6 billion. With the total U.S. corn supply rising and use molecular methods and on-farm culture. Key topics www.nmconline.org after July 12. declining, ending stocks are up 250 million bushels include primary differences between most on-farm This article was submitted by the National Mastitis from last year. Stocks relative to use at 10.2 percent labs and commercial milk quality labs; complexity Council. v would be above a year ago, says USDA, but still levels of diagnosing mastitis pathogens; advantages See MIELKE, pg. 17 and disadvantages of culture-based methods versus
Webinar focuses on coccidiosis
Mastitis diagnostics is subject of webinar
