March 2023
Robust numbers in Q4 lastJear sets stage for tourism recovery by en of 2023
Island flight arrivals FY2022 ramped up 210% y-o-y
"Phuket hos experienced a profound tourism surge since COVID entry restrictions were lihed on October 1, 2022
Passenger arrivals elevated to 3.9 million in 2022 , up from 1 million in 2021 and 2 5 million in 2020 Although 2022 figu res were lower-than-expected due to the Russia-Ukraine conflict and closed borders in Chino.
C9's analysis of passenger arrival trends over the post ten years points to a return to cycl ical upward growth, which is widely demonstrated in ongoing room night demand in 2023.
Rising international flight arrivals consistently grew as island-wide hotel occupancy averaged 48% in FY2022 This compared to 8% in FY2021 when there was a sole reliance on the domestic sector. Lost year the market-wide overage rote pushed up by 80% y-o-y, to THB3,942.
Conversion and rebronding activity highlights on active trend by hotel owners with many opting to transition from hotel management agreements to franchise models
Phuket Airport Arrivals - 2022
Indio, Singapore, and Malaysia pushed to the Top 5 Source Markets in the post summer, while a seasonal spike from Europe and Russia kicked-in during the winter.
Chino Southern Airlines, Chino Eastern Airlines, and Air Chino hove resumed their operations in Phuket from Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangzhou
Luxury and upper upscale hotels led all tiers' market performance reflecting a top down-market recovery.
Source: Airports of Thailand *Data FY2022
Looking forward , we expect that leisure demand from the FIT and Group segments will continue to be strong As the resort island moves out of its seasonal winter peak , all eyes ore on ore Chino The industry recovery outlook con best be summed up as 'it's not a matter of will it happen , but how long will it toke to regain critical moss "
Bill Barnett, Managing Director, C9 Hotelworks
Phuket International Airport Expansion Phase II is under progress and will be completed by 2027 It's target capacity is 18 million passengers per year and 25 flights per hour
Phuket's incoming hotel pipeline hos been severely impacted by the lock of financing from Thai lenders, resulting in many projects remain on hold.
Hotel staff shortages hove continued to plague the industry throughout the pandemic recovery period and is expected to continue.
• • • • • • (g
C9 HOTELWORKS Phuket Hotel Market Update
No. of Passengers (M) 0.70 0.60 0.50 0.30 0.20 0.10 Oct Dec Lifting R0str icti lnS Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
TOURISM MARKET REVIEW
2 6 5 4 3 2 l 0
10-Year Phuket International Airport Passenger Arrival Trend No. of Passengers (Ml 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 % 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 -200 2019 2020 2021 2022 - International - Domestic - International Growth Rate -+- Domestic Growth Rate 2012 20 13 2014 2015 2016 20 17 Islan d Increas ing Russi an Rise in Baht Ph uket Ai rport Infrastructu re low-Cost Vis itors Ch arter Dep reciat ion Expansion Stretched Carriers # IM Fl ights Surg ing in Phase I Travelers Completed Top 10 International Source Markets - FY2022 No of Visitors 300,000 200,000 100,000 I
I I I I I International and Domestic Flights - 2019 vs. 2022 2019 2022 International Domestic In ternational Domestic 2 C9 Phuket Hotel Market Review: March 2023 2018 Growing M ICE Markel 2019 Chinese Visitors >3M 2020 COVID- 19 Pan dem ic 2021 Cross Border Restrictions 2022 Post·Pondem ic Restrictions Lihed Source: Airports of Thailand 0 Top Source Markets 2022
Russia
Tourism Indicators
I
Winter:
Summer: India
ket Immigration Office*Data
International Flights
2022:
Sports *Do~ FY2019andFY2022
Source: Phu
FY2022
2019: 56%
37% Source: Thailand Ministry of Tourism and
HOTEL MARKET REVIEW
Hotel Performance 2021 vs. 2022
Room Night Demand - Jan 2019 to Dec 2022
Phuket Historical & Forecasted Hotel Supply
midscal
segm e nt remains Phuket key d evelo pm ent segm ent. Thi s is dri ven by fewe r barri e rs to entry
ent costs and less se nsiti ve to prim e land availability.
2 •
Average Daily Rate Occupancy In THB % % % 6,000 100 100 50 4,000 50 75 25 0 50 2,000 25 0 -50 0 -100 0 -25 2021 2022 2021 2022 - ADR Growth - occupancy Growth
Market
Source: STR and C9 Hotelworks
Research *Data as of FY2022
% 100 80 60 40 20 0 Apr Ju n 2020 Border Shutdown May - Aug 2021 Curfew& Loc kdown Oct - Dec 2022 li fl ing Res!rictions Jul 2022 Removal hailand Pass FMAMJ JASONDJ FMAMJ JASOND FMAMJ JASONDJ FMAMJ JASOND 2019 2020 2021 2022
C9 Hotelworks Market Research * Data as of FY2019 - FY2022
Source:
Keys l 05,000 l 00,000 95,000 90,000 85,000 Th e
suc h as lowe r d evelo
Establishm ents 1,850 1,800 1,750 2022 2023 * 2024 * 2025 * 2026 * - Keys Establishments
Upscale
Economy 3 C9 Phuket Hotel Market Review: March 2023
Hotelworks
Research * Forecasted
e-ti e r
pm
Luxury Upper Upscale
Upper Midscale Midscale
Source: C9
Market
HOTEL PIPELINE
•
In 2022 , total licensed accommodation in Phuket was 1,786 establishments with 92 ,604 keys.
Hotels
Pullman Arcadia Karon Beach lrebranded)
Norai Mai Khoo Resort
La Green Resort !Former layan Green Park)
HOMA Phuket Cherngtalay
Holiday Inn Phuket Kata Beach
Holiday Inn Express and Suites Kata Beach
Holiday Inn Vona Novo Phuket
MGallery Hotel MonlAzure lakeside Phuket
Angsona Oceanview* *
NH Boat Lagoon Phuket Resort lrebranded)
Radisson Phuket Mai Khoo Beach
Courtyard by Marriott Phuket, Potong Beach
Melia Phuket Koran
Movenpick Phuket Kamala Beach
Holiday Inn Express Phuket Kata
Veranda Resort Phuket, Autograph Collection
JW Marriott Phuket Resort & Spa Chalong Bay
Courtyard by Marriott al Chalong Bay Phuket
W Phuket Nai Harn Beach
Fairfield by Marriott Phuket City West
Courtyard by Marriott Phuket City West
Maxy Phuket Naiyang Beach
The Mandarin Oriental, Phuket
Centro Central Phuket
COSI Central Phuket
Centro by Centore Maikhao Resort Phuket
The Beach Plaza Phase 1
Tenino Lamborghini Boutique Hotel Phuket
Hilton Phuket Mai Khoo
Tribe Phuket Patong Avista
**Additional Keys for Existing Hotel with Residences; Source: C9 Hotelworks Market
2
Keys Opening
location
Phuket Grand Bay Resort Total Karon Mai Khoo layan Bangtoo Kata Kola Kothu Kamala Bangtoo Koh Keaw Mai Khoo Potong Karon Kamala Kola Cape Panwo Chalong Bay Chalong Bay Nai Harn Phuket City Phuket City Naiyong learn Singh Bay Kothu Kathu Mai Khoo Kola Ao Par Mai Khoo Potong Ao Par 662 Apr2023 244 Sept2023 403 Sept2023 423 Dec 2023 140 2024 135 2024 255 2024 236 2024 116 2024 271 2024 222 2024 445 2024 214 2025 185 2025 300 2025 154 2026 189 2026 277 2026 60 2026 300 2032 260 2032 200 2032 105 TBA 170 TBA 180 TBA 280 TBA 730 TBA 51 TBA 258 TBA 230 TBA 270 TBA 7,965 Hotel Residences w,th Mandatory Rental Program location Keys Opening Platinum Boy Phuket Oceana Surin - Hotel Zone Angsana Oceanview Residences** Patong Boy Hill 2 Patong Bay Seaview Residence Dhowa Phuket Residences Himalai Oceanfront Condominiums Grand Himoloi Oceanfront Residences Patong Boy Oceanview Cottages Patong Boy Residence Phase 3 Total Kamala Surin Banglao Potong Patong Bangtoo Kamala Kamala Potong Potong 432 Dec 2023 333 2024 33 2024 199 2025 454 2025 175 TBA 427 TBA 426 TBA 300 TBA 114 TBA 2 ,893 Hotel Residences with Optional Rental Program location Keys Opening Utopia Karon Karon Utopia Mai Khoo Mai Khoo The Marin Phuket Kamala Wyndham La Vita, the VIP Mercury Rowai Beachfrant Bliss Naiyang Nai Yang Layo Condominium and Resort loyon Oceana Surin - Residential Zone Surin Utopia Dream Nai Horn VIP Galaxy Villas Rawoi Rowai The Residences at Sheraton Phuket Grand Bay Ao Par Total Grand Total 4 C9 Phuket Hotel Market Review: March 2023 238 Jun 2023 92 Aug 2023 260 Sept2023 516 Dec 2023 96 Dec 2023 926 2024 555 2024 595 2025 114 TBA 107 TBA 3 499 14,357
Sheraton
Research
BILL BARNETT MANAGING
DIRECTOR
C9 Hotelworks is an internationally recognized consulting firm with extensive experience in the Asia Pacific region. Its core business focus includes :
• Hotel and Resort Development
• Mixed-Use Branded Residences Advisory
• Project Feasibility and Analysis
• Hotel Operator Search
Key competencies include international hotel operator search , se lection and contract negotiation , mixed use hotel and residential planning and opera tion reviews
A wide range of both institutional and private developers and a comprehensive portfolio of completed projects give C9Hotelworks the skill se t and background to focu s on key issues, evaluate complex ones and assist clients in achieving so lid results . Based in Phuket , Thailand and led by Manag ing Director Bill Barnett, w ho has over 37 years of experience in Asia Pacific , the firm is we ll positioned to serve an increasing demanding marketplace.
C9 Hotelworks Company Limited 9 lagoon Road, Tambon Cherngtalay, Thalang Phuket 83 l l O Thailand T +66 (0)76 325 345/6 E info@c9hotelworks com www.C9hotelworks.com