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A KHL Group Publication SEPTEMBER 2022 INTERVIEW CUMMINS CEO RUMSEYJENNIFER ROBOTICS SUPPLEMENT HYDRAULICSMOBILE

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You can read Diesel Progress both electronically and in print. The electronic version will be delivered via email on the day of publication. To subscribe please visit www.dieselprogress.com/subscribe Diesel Progress is also available for you to read on your smart phone or tablet including Apple, Android, Windows and Kindle Fire. This format is enhanced with additional content including 360 degree photos, audio and video. To download the latest issue visit: pocketmags.com CUMMINS CEO RUMSEY MOBILE Determining “what’s happening out there?” is not easy to do these days. This annual forecast issue will help, giving a look at today and the future. MEMBER OF: DIESEL PROGRESS® (ISSN 1091-370X) Volume 88 No. 8 – Published monthly by KHL Group Americas LLC, 14269 N 87th Ste. 205, Scottsdale, AZ 85260, USA. Subscription rates are $95.00 per year/$10.00 per issue. Periodicals postage paid at Waukesha, WI 53186-1873 and at additional mailing Copyrightoffices. © 2022 KHL Group Americas LLC. All Rights Reserved. Materials protected by U.S. and international copyright laws and treaties. Unauthorized duplication and publication is expressly prohibited. Canadian Publication Mail Agreement # 40035419. Return Undeliverable Canadian Addresses to: P.O. Box 456, Niagara Falls, ON L2E 6V2, Canada. Email: POSTMASTER:subscriptions@khl.com.Sendaddresschanges to: Circulation Manager, Diesel Progress, 14269 N 87th St. Ste. 205 Scottsdale, AZ 85260 USA. PRINTED IN THE USA. Reprints of all articles published in Diesel Progress are available. Please address inquiries to: ownersadvantagemediamediaresourceBPA1-262-754-4100brenda.burbach@khl.comWorldwideistheglobalindustryforverifiedaudiencedataandknowledge.BPAWorldwidebusinessauditsprovideassurance,insightandtobusiness-to-businessmediaandmediabuyers. 6 Industry News Roundup: Generac Grid Services, Navico Group, Mack Trucks, Volvo Group 13 Cummins: The homegrown CEO 49 Construction robots: Ditching the manual in construction 5 Top Dead Center: Shovel-ready hydrogen? 8 Dateline 9 StreetSmarts: Autonomous trucks need infrastructure 11 NFPA Scoreboard: Growing since early 2021 53 Service Parts & Reman: Manitowoc, Yanmar 55 Equipment Yard: Caterpillar, JLG 57 AEM: Combines, high horsepower tractors gain in July 58 Global Engine News: Deutz, Isotta Fraschini, Isuzu Motors, Kohler, Rolls-Royce INDUSTRY NEWS COLUMNS & BULLETINS SEPTEMBER 2022 | DIESEL PROGRESS | 3 MOBILE HYDRAULICS 45 Mobile Hydraulic Products: Aeroquip, Bosch Rexroth, Kawasaki Precision Machinery, Salami 46 Mobile Hydraulic Pumps & Motors Specs-At-A-Glance FORECAST 2023 17 Off-Highway Research: Hard or soft landing? 23 Yengst Associates: Uncertainty after solid first half 29 Power Systems Research: Gen-set production mixed in ’23 37 ACT Research: Best-ever demand in a capacity constrained world 13 CumminsCEOJenniferRumsey. 45 New components.hydraulic 49 IronBot and TyBot robots can reportedly boost productivity by 250%.

POWER MEETS PROGRESS JohnDeere.com/Progress MEET YOUR NEXT CHALLENGE HEAD-ON WITH JOHN DEERE ▶ Scalable prime power solutions ▶ Remote monitoring and diagnostics ▶ Alternative fuel technologies

Still, the enthusiasm takes me back to 2008, when at the beginning of the Great Recession, the federal government promised to ride to the rescue with millions of “shovel-ready jobs.” That didn’t quite work out as advertised and I suspect some people are still looking for their shovels.

SHOVEL-READY HYDROGEN?

Nearly all of the world’s engine manufacturers are developing H2 engines and some may reach production as soon as next year. Along with that, as you’ll read elsewhere in this issue, European regulators appear poised to classify H2 engines as “zero emissions,” something that could give a whole new lease on life to engines and give fuel cells a little more time to establish their bona fides to the markets.

It’s hard to dispute that it’s probably a good idea to expand the renewable energy infrastructure, especially if it does facilitate increased availability of hydrogen. Just don’t hold your breath on how quickly it will actually happen.

Historically, it takes a long time for even torrents of government money to actually make things happen. After the cash is distributed, every wind farm or solar park will go through interminable rounds of land acquisition, environmental reviews, permitting, etc., etc. Those typically add years to just about any project these days. The same will likely be true for electrolyzer installations.

POWER GENERATION EDITORIAL Vice President, Editorial: Michael J. mike.brezonick@khl.comBrezonick Managing Editor: Chad chad.elmore@khl.comElmore Senior Editor: Becky becky.schultz@khl.comSchultz Editorial Contributors: Mauro Belo Schneider Jack PeterRobertsYengst PRODUCTION Creative & Events Director: Saara saara.rootes@khl.comRootes Group Production Manager: Charlotte charlotte.kemp@khl.comKemp Print Production Manager - KHL Americas: Brenda brenda.burbach@khl.comBurbach Group Design Manager: Jeff Gilbert Group Designer: Jade Hudson Events Design Manager: Gary Brinklow Creative Designer: Kate Brown CIRCULATION Subscriptions: subscriptions@khl.com Head of Data and Audience Development: James james.taylor@khl.comTaylor Audience Development Deputy Manager: Anna anna.philo@khl.comPhilo Circulation Executive: Laura laura.walker@khl.comWalker SALES Vice President, Sales: Alister Williams T: +1 843 637 4127 C: +1 312 860 6775 alister.williams@khl.com Regional Managers: Gabriele Dinsel +49 711 3416 74 gabriele.dinsel@khl.com71 Petra Kaiser +49 151 218 52 petra.kaiser@khl.com127 Roberta Prandi +39 (0)0464 014 roberta.prandi@khl.com421 Thomas Kavooras T: +1 312 929 3478 C: +1 847 609 thomas.kavooras@khl.com4393 Josh Kunz T: +1 262 754 4139 C: +1 414 379 josh.kunz@khl.com2672 Niki Trucksa +1 262 754 niki.trucksa@khl.com4136 CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER James King CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER Paul Baker CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER Trevor Pease KHL GROUP AMERICAS LLC 14269 N 87th Ste. 205, Scottsdale, AZ 85260, USA americas@khl.com Mike Brezonick mike.brezonick@khl.com ANDGENERATIONON-SITEGUIDEBUYINGANNUALTOPOWERSYSTEMSSERVICES NOW AVAILABLE ONLINE: GUIDE ANDGENERATIONON-SITETOPOWERSYSTEMSSERVICES Electrical Generating Systems Association (EGSA) NOW AVAILABLE ONLINE: Christian Levin, Scania and Traton Group centretransportDecarbonisingtakesstage DESIGN, POWER AND COMPONENTS ON A GLOBAL SCALEGLOBAL Fuels Europe:Engine production: Cummins Darlington transport takes centre stage Zeus,VolvoFluxBriggs,Power,Penta&Ogura DELIVERING TOMORROW’S TECHNOLOGIES TO TODAY’S OEMS Zeus,VolvoFluxBriggs,Power,Penta&Ogura February 2022 DELIVERING TOMORROW’S TECHNOLOGIES TO TODAY’S OEMS NEW POWER PROGRESS THE DIESEL PORTFOLIO © ISSN:KHLCopyrightGroup20221091-370X

A lot of people have been buzzing about the U.S. government’s recent passing of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) of 2022, specifically the part that dedicates some $374 billion to climate- and energy-related measures. These include everything from expanding tax credits for electric vehicles (both light and heavy duty) to significant support for renewables, aka, wind and solar power generation.

I hope the IRA does kick-start the growth of a hydrogen infrastructure because the reality is that H2’s first, best destiny could be as a fuel for internal combustion engines.

For that to happen however, there needs to be hydrogen available and thus the IRA is a good thing. Just don’t expect it to happen by the middle of next year. And don’t bring any shovels.

SEPTEMBER 2022 | DIESEL PROGRESS | 5

Those last two are considered lynchpins to the development of a “green” hydrogen infrastructure, which relies on renewable energy to power the electrolyzers that do the voodoo to create hydrogen from water. Currently, most hydrogen is produced from natural gas and is labeled “blue” or “gray,” depending on whether or not the carbon atom that is part of methane (officially natural gas is methane, chemically CH4, meaning it’s one molecule of carbon and four of hydrogen) is captured (blue) or nefariously let loose in the atmosphere (gray).

BUSINESS NOTES

NIKOLA CORP. announced that CEO and President Mark Russell will retire, effective January 1, 2023, and has named current Nikola Motor President Michael Lohscheller as his presidentassumeLohschellersuccessor.willRussell’stitleandjoin the Nikola Board of Directors effective immediately and become CEO upon Russell’s retirement. Russell will remain a member of the Board.

BATTERY PLANT IN SWEDEN

HR Mack Defense said the U.S. Army and the U.S. Army Reserve have ordered an additional 144 Mack Defense M917A3 Heavy Dump Trucks (HDTs).

The added vehicles, based on the commercially available Mack Granite model, are part of a previously announced firm-fixed price $296 million contract to be fulfilled over seven years that the Army awarded Mack Defense in 2018. The HDTs are a key component in construction and maintenance missions for infrastructure assets such as airfields, roadways, landing strips, supply facilities and motor“Wepools.areproud to maintain our production operation which was created for the U.S. Army M917A3 HDT program, and we are extremely proud that our Mack Defense HDT vehicles, which have been fielded, are meeting and exceeding expectations,” said David Hartzell, president of Mack Defense. “Mack Defense remains committed to producing vehicles for the U.S. armed forces based on modified versions of our industry-leading Mack vehicles, providing the latest

BIG ARMYFROMDEFENSEFORORDERMACKU.S.

Lohscheller joined the company as president of Nikola Motor in February 2022, and has already made a major impact in moving the Tre battery-electric vehicle into series production and achieving development milestones for the Tre fuel cell electric vehicle.

The Volvo Group said it plans to establish a large-scale production plant for battery cells in Sweden to help it meet a growing demand for batteryelectric heavy-duty vehicles and“Weequipment.aimtolead the transition to a decarbonized transport system and have the long-term ambition to offer

VOLVO GROUP PLANS

GENERAC GRID SERVICES, a subsidiary of Generac Power Systems, has been awarded a multi-year contract from Arizona Public Service (APS) to deliver additional grid capacity from residential battery storage systems. The agreement leverages Generac Grid Services’ Concerto distributed

DIESEL

6 | DIESEL PROGRESS | SEPTEMBER 2022

our customers solutions that are 100% fossil free,” said Martin Lundstedt, president and CEO, Volvo Group. “There is a strong demand from our customers already today, and by 2030, it is our ambition that at least 35% of the products we sell are electric. This ramp-up will require large volumes of highperforming batteries produced using fossil-free energy and it is a logical next step for us to include battery production in our future industrial footprint.”Anextensive site localization study indicated the Skaraborg region in Sweden would be an ideal location for the plant. The proposed site in the

The solution comes as part of APS’ Distributed Demand-Side Resources (DDSR) Aggregation Tariff, which encourages customers to install smart technologies such as PWRcell along with other energy saving products.Generac Grid Services was energy resource management system (DERMS) to provide the requested capacity as well as advanced grid services. In turn, the partnership is expected to help increase the presence of Generac’s PWRcell battery systems in order to provide energy to the grid. reportedly the sole bidder to provide all the requested products under the tariff. Its Concerto will deliver capacity, demand response and loadshifting resources as well as more advanced DERMS use cases, including locational value, voltage support and other ancillary grid services.

Andy Daw has joined JLG INDUSTRIES as its vice president of global procurement and supply chain. He takes on the position at parent company Oshkosh’s Access Equipment segment, which includes JLG aerial equipment and Jerr-Dan towing and recovery equipment brands. Daw will lead the division’s global procurement and supply chain teams, providing a growth strategy and implementing initiatives to build a resilient supply chain for the company.

The production line in the MEC is in Mack’s former Customer Adaptation Center, where vehicle modifications occurred. The Customer Adaptation Center has since moved to Mack’s Lehigh Valley Operations (LVO) in Macungie, Pa., where all Mack Class 8 vehicles for North America and export are assembled. Previously, nonarmored HDTs vehicles began production at LVO and were transported to the MEC for final assembly.

● Fishing Systems: Delivering the “ultimate fishing system” through integrating on-board systems.

NEWS equipment and electric drivelines.Establishment of the production site is subject to approvals from relevant authorities. n SEPTEMBER 2022 | DIESEL PROGRESS | 7

The Navico Group will be comprised of brands that serve the marine, RV, specialty vehicle and industrial markets. It will be underpinned by four strategic business units: ● Power Systems: Developing energy storage, conversion and delivery solutions for end-market applications.

The Volvo Group said it plans to gradually increase capacity and reach largescale series production by 2030. The battery cells will be designed specifically for commercial vehicle applications, supporting the global roll-out of electric trucks, buses, construction A battery-electric truck from Volvo Truck.

VOLVOILLUSTRATION:TRUCKCORP

municipality of Mariestad is situated close to Volvo Group’s Volvo Penta engine plant in Skövde and is expected to benefit from the region’s existing industrial and logistics infrastructure. The Volvo Group’s R&D centers and headquarters in Gothenburg are two hours away.

The Army previously ordered 155 HDTs, which are spec’d with heavier-duty rear axles, all-wheel drive, increased suspension ride height and other ruggedized features to meet the Army's unique requirements. Those HDTs have all been built and final deliveries will continue through August 2022.

“Across the heavy machinery industry, there’s an urgent need for OEM-agnostic and simple autonomous solutions,” said Sudhanshu. “So many construction and mining companies want to optimize mixed fleets with backwardcompatible state of the art new technology retrofit kits for any make or model of machines. I was drawn to SafeAI because it addresses this need head on and meets the customer requirement for existing fleets as well as new fleets of machines.”

● Performance Components: Building a product portfolio across categories such as fuel systems, lighting, vessel stabilization, water management, etc., for multiple end markets. technologies and best value while meeting the military’s demanding requirements.”

The Granite HDTs and the production line at the Mack Experience Center (MEC) in Allentown, Pa., were inspected by government quality auditors to ensure both met expectations. Production of HDTs began in Q1 2021, following an investment of $6.5 million to create a dedicated HDT production line at the facility. The production line helps fulfill the M917A3 contract, while allowing Mack Defense to produce other vehicle variants.

● Digital Systems: Integrating command and control experiences onand off-board.

BRUNSWICK CORP. has formed a new company, Navico Group, to replace represents a complete organizational integration between the legacy ASG business with two key acquisitions that were completed in late 2021 –Navico and Relion Battery LLC.

SAFEAI announcedhas Sudhanshu Singh has joined the company as senior vice president of Global Operations. In this role, he will lead the end-to-end deployment of autonomous solutions for customers worldwide. He will also support teams to identify and pursue new opportunities for growth as demand for autonomous heavy equipment continues to Sudhanshugrow.has30-plus years of experience in mining, quarry and construction equipment. Prior to joining SafeAI, he was part of Caterpillar’s mining equipment team. He led the global large mining truck business for several years, launching new electric drive, Tier 4 and autonomous trucks.

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THEABOUTAUTHOR

It’s easy to get caught up in the gee-whiz appeal of seeing new technology developed, evolve and eventually change our world. It’s equally easy to overlook the drudgery of installing infrastructure to support those newFortechnologies.example,ifyou’ve just built the first-ever boat, a nice strip of sandy beach will do nicely for getting passengers on and off of your vessel. But sooner or later, you’re going to have to build a harbor. Steam locomotives were aweinspiring metal behemoths when they first appeared in the early 1800s. But they weren’t much use until somebody laid a rail network down. It was the same for the automobile, which worked much better with paved roads and abundant service stations to help it along. That’s kind of where trucking is today, with a host of new zero-emissions vehicles (ZEVs) and batteryelectric vehicles (BEVs) approaching their debut in real-word operations around the globe. Initially, the focus was on the benefits and challenges of bringing these new technologies to market. But now, as it has become clear that these various new fuels and powertrains will be able to compete reasonably well with diesel engines, the realization comes that in order to truly transform trucking to a Net Zero Emissions industry by 2050, multiple infrastructures – with a lot of money behind each one – are going to have to be planned, designed, installed and perfected.

The second infrastructure issue for autonomous trucks that isn’t being addressed is a human one. A lot of people think of autonomous trucks as sort of a “fire and forget” technology. Humans will load the truck, a human logistics manager will key in its destination and it will roll off on its merry way all by itself. But trucks require massive amounts of human interaction to safely reach a destination.

We know from history that infrastructures tend to form organically over time once a new technology takes root. They often start as private ventures, expand locally, then grow regionally and eventually go national. I have no doubt that will eventually hold true for supporting autonomous trucks. But it’s something that trucking needs to start discussing and planning for –sooner rather than later. ■

STREET SMARTS SEPTEMBER 2022 | DIESEL PROGRESS | 9

TWO-TIER PROBLEM

And this is a problem because – and I’m sure you’ve noticed – the U.S. hasn’t exactly done a bangup job keeping our roads and highways up to snuff over the past 50 years. The Biden infrastructure bill, signed into law last November, will go a long way toward fixing many of these issues. But infrastructure as a vital component of operations still isn’t really part of the autonomous truck conversation yet. And it’s an issue that will have to be meaningfully addressed (and funded) soon.

An autonomous truck has to pull over and wait for a human driver to take over and get it back on a stretch of road its sensors can handle.

HUMAN FACTORS

JACK ROBERTS is a Tuscaloosa, Ala.-based independent journalist and licensed commercial driver with more than 20 years’ experience covering the North American and global trucking industries.

Drivers do far more than just drive. They perform pre- and post-trip inspections, fuel the vehicle, perform routine maintenance, check load security and act as a security guard to keep cargo safe. Who’s going to perform all those tasks, many of which are mandated by federal law, for an autonomous truck working its way across the country?

I estimate an autonomous truck on a coast-to-coast haul will likely need at least 15 to 20 humans at various points to help it along its journey – for refueling, cleaning and checking sensors, performing inspections and doing minor maintenance. That doesn’t account for any kind of emergency situation like a blown tire, a fender-bender or a microprocessor flaking out. Nothing even close to that level of service and support for autonomous trucks exists today.

By Jack Roberts

PLANNING NEEDED

A monthly column devoted to the on-highway truck market.

There’s one new technology where I’m not hearing any discussion about infrastructure to support it, and we’re getting close to the time where that needs to be addressed. I’m talking about autonomous trucks and what is really a two-tier infrastructure problem that could hamper theirThedeployment.firstissueis good, oldfashioned infrastructure as we normally think of it: roads and

humanautonomouscomputersmyriadsafelysignagemaintainedclearlyabsolutelyAutonomousbridges.trucksdependonmarked,well-lanes,roads,andsignalstofunctionandefficiently.Thesensors,camerasandthatcontrolantruckaren’tlikedrivers.Theycannot, for example, “interpret” their way along a road with faded lane markers. A human driver can “reason” his way safely down an unmarked roadway.

AUTONOMOUS TRUCKS NEED INFRASTRUCTURE

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T

■ AND PNEUMATIC

NFPA MONTHLY SCOREBOARD

he latest data published by the National Fluid Power Assoc. (NFPA) shows the 12-month moving average of shipments for pneumatic, hydraulic and total fluid power have been growing since February 2021. The year-to-date percent change for total fluid power shipments in June 2022 is 15.5%.

TOTALSHIPMENTSFLUIDPOWER Apr-22 13.7% May-22 14.9% Jun-22 15.5% TOTAL HYDRAULIC Apr-22 15.5% May-22 17.0% Jun-22 18.2% TOTAL PNEUMATIC Apr-22 8.0% May-22 8.4% Jun-22 7.6%

This graph of raw index data is generated by the total dollar volume reported to NFPA by CSS participants and compared to the average monthly dollar volume in 2018. For example, the June 2022 total dollar volume for pneumatic shipments is 117.2% of the average monthly dollar volume in 2018.

TOTAL: HYDRAULIC AND PNEUMATIC SHIPMENTS

The table above is expressed in terms of cumulative percent changes. These changes refer to the percent difference between the relevant cumulative total for 2022 and the total for the same months in 2021. For example, June 2022 pneumatic shipments figure of 7.6 means that for the calendar year through June 2022, pneumatic shipments increased 7.6% compared to the same time-period in 2021.

Mobile hydraulic orders received from July 2021 to June 2022 are currently 119.6% of the orders received from July 2020 to June 2021. When looking at raw index data, pneumatic, mobile hydraulic, and industrial hydraulic shipments all increased when compared to last month. Fluid power touches nearly every segment of the economy and can help identify business trends.

ABOUT SCOREBOARDTHE

ABOUT SCOREBOARDTHE GROWING SINCE EARLY 2021 PNEUMATIC, MOBILE AND INDUSTRIAL HYDRAULIC ORDERS INDEX100)=2018Year(Base100)=2018Year(Base100)=2018Year(Base 100)=2018Year(Base SEPTEMBER 2022 | DIESEL PROGRESS | 11 www.nfpa.com

This graph of 12-month moving averages shows that in May 2022, the moving averages for shipments continued to increase across the board. This information is drawn from data collected from more than 80 manufacturers of fluid power products by NFPA’s Confidential Shipment Statistics (CSS) program. More information is available to NFPA members. For information on membership contact NFPA at (414) 778-3344.

SHIPMENTS

This information is drawn from data collected from more than 85 manufacturers of fluid power products by NFPA’s Confidential Shipment Statistics (CSS) program. More information is available to NFPA members. For information on membership contact NFPA at (414) 778-3344.

HYDRAULIC

Each point on this graph represents the most recent 12 months of orders compared to the previous 12 months of orders. Each point can be read as a percentage. For example, 131.1 (the June 2022 level of the industrial hydraulic series) indicates that industrial hydraulic orders received from July 2021 to June 2022 were 131.1% of the orders received from July 2020 to June 2021.

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A native of Columbus, Ind., and an engineer at heart, Jennifer Rumsey recently took over as the seventh CEO in the history of Cummins. “Knowing atowhatdoesn’tworks,andtechnologythepiecereallywhatwhatworkandquestionsask,Ithinkisbenefit.”

INTERVIEW CUMMINS CEO SEPTEMBER 2022 | DIESEL PROGRESS | 13 >

encouraged me to pursue engineering. I have always wanted to use my engineering background and then engineering and leadership skills to do something meaningful in the world and that has led me to this place. I realized that given the transition our industry is going through and the opportunity in our business, that I was the right one to be CEO for Cummins. We have a tremendous opportunity, I think, and so that’s really what’s drawn me to this point. And it’s been only in recent years that I recognized that that was my dream.

On becoming CEO: It really has been for me a journey that started with a combination of my mother – who was very strong and determined and kind of set me on a course to believing I could be anything I wanted to be – and then (former Cummins chief technology officer) John Wall, who spotted me early and RUMSEYJENNIFER

Cummins’ Jennifer Rumsey talks about the challenges ahead. By Mike Brezonick I f you wrote a movie script about Jennifer Rumsey’s career path to becoming the chief executive officer of Cummins Inc., it’s likely Hollywood would reject it as too improbable.

I write general management now. With the changes happening in our industry, I think that deeper understanding of our customers, how they use our product and the technical solutions, and how those fit together. And for me, it’s always been –even in engineering roles – about this intersection of the technical solution, what the customer needs and how do you make the business successful. That’s exactly the challenge that we face right now. We need to decarbonize our industry. Our industry’s a critical part of the economy, so we need to do it in a way that makes sense for our customers’ business.

A native of Columbus, Ind., the birthplace of Cummins in 1919, she grew up babysitting the children of Cummins executives and, like nearly everyone else in the central Indiana town, was steeped in the history and culture of the company.Aftergetting a bachelor’s degree in engineering from Purdue University and then a master’s degree in engineering from MIT, she spent a little over a year at Nuvera Fuel Cells before joining Cummins in 2000. From there, her progress has been continuous to the point where she was named the company’s seventh CEO, succeeding Tom Linebarger, as of Aug. 1. Diesel Progress met with Rumsey in Columbus shortly before she assumed her new position, as she discussed her path to the top and the challenges ahead.

On how her background in engineering is a benefit: I do think of myself as an engineer. It pains me when I re-enter the country and I fill out that form, where you put in your occupation to not write “engineer.”

Knowing the technology piece and really what works, what doesn’t work and what questions to ask, I think is a benefit. When the transition away from combustion engines will occur: It’s a great question and it’s a tough question to answer. When we talk about Destination Zero and decarbonization, we talk about starting today, which is with our engine-based solutions, reducing CO2, whether it’s diesel or other fuel, and accelerating the solutions that get toThezero.answer to the question on “how long will it take?” depends somewhat on regulation and incentives that will help drive adoption of these new technologies and infrastructure to support them. It’s the classic chicken-and-egg problem – do I invest in bringing this new technology to market if it’s going to cost more if I don’t know if there’s going to be an infrastructure? So, we need to start on the applications where it makes sense, use that to start to build out infrastructure and bring costs down and then it will build over time. We expect our engine-based business – given the investment we’re making in market-leading products and the scale position we have, the partnerships we have globally – will continue to grow certainly through this decade. It’s just hard to call 2030 to 2040 and how that is going to play out. On the potential of combustion engines using different fuels: Low-carbon or zero-carbon fuel solutions and engines can definitely be an important part of the transition and even the final answer for certain applications.

There are also some other drop-in, Rumsey sees engines as a big part of Cummins’ future.

We expect Europe will recognize hydrogen internal combustion engines as zero (emissions) and we are investing in hydrogen engines.

liquid-based, zero-carbon fuels, maybe not scalable as a broad solution, but we also continue to pay attention to the role that those might play.

INTERVIEW CUMMINS CEO

On when electric and hydrogen infrastructures will emerge: On the electrical infrastructure, the applications where it makes the most sense today have a more limited range, return-to-base operation. I think we have

It’s been a crazy and challenging little over two years now. I think the Cummins team has stepped up and performed remarkably well in the circumstances. It’s not been easy and we continue to work with our suppliers and customers to try www.cummins.com

CEO to stabilize and address issues that exist. It seems to be getting a little bit better as we come into the second half of this year. It’s the electronics that really continue to worry me because of the investment. So really what we’re focused on is making sure we are where we need to be with different electronic components that are more available. The automotive industry uses certain chips that are not the most cutting-edge chips. We can’t necessarily use the most cutting-edge chips but we use the ones that are being made in sufficient quantity. We’ve been doing some reengineering of our modules to try to address that. Those processes can take a couple of years. But again, as we get into the second half of this year, and next year, some combination of capacity, investment and electronics and us having more options – I’m cautiously optimistic we’ll improve that. DP an opportunity to start to build out the infrastructure in pieces and then bring it together. It is not an insignificant investment or amount of work which we should not underestimate. That’s why I do think government incentives and engagement is needed to get it done – how do we make sure that that infrastructure itself is decarbonized, the grid is stable, we can meet the energy demands. Those are important questions, and it will take time. On the hydrogen side, we see some good growth opportunities, and our New Power business with electrolyzers and green hydrogen in places that use hydrogen already that want to decarbonize. Then also, you see some big companies like Chevron or Shell that are thinking about “what’s our role in decarbonizing, how do we build out infrastructure?”Partnershipsare critical because any one of us by ourselves I think will struggle to make it work. But by creating some strong partnerships, together Walmart, Chevron and Cummins are investing in renewable natural gas engines and putting infrastructure in and then others can come long and join over time.

INTERVIEW CUMMINS

It’s not so clear how long it will take because of the amount of work and investment required to make that infrastructure a reality. On what keeps her up at night: Microprocessor and electronic component shortages continue to be a challenge and then of course we’re paying attention to what’s going on with the economy right now, as well. So far, supply is the bigger challenge and we’ll continue to try to build everything that we can.

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Another good year for

Our panel of experts –Chris Sleight of Off-Highway Research, Peter Yengst of Yengst Associates, Kenny Vieth of ACT Research and Joe Zirnhelt of PSR – look at what’s ahead in the global equipment, commercial vehicle and power generation markets.

SEPTEMBER 2022 | DIESEL PROGRESS | 17 > programs seen around the world. Although sales will be very strong this year (though not another global record – more on that later), in some respects, 2022 was the start of the hangover from the stimulus party. Interest rates were kept too low for too long around the world and will now have to go up sharply to combat levels of inflation that haven’t been seen since the early 1980s. This will almost certainly lead to a recession, which will push down construction equipment sales.

FORECAST 2023 OFF-HIGHWAY RESEARCH

ABOUT AUTHORTHE CHRIS SLEIGHT is managing director of Off-Highway Research, a management consultancy specializing in the research and analysis of international construction and agricultural equipment markets. A KHL Group company, OffHighway Research is based in Wadhurst, East Sussex, chris.sleight@offhighway.co.ukwww.offhighway.co.ukU.K.

downturnmoreequipmentconstructionglobalsalesin2022,buttherewillbeapronouncedin2023and2024.By

Chris Sleight

SALES TAKE A HIT In direct terms, inflation and high interest rates will hit sales as machines become more expensive and the cost of financing purchases rises. More fundamentally on Last year saw an all-time record set in the global construction equipment market, with more than 1.28 million machines sold, according to Off-Highway Research. Those machines had a retail value of $127 billion – another record. This year sees that buoyancy continue or even improve in most parts of the world. An ongoing lack of inventory, long-standing component shortages and transportation bottlenecks have meant that lead times have stretched out to the extent that many OEMs were sold out for 2022 before the year had even started. Indeed, as high as sales were in 2021, they might have been even greater had manufacturers been able to meet demand which was driven by the extraordinary — and perhaps excessive — stimulus

FORECAST 2023 OFF-HIGHWAY RESEARCH 18 | DIESEL PROGRESS | SEPTEMBER 2022

Stellar sales in China continued for a year, culminating in a sensational first quarter in 2021. Although the market then fell for most of the rest of the year, 2021 as a whole was still very good, with the fourth highest unit sales ever seen in China. However, 2022 has seen the fall not only continue but steepen. China’s combination of a zero-COVID policy and its own not particularly effective vaccine saw long and strict lockdowns reintroduced in many major cities in the first half of the year. This enforced inactivity has translated to a painful slowdown for the Chinese economy. More stimulus has been announced, which will help in the second half of 2022, but the Chinese equipment market is still expected to fall 47% this year, wiping more than 145000 machine unit sales off the global total compared to last year. Even though the whole of the rest of the world is seeing growth, it won’t be enough to offset this fall. While most markets will rise this year, global equipment sales will fall around 10% in 2022 because of the downturn in China. Bear in mind that is coming from an all-time high in 2021, so this year will still be the third or fourth best ever seen. levels for an unusually long time. A peak in the industry usually lasts one or two years, but the global market has set alltime sales records for four years in a row. That means there are a lot of young machines out in the population. If and when construction activity falls away, the presence of all those young and suddenly under-utilized machines will likely be a barrier to new equipment sales. the demand side, a slowing economy and the higher cost of money will see a cooling in the construction markets that drive equipment sales. The impact of rising interest rates is already being seen in the number of completions and permits granted for residential construction in the U.S., for example. Add to that the fact that sales of equipment have been at historically high Gorman-Rupp has been in fluid transfer for over 80 years. Our original designs have set the standard around the world with thousands of units operating in the field for virtually all major airline and fuel suppliers. We offer a complete line of ground service pumps and related equipment, consisting of standard centrifugal and self-priming pump models, directional valves, eductors and a host of other piping accessories.

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Although most manufacturers and distributors will tell you they are sold out for 2022, this year is unlikely to see a fifth straight record for worldwide construction equipment sales. The one market that is out of phase, and which has been since the pandemic started, is China. First, the Chinese market soared to levels not seen for a decade in 2020, as stimulus was quickly put in place in the spring as the country came out of its first COVID-inspired lockdown. Construction equipment sales in China grew 30% in 2020 from already high levels the previous year.But for other countries of the world, 2020 was generally painful. The best performers saw sales stay flat with 2019 levels, but most saw falls in the order of 5% to 25%.

Also bear in mind that it is really only China that is falling. Many other countries will see very strong if not record sales in Distributors2022. in those countries might well tell you that for the second year running, sales in 2022 could have been much higher if only they had the machines to sell.

or less) – UNITS1,000,0001,200,0001,400,000800,000600,000400,000200,00004,000,0003,500,0003,000,0002,500,0002,000,0001,500,0001,000,000500,0000 2000 2002 200120022003 2003 2004 2004 2005 2005 2006 2006 2007 2007 2008 2008 2009 2009 2010 2010 2011 2011 2012 2012 2013 2013 2014 2014 2015 2015 2016 2016 2017 2017 2018 2018 2019 2019 2020 2020 2021 2021 2022* 2022 2023* 2023 2024* 2024 2025* 2025 2026* 2026 ■ China ■ Europe ■ India ■ Japan ■ North America ■ Rest of the World ■ Population of young machines (3 years old or less) ■ Projection >

Year to year sales of construction equipment can swing quite violently, but looking at the population of equipment active in the world gives a different picture. Construction machines can be long lived, particularly some of the heavier types such as graders and dump trucks. This means that changes in machine population tend to be smoother and they can also be counter-cyclical. Getting a true picture of total machine population across all types with their different utilization rates and applications is complicated. A quick and useful proxy is to simply look at the population of young machines, say, those that are three years old or Thisless.isillustrated in the chart below, and it shows just how much the machine population has built up since the late 2020s. Even with a downturn coming, there will be more than 3 million young machines in the global fleet for the foreseeable future –more than at any previous point in history. This matters because it doesn’t take much of a dip in construction activity to leave so many machines under-utilized and therefore a barrier to new equipment sales. (3-years old

That problem of big backlogs, transportation logjams and long lead times will mean the current buoyancy will carry over into the start of 2023. However, the concern is that inflation, rising interest rates and the presence

FORECAST 2023 OFF-HIGHWAY RESEARCH SEPTEMBER 2022 | DIESEL PROGRESS | 19

POPULATION

AND WHY IT MATTERS

GLOBAL EQUIPMENT SALES BY REGION (UNITS) GLOBAL POPULATION OF YOUNG MACHINES

OEMS LOOKING FOR PRICE INCREASES

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SPENDINGINFRASTRUCTUREPOSITIVE

SLOWDOWN EXPECTED IN 2023-2024

Still, things are not all doom and gloom. Global infrastructure markets were good going into the pandemic and they have been strengthened through stimulus spending commitments around the world. The U.S.’s $1 trillion infrastructure bill of 2021 – officially the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA) – is the most widely talked about, but there are many other countries that are looking to infrastructure investment as a way of buying their economies back to health. Such schemes are, of course, good news for the construction equipment segment as they require machines to build them. Big infrastructure projects also tend to take many years to complete, so they provide a degree of medium-term stability and certainty.

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As a result of these conflicting pushes and pulls in the global market, this year’s 10% decline in equipment sales is expected to be followed by a similar drop next year. That would still keep the market above 1 million machines sold worldwide, so it would still be regarded as a healthy market.Butthere is a difference between good volumes and demand trending upwards, and good volumes with a downward trajectory.Thatslowdown is expected to continue into 2024. At present, Off-Highway Research’s forecast is for a soft landing in 2024, before the market gently picks up again in 2025. But forecasting even two to three years ahead in the uncertain and unpredictable times we live in is a challenge. So many diverse and unknowable factors play into the economic landscape — everything from China’s ongoing battle with COVID, the ups and downs of global commodity prices, the continuing influence of Russia’s war on Ukraine on those prices, to the actions of hundreds of central banks around the world, as well as the policy responses from thousands of politicians.

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FORECAST 2023 OFF-HIGHWAY RESEARCH

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of lots of young machines will hit the industry hard at some point next year once the backlog is worked out. Just considering affordability of machines is striking. Most manufacturers are trying to implement price increases on the order of 10% this year to pass on the increases they are seeing in labor, materials, energy and shipping costs. As big as a 10% annual rise is, this does not fully pass on the input cost increases to date and those that are on the horizon, so many OEMs are talking about another 10% price rise next year. Add to that increased finance costs because of higher interest rates, and a customer could potentially be looking at paying 25% more for a machine in 2023 compared to late 2020/early 2021.

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Our

is president of Yengst Associates, a market research and consultancy in Wilton, Email:www.yengstassociates.comConn.mail@yengstassociates.com EARTHMOVING EQUIPMENT COMPOSITE SALES, 2006-2026 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 20062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022* 2023* 2024* 2025* 2026* 225,205 199,020 154,600 82,570 98,295 134,030 155,400 167,460 184,947 190,748 185,438 207,278 233,578 230,545 221,890 267,205 280,500 269,000 258,000 263,000 270,000 ASSOCIATESYENGSTSOURCE:

FORECAST 2023 YENGST ASSOCIATES SEPTEMBER 2022 | DIESEL PROGRESS | 23 > much more robust last year if the supply chain factors had picked up from where they left off prior to the pandemic. Because of the global supply chain woes, order backlogs at dealers ramped up dramatically and pushed into 2022. By early spring 2022, backlogs of equipment continued pushing out even further into 2023 as supply problems remained in place while demand in the housing markets surged upward.

ABOUT AUTHORTHE

dealer inventories. By

MIRRORING 2021 Because of the ongoing backlogs in place shooting out into next year already, this year’s demand is expected to more or less mirror sales levels of 2021 – some improvement here and there, but nothingWhilesignificant.Iamcurrently expecting a slight improvement over last year’s machinery sales with low- to mid-single digit growth, the landscape has once again Sales of earthmoving equipment are expected to be relatively stable over the next several years. Second half of 2023 likely to see weaker sales activity, growing Peter T. Yengst PETER T. YENGST

W hen I glance back to a year ago, 2021 staged one hell of a rebound from 2020’s slowdown, when the COVID-19 pandemic rendered the economy largely comatose. The only saving grace in 2020 was the compact machinery sales that fed the ravenous demand of the housing market and offset much of the pain in other equipment segments that slumped more than 20% from 2019 Manufacturinglevels. did its best to ramp up production to meet the strong demand that permeated North America. However, output was curtailed by supply chain issues that were a byproduct of the lockdown period. Raw materials and essential parts became much harder to acquire as global production and distribution weakened, which limited the supply side of the equation and led to price hikes from top to bottom. Machinery sales would have been

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We began the year on a strong footing with the economy ending the fourth quarter of 2021 with about 7% GDP growth, which was extraordinary, all things considered. This image of strength carried over into 2022 with the general impression being that the economy was strong. Yet, signs of weakness were beginning to surface as government stimulus relief for the pandemic was diminishing by the month; people >

TWO WORLDS

The Federal Reserve, which oversees changed dramatically when comparing this year to last. We’ve got some new headwinds these days. The country was willing to deal with what the Federal Reserve last summer deemed “transitory or temporary inflation,” but it didn’t take long before most of us realized “transitory” might mean years. To add salt to the wound, our ongoing inflation issues were exacerbated by the Russian invasion of Ukraine, which caused a jump in both commodity and energy prices. In recent months, some relief at the gas pump has occurred but not enough for Americans to notice in a big way. Prices have risen on goods across the board, which directly limits the amount each of us can spend each month. Wage growth has provided some relief, but it has generally been outpaced by climbing prices.

Well, we’re still millions of employed people short when compared to prepandemic days. Some of these previously employed people were older and took part in the “Great Resignation” you may have read about in late 2021. Others were fired and never returned, finding that government stimulus and loan forgiveness was enough to get by. As a result, the participation rate, or the number of eligible workers working or who are looking for jobs, has crept to a 45-year low. Our current employment numbers reflect a different picture, with gains of 500000-plus added in July. Yet, it appears many of those jobs were parttime or second and third jobs taken by existing workers to help compensate for the rising cost of living. So, more jobs added, just less people working.

jobs and prices of goods, started raising interest rates in recent months to combat inflation. But to offset inflation, which stands today at about 8.5%, interest rates would have to exceed that level. The Fed has currently raised rates to 2.5%, meaning there is quite a long way to go. In the meantime, both the financial and housing markets are showing clear signs of decay from their all-time valuations as increased interest rates put the cost of financing via bank loans on an exponential uptrend. Some fluctuation should be expected along the way, but because of higher financing rates, inventory of existing homes for sale is growing nationwide and price cuts are now taking hold as the pool of buyers shrinks and purchasing power decreases.

PETER YENGST, Yengst Associates we head into 2023, end user demand into the first half of the year.”

“As

carrymachineryofbackloggedexistingordersconstructionshouldonandmeet

FED ACTIONS

were no longer receiving checks in the mail; PPP business loans had ceased; and inflation had become part of our everydayFinishinglives.up the first half of the year, GDP was reported to have tallied its second consecutive quarter of negative growth, which indicates the economy had been weakening and put us, by all historical measures, in recession. But how could we be in a recession when unemployment is at a very low 3.5%?

FORECAST 2023 YENGST ASSOCIATES

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FORECAST 2023 YENGST ASSOCIATES SEPTEMBER 2022 | DIESEL PROGRESS | 27

The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) reports on economic activity in the manufacturing sector, which is historically a solid indicator for the health of the industry. In July 2022, ISM figures still showed growth with a reading of 52.8. Anything over 50 indicates growth in the economy. However, this marked the third consecutive month of decline and was the lowest reading since June 2020 just after the pandemic lockdowns took place. On the bright side, it also marked 26 months of consecutive monthly expansion. So, it’s been a solid run, but readings below 50 grow more likely from this point forward in the upcoming quarters.

To be clear, I’m not foreseeing any apocalyptic scenarios or any 2008-2009 types of crises on the horizon, and my hopes are that we emerge from this period stronger than before and reach even higher in the next phase.

I’m expecting housing starts and permits to decline further in this environment. Construction spending started the year off at its strongest pace in 10 years, yet is likely to continue decreasing from its current level into the end of 2022.

SALES2021 SALES2022(EST) EARTHMOVING  20%  6% MATERIAL HANDLING  11%  6% AGRICULTURAL  12%  7% OTHER MACHINERY  21%  7%ASSOCIATESYENGSTSOURCE: EQUIPMENT UNIT SALES

What lies ahead for machinery markets depends heavily on the health and status of housing and general construction. With the coming election period in November, it is more likely than not that the powers that be will keep the economy on its best footing through the second half of the year. As we head into 2023, existing backlogged orders of construction machinery should carry on and meet end user demand into the first half of the year. Pricing is anticipated to continue to the upside – rising about 6% year over year – at the same time ongoing issues in supply chains will result in fluctuating commodity pricing. However, as we move through 2023, further economic weakness is likely to grow, with many expecting a true recession – this time with growing unemployment figures – with a downturn in the housing market through price declines and growing inventories. For this reason, we see next year starting off with a continuation of dealers filling existing orders and meeting demand for machinery, but the second half is likely to see weaker sales activity, reflected by faster backlog fills and growing equipment inventories at dealers. At the same time, some sales relief should occur throughout the year coming from government-funded contractor purchases springing from the infrastructure bill passed by Congress late last year.

HOUSING TO DECLINE

DP Many types of equipment are expected to finish with slightly improved sales this year, with the exception being agricultural machinery.

LOOKING AHEAD

NO APOCALYPSE

To sum this all up, the coming years are less likely to outperform the previous years which were chock-full of government stimulus, low rates and pent-up demand. Another way to look at it could be that it shouldn’t be any surprise when periods of great growth and all-time highs are followed by periods of relief.

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Joe Zirnhelt

301-500KW 6,4016,872

DIESELGASOLINE LPG & NATURAL 202120222021202220212022GAS <10KW 47,35950,563693,742751,98284,36693,388 10-20KW 24,56826,4418,5559,31082,44493,770 21-50KW 18,34219,74862267241,27846,329 51-300KW

GRAND TOTAL 149,513160,281702,919761,964235,731263,515 PRODUCTION OF GEN-SETS BY NORTH AMERICAN OEMS (2021-2022)

FORECAST 2023 POWER SYSTEMS RESEARCH SEPTEMBER 2022 | DIESEL PROGRESS | 29 > several months of slowing and negative GDP growth. However, we are in a unique situation in that compared to previous economic cycles that might signal recession, unemployment levels remain at historic lows. We would normally expect to see unemployment rise as businesses pull back going into what they feel is a recessionary economy. Nonetheless, whether we anticipate a recession officially or not, we’re coming off two strong years following COVID and satisfying pent-up demand while struggling through ongoing supply chain issues.Interms of total North American generator set production, we have been going at a good clip for two years now. Economic cycles are inevitable and probably the strongest indicator affecting the gen-set market is interest rates. We will take a deeper look at those shortly, but all signals point toward a After a solid first half, bringfactorsseveralcouldasofteningofdemand.By

Interest rates rising to curb inflation: In the July meeting of the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC), the target for the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) was increased by 75 basis points. This marked the fourth consecutive FOMC increase of 2022 in continued efforts to tamp down inflation. The Federal Reserve has continued its effort to help offset the highest rate of inflation in the U.S. in nearly 40 years. As interest rates climb, see several 41,32744,250 23,27125,339 2,1282,307 1,0991,181 1,1451,201

501-1000KW 6,4506,980

ABOUT AUTHORTHE JOE ZIRNHELT is president and CEO at Power Systems Research, an information and research supplier based in St. Paul, Minn., with offices in Detroit, Brussels, Tokyo, Pune and Sao Paulo. Email:www.powersys.comjzirnhelt@powersys.com A s we consider the overall power generation industry in 2022, we have finally started to see improvement in the supply chain and some dealers finally getting long-awaited inventories to help fulfill orders. Demand overall remains strong and the easing of the supply chain over the course of 2022 has helped. There is still progress to be made in the supply chain, but things look much better than one year ago. The most common questions being asked these days involve recession –“Are we in a recession?” and “How do we define a recession?” The federal government has a business cycle dating committee that tracks month-to-month statistics to determine when a recession officially begins. We have recently seen pullback as we head into 2023. When we consider all power ranges of North American gen-set production, we have a total market in the range of 1 million units per year, considering all fuels and power ranges. Let’s look at some key barometers that identify prospects for the North American power generation market over the next year.

KEY BAROMETERS

>1000KW 5,0665,427

we

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downstream effects on gen-set demand.

Housing starts cooling off: When comparing the average annualized rate over the course of each year, housing starts were strong to begin with in 2021, up 16% in 2021 vs. 2020. Starts of new privately-owned housing units are continuing into the current year with annualized levels for June 2022 falling behind those for June 2021 by 6.3%. Even though the new housing starts are cooling off, we are still at historically high levels; but increased interest rates are slowing the number of new starts each month in 2022. The markets for housing are probably the best barometer for the health of the smaller gen-set markets (under 500 kW) as there are many demand drivers connected between new home construction and the need for gen-sets.

THE WEATHER

“Needless to say, inventories are depleted and the next year will be spent building inventories back to acceptable levels that balance lead times and expected demand.”

JOE PowerZIRNHELT,Systems Research

The first is that the rate of financing gensets for projects in the commercial sector becomes less attractive for businesses looking to upgrade or install a new unit. The consumer/residential sector is also feeling the effects. Many home standby units are financed through home equity lines of credit (HELOCs) or other loans and the cost of those funds becomes more prohibitive as interest rates rise.

The infrastructure bill: In August 2021, the U.S. Senate passed the bipartisan infrastructure bill that will direct $550 billion in new federal investments in America’s infrastructure over a five-year period. The bill was officially signed into law in November 2021, and we are now starting to see a number of larger scale projects move forward as funding is directed toward several key areas. These projects will have far-reaching and positive implications for power generation, especially for gen-sets used for mobile power in rental and those procured by construction companies.

In our PowerTracker syndicated survey, we speak with 200 gen-set dealers each quarter. The survey shows that the second quarter of 2022 was the first quarter where dealers reported an increase in inventories (up 6.6%) relative to inventory levels in the first quarter of 2022. This is the first reported quarterly inventory increase since the first quarter of 2020. Dealers endured eight consecutive quarters of negative quarterly inventory change. Needless to say, inventories are depleted and the next year will be spent building inventories back up to acceptable levels that balance lead times and expected demand. Even if demand falls off due to softening market conditions, production by gen-set OEMs during the remainder of 2022 and into 2023 will still be challenged to replenish inventories to dealers.

Reduced residential demand: The last two and a half years have been a near perfect storm for residential genset consumers. Demand significantly increased in the wake of COVID-19 with people spending more time working or learning from home. But this situation is likely to change. The perfect storm affecting the market has seen demand significantly increase for smaller LPG and natural gas gen-sets as well as gasoline portable units, while supply chain disruptions and lack of dealer inventory has put an upward limit on growth. At the same time, higher inflation combined with increased costs of borrowed funds from sources such as HELOCs has caused softening in the residential markets that will continue as we head into 2023. Supply chain disruptions: Last year, we reported on severe supply chain constraints limiting production as critical parts needed to complete finished gen-sets were simply not available. The good news is that the situation seems to be improving over the course of 2022, although some dealers are still faced with longer than normal lead times.

The single most important factor that drives annual gen-set volumes is weather. Global climate change is a potentially contentious topic, but there is evidence that a larger number of weather events, such as flooding, ice storms, hurricanes, tornadoes and wildfires, have been impacting the U.S. in recent years. A common element in all these unfortunate situations is a need for >

DIESELGASOLINE LPG & NATURAL 202220232022202320222023GAS <10KW 50,56351,611751,982770,47993,38898,406 10-20KW 26,44126,7679,3109,53693,77099,071 21-50KW 19,74820,07867268746,32948,645 51-300KW 44,25045,004 25,33926,151 301-500KW 6,8727,015 2,3072,384 501-1000KW 6,9807,146 1,1811,222 >1000KW 5,4275,549 1,2011,239 GRAND TOTAL 160,281163,170761,964780,702263,515277,118 FORECAST PRODUCTION OF GEN-SETS BY NORTH AMERICAN OEMS (2022-2023)

NEW CONSIDERATIONS

FORECAST 2023 POWER SYSTEMS RESEARCH SEPTEMBER 2022 | DIESEL PROGRESS | 33

OUTLOOK FOR 2023

temporary/remote power that will drive a surge in demand. FEMA as well as retailers have factored the possibility of these weather events happening in any given year. Inventory levels are planned in advance to absorb some surge in demand. But as these events unfold year-to-year, they do factor into the annual production of gen-sets.

FORECAST 2023 POWER SYSTEMS RESEARCH

Looking forward to 2023, it is important to first review 2022 production levels for context. Overall, at Power Systems Research, we are expecting production levels in 2022 to reflect healthy gains over 2021 production as assembly operations are less hampered by supply chain constraints. In 2022, we expect production of diesel-fueled gen-sets to end the year up 7.2% over 2021, while gasoline is up 8.4% and LPG- and natural gas-fueled units are up 11.8% over 2021 Lookinglevels.at2023, we expect a few factors to influence production of gen-sets. On the one side, there will be carryover in demand to fulfill orders already placed in 2022 which will keep production flowing soundly into the first half of 2023. A second factor is a softening of overall demand primarily due to increased interest rates and inflationary effects on purchase decisions. Overall, these factors will soften demand. Keep in mind, we are already at historically high levels of production, so a small positive increase in production is still reflecting a high level of production; but the softening of demand will limit the peak of production for 2023. As we move further into 2023, we will be able to better evaluate the final outlook for the year and what that might mean for 2024. In 2023, we expect the highest gains in production for the LPG and natural gas units, driven largely by fulfilling increased demand from residential consumers and small commercial applications in the under-50 kW ranges. Overall, LPG and natural gas gen-set production is expected to increase 5.2% from 2022 to 2023. Gasoline units are already at historically high levels. In pre-COVID times and before the latest surge in new home construction, production of small gasoline portables in North America was around 630000 units per year. In 2022, production of gasoline gen-sets is estimated to end up around 761000 units. Gasoline gen-sets have seen healthy growth the last several years, and as the demand softens in 2023, there will be noticeable pullback on demand for these units. We estimate a growth rate in production from 2022 to 2023 of 2.5%.

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Finally, in diesel-fueled units, there will be modest growth of 1.6% overall from 2022 to 2023. However, it will be slightly stronger in the power ranges above 300 kW where there is less price sensitivity, and the gen-sets are most often prebudgeted and planned more in advance and are somewhat more insulated from inflationary/interest rate effects.

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knowns.

FORECAST 2023 ACT RESEARCH SEPTEMBER 2022 | DIESEL PROGRESS | 37 >

and

Ukraine invasion/sanctions;

Strong job demand amid demographic labor shortfall; Federal Reserve policy tightening; the supply chain and specifically microprocessor chips; an increasingly noisy domestic political scene. RECESSION?

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COVID policy supply risks and Taiwan and the South China Sea. Domestic risks: Sticky wage inflation; 20092010 ■ Public TL Products (%) ■ Public TL Products Forecast (%) USC8 Tractor R8 (000s) 0%1%2%3%4$5%6%7%8%9%

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manufacturing: recession and supply risks; China’s plans

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Beyond looking at what could still happen, with high confidence we can assert the post-2020 COVID economic recovery is over and a freight recession has begun. In that light, ACT has adopted a mild recession scenario as the most likely path for the economy between now and 2024.Despite the first two quarters of 2022 Shallow recession likely followed by recovery in late 2023. By Kenny Vieth known These are things know that know. There are known unknowns. That is to say, there are things that know we don’t know. But there are also unknown unknowns. There are things we don’t know we don’t know.”

ABOUT AUTHORTHE KENNY VIETH is president and senior analyst at Americas Email:www.actresearch.netTel:servicesvehicleCo.,TransportationCommercial(ACT)ResearchLLC,aglobalpublisherofcommercialindustrydataandforecastingbasedinColumbus,Ind.(812)379-2085,Fax:(812)378-5997kwvieth@actresearch.net U.S. CLASS 8 TRACTOR RS & CARRIER PROFITS (2001 - 2024) 120,000150,000180,000210,000240,00080,00050,00030,0000 2001200220032004200520062007200820112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232022©CO.RESEARCHACTSOURCE: “What do you want it to equal?” The punchline to one our favorite economist jokes, is darkly humorous as we surveil an economic road beset with pitfalls. We start by warning that the risk of significantly negative events is elevated. Current events call to mind what is now referred to as the Rumsfeld Matrix. Readers may recall Donald Rumsfeld’s inspired, “There are

MILD

At present, the “known unknown” box in the Rumsfeld Matrix is overflowing includes: The duration of Russia’s energy on Western Europe’s concerning

REAL GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT, YEAR OVER YEAR (2000 - 2027F) 2022©CO.RESEARCHACTSOURCE: ACTUAL/FORECAST2021202220232024GDP 5.7%1.4%0.0%2.5% ACT FREIGHT 10.9%2.0%-3.2%2.5% CLASS 5-7 BUILD, NORTH AMERICA 235,000230,000247,000250,000 CLASS 8 BUILD, NORTH AMERICA 264,000310,000291,000267,000 ACT RESEARCH FORECAST

As ACT has discussed for nearly two years, persistent and broad-based supply chain disruptions at the same time freight volumes were exploding, left the industry with considerable pent-up demand and an older fleet than you would typically find at the end of a freight cycle. That pent-up demand will provide support through the first half of 2023, filling the void left by slowing economic activity and lower freight intensity. As we look toward the end of 2024, we believe around 10% of the market’s buyers will be prebuying to initially avoid CARB’s low NOx and warranty extending Advanced Clean the world economy slowing, commodity and supply chain inflation look more (dare we say) transient, even if inflation is unlikely to return immediately to its longer-term 2% trend. Looking forward, workforce constraints should support the job market, the millennial generation continues to come of age (marriage, babies, houses), consumer and business balance sheets are well padded and there was little evidence of excess capacity in the freight-heavy machinery sector. To that end, the forecast anticipates the economic ship will begin to right itself into the end of 2023, setting the stage for renewed economic growth in 2024. This in turn will set the stage for commercial vehicle demand to return to peak-type early cycle demand levels by 2025.

A LOT TO LIKE Beyond that, and the list of “known unknowns,” there remains much to like about the US economy’s footing that we believe supports a modest - rather than severe - recession forecast. With >

As currently projected, the forecast anticipates that Class 8 production in 2023 will fall just 6% to 291,000 units, while our expectations for medium-duty vehicles actually rise 7% to 247,000 units.

LESS SPENDING Prior to Russia’s actions putting the final nails in the expansion’s coffin, ACT’s economic forecasts assumed a reversion to the mean in consumer goods spending. After two years of sitting at home buying stuff, goods consumption was oversaturated and vacation/experience demand was pent-up. With inflation eroding buying power at an accelerating rate at the same time as consumers move away from goods, there is significantly less freight per dollar in today’s economy.

the part of truckers right in front of the inevitable downturn in the freight cycle. This is especially true in the case of the freight-reliant heavy-duty tractor market. As such, volume declines in the Class 8 market following a strong freight cycle tend to be sharp. And, because of overbuilding and overconsumption at the top of the cycle, recoveries tend to lag. Being more exposed to the broader consumer economy, declines in the medium-duty market tend to be less steep into downturns, but the traditional path into recession is downward.

DEMAND, RECESSIONMEET

FORECAST 2023 ACT RESEARCH 38 | DIESEL PROGRESS | SEPTEMBER 2022

For consideration, CPI was up 8.5% year over year in July. Bad, but on a two-year stacked basis, consumer prices were up 14.2% in July (core at 5.9% and 10.4%, respectively). All of the above flipped ACT’s freight composite to negative territory in Q2 and pushed freight growth in our forecast to -3.2% in 2023, its sharpest contraction since 2008-2009. Despite near-term negatives, sticky wage inflation may prove problematic to our outlook if the Fed remains aggressive in fighting wage pressures.

Every major cycle prior to this one has been characterized by material overproduction and overbuying on already negative, strength in consumption, investment and employment metrics make a poor case that the macro economy is already in recession. With the Federal Reserve continuing to aggressively raise interest rates into 40-year high inflation, the two-edged impact of more expensive capital and the corrosive effect of inflation on buying power is projected to tip the economy into recession beginning around the fourth quarter of 2022.

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As a final thought, the third quarter is traditionally the weakest period of the year for new vehicle orders. Hence, we anticipate further backlog erosion through the quarter. With activity and profitability trending lower, the expectation is that new order activity in Q4 will be sufficient to raise backlogs seasonally, but will be muted in comparison to activity in years marked by healthy freight markets.

To conclude, while demand is heading lower, and while there is a stack of caveats, many of which could tip the economy into a deeper-than-forecast recession, there remains a lot to like about the footing of the industry – and the economy – heading into what we believe will be a shallow recession, with recovery in the latter part of 2023 into 2024.

DP 2022©CO.RESEARCHACTSOURCE: 2022©CO.RESEARCHACTSOURCE: TOTAL CLASSES 5-7: N.A. BACKLOG & BL/BU RATIO (JANUARY 2012 - JUNE 2022) TOTAL CLASS 8: N.A. BACKLOG & BL/BU RATIO (JANUARY 2012 - JUNE 2022)

IT’S DIFFERENT The medium- and heavy-duty markets both have key supports for our “it’s different this time” 2023 projections. The medium-duty market continues to enjoy the secular move toward online shopping. Cyclical factors are also at work as the heavy-duty OEMs have spent the better part of the past two years borrowing chips from their medium-duty product lines in order to maximize more profitable heavy-duty vehicle production. Despite near record backlogs to start 2022, our expectation is for medium-duty vehicle production to fall around 2% from 2021 levels to 230,000 units in 2022. We note that on a year-over-year basis, Classes 5-7 order backlogs in June were +18% from 2021 at 140,100 units. The mid-year 6.5-month BL/BU ratio was more than double its pre-pandemic 2.7-month average.Support for cycle-defying Class 8 demand comes in the form of still strong carrier profitability into 2023. While the “spot” freight rates that small truckers rely on have fallen sharply, large truckers compete in “contract” markets, which are only now beginning to come under pressure. Profitability is expected to fall into 2023 for the group of public carriers tracked by ACT after (potentially) backto-back record years. While not at record levels, 2023 is nevertheless projected to be the fourth best-ever on a margin basis, and third best-ever on a free-cash basis. Historically, there is a strong correlation between profits and equipment demand.

Truck rule, scheduled to take effect Jan. 1, 2024. ACT’s analysis suggests this rule, and the one being contemplated by the EPA, will drive major prebuys if enabled by carrier profitability , as is likely.

BIG BACKLOGS Like the medium-duty market, the heavyduty market continues to enjoy outsized backlogs and long lead times. The Class 8 backlog at midyear was 219,000 units, down 13% from June 2021, and 62,000 units from its September 2021 peak. The BL/BU ratio in June was 7.7 months on a very strong build rate. We note that some of the backlog constraint is being driven by the OEMs, who are considerably more cautious about extending order boards owing to the supply chain constraints that have left them unable to meet output obligations cycle-to-date. Wild swings in commodity prices have also made it difficult for the OEMs to post a sale price and make it stick.

FORECAST 2023 ACT RESEARCH 40 | DIESEL PROGRESS | SEPTEMBER 2022

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B osch Rexroth has introduced a variety of new mobile hydraulic products in 2022, including the eOC electrohydraulic solution, which moves control functions from the hydromechanical controller to the software – electronically controlling hydraulic pumps in open circuits to make mobile machines more flexible and productive.Themodular and scalable Rexroth

Bosch Rexroth also produces a load sensing valve platform that the company

BRAIDEDBYAEROQUIPDANFOSSHOSE

The Aeroquip by Danfoss EC881 Dynamax two-wire braided hose from Danfoss Power Systems features DuraPulse inner tube technology, hybrid wire braid reinforcement and a Dura-Tuff cover. The company said these features enable the hose to outperform standard EN 857 type 2SC hose specifications with a 35% higher pressure rating, 26% higher operating temperature, eight times more abrasion resistance, 67% greater flexibility (1/3 SAE bend radius) and five times more impulse life (1 million qualified impulse cycles). With its higher pressure capabilities, the hose can replace heavy, rigid, four-wire spiral hose in certain applications.

BOSCH TARGETSREXROTHELECTRIC eLION platform for the electrification of mobile machinery includes motorgenerators, inverters, gearboxes, software and accessories as well as matching hydraulics.Aspartof the eLION platform, the eGFZ spur gearboxes were developed to enable vehicle manufacturers to unlock the full potential of new electric motors, the company said. They are available in two-speed and one-speed versions for a range of applications.

MOBILE HYDRAULICS SEPTEMBER 2022 | DIESEL PROGRESS | 45 Salami’s 2PSE gear pump.

EC881 Dynamax hose is available in -4 through -24 sizes (0.25 to 1.5 in. inner diameter). It is suited for compact construction equipment, agricultural equipment, forestry equipment, mining, oil and gas, refuse truck, aerial lift, railway applications and more.

The 2PSE low noise gear pump from Salami SpA is available with displacements from 4.6 to 26 cm3/rev (0.27 to 1.62 cu. in./rev). Intermittent pressure is up to 280 bar. The compact, modular pump is suited for applications such as forklifts, agricultural vehicles, municipal vehicles, emissionspulsations80%Advantagesequipmentearthmovingandmore.includeanreductionofflowandnoisereductionsby up to 7 to 9 dB(A), on average, compared to standard gear pumps, said Salami. In addition, it is designed for vibration reduction and longer pump life. The unit’s low-noise design includes double flank engagement and tooth profile optimization designed to reduce relative sliding. Specific heat treatment minimizes gear deformation. Axial balancing bushings are optimized to minimize the volume trapped during teeth engagement.

SALAMI LOW-NOISE GEAR PUMP

Bosch Rexroth’s new mobile hydraulic product lineup for 2022.

LOOPCLOSEDKAWASAKIPUMP withcompactInc.MachineryKawasaki71ccloop,The K8V71DT closedtandem,pumpfromPrecision(USA)isdesignedforinstallationstheoutletportsconfigured on the same side of the pump for efficient piping layout. It is suited for two-pump, two-motor applications. Thepumpis rated for 6000 psi (420 bar) pressure and has a maximum inlet speed of 3300 rpm. Electric and hydraulic displacement controls are available.  said is easy to apply to today’s functional demands. The RM10-MPP and RM15MPP (medium pressure platform) are compact, general-purpose, multiapplication load sense directional control valves. ■

1000950900850800750700650600550500450400350300250200180160140120100806040200 Bezares Bondioli & Pavesi Bosch Rexroth Bucher Hydraulics Inc. Casappa ContinentalConcentricCorp.ABHydraulics/HydrecoCrossMfg.Dana(Brevini)DanfossDynexForceAmericaGeartekInc.HägglundsDrivesInc.(BoschRexrothCorp.)HartmannControlsHAWEHydraulikHengliAmerica manufacturersthebyprovidedinformationcurrentmosttheonBased Displacement in cc/rev 7 to 150 0.99 to 100 1.9 to 16010 to 193 1 to 100 0.25 to 500 17 to 87.9 1.07 to 180.73 0.5 to1.07161to 180.73 0.5 to 161 8 to 1088.2 to 151.6 8.2 to 151.6 6 to 226 0.7 to41.290 to 108.1 12 to 180 1 to 200 0.36 to 87.8 10 to 400 14.4 to 309.8 0.8 to 190 8 to 160 28 to 270 10 to 130 28 to 280 200 to 400 18 to14.4250 to 309.8 2.8 to 488 6 to 226 13 to 500 10.5 to 750 0.28 to 311.3 12 to 164 12 to 248 12 to 80 2.5 to 498.5 5 to 1000 5 to 4096 1.3 to 17,262 503 to 380,133 Vane Pumps Piston Pumps Gear Pumps Gerotors Motors 1.2 to 90 46 | DIESEL PROGRESS | SEPTEMBER 2022 3 to 270 11 to 150 20 to 110 20 to 110

1000950900850800750700650600550500450400350300250200180160140120100806040200 HydroHydro-GearLeducKawasakiKYB Liebherr (BoschMarzocchiLindeComponentsHydraulicsPumpsUSAMunciePowerProductsNachiAmericaNorthAmericanHydraulicsOilgearParkerHannifinCorp.PoclainHydraulicsRineerMotorsRexrothCorp.)RotaryPowerInc.SalamiSunfabTuffTorqCo.VonRudenManufacturingCo. manufacturersthebyprovidedinformationcurrentmosttheonBased 3 to 21 4 to 14 10 to 292 12 to 150 5 to 250 10 to 90 3 to 60 28 to 560 55 to 280 28 to 550 35 to 280 25 to 370 0.19 to 200 2.8 to 87 8 to 70 8 to 220 3.5 to 130 12.4 to 42.3 7 to 280 10.8 to 5406to 637 10 to 501 2 to 0.19315to309.8 7 to 250 2 to 83.2 2 to 62 1.4 to 9912 to 130 2.8 to 73.4 10 to 130 10 to 23 3 to 10 3.6 to 164 13 to 18 12 to 147 4 to 236 24 to 496 63 to 6800 480 to 12,000 1.9 to 22,500 2 to 35,000 10 to 33,000 82 to 4097 150 to 16,400 Displacement in cc/rev Vane Pumps Piston Pumps Gear Pumps Gerotors Motors SEPTEMBER 2022 | DIESEL PROGRESS | 47

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The cordless Jaibot can work for up to eight hours between charges.

When Hilti launched its Jaibot semiautonomous mobile drilling device in late 2020, it combined building information modeling (BIM) data with reference data from a robotic total station to drill overhead holes automatically. Now, Hilti has added features that enable it to drill even more complex ceiling types while enhancing ease of use and accuracy.

CONSTRUCTION ROBOTICS SEPTEMBER 2022 | DIESEL PROGRESS | 49 >

According to Dusty Robotics, its FieldPrinter autonomous robotic solution can lay out floor plans on jobsites up to 10 times faster than traditional manual crews with an accuracy up to 1/16 in. FieldPrinter utilizes existing BIM designs to print digital building models directly onto a jobsite floor, instructing crews exactly what to build and where. The system requires a control point file, Robotics automate manual processes. A lthough lagging other industries, construction is making strides in automation of certain jobsite functions to increase productivity and minimize the amount of time skilled workers have to spend on repetitive and/or lower skilled tasks. Here are recent additions and updates to robotic technology intended to take some of the manual labor out of the construction process.

DRILLING CAPABILITIES

According to Hilti, the Jaibot can now identify and map installed profiles of corrugated sheet metal deck structures, align with the digital plans and automatically adapt planned drill holes to pre-defined installation zones. It is able to detect existing installations or structural elements and adjust its working area and arm movements to avoid them.

ROBOTICSDUSTYPHOTO:

The Jaibot can now be used to drill holes in 3fromheightswallsconcreteverticalandstructuresmetalsheetdeckinataboutto18ft.

FieldPrinter uses existing BIM designs to print digital building models onto the jobsite floor.

In addition, the robot can now drill and mark holes in vertical concrete walls at heights from roughly 3 to 18 ft. The integration of a new sensor system improves hole drilling depth accuracy and distance measuring. As in the past, the robot executes drilling tasks automatically, while an intuitive remote control user interface enables the operator to ensure optimal placement and control. To automate the jobsite, users upload BIM data from Autocad or Revit to the Hilti cloud application, import the job file via the PLC 400 rugged field tablet for layout applications and locate the jobsite with the Hilti PLT 300 total station. This data is used by Jaibot to drill all holes

New 2D structural floor or installation plan upload options allow for increased background information, improved user management and filtering by diameter to establish a drilling path and plan execution, as well as enhanced reporting with features like Field-to-BIM data and drilling progress. An option to export data and print a 2D plan for potential field rework is also available.

within its range autonomously according to the digital drilling plan.

AUTOMATESFIELDPRINTERLAYOUT

HILTI ADDS TO ROBOT

PHOTO: HILTI

DYNAMICSBOSTONPHOTO:

Release 3.0 adds capabilities to Spot’s Autowalk system for more flexible autonomy.

SPOT ADDS FLEXIBILITY AND REPEATABILITY

ROBOTICSCONSTRUCTIONADVANCEDPHOTO:

 READ

Spot Release 3.0 streamlines automated inspections for even more flexible autonomy and effective, repeatable data capture and processing. It adds new capabilities to Spot’s Autowalk system, including mission editing, mission planning, dynamic replanning around blocked paths and scheduled missions for unsupervised autonomous inspections. It also allows repeatable image capture and live review of computer vision models.

■ How is Spot the robot being used on construction sites? - https://bit.ly/3bJ2CkR

Advanced Construction Robotics, maker of the TyBot rebar tying robot, is in the later stages of development on the IronBot, a rebar carrying and placing robot designed to self-place up to 5000 lb. bundles of transverse and longitudinal rebar in horizontal rebar applications. Built for quick assembly and deployment, MORE ONLINE

■ Autonomous robot used on US highway project - https://bit.ly/3Pf0SgI

■ New features for semi-autonomous mobile drilling robot - https://bit.ly/3JN0xAI

■ FieldPrinter autonomous robot automates jobsite layout - https://bit.ly/3zHpt8i

Boston Dynamics’ Spot mobile robot has seen a string of advancements since its launch in 2016, largely designed to make it friendlier for the company’s primary market of construction. Spot is designed to navigate terrain to automate routine inspection tasks and serve as a dynamic sensor to collect data. It is controlled remotely via an intuitive tablet application and built-in stereo cameras, and can be programmed to conduct repeatable, autonomous missions for consistent data capture.

it can integrate into any jobsite with screed rails, performing the heavy lifting, carrying and placing of rebar while enabling the crew to focus on other tasks.

IRONBOT TO TAKE ON HEAVY LIFTING

■ What are the benefits of autonomy and robotics? - https://bit.ly/3Pjsnpw

The new robot will compliment the TyBot, which can self-locate, self-position and self-tie up to 1100 rebar intersections per hour, the company said. The TyBot uses a tram housing a dual camera system that self-identifies rebar intersections. The tram moves along a fully integrated track system to autonomously position the tie module, which ties rebar intersections at 50% or 100% coverage. Power is provided by a 5500 watt, 120/240 V/22.9 amp Cummins Onan generator with a continuous run time of over 12 hours. When used in combination, the IronBot and TyBot will be able to increase productivity on rebar tying projects by at least 250%, the company asserted. The IronBot is scheduled to be available in the latter part of 2022. DP which signifies where in 2D space the system is operating. From there, model information is added that can be printed on the floor in DWG or CSV format. Any combination of points, text and lines are printed directly from a CAD file and linework styles can be customized to display layer information, such as wall types or plumbing types. The layout can be completed on flat surfaces including concrete, plywood subfloor, wood formwork and asphalt.

CONSTRUCTION ROBOTICS 50 | DIESEL PROGRESS | SEPTEMBER 2022

Recent advances added to the FieldPrinter technology include: ■ the ability to print around reshores or on congested sites using automatic obstacle detection and avoidance; ■ QR code printing to enable instant access to construction documents; ■ fast, efficient printing including singlepass printing of intersection points; ■ and real-time progress monitoring.

FieldPrinter comes in a customized hard case housing and the rest of the system includes a tripod, total station and ruggedized tablet. Using the tablet interface, the operator has full control over the layout. Once the job is completed, the report generator provides the user with a digital report of the completed work and productivity rates.

Other new features include the ability to remotely start payloads, configure payload parameters, etc.; remotely operate the optional Spot Arm via Spot CAM integration and split-screen view; and use configurable warning sounds to make bystanders aware of Spot’s movements.

250%.byproductivityincreasereportedlyprojectson(shown)andtheCombiningIronBotTyBotrebarwillatleast

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The company said it will advance fleet management, boost sustainability, streamline maintenance for users, and improve connectivity to cranes by working across smartphones, tablets and laptops.“Thelaunch of Connect kickstarts a new digital era of owning and operating Manitowoc cranes,” said Dirk Wolfsteller, vice president of Aftermarket for Grove in Europe. “In a matter of seconds, users can access mini excavators, wheel loaders and tracked carriers. “We want to make it as easy as possible for Yanmar Compact Equipment operators to keep their equipment running smoothly through routine maintenance,” said Jeff Pate, a range of features or data related to their cranes through the app-based platform. It allows unprecedented insight into their cranes, transforming performance, sustainability, and ultimately profitability linked to their investments.”

Yanmar

MANITOWOCPHOTO: YANMAR ROLLS OUT COMPACT EQUIPMENT MAINTENANCE KITS

“Grove crane owners can harness the power of data through Connect to better understand performance and maximize the return on their investment,” said Patrick Stelter, product manager for all-terrain cranes at Manitowoc. “For so many of our clients, their overall business goals are tied to issues like YANMAR the such as for equipment.”Thekitsgive customers the option to buy a single box from their dealer. The company offers maintenance kits with and without oil for each model. Each kit is based on what the machine’s manual recommends for a particular unit, with variations on hydraulic service, filters and fluids. Components are guaranteed to fit and are tested by Yanmar for maximum performance and machine life.

filters and fluids

Benefits include optimized troubleshooting thanks to the real-time availability of crane information. This allows remote technicians to quickly understand the status of the crane, with any error codes displayed through the app. The remote service team can then run root cause analysis and propose solutions without the delay of travel.

SERVICE/PARTS & REMAN SEPTEMBER 2022 | DIESEL PROGRESS | 53 director of sales for Yanmar Compact Equipment North America. “These maintenance kits not only provide a convenient option to help customers keep up with service intervals, the use of OEM parts can also reduce the life cycle cost of the

Connectsaidgoalstheyconnectivity.digitalization,sustainability,andWithConnectcannowadvancethoseandreapthebenefits.”Inthefuture,ManitowocitplanstoenabletobeembeddedintotheBIM(BuildingInformationManagement)modelforaprojectandallowthecreationofdigitaltwinsofthecrane.■ Yanmar developedEquipmentCompacthasmaintenancekitsforallofitscurrentandmanylegacymodels. PHOTO:

Manitowoc has launched Connect, a digital platform that will be shown at Bauma 2022. It enables remote monitoring through an app-based system that gives owners and operators the ability to view real-time crane information, receive alerts and exchange data. Further functionality will be added in the future.

Yanmar Compact Equipment has developed maintenance kits for service interval maintenance on its machines. Available for all current and many legacy models,

kits are available through dealers and come with items

MANITOWOC INTRODUCES DIGITAL SOLUTION FOR CRANE OWNERS

The platform will initially be installed on Potain tower cranes and Grove allterrain cranes. The company said it plans to add other product lines and brands in dueForcourse.Grove, it will initially be available on GMK all-terrain cranes produced from 2023. It will be offered on all new models and available to retrofit on cranes equipped with the CCS control system.

Connect will be available on GMK all-terrainproducedcranesfrom2023.

INTERNATIONALFLUIDPOWEREXPO MARCH 14-18, 2023 LAS VEGAS, NV, USA The International Fluid Power Exposition (IFPE) is the place where engineers meet to: “There’s no other show in the world I think that brings the OEM machine manufacturers and the suppliers as close together as this show. It’s a good place to meet and learn about what’s going on. In the Americas, in the Western Hemisphere, this is the show for fluid power.” KEN ROSENBECKER SALES MANAGER NORTH AMERICA | WIPRO INFRASTRUCTURE ENGINEERING IFPE only happens once every three years! SAVE 20% OFF REGISTRATION Register now at IFPE.com and type AD20 in the Promo Code box Discover solutions current suppliers can offer to your unique challenges. Find new partners among suppliers pushing the envelope on what fluid power can do. CONNECT WITH TOP MANUFACTURERSCO-LOCATED WITH CONEXPO-CON/AGG (two shows, one price) Including Bosch Rexroth, Danfoss Power Solutions, Parker Hannifin, Poclain, IFM Efector, Hawe Hydraulik, Husco, and 375+ more! Join your peers from these OEMs: ∙ Caterpillar Inc ∙ Volvo EquipmentConstruction ∙ EquipmentCASELiebherrConstruction ∙ Komatsu ∙ John Deere Construction ∙ Doosan Bobcat ∙ KOBELCO Construction Machinery USA ∙ LBX Company Spark new ideas with in-depth technical conversations with other engineers. The #1 Trade Show & Conference for Fluid Power, Power Transmission, and Motion Control

Content is now cloud-based, rather than native, to reduce the application’s size from 1.3 GB to 227 MB and enhance accessibility to new and updated content. And, the inspection assistance functionality has expanded to cover annual machine inspections, daily machine inspections and pre-delivery inspections.

PHOTO: JLG

JLG REALITYAUGMENTEDAPP

The Cat 350 excavator can work at up to 14,764 ft. above sea level and has standard high-ambient temperature capability 126° F and coldstart capability of 0° F.

“Caterpillar is committed to reducing greenhouse gas emissions, while helping our customers meet their climate-related objectives,” said Brian Abbott, Caterpillar global product manager for large hydraulic excavators.

The Cat C9.3B diesel engine rated 413 hp has 1000-hour oil and fuel filter service intervals. The hydraulic oil filter offers a 3000-hour replacement interval – an increase of 50% over the previous design – and provides improved filtration.

New machines and content have also been added to the JLG AR app’s equipment modules offering users more than 60 models to view and manipulate in 3-D.

“This new, expanded version of the JLG AR app not only has a more modern look and feel, but it also operates more effectively and efficiently,” said Ara Eckel, director of product management for connected solutions, JLG. The app continues to provide five functions that increase safety, and efficiency on job sites: 1) Machine Visualization, 2) Accessory Visualization, 3) Operation Guidance, 4) Decal Viewer and 5) Inspection Assistant. Upgrades include several performanceenhancing capabilities to these functions, such as a refreshed mobile application interface and experience that starts at the machine level, allowing users to select a product and go directly into its content module from the menu guide or through the app’s improved search functionality.

PHOTO: CATERPILLAR

JLG Industries Inc. has given the JLG Augmented Reality (AR) app a facelift. The upgrades include a new interface, content, cloud-based and offline use, expanded machine inspections functionality and a “Fleet” feature.

The new “Fleet” feature helps JLG customers optimize their fleet management in the app. Users can now add and store multiple assets for tracking by serial number/asset ID. And, users can save data on machines and access it instantly, regardless of connectivity.

Cat Payload onboard weighing gives real-time weight estimates to achieve precise load targets and improve efficiency, said the company. Combined with VisionLink, Payload offers remote managing of production targets. The monitor’s USB port also allows fleet managers to download 30 days of work for management without an internet connection or VisionLink subscription.

The 350 can work at up to 4500 m (14,764 ft) above sea level. It features standard high-ambient temperature capability of 52° C (126° F), cold-start capability at -18° C (0° F) with optional cold-start capability at -32 C (-25° F). Automatic hydraulic warmup gets the machine to work faster and prolongs the life of machine components. A double element air intake filter with pre-cleaner has high dust capacity, and the machine’s hydraulic fan has automatic reverse. ■

The excavator’s standard Cat 2D Grade system indicates depth and slope on the monitor with alerts to increase operating efficiency. Grade Assist helps the operator to stay on grade with single-lever digging, said the company. For truck loading and trenching applications, Swing Assist automatically stops excavator swing at setpoints to consume less fuel. Lift Assist helps to avoid machine tipping by letting the operator know the load is within safe working range limits. To work around obstructions, 2D E-Fence prevents the excavator from moving outside of operator-defined set points. A round-up of some of the latest developments in construction equipment.

NEW CAT EXCAVATOR350 T he new Cat 350 excavator can be equipped with buckets up to 3.2 m3 (4.2 yd3) for high productivity while consuming up to 13% less fuel than the Cat 349. Three power mode options – Smart, Power, and Eco –further reduce fuel consumption.

EQUIPMENT YARD SEPTEMBER 2022 | DIESEL PROGRESS | 55

The awards will be selected by a judging panel that includes decades of industry experience. The judges are David Hoffman, recently retired as director of worldwide marketing, sales, and customer support for John Deere Power Systems; Steve Neva, International Standards and Regulations manager, Doosan Bobcat North America; Jim Saunders, new business development for MurCal Inc.; and Andy Noble, president of Ricardo Japan and Ricardo Korea. To download entry forms, please go to awards.htmldieselprogresssummit.com/https://

DIESEL HR POLARIS INC. announced SPEETZEN has been officer and appointed to the company’s board of directors and that BOB MACK has been named executive vice president and chief financial officer. Speetzen and Mack have been serving as interim CEO and interim CFO, respectively, sinceMackJanuary.willcontinue to oversee the corporate development and global adjacent markets teams and executive vice president of Finance Corporate Development and president of Global Adjacent Markets.Speetzen was senior vice president and CFO of Xylem Inc. since 2011, when the company was formed from the spinoff of the water businesses of ITT Corp. Mack joined Polaris in April 2016 as senior vice president of Corporate Development and Strategy, and president of Adjacent HELIOSBILLYTECHNOLOGIESALDRIDGE senior vice president, managing director of Enovation ControlspresidentLLC,of Electronic Controls, has resigned Aldridge brings over 21 years of experience in the electronic and operations industry. He joined MerCruiser/Mercury, part of the Brunswick Corp., in 2000, where he earned his Lean Six Sigma and worked in many functional areas including supply chain, program management and OEM sales.

Nominations are now open for the Diesel Progress Awards, which will be part of the third Annual Diesel Progress Summit, which will be held Oct. 25-26 at the Loew’s Chicago Hotel in Rosemont, Ill. “The achievementsremarkableinengine and powertrain engineering are too often unnoticed and unrecognized,” said Mike Brezonick, vice president of editorial for Diesel Progress “The Diesel Progress Awards are intended to shine a bright light and honor the products, technologies and companies that make the industry great.” The awards categories for 2021 are: n Engine of the Year Under 175 Hp. n Engine of the Year Over 175 Hp.

NEWS Raven Industries Inc. has launched a new product brand and autonomous growth platform, OMNi. The new brand is said to highlight Raven’s advancements in autonomous solutions for agriculture with a strategic offering of two integrated products: OMNiDRIVE and OMNiPOWER. The OMNi name is expected to take center stage within “EmpoweringRaven.‘all’ is exactly what OMNiPOWER and OMNiDRIVE bring to the agriculture industry. OMNi enables holistic, hands-free precision; it gives the farmer total control of their time and maximizes operational productivity and efficiency,” said Nick Langerock, director of Strategic Marketing for Raven. “As we bring OMNi to market, we want farmers to understand that some of their pain points are now more manageable through autonomous solutions. OMNi solutions allow the farmer to trust the routine tasks to automation and focus on important farm functions.”TheOMNiDRIVE replaces the AutoCart name from the acquisition of Smart Ag, while the Dot name used for the self-propelled power

NEW BRANDING, LOGO FOR CONEXPO identity for ConExpoCon/Agg reflects how the show and our industry has evolved and what it aspires to be in the future,” said Dana Wuesthoff, vice president exhibitions and event services at the Association of director.ConExpo-Con/AggManufacturersEquipment(AEM)andshow“Theforward motion of the logo matches the forward motion of the show, where construction professionals experience the latest deepeningmomentum,indicatearrowswithingrowprofessionalandparticipateequipment,indemonstrationseducation,makenewconnections,andtheirownmarketabilitytheindustry.”Theforward-pointingaredesignedtoprogressandwhilethecolorsrepresent growth, AEM said. The tread-like arrangement of the arrows conveys traction and making a mark on the construction industry. This is the first complete overhaul of the event's identity since ConExpo and Con-Agg combined in 1996. The next event takes place in Las Vegas over March 14-18, 2023. n

BUSINESS NOTES DOOSAN BOBCAT NORTH AMERICA said it is planning $70 million expansion of its Statesville, N.C., manufacturing facility. The company said it will construct an additional 580,000 sq.ft. to its manufacturing operations, which will create 250 new, full-time jobs over the next five years. Construction is expected to begin in July and be completed in '22. The announcement came on the heels of an earlier $11 million facility upgrade at Statesville which was completed in January. The company said the new investment will enable to meet growing demand platform is now OMNiPOWER. All of Raven’s intelligent autonomous solutions for the farm industry will be branded with the OMNi prefix and are part of one connected ecosystem that leverages Raven’s technology portfolio. OMNiDRIVE is Raven’s aftermarket technology kit that transforms existing tractors into driverless machines. OMNiPOWER is self-propelled machine that interchanges with farm implements (see the May issue of Diesel Progress). It will be available for order this summer with expected delivery in the fall.

COVID-19 UPDATES For up-to-the minute updates as the pandemic continues to impact the industry, go to www.dieselprogress.com

The Diesel Progress Awards will be presented during the evening of the Diesel Progress Summit on Oct. 27, following a day of presentations about new power technologies along with sessions about the latest improvements in engines. The 2021 event follows a virtual program in 2020 that drew more than 1400 attendees from 71 countries. To find out more or to register, go to index.htmldieselprogresssummit.com/https:// n early 2022 and move telehandler production to a new plant in Monterrey, Mexico. The company currently manufactures its Genie line of telehandlers in Oklahoma City and Umbertide, Italy. John Garrison, Terex Corp. chairman and CEO, attributed the Oklahoma plant closure and production move as means for Terex to improve its global cost competitiveness.hasacquired 80% of the shares in EDN, a Italy-based specialist of battery chargers.

PROGRESSOPENNOMINATIONSFORDIESELAWARDS

NEWS DIESEL HR n of the Year. n Employer of the Year. n Year.ApplicationElectric/Hybridofthe n Engine Distributor of the Year. n Technology of the n The Diesel AchievementProgressofthe Companies are invited to nominate themselves or their customers or suppliers. “Innovation happens at all levels,” said Chad Elmore, managing editor of Diesel Progress “OEMs and suppliers are in great position to understand what excellence in engine and powertrain engineering looks like. We want to hear from them.”

for all Doosan Bobcat products, including its Doosan Portable Power equipment and the growing line of Bobcat grounds maintenance and landscaping industry products. TEREX CORP. will close its Oklahoma City manufacturing facility in NEW BRANDING, LOGO FOR CONEXPO ConExpo-Con/Agg has unveiled a new brand identity and tag line. The “Taking Construction to the Next Level” branding is intended to reflect the growth and momentum of the construction industry and the role the exhibition plays in connecting innovators, equipment manufacturers and construction professionals. Held every three years in Las tradeAmerica’sConExpo-Con/AggVegas,isNorthlargestconstructionshow.“Thelaunchofanew

Videowebinarsadditionalpodcasts,andinterviews.additionalwalkarounds,eventcoverage&productlaunches.

RB ROYAL has appointed executive officer and president. Kanwar succeeds John Valek, 27-year-veteran at the company Royal in strategic consulting capacity.Kanwar has served as chief operating officer at RB Royal since February of this year. He previously worked at Rockwell Automation for 18 years.

n 12 issues per year of the magazine in digital format available on the day of publication n Weekly eNewsletter - keep up-to-date with the latest industry news n Subscribe for your free digital issue here today www.khl.com/free-subscription GUARANTEE YOUR FREE DIGITAL ISSUE OF www.khl.com

RAVEN SOLUTIONSAUTONOMOUSREBRANDSBUSINESS

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Image additionalgalleriescontent,productsandcomponentviews. Audio

related industry sectors worldwide.AEMsaid the equipment manufacturing industry in the United States supports 2.8 million jobs and contributes roughly $288 billion to the economy every year. UNITED STATES AG TRACTOR AND COMBINE REPORT JULY 2022 JULYYTD – JULYBeginning 20222021Inventory % Chg20222021% ChgJuly 2WD2022 Farm Tractors < 40 HP 14,08519,548-27.9113,266137,837-17.855,960 40 < 100 HP 5,9737,138-16.337,97843,723-13.121,534 100+ HP 2,5052,04022.813,78412,27112.37,372 TOTAL 2WD FARM 4WDTRACTORS22,56328,726-21.5165,028193,831-14.984,866 Farm TOTALTractors34728521.81,6331,731-5.7466 FARM SELF-PROPELLEDTRACTORS22,91029,011-21.0166,661195,562-14.885,332 COMBINES7156559.22,8652,930-2.21,160 CANADA AG TRACTOR AND COMBINE REPORT JULY 2022 JULYYTD – JULYBeginning 20222021Inventory % Chg20222021% ChgJuly 2WD2022 Farm Tractors < 40 HP 1,7301,873-7.611,71012,960-9.66,688 40 < 100 HP 534640-16.63,4023,571-4.72,630 100+ HP 317403-21.32,0562,113-2.71,447 TOTAL 2WD FARM 4WDTRACTORS2,5812,916-11.517,16818,644-7.910,765 Farm TOTALTractors786127.9427546-21.8116 FARM SELF-PROPELLEDTRACTORS2,6592,977-10.717,59519,190-8.310,881 COMBINES247365-32.3728934-22.1485 seeing in farm equipment unit sales track with trends we’re seeing in the overall economy,” said Curt Blades,

Heavy-duty tractors were positive, including the 100plus hp two-wheel drive (2WD) segment (up 22.8%) and four-wheel drive (4WD) units (up 21.8%), indicating continued optimism among row-crop farmers. Mid-range tractors between 40 to 100 hp fell 16.3%, and the sub-40 hp segment led segment losses, down 27.9%. Total farm tractor sales are down 14.8% year-to-date, while combine harvester unit sales are now down only 2.2% on the year.

AND IN CANADA… In Canada, overall unit sales in tractors were down 10.7%, losing in all 2WD sectors, though 4WD tractors were up 27.9%. Unit sales in 2WD segments fell 11.5%, led by 100-plus hp units’ fall of 21.3%. Combine harvester unit sales fell 32.3% to 247 units sold. Year-to-date farm tractor unit sales are down 8.3% in Canada, while harvesters are down 22.1%, reversing the previous month’s improvement.“Rightnow, the trends we’re constructionsenior

vice president, industry sectors and product leadership, at AEM. “The segments that are still positive – harvesters and row-crop tractors – are high-dollar units. Farmers don’t invest in this kind of equipment unless they feel certain enough future markets will allow them to pay for them.” ■ reserved.rightsAllAEM.Copyright, source.theasAEMacknowledgepleasereferenced,isdataIf reserved.rightsAllAEM.Copyright, source.theasAEMacknowledgepleasereferenced,isdataIf FULL REPORTS The full reports can be found in the Market Data section of the AEM website under Ag Tractor and Combine ag-tractor-combine-reportsmarket-data/statistics/canadian-and-combine-reportsdata/statistics/us-ag-tractor-Reports.U.S.:www.aem.org/market-Canada:www.aem.org/

U.S. and Canadian ag tractor monthly unit sales fell in July 2022, while harvester sales grew in the U.S., per the latest data from the Association of Equipment Manufacturers (AEM). U.S. total farm tractor sales fell 21% in July vs. 2021, while U.S. self-propelled combine sales grew 9.2% to 715 units sold, the second straight month of gains.

SEPTEMBER 2022 | DIESEL PROGRESS | 57

COMBINES, TRACTORS GAIN MOMENTUM IN JULY ABOUT AEM AEM is the North Americabased international trade group representing off-road equipment manufacturers and suppliers, with more than 1000 companies and more than 200 product lines in the agriculture and

ISUZU MOTORS AMERICA, LLC has appointed Masaaki Sugino to executive vice president, PowerTrain Division. He succeeds Naoki Oka, who has retired after a long career at the company, including the last five years as executive vice president, PowerTrain Division. Sugino has had 15 years of extensive training and multiple global management positions within Isuzu Motors Limited, Isuzu’s parent company. He holds a master’s degree in International Relations and a background in manufacturing operations, procurement, marketing and sales.

The 12-cylinder engine has a displacement of 50.4 L (170 mm bore x 185 mm stroke) and an electrical power output up to 1520 kWe for prime power and 1653 kWe for standby power, both at 1800 rpm. The 16-cylinder engine has a displacement of 67.2 L (170 mm bore x 185 mm stroke) and electrical power output up to 2019 kWe for prime power and 2204 kWe standby, again at 1800 rpm.

■ KOHLER OKS HVO IN USA

GLOBAL ENGINE NEWS 58 | DIESEL PROGRESS | SEPTEMBER 2022

The mtu 8V 199 TE21 diesel.

NEW ISOTTA DIESEL

The series is composed of 12- and 16-cylinder, vee-configuration engines with direct fuel injection, turbocharging and supercharged cooling system with an enginedriven centrifugal pump. The fuel injection system incorporates high-pressure injection pumps and a feed pump, while engine speed is managed by an electronic governor.

Isotta Fraschini said it is completing test runs for the 12-cylinder version of its V170G diesel engine. This unit completes the new V170G series of industrial engines and will be presented to generator set manufacturers starting this month.

The 12-cylinder V170G engine by Isotta Fraschini.

15.9 L mtu 8V 199 TE21 eight-cylinder, turbocharged, liquid-cooled diesel engine. The engine is rated 805 hp (600 kW), a 94 hp (70 kW) increase over previous versions of the vehicles. The increased power will allow for enhanced operational mobility and agility even given the armored vehicle’s higher weight, plus enable a higher electrical load, Rolls-Royce said. Most of the engines for the project will be manufactured at Rolls-Royce Solutions UK in East Grinstead.

versionBritishfromForces.(MIV)MechanizedenginesaBAELandsysteme/RheinmetallRheinmetallSystemsLandtodelivertotalof523mtuSeries199topowertheBoxerInfantryVehiclefortheBritishArmedDeliverieswillextend2022through2030.TheBoxerMIVfortheArmywillbethefirstequippedwiththe

DEUTZ CORP. has announced that Deutz Power Centers will transition to an EastWest structure with general managers from each region reporting to Dominick “Nick” Vermet, vice president of Deutz Power Center operations, until his retirement in December 2022. They will then report to David Evans, Deutz Corp. president and CEO. Will Hicks, current branch manager at Deutz Power Center Southeast, will become general manager of the East Region. Ben Sanders, current branch manager at Deutz Power Center Midwest, will become general manager of the West Region. Matt McQuinn, former service supervisor at Deutz Power Center Midwest, will take over Sanders’ role as branch manager at that location. Nick Crossland will become service supervisor for Deutz Power Center Midwest. Steven Long will take on the role of operations manager of Deutz Power Center Southeast, and Gary Lewis will become the operations manager of Deutz Power Center St. Louis.

FRASCHINIISOTTAPHOTO:PHOTO:ROLLS-ROYCE

Kohler has announced that all of its diesel-fueled engines are now approved for use with hydrotreated vegetable oil (HVO) in the United States in line with the ASTM D975 standard. This follows a February 2022 announcement of approval to use HVO in its diesel engines in Europe per the EN15940 standard.

HVO can be produced from various vegetable oils and fats and can result in up to a 90% reduction in CO2 output depending on the raw material used in production. Its very low sulphur content can also benefit engine exhaust emissions. The use of HVO in pure or blended form with conventional diesel does not require any specific engine modifications or upgrades, said Kohler. However, an exhaust gas aftertreatment system remains necessary where already provided.

MTU ENGINES FOR MIVS Rolls-Royce said it has signed contracts with partners Krauss-Maffei Wegmann/ WFEL and

21-22 OCT 22 Coreum, Stockstadt/Germany

www.deutz.com moving the world sustainably Whether it’s a diesel, hydrogen, electric or hybrid engine, sustainable driving is the big issue now and for the future. How will it be implemented in the off-road sector? When will fleet and corporate transformation happen? What infrastructure is required? These are the questions that DEUTZ will address at DEUTZ DAYS 22 at the Coreum in Stockstadt.

Behind life’s every moment For 90 years we’ve provided dependable power for over 22 million machines. Today, our solutions continue to power livelihoods, build communities and grow businesses. www.perkins.com

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