A BRAVE NEW WORLD!
The Future: With what appears is going to be a significant change in our government and a new administration's policies, there is fear about the future. It will be interesting to see what really becomes "the future". Here is a look based on existing and developing technologies, with logical conclusions on how these technologies have, and will continue to grow and affect our daily lives. Share this with your kids - maybe keep a copy to read in the future! ------------------------------------------------In 1998, Kodak a world leader in photography equipment and film had 170,000 employees and sold 85% of all photo paper worldwide. Within just a few years, their business model disappeared and they went bankrupt. What happened to Kodak will happen in a lot of industries in the next 10 years - and most people won't see it coming. Did you think in 1998 that 3 years later you would never take pictures on film again? Yet digital cameras were invented in 1975. The first ones only had 10,000 pixels, but followed Moore's law. So as with all exponential technologies, it was a disappointment for a long time, before it became way superior and became mainstream in only a few short years. This will now happen with Artificial Intelligence, health, autonomous and electric cars, education, 3D printing, agriculture and jobs. Welcome to the 4th Industrial Revolution. Welcome to the Exponential Age. Software will disrupt most traditional industries in the next 5-10 years. Uber is just a software tool, they don't own any cars, and are now the biggest taxi company in the world. Airbnb is now the biggest hotel company in the world, although they don't own any properties. There is an app called "moodies" which can already tell in which mood you’re in. By 2020 there will be apps that can tell by your facial expressions, if you are lying. Imagine a political debate where it's being displayed when they're telling the truth and when they’ re not.
Artificial Intelligence: Computers become exponentially better in understanding the world. This year, a computer beat the best Go (an abstract strategy board game for two players, in which the aim is to surround more territory than the opponent.) player in the world, 10 years earlier than expected. Because of IBM Watson, you can get legal advice (so far for more or less basic stuff) within seconds and with 90% accuracy compared with 70% accuracy when done by humans. In the US, young lawyers already don't get jobs. So if you study law, stop and think, immediately. There will be 90% fewer lawyers in the future, only specialists will remain. Watson already helps nurses diagnosing cancer, 4 times more accurate than human nurses.. Facebook now has a pattern recognition software that can recognize faces better than humans. In 2030, computers will become more intelligent than humans. Electricity will become incredibly cheap and clean: Solar production has been on an exponential curve for 30 years, but you can now see the burgeoning impact. Last year, more solar energy was installed worldwide than fossil. Energy companies are desperately trying to limit access to the grid to prevent competition from home solar installations, but that can't last. Technology will take care of that strategy. With cheap electricity comes cheap and abundant water. Desalination of salt water now only needs 2kWh per cubic meter (@ 0.25 cents). We don't have scarce water in most places, we only have scarce drinking water. Imagine what will be possible if anyone can have as much clean water as he wants, at nearly no cost. Cars: Electric cars will become mainstream about 2020. Cities will be less noisy because all new cars will run on this cheap electricity. In 2018 the first self driving cars will appear for the public to purchase. Traditional car companies continue to take the evolutionary approach and just build a better, faster, prettier car, while tech companies (Tesla, Apple,Google) are taking the revolutionary approach and building computers on wheels. Around 2020, the entire industry will start to be disrupted. Many engineers from Volkswagen and Audi; are already terrified of Tesla. Car companies who don't change will probably become bankrupt. Indeed, people will not want to own a car anymore. You will simply call a car with your phone, it will show up at your location and drive you to your destination.
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YES YOU CAN...
You will not need to park it, you only pay for the driven distance and you can be productive while driving. Gen Z (also seek compassionate, careful known as Post-Millennials, the counseling if you are experiencing iGeneration, Founders, Plurals, mental health or chemical health or the Homeland Generation, problems. “Let me help.� the demographic cohort after the Millennials) may never need a Annette M. Larson Counseling driver's license nor a car. Specializing in Crisis & Addiction Recovery M.A., LPC, LADC It will also change the cities, because we will need 90-95% Northtown Psychology Associates 199 Coon Rapids Blvd., Suite 310 fewer cars for that. Hopefully we (763) 785-8111, ext. 10 will transform former parking spaces into parks. 1.2 million people die each year are several startups who will bring insect in car accidents worldwide. We now have protein to the market shortly. It contains one accident every 60,000 mi (100,000 more protein than meat. It will be labeled km), with autonomous driving that will as"alternative protein source" (because drop to one accident in 6 million mi (10 most people still reject the idea of eating million km). That will save a million lives insects). each year. This will spell massive trouble Bitcoin may even become the default for Insurance companies because without reserve currency. Of the world. accidents competative insurance will become 100x cheaper. The car insurance Longevity: Right now, the average life business model will eventually disappear. span increases by 3 months per year. Four Real Estate will change as well, because years ago, the life span used to be 79 years, if you can work at home or while you now it's 80 years. The increase itself is commute, people will move further away increasing so by 2036, there will be more to live in less crowded communities. than one year increase per year. So we all might live for a long long time, probably Health: way more than 100. The Tricorder X Education: The cheapest smart phones A price will be announced this year. from are already at $10 in Africa and Asia. By a companiy who is building a medical 2020, 70% of all humans will own a smart device (called the "Tricorder" from Star phone. That means everyone has the same Trek) that works with your phone, which access to world class education. Every takes your retina scan, your blood sample child can use Khan academy (a non-profit and you can breathe into it. It then educational organization created in 2006 analyzes 54 bio markers that will identify by educator Salman Khan with a goal of nearly any disease. It will become cheap, creating an accessible place for people to so in a few years everyone on this planet be educated. The organization produces will have access to world class medical short lectures in the form of YouTube analysis, nearly for free. Goodbye, medical videos) for everything a child learns at establishment as we've known it. school in First World countries. We have already released our software in Indonesia 3D printing: The price of the cheapest and will release it in Arabic, Swheli and 3D printer came down from $18,000 to Chinese this Summer, because I see an $400 within 10 years. In the same time,it enormous potential. We will give the became 100 times faster. All major shoe English app for free, so that children in companies have already started3D printing Africa can become fluent in English within shoes. Some spare airplane parts are half a year. already 3D printed in remote airports. Boom! The space station now has a printer that eliminates the need for the large amount of See 3D Homes spare parts they used to have in the past. Scan this QR code At the end of this year, new smart phones will have 3D scanning possibilities. You with your SmartPhone can then 3D scan your feet and print your perfect shoe at home. In China, they already 3D printed and built a complete 6-story office building. By 2027, 10% of everything that's being produced will be 3D printed. Business opportunities: If you think of a niche you want to go in, ask yourself: "in the future, do you think we will have that?" and if the answer is yes, how can you make that happen sooner? If it doesn't work with yourphone, forget the idea. And any idea designed for success in the 20th century is doomed to failure in the 21st century. Work: 70-80% of jobs will disappear in the next 20 years. There will be a lot of new jobs, but it is not clear if there will be enough new jobs in such a smalltime. Agriculture: There will be a $100 agricultural robot in the future. Farmers in 3rd world countries can then become managers of their field instead of working all day on their fields. Aeroponics will need much less water. The first Petri dish produced veal, is now available and will be cheaper than cow produced veal in 2018. Right now, 30% of all agricultural surfaces is used for cows. Imagine if we don't need that space anymore. There
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