Market Action Report for Portland Real Estate Market

Page 1

A Publication of RMLS™, The Source for Real Estate Statistics in Your Community Residential Review: Metro Portland, Oregon July Residential Highlights Closed and pending sales were both up in July 2011 compared with July 2010. Additionally, the inventory level in July 2011 was down 3.8 months compared with the same month a year ago. Closed sales grew 21% in July 2011 compared to July 2010. Pending sales were up 18.4%, and new listings dropped 27%. See residential highlights table below. Comparing June 2011 with July 2011, closed sales decreased from 1,958 to 1,709 (-12.7%). Pending sales decreased from 2,001 to 1,928 (-3.7%). New listings went down from 3,143 to 2,942 (-6.4%). At the month’s rate of sales, the 11,970 active residential listings would last about 7 months. Sale Prices Average sale price for July 2011 declined 7.4% compared to July

Change

2010

2011

Portland Metro Residential Highlights July

2010. Median sale price also fell 7.6%. See residential highlights table below. Month to month, comparing June 2011 to July 2011, sale price activity rose slightly. Average sale price went up from $267,100 to $275,100 (3%) while median sale price increased from $222,900 to $227,200 (1.9%). Year-to-Date Comparing January-July 2010 with the same period in 2011, sales activity was down. Closed sales decreased by 4.3% (11,717 v. 11,209). Pending sales went down by 1.4% (12,733 v. 12,550), and new listings fell 26% (30,051 v. 22,245). NOTE: In August 2011 Farms listings (formerly separate) were merged, as appropriate, to either Residential or Land.

July 2011 Reporting Period Inventory in Months* 2009 2010 2011 January 19.2 12.6 11.3 February 16.6 12.9 10.9 March 12.0 7.8 7.1 April 11.0 7.3 7.2 May 10.2 7.0 6.8 June 8.2 7.3 6.0 July 7.3 10.8 7.0 August 7.8 11.0 September 7.6 10.5 October 6.5 10.7 November 7.1 10.2 December 7.7 7.9 *Inventory in Months is calculated by dividing the Active Listings at the end of the month in question by the number of closed sales for that month. Percent Change of 12-Month Sale Price Compared With The Previous 12 Months Average Sale Price % Change: -5% ($269,900 v. $284,200) Median Sale Price % Change: -5.4% ($227,000 v. $240,000)

For further explanation of this measure, see the second footnote on page 2.

New Listings

Pending Sales

Closed Sales

Average Sale Price

Median Sale Price

Total Market Time

2,942

1,928

1,709

275,100

227,200

132

22,245

12,550

11,209

262,800

220,000

149

4,029

1,629

1,412

297,000

246,000

121

Year-to-date

30,051

12,733

11,717

282,900

240,000

130

July

-27.0%

18.4%

21.0%

-7.4%

-7.6%

8.9%

Year-to-date

-26.0%

-1.4%

-4.3%

-7.1%

-8.3%

13.9%

Year-to-date July

*Total Market Time is the number of days from when a property is listed to when an offer is accepted on that same property. If a property is re-listed within 31 days, Total Market Time continues to accrue; however, it does not include the time that it was off the market.

© Copyright RMLS™ 2011. All Rights Reserved.


AREa REPORT • 7/2011

Portland Metropolitan Area, Oregon

Average Sale Price

Year-To-Date

Average Sale Price

Median Sale Price

Average Sale Price

Pending Sales 2011 v. 2010

Pending Sales 2011

3

Total Market Time

Year-To-Date

247,300

98

902

534

1.5%

495

217,300

205,000

-6.0%

3

327,200

15

88,500

10

262,100

NE Portland

880

283

120

193

12.9%

198

267,700

109

2,095

1,256

-6.3%

1,155

268,400

225,000

-3.7%

13

298,600

18

158,700

50

394,700

SE Portland

1,178

363

145

223

8.3%

231

220,600

102

2,646

1,564

-7.3%

1,414

211,400

178,800

-6.6%

21

355,700

22

146,100

61

336,800

772

194

87

127

24.5%

106

200,700

170

1,426

817

-2.7%

754

194,700

175,000

-7.4%

5

275,000

36

97,900

19

178,400

144 145

Milwaukie/ Clackamas

1,031

240

93

130

-0.8%

125

234,900

97

1,808

945

-2.6%

870

237,800

219,800 -10.1%

2

610,800

47

125,100

15

418,600

146

Oregon City/ Canby

716

154

71

109

51.4%

82

250,200

147

1,166

666

11.0%

571

229,300

208,500

-9.6%

2

65,000

30

152,500

5

174,200

147

Lake Oswego/ West Linn

870

173

93

109

6.9%

94

494,000

149

1,439

705

0.4%

622

423,500

371,800

-9.1%

-

3

317,700

1

399,000

1,454

346

134

222

18.1%

198

388,500

161

2,619

1,482

6.2%

1,331

389,900

329,900

-1.3%

8

423,000

36

177,700

12

586,800

NW Wash Co.

499

130

53

95

18.8%

84

440,500

112

1,052

642

2.7%

585

362,000

320,000

-0.7%

2

430,800

21

262,100

2

298,800

150

Beaverton/ Aloha

919

246

117

189

26.8%

131

219,800

135

1,851

1,147

-3.5%

996

208,000

190,000 -11.2%

3

191,000

10

213,300

12

262,800

Tigard/ Wilsonville

1,063

271

113

170

20.6%

138

274,700

146

1,953

1,038

-1.4%

885

278,700

258,900

-6.0%

3

34,600

21

224,300

11

203,400

Hillsboro/ Forest Grove

763

191

67

138

24.3%

112

208,700

136

1,423

861

-5.0%

748

204,200

190,000 -10.8%

9

218,700

18

171,400

26

233,600

Mt. Hood

165

27

11

6

-45.5%

10

209,500

157

180

50

-18.0%

49

202,100

172,500 -11.1%

-

4

133,000

Columbia Co.

448

75

37

52

57.6%

43

159,400

142

582

290

4.3%

265

160,900

145,000 -12.7%

3

91,800

15

194,100

2

140,800

830 #####

140 ####

93 ####

97 32.9% #### -0.1%

67 ####

200,500 275,100

188 132

1,103 #####

469 #####

193,900 262,800

172,300 220,000

784

738,900

25 ##

239,500 167,000

10 236

215,400 319,400

156

155

153

149

148

Gresham/ Troutdale

151

Closed Sales

90

Closed Sales

15.3%

Closed Sales

68

Avg. Sale Price % Change2

49

Closed Sales

109

New Listings

382

Closed Sales

Expired/Canceled Listings

Average Sale Price

Year-To-Date

New Listings

Pending Sales 2011 v. 20101

MULTIFAMILY

N Portland

Active Listings 141 142

Year-To-Date

LAND

152

143

Pending Sales 2011

Current Month

COMMERCIAL

Average Sale Price

RESIDENTIAL

W Portland

Yamhill Co. Grand Total

553 -45.7% -1.3% #####

-6.7% -5.0%

-

-

-

-

Note: Data for the North Coastal Counties is now reported in the monthly “North Coastal Counties” Market Action Report. Note: Data for Polk and Marion Counties is now reported in the monthly “Polk & Marion Counties” Market Action Report.

1

Percent change in number of pending sales this year compared to last year. The Current Month section compares July 2011 with July 2010. The Year-To-Date section compares year-to-date statistics from July 2011 with year-to-date statistics from July 2010.

2

% Change is based on a comparison of the rolling average sale price for the last 12 months (8/1/10-7/31/11) with 12 months before (8/1/09-7/31/10).

3

Total Market Time is the number of days from when a property is listed to when an offer is accepted on that same property. If a property is re-listed within 31 days, Total Market Time continues to accrue; however, it does not include the time that it was off the market.

2

© Copyright RMLS™ 2011. All Rights Reserved.


16000

ACTIVE RESIDENTIAL LISTINGS

14000

Portland, OR

12000

This graph shows the active

10000

residential listings over the

8000

past three calendar years in

6000

the greater Portland, Or-

Active Residential Listings

4000

egon metropolitan area.

2009

2010

2011

TOTAL ACTIVE LISTINGS PORTLAND, OR

Total Active Listings 20000

This graph shows the

17500

total active listings over

15000

the past three calendar years in the greater Portland, Oregon

12500 10000

7500 5000

metropolitan area. 2009

2010

2011

NEW LISTINGS

New Listings

PORTLAND, OR

6,000

This graph shows the

5,000

new residential listings

4,000

over the past three

3,000

calendar years in the

2,000

greater Portland, Oregon

1,000

metropolitan area.

0

2009

2010

2011

3

© Copyright RMLS™ 2011. All Rights Reserved.


PENDING LISTINGS

Pending Sales

PORTLAND, OR

This graph represents

3,500 3,000

monthly accepted offers

2,500

in the Portland, Oregon

2,000 1,500

metropolitan area over

1,000

the past three calendar

500

years.

0

2009

2010

2011

CLOSED SALES

Closed Sales

PORTLAND, OR

This graph shows the

3,000

closed sales over the past

2,500

five calendar years in the

2,000

greater Portland, Oregon

1,500

metropolitan area.

1,000

2007 2008 2009 2010

500

2011

0

DAYS ON MARKET

Average Market Time

PORTLAND, OR

200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0

This graph shows the average market time for sales in the Portland, Oregon metropolitan area over the past three calendar years. 2009 TMT

2010 TMT

2011 TMT

4

© Copyright RMLS™ 2011. All Rights Reserved.


This graph represents the average sale price for all homes sold in the Portland,

AVERAGE SALE PRICE

Oregon metropolitan area.

PORTLAND, OR

Average Sale Price $375,000

$355,000 $335,000 $315,000 $295,000

$275,000 $255,000 $235,000 $215,000

Jul-11

Jan-11

Jul-10

Jan-10

Jul-09

Jan-09

Jul-08

Jan-08

Jul-07

Jan-07

Jul-06

Jan-06

Jul-05

Jan-05

Jul-04

Jan-04

Jul-03

Jan-03

Jul-02

Jan-02

$175,000

Jul-01

$195,000

MEDIAN SALE PRICE

Median Sale Price: Portland, OR & Clark Co., WA

PORTLAND, OR

260,000 240,000 220,000

This graph shows the

200,000

median sale price over

180,000

the past 12 months in

160,000

the greater Portland,

140,000 120,000

Oregon, metropolitan

100,000

area and Clark JULY AUG SEPT OCT

NOV

DEC

Clark County

JAN

FEB

MAR

APR

MAY JUNE JULY

Metro Portland, OR

5

© Copyright RMLS™ 2011. All Rights Reserved.

County.


Median sale price July 2011

SW Washington

$239,500

$210,500

Woodland

N/NE Clark County

$182,900

Portland

$262,000

Battle Ground

Ridgefield/La Center

Metro

$ 150,000 Columbia County $236,000 Salmon Creek $211,800 Felida

$367,500 North Washington County Sauvie Island

Brush Prairie Hockinson

$165,000 Hazel Dell Minnehaha

$150,000 5 Corners Orch.

$121,500 Cent. Vancouver

$200,000 Hillsboro $196,900 Beaverton

$326,300 West Portland

Aloha

$255,000 Tigard/Tualatin Sherwood Wilsonville

$288,000 Camas/Washougal $230,000 NE Portland $184,200 SE Portland $215,000

$422,000

Milwaukie/Gladstone/ Boring/Clackamas Estacada

Lake Oswego West Linn

$174,500 $227,500 Oregon City Canby Molalla Beavercreek

Yamhill County

6

$168,000 Cascade Park

$170,000 Heights

$234,100 N Portland

Forest Grove

$240,000

Š Copyright RMLS™ 2011. All Rights Reserved.

$185,000 Gresham Troutdale Sandy Corbett Fairview

$158,200 Mt. Hood: Zigzag Welches Rhododendron Wemme Brightwood Government Camp


MULTIPLE LISTING SERVICE

Corporate 825 NE Multnomah, Suite 270 Portland, OR 97232 (503) 236-7657 Fax: (503) 230-0689

MEDIAN SALE PRICE CONDOS PORTLAND, OR

Southwest Washington 1514 Broadway, Suite 101 Vancouver, WA 98663 (360) 696-0718 Fax: (360) 696-9342 Salem 2110 Mission St. SE, Suite 305 Salem, OR 97302 (503) 587-8810 Fax: (503) 585-3817 Lane County: Eugene 2139 Centennial Plaza Eugene, OR 97401 (541) 686-2885 Fax: (541) 484-3854 Lane County: Florence PO Box 414 Florence, OR 97439 (541) 902-2560 Fax: (541) 902-1341 Douglas County 3510 NE Edenbower Roseburg, OR 97470 (541) 673-3571 Fax: (541) 673-6581 Curry County PO Box 6307 Brookings, OR 97415 (541) 469-0219 Fax: (541) 469-9695 Mid-Columbia PO Box 1088 Hood River, OR 97031 (541) 436-2956 Fax: (541) 387-6657

$220,000 $195,000 $170,000 $145,000 $120,000

2009

AFFORDABILITY PORTLAND, OR

2011

This graph shows affordability for housing in the Portland, Oregon metropolitan area in June 2011.

180

80

E-mail subscriptions are available for $45 per year by contacting RMLS™, (503) 236-7657. Reproduction of any portion of this copyrighted material is prohibited without prior approval of RMLS™.

2010

Affordability Index

Coos County 1946 Sherman Ave., Suite 101 North Bend, OR 97459 (541) 751-1070 Fax: (541) 751-1083

RMLS™ was formed by area Boards and Associations of REALTORS® in 1991.

Portland, Oregon metropolitan area.

$245,000

160 140

120 100 60 40

20 0 Sep-03 Dec-03 Mar-04 Jun-04 Sep-04 Dec-04 Mar-05 Jun-05 Sep-05 Dec-05 Mar-06 Jun-06 Sep-06 Dec-06 Mar-07 Jun-07 Sep-07 Dec-07 Mar-08 Jun-08 Sep-08 Dec-08 Mar-09 Jun-09 Sep-09 Dec-09 Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11

Market Action Reports are compiled for the following areas: Portland metropolitan area, Southwest Washington, MidColumbia, Columbia Basin, Baker County, Coos County, Curry County, Douglas County, Grant County, Lane County, North Coastal Counties, Polk & Marion Counties, Union County, and Wallowa County.

condos sold in the last three calendar years in the

Median Condo Sale Price

Eastern Oregon PO Box 751 Hermiston, OR 97838 (541) 567-5186 Fax: (541) 289-7320

The statistics presented in Market Action are compiled monthly based on figures generated by RMLS™.

This graph represents the median sale price for all

AFFORDABILITY - According to a formula from the National Association of Realtors®, buying a house in the Portland metro area is affordable for a family earning the median income. A family earning the median income ($72,000 in 2011, per HUD) can afford 166% of a monthly mortgage payment on a median priced home ($222,900 in June). The formula assumes that the buyer has a 20% down payment and a 30 year fixed rate of 4.84% (per Freddie Mac).

Cory Neu, Chairman of the Board Kurt von Wasmuth, President/CEO Kelsey Brunson, Editor Danny Gottleib, Assistant Editor © Copyright RMLS™ 2011. All Rights Reserved.


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