48 (2) The country programme’s assessed contribution to UN MSDF outcomes reflects the level of influence UNDP has had on the expected UNDP/ UN MSDF outcome indicators, defined as follows: •
High level of influence: There is a clean line of contribution from UNDP to changes in the outcome and associated indicators. UNDP might not be the only contributor, but it is a major contributor.
•
Moderate level of influence: There is a line of contribution from UNDP to changes in the outcome and associated indicators, but either the level of contribution is only modest, or the significance of other factors contributing to changes in the indicator are not known.
•
Low level of influence: UNDP made little or no contribution to changes in the outcome and associated indicators or the indicators used do not adequately capture UNDP’s contribution. New indicators may need to be developed that meet quality standards and support monitoring and reporting of progress.
•
Insufficient evidence: there is insufficient evidence that UNDP contributed to changes in the outcome and associated indicators. Evidence about the attribution of changes in the outcome needs to be improved.
As with the assessment on progress towards outputs, the ICPR examines the results chains stemming from UNDP CPD outputs and supporting interventions to agreed outcome indicators. The rating reflects the degree to which the targets associated with indicators have been met, as well as how well those indicators capture the significance of UNDP’s contributions. Ratings, and the basis for them will be set out in a standardized tabular format, shown in Annex 1. Ratings are based on the CO’s approved CPD Results and Resources Framework. The country office should ensure that it takes the opportunity within the scope of UNDP’s Programme and Operations Policies and Procedures policy (B5 Manage Change), to review and if necessary update its results framework to ensure outcome indicators, output descriptions, and output indicators are relevant to the current to the current country context. If CPD outputs and associated output indicators remain in the results framework but the country programme took no actions to help achieve them, they will be rated as off track, even if the lack of action was justified for reasons beyond UNDP’s control. Similarly, if the country office is using outcome indicators that UNDP has had no significant influence over, or where there is insufficient evidence that UNDP contributed to changes in the indicator, the ICPR will assess UNDP as having a low level of influence on the achievement of the associated UNDP/UN MSDF outcome.
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