Figure 3. Abridged Theory of change- Reconstructed Intervention Logic: UNDP Country Programme in Moldova

FIGURE 3. Abridged Theory of change- Reconstructed Intervention Logic: UNDP Country Programme in Moldova49

Inputs

Time-frame 2018-2020

Budget US$83.4 (2018-2022)

Donors Government of Moldova, EU, USAID, Sweden, etc.

Financing modalities Grants Project funding

Human resources Project sta Country o ce sta

Policy and technical inputs • E ective evidence-based timely policy advice • Innovations developed and tested • Extensive multilevel and multisector capacity-building • Facilitated dialogue of

Government and CSOs • Dialogue with EU, UN agencies and donors Activities

Supporting legislative development and policy making through quality evidence and data-based policy advice

Supporting diverse capacity-building measures and actions, focusing on diverse national and local Goverment partners and CSOs

Promoting innovations in diverse sectors

Rising awareness of all partners on the importance of human rights, participation, environment friendly solutions Theory of Change – Reconstructed Intervention Logic – UNDP Country Programme Molodova Outputs

Strengthened government legislative and institutions framework through: • Enhanced policies and institutions supporting Parliament roles, including oversight, anticorruption measures, justice sand security sectors functioning, election processes, involvement of return migrants, local development, measures at the national and local levels to generate delivery, climate change adaptation and mitigation and others Outcomes

Institutional capacity strengthened for: • Parliamentary oversight of legislation implementation • Justice sector technical capacities to use evidence • Central agencies and lines ministries enhanced use of evidence and statistics in decision making • Open partnership of Government and civil society • Businesses development • Improved con dence of businesses, CSOs and other partners for deeper partnerships

Advanced technical solutions/ innovations in diverse areas: • Digitalization • Social supports • Energy use • Businesses development

Awareness raised on: • Importance for societal participate in elections, anti-corruption, and justice reforms • Importance and value of Human Rights and inclusion of all • Role of civil society in governance reforms, local development and con dence-building • Use of environmentally friendly solutions Enhanced governance institutions (election, parliament, justice, anticorruption, etc.)

Increased inclusion and well-being of all, including vulnerable groups and residents of Transnistria

Enhanced environmental management Impact/Goal

People of Moldova enjoy equitable and sustainable socioeconomic growth through enhanced good governance institutions, enhanced social development and cohesion, environment protection

Assumptions

• Political stability and political commitment to systemic reforms across all areas and sectors • Recovery plan from COVID-19 pandemic is in place, with adequate funding • Consensus among the Government, society and development partners on priorities and sequence of governance and sectoral reforms, such as anticorruption, electoral and justice reforms • EU accession plans are well articulated, budgeted nd executed • SDG are well nationalized and guide Goverment decision making • Commitment of national regional and local authorities to continuous capacity-building. • Improved accountability and transparency • Increased will and capacities of partners to address climate change • Conducive political and security environment for further con dence building in Transnistria

49 The abridged theory of change illustrates the logic and casual pathways of the programme under the underlined assumptions. The casual links and contribution are discussed under each outcome analysis.