FIGURE 3. Abridged Theory of change- Reconstructed Intervention Logic: UNDP Country Programme in Moldova49 Theory of Change – Reconstructed Intervention Logic – UNDP Country Programme Molodova Inputs
Activities
Time-frame 2018-2020 Budget US$83.4 (2018-2022) Donors Government of Moldova, EU, USAID, Sweden, etc. Financing modalities Grants Project funding Human resources Project staff Country office staff Policy and technical inputs • Effective evidence-based timely policy advice • Innovations developed and tested • Extensive multilevel and multisector capacity-building • Facilitated dialogue of Government and CSOs • Dialogue with EU, UN agencies and donors
Supporting legislative development and policy making through quality evidence and data-based policy advice Supporting diverse capacity-building measures and actions, focusing on diverse national and local Goverment partners and CSOs
Promoting innovations in diverse sectors Rising awareness of all partners on the importance of human rights, participation, environment friendly solutions
Outputs
Outcomes
Impact/Goal
Strengthened government legislative and institutions framework through: • Enhanced policies and institutions supporting Parliament roles, including oversight, anticorruption measures, justice sand security sectors functioning, election processes, involvement of return migrants, local development, measures at the national and local levels to generate delivery, climate change adaptation and mitigation and others Institutional capacity strengthened for: • Parliamentary oversight of legislation implementation • Justice sector technical capacities to use evidence • Central agencies and lines ministries enhanced use of evidence and statistics in decision making • Open partnership of Government and civil society • Businesses development • Improved confidence of businesses, CSOs and other partners for deeper partnerships Advanced technical solutions/ innovations in diverse areas: • Digitalization • Social supports • Energy use • Businesses development Awareness raised on: • Importance for societal participate in elections, anti-corruption, and justice reforms • Importance and value of Human Rights and inclusion of all • Role of civil society in governance reforms, local development and confidence-building • Use of environmentally friendly solutions
Enhanced governance institutions (election, parliament, justice, anticorruption, etc.) Increased inclusion and well-being of all, including vulnerable groups and residents of Transnistria
People of Moldova enjoy equitable and sustainable socioeconomic growth through enhanced good governance institutions, enhanced social development and cohesion, environment protection
Enhanced environmental management
Assumptions • Political stability and political commitment to systemic reforms across all areas and sectors • Recovery plan from COVID-19 pandemic is in place, with adequate funding • Consensus among the Government, society and development partners on priorities and sequence of governance and sectoral reforms, such as anticorruption, electoral and justice reforms
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• EU accession plans are well articulated, budgeted nd executed • SDG are well nationalized and guide Goverment decision making
• Commitment of national regional and local authorities to continuous capacity-building. • Improved accountability and transparency • Increased will and capacities of partners to address climate change • Conducive political and security environment for further confidence building in Transnistria
The abridged theory of change illustrates the logic and casual pathways of the programme under the underlined assumptions. The casual links and contribution are discussed under each outcome analysis.
Chapter 1. BACKGROUND AND introduction
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