INDEPENDENT COUNTRY PROGRAMME EVALUATION: ZAMBIA

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This section assesses UNDP’s contributions to the CPD outputs, cross-cutting issues and key factors affecting results against the programme theory of change. Information is organized by portfolios following the terminology used by the country office on its website, but the assessment covers how initiatives were aligned according to the outcomes identified in the CPD. See programme mapping in annexes.

2.1 Environment and energy The Environment and Energy portfolio28 committed to contributing to Outcomes 1 and 3, with the following outputs: • Output 1.2. The Ministry of Lands, Natural Resources and Environmental Protection29 and its partners have developed policies, systems and measures at national and sub-national levels for sustainable management of natural resources, ecosystem services, chemicals and waste. • Output 1.3. Government has scaled up action on climate change adaptation and mitigation across sectors with increased funding and implementation status. • Output 1.4. The Ministry of Mines, Energy and Water Development30 has developed inclusive and sustainable solutions to achieve increased energy efficiency and universal modern energy access (especially off-grid sources of renewable energy). • Output 3.4. Revised legal and regulatory frameworks, policies, strategies and systems to ensure conservation conventions and national legislation, and sustainable use of natural resources and biodiversity in line with international standards. A total of 14 projects were implemented under this portfolio, focusing primarily on climate change and natural resource management. The total programme budget (14 projects) for this portfolio was $37.7 28 29

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million, with $24.4 million expenditure by the end of 2019. The earliest project began in 2013 (global BIOFIN Phase 1 project). All the projects have planned completion dates in 2020 or earlier, except for the GCF-funded Climate Resilience in Agriculture project (2018-2025), and the GEF Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) support programme (2017-2021). The rest of the projects started during the previous CPD (2010-2015 period). Eight projects, which account for 93 percent of expenditure, are implemented through the national implementation modality, while five are directly implemented by UNDP, and one is implemented by the United Nations Office for Project Services.31 The portfolio is primarily funded by GEF (64 percent expenditure, four projects). Based on the gender marker used in the design stage, two projects (9 percent of expenditure) did not contribute to gender equality, five projects (47 percent of expenditure) committed to contributing to gender equality in a limited way (GEN1), and the remaining seven projects (44 percent of expenditure) committed to having gender equality included as a significant objective (GEN2). Finding 1: Natural resources and climate change – UNDP helped improve the legal framework for coordinated action on climate change, towards a more climate resilient and low carbon development pathway for Zambia. UNDP contributed to adaptation and mitigation solutions to develop and enhance early warning systems and promote alternative livelihood activities. However, these had limited impact on the expected development outcomes. The plausible causal links were not wrong, but a more holistic

Corresponds to the environmentally sustainable economic development pillar in the CPD. Ministry of Lands, Natural Resources and Environmental Protection, later reorganized into the Ministry of Lands and Natural Resources, and the Ministry of Sanitation and Water Development. The Ministry of Mines, Energy and Water Development was later reorganized into the Ministry of Mines and Mineral Development, the Ministry of Energy, and the Ministry of Sanitation and Water Development. Recommendation linked to Conclusions 3 and 4.

INDEPENDENT COUNTRY PROGRAMME EVALUATION: ZAMBIA


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