Энергия прогресса. Роль энергетических ресурсов в развитии России. Гейченко Павел

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145,9 141,8

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Oil Prices

1980

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119

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1970

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85,4

1920

1848 The first drilled oil well in the wold. (Enj. F.A. Semenov , Baku)

1910

1837-39 The first State owned Oil Refinery in Russian Empire (The Dubinini Bros., Mozdok)

ke r. Th e (In F In i j (In ven . V. rst Sh Oi j. V tio Th uk l P .S n h ip (th e F hu of i e rs kh oil ov. elin Lit t E No e o b I v. ur ei le No ne bel n Ru ni ct s’ Br ric be r s oi ssia id L Th l l fi n s’ pra ge ig o el Em h y (3 e F , S ti il fi er ds 5 ir t.P ng kW st el . , B pir i d I te n ak e s, t, Po rs Ru u) St we Ba bu s .P r k u) ite P rg sia l ) n rs an Em bu t rg In R pi re ) us sia n Em pi re

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1823 The first Oil Refinery in Russian Empire (The Dubinini Bros., Mozdok)

18

1900

1890

1880

1870

1745 The first Oil Field in Russian Empire (merchant Fedor Priadunov, Uhta river)

Industrialization Collectivization Un

n

io

PerestroiCollapse of USSRNew Oil-Based Attemptof ConservacaDeterioEconomical Re- Economy tion Restoration of rationEco forms Reorganiza- System devastated nomicalC Crisis tionReform Slowdownrisis Debt econimy Oil-price based ationIncom- Devellopgrowth ment plete

Total Oil Supply in Russian Empire - USSR - Russian Federation (thousands tons per year)

Total Electrisity Net Generation in Russian Empire - USSR - Russian Federation (mln. kWh)

National Debt

connections to the South (reestablish)

t

connections to the West (new development) connections to the E (new development)


600 500 400

Restoration complete Industrialization

300 200

Conserva- Perestroi caDeterio tion System rationEco Crisis nomicalC Slowdownrisis Debt Devellopment

Collapse

Civill War

700

Attemptof ReorganizationReform ationIncomplete

WorldWarII

Industrialization Collectivization

mln tons

Total Oil Supply

Volga-Urals Oil Province Western SIberia

Caucasus

2000

1990

1980

1970

1960

1950

1940

1930

1920

100


600 500 400

Restoration complete Industrialization

300 200

Conserva- Perestroi caDeterio tion System rationEco Crisis nomicalC Slowdownrisis Debt Devellopment

Collapse

Civill War

700

Attemptof ReorganizationReform ationIncomplete

WorldWarII

Industrialization Collectivization

mln tons

Total Oil Supply

Volga-Urals Oil Province Western SIberia

Caucasus

2000

1990

1980

1970

1960

1950

1940

1930

1920

100


Предистория К 1917 году в Российской Империи:

Coal Prodaction

Coal Supply to Central Industrial Region

Japan

Spane

Sweden

Holland

France

Germany

Belgium

U.S.

Britain

y an Rus

in Brita and G e rm

stic prod e m uc Do ti

m ro

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Imp or tf


План ГОЭЛРО

Electrification

17%

ry t s u d M i ni ng i n

47%

Государственный план электрификации России

ing industry

nsport infra a r str T u

ur cr fa

программма электрификации 1.2 млрд. золотых рублей

Ma nu

e r u ct

% 29

Суммарное финансирование 17 млрд. золотых рублей

7%



Предистория Российская Империя являлась

Сельскохозяйственной страной К 1917 году в России: Вовлечено в сель-хоз производство

Доля сельского населения

75%

85%


Remainders per capita (poods)

0

5000 50

4000 40

3000 30

2000 20

1000 10

Remainders for consumtion (poods per capita)

60

1913

1910

External trade balance

1905

Yield

1900

1895

-1000

Wheat yields and expots 1800 USA Russia Germany Austria Argentina France Italy Canada Romania Spain Japan Austaralia Britain Denmark Swiss Belgium Holland Switzerland Norway

6000

1893

ths poods

Yields and trade (thausands poods)

Yield and consumptiom of main crops by countries in 1913

0

-10

1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200


d

o Fo

1890

1880

1870

1910

1900

0

1940

1930

1920

1960

1950

92

-1

16

19 is

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Кризис сельского хозяйства 19

in

46

33

-1 9

-1 9

19

32

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1910

1900

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1940

1930

1920

1960

1950

92

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19

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Массовый голод в Поволжье 1921-22 em

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1 Th 914 e -19 Ru 1 ss 7 ia n Em pi 19 re 1 at 7 19 F W 18 eb W -1 r 1 u 92 ar 3T ya he n Ci d O c vi l W tob e ar /In r R vo te lu rv tio en ns tio n

19 05 -1 90 7T he St Th ol irs ip in tR ’s ev Ag ol ric ut ul io tu na ra lr ef or m


ндустриализаци

сельского хозяйства





Oil products export 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0

7 5 4 3 2 1 0

cost

physical volume

million tons

6

19 29 19 30 19 31 19 32 19 33 19 34 19 35 19 36 19 37 19 38 19 39 19 40

million rubles

Использование механизированной техники в сельском хозяйстве



1989—1993 “Особый период” Экономический кризис, падение - 34% ВВП Импорт нефти упал с до млн.тонн/год 1992 — США ужесточает Эмбарго поставки еды, медикаментов на 750 mln.$ прерваны

13.5 4

Food imports fall by 80%. Transport stopped, factories closed, Electricity

storage food,

block-outs 14-16 hours a day.No friges to


К 1994 году средний кубинец потерял 9.5 кг


Будущее без нефти. Кубинская модель.

Деиндустриализация и деурбанизция


600 500 400

Restoration complete Industrialization

300 200

Conserva- Perestroi caDeterio tion System rationEco Crisis nomicalC Slowdownrisis Debt Devellopment

Collapse

Civill War

700

Attemptof ReorganizationReform ationIncomplete

WorldWarII

Industrialization Collectivization

mln tons

Total Oil Supply

Volga-Urals Oil Province Western SIberia

Caucasus

2000

1990

1980

1970

1960

1950

1940

1930

1920

100


600 500 400

Restoration complete Industrialization

300 200

Conserva- Perestroi caDeterio tion System rationEco Crisis nomicalC Slowdownrisis Debt Devellopment

Collapse

Civill War

700

Attemptof ReorganizationReform ationIncomplete

WorldWarII

Industrialization Collectivization

mln tons

Total Oil Supply

Volga-Urals Oil Province Western SIberia

Caucasus

2000

1990

1980

1970

1960

1950

1940

1930

1920

100


600

The basic economical indicators growth, %. 1940-1960.

500 400 300 200 100 0 1940

Gros industrial product

National income

1950

Basic production assets

1955

Gros agricultural product

1960

Ускоренное послевоенное восстановление и развитие в большой степени обеспечивались растущим потоком нефти от освоения новых месторождений.



600 500 400

Restoration complete Industrialization

300 200

Conserva- Perestroi caDeterio tion System rationEco Crisis nomicalC Slowdownrisis Debt Devellopment

Collapse

Civill War

700

Attemptof ReorganizationReform ationIncomplete

WorldWarII

Industrialization Collectivization

mln tons

Total Oil Supply

Volga-Urals Oil Province Western SIberia

Caucasus

2000

1990

1980

1970

1960

1950

1940

1930

1920

100


600 500 400

Restoration complete Industrialization

300 200

Conserva- Perestroi caDeterio tion System rationEco Crisis nomicalC Slowdownrisis Debt Devellopment

Collapse

Civill War

700

Attemptof ReorganizationReform ationIncomplete

WorldWarII

Industrialization Collectivization

mln tons

Total Oil Supply

Volga-Urals Oil Province Western SIberia

Caucasus

2000

1990

1980

1970

1960

1950

1940

1930

1920

100




600 500 400

Restoration complete Industrialization

300 200

Conserva- Perestroi caDeterio tion System rationEco Crisis nomicalC Slowdownrisis Debt Devellopment

Collapse

Civill War

700

Attemptof ReorganizationReform ationIncomplete

WorldWarII

Industrialization Collectivization

mln tons

Total Oil Supply

Volga-Urals Oil Province Western SIberia

Caucasus

2000

1990

1980

1970

1960

1950

1940

1930

1920

100


600 500 400

Restoration complete Industrialization

300 200

Conserva- Perestroi caDeterio tion System rationEco Crisis nomicalC Slowdownrisis Debt Devellopment

Collapse

Civill War

700

Attemptof ReorganizationReform ationIncomplete

WorldWarII

Industrialization Collectivization

mln tons

Total Oil Supply

Volga-Urals Oil Province Western SIberia

Caucasus

2000

1990

1980

1970

1960

1950

1940

1930

1920

100


600 500 400

Restoration complete Industrialization

300 200

Conserva- Perestroi caDeterio tion System rationEco Crisis nomicalC Slowdownrisis Debt Devellopment

Collapse

Civill War

700

Attemptof ReorganizationReform ationIncomplete

WorldWarII

Industrialization Collectivization

mln tons

Total Oil Supply

Volga-Urals Oil Province Western SIberia

Caucasus

2000

1990

1980

1970

1960

1950

1940

1930

1920

100



600 500 400

Restoration complete Industrialization

300 200

Conserva- Perestroi caDeterio tion System rationEco Crisis nomicalC Slowdownrisis Debt Devellopment

Collapse

Civill War

700

Attemptof ReorganizationReform ationIncomplete

WorldWarII

Industrialization Collectivization

mln tons

Total Oil Supply

Volga-Urals Oil Province Western SIberia

Caucasus

2000

1990

1980

1970

1960

1950

1940

1930

1920

100


Коммунизм это Советска власть + электрификация всей страны

Царствование его величест­ва пара, перевернувшего мир в прошлом столетии, окончилось. На его место станет неиз­меримо более революционная сила - электрическая искра.


«Мы должны уменьшить унизительную зависимость от сырьевого экспорта, прекратить выжимать последние капли из научно-промышленного потенциала советского периода...» 11.02.10 Президент РФ Д.А. Медведев.

«Должна быть программа, сегодня мы не имеем программу разворота страны от нефтяной зависимости.» 25.04.13 Президент РФ В.В. Путин.


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