is
is Cr
he 6T
t ns Co
ur
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in
ru
n
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of
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et
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SR
an
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ni
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A in ntiEa co st mm er n un Eu is ro tic 26 p Re vo .1 1. lu 19 tio 91 ns Co lla ps e of th e
in
Western Siberia Oil and Gas Fields
86%GDP
145,9 141,8
Sy st em 3 Liq 0.06 . ist ui 20 d e 0 p a a 8 an riva d c tion C d tis om o om sa ed e f R p le g : s A le s c e ta O tio om ne te UE n pa rati ow S of E ne ni ng ne es su d rg . yr pp nat ef ly ura or lm m . o
1 of 1.07 th .2 e 00 Ru 1 ss Re ia st n ru Un c ite tur d ing En er gy
a.
148
n tio iza al er n ib tio s L nfla ice ri Pr ype H
2010
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2
V1
1
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96%GDP
sa w Pa 1 Un 992 ct D 3 ifi RA is ed O ol Lib po U ved er w ES er cr al Ec Sy ea on st ted em om (U ica PS lR )o ef fR or m us s si 5
99
-1
91
19
0
99
-1
86
19
5
98
-1
81
19
19
130,1
ia
of ed n io ish ct y. bl ta ne ud es a) on St rc ty ny in i e l pa Ch nt i b m to s I asi Co ort ou Fe gy p on E. ) er ex hr CT an En rgy nc U ist n Sy to en er ne 8 PS m st e 0 rk S) Ea se 20 /U a . S Tu (IP 12 IP 07 cre d 8. of 20 in de em 0 lu st 5- ms (fo 0 e xc Sy 20 st (e er 4. y es w .0 r S tri Po 20 we un ed Po co at n gr sia nte lA I ra he nt o t Ce d t 01 de 20 clu in
2000
st
La
at h
De
Th e
138,3
1990
53
19
3.
.0
05
7
94
-1
46
19
Oil Prices
1980
W ar
119
g) ka n oi ri u str cr d) re ru an Pe est ol (R (P n tio ac st’ no ar lid So n io Un ur bo n La io s) al eg Ur l R O- tria RT s (S ndu I em l st tra Sy n rt Ce po to ns ia ra er s T Sib Ga om fr
1970
r be Si rn te es W ria in e be in Si el n ip er st sP es Ga ) st rov n W Fir -Se ne i e i Th grim ipel n) (I t P e m s Fir Tu e mTh hai (S
ar
ng
1960
ish
Un
n
io
Restoration complete Industrialization et
So vi
of re 5 J.V 1 56 Virg 4-1 .S ( 95 W i -1 9 ta 96 n so 61 b Uni 6 ars lin E o y a 0 i m V6 l up 400 n of er w P tu kW En gin ac 19 rn tE e g Se 59 H ed ig reti Un sta ve -19 h c ifi bl n 6 vo Sy ed is Ye 5 lta ste P he ar V7 sP ge m ow d la lin s C er n e en Sy 19 Ku te st 6 “F S ib r a em yn 2 rie ish nd o p C nd ow chr re ev M f U C ze e on at Ex shi -M id SS i r ch s ise on p pl os dle R 1” oi os yst d o co V ta f O o l e o w olg tio il p va ms pe the 19 ) a ki o rat w n ip 66 a f o e i o , H Po on rl fT -1 lin d 97 um un la o e b n f Ko 0 c g en on ar d, G the igg Ec sig V8 s y, e Oi on in Ro erm Un st E l a truc o ’s m an ifie ne nd ti “F mi /Lib an D d rg Ga on Do rien c an erm ia e Po y s m an o we Sy ub ds d De a d cr r S ste po 19 les hip Ma n’s Bu at y m sit 71 th 2” ng lg ic ste “M s -1 e O O em ar Re m i 97 i il p e ia p o r” , ub f 5 l Su ip nt lic US V9 p el Re , SR pl in fo y e c rm , on st ru Za ct i sto on 19 i( 76 St -1 ag 98 na 0 tio V1 n) 0 Pe rio d
19
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WorldWarII Re 46 co -19 ve 50 ry 5- V4 ye ar sP la 19 n St 48 19 alin -19 51 s’ 65 Pl (5 -1 95 an 9) 5 o V5 f er fin
19
V3 0 (U 6.41 SS -0 R 5.4 in 5 W Th W e 2) G
2
94
-1
n
rP la
-Y ea
101,4
yI
1950
1940
tF ive
rs
Th i
88,2
37
V2
Th e
100,6
19
7
93
-1
33
19
3
22
19
2.
.1
30
Civill War
1 Th 914 e -19 Ru 1 ss 7 ia n Em pi 19 re at 19 17 F W 18 eb W -1 r 1 u 92 ar 3T y he and Ci Oc vi l W tob e ar /In r R vo te lu rv tio en ns tio 19 n 20 -1 92 8“ GO EL RO ”P la n 93
-1
28
19
19
110,1
Hu
d
o Fo
91
-1
91
G LA ry to GU rri of Te g in SR t at US er gh p of ou n )O Dr tio 60 3( 46 pa 95 19 cu 1 Oc stry 30 al 19 rti ndu I Pa 4 n of 94 -1 atio u 41 19 vac E 41 19 n io at lis rio st du In 9 SR 93 US -1 in 30 e 19 in am n sF tio as M isa iv 3 ct 93 lle -1 32 Co 3 19 93 ) -1 EP 30 (N 19 icy ol lP ica om on Ec w Ne 8 92 -1 22 e e 19 in ran am Uc ay sF d ilw as an Ra M n n 2 io ia 92 eg er -1 R ib ss 20 lga an 19 Vo Tr of n io ct
0
92
-1
16
19
1930
71,1
Th e 00 Fir kW st H 05 t, E idr -1 s o 90 ent Po 7 T uk we he y) r P St la Th ol nt irs ip In in tR Ru ’s ev Ag ss ol ia ric ut n ul i Em on tu a pi ra re lr ef or m (7
85,4
1920
1848 The first drilled oil well in the wold. (Enj. F.A. Semenov , Baku)
1910
1837-39 The first State owned Oil Refinery in Russian Empire (The Dubinini Bros., Mozdok)
ke r. Th e (In F In i j (In ven . V. rst Sh Oi j. V tio Th uk l P .S n h ip (th e F hu of i e rs kh oil ov. elin Lit t E No e o b I v. ur ei le No ne bel n Ru ni ct s’ Br ric be r s oi ssia id L Th l l fi n s’ pra ge ig o el Em h y (3 e F , S ti il fi er ds 5 ir t.P ng kW st el . , B pir i d I te n ak e s, t, Po rs Ru u) St we Ba bu s .P r k u) ite P rg sia l ) n rs an Em bu t rg In R pi re ) us sia n Em pi re
In ( T ven he ti Ar on te of m th iv e Br Oi os l T .) an
1823 The first Oil Refinery in Russian Empire (The Dubinini Bros., Mozdok)
18
1900
1890
1880
1870
1745 The first Oil Field in Russian Empire (merchant Fedor Priadunov, Uhta river)
Industrialization Collectivization Un
n
io
PerestroiCollapse of USSRNew Oil-Based Attemptof ConservacaDeterioEconomical Re- Economy tion Restoration of rationEco forms Reorganiza- System devastated nomicalC Crisis tionReform Slowdownrisis Debt econimy Oil-price based ationIncom- Devellopgrowth ment plete
Total Oil Supply in Russian Empire - USSR - Russian Federation (thousands tons per year)
Total Electrisity Net Generation in Russian Empire - USSR - Russian Federation (mln. kWh)
National Debt
connections to the South (reestablish)
t
connections to the West (new development) connections to the E (new development)
600 500 400
Restoration complete Industrialization
300 200
Conserva- Perestroi caDeterio tion System rationEco Crisis nomicalC Slowdownrisis Debt Devellopment
Collapse
Civill War
700
Attemptof ReorganizationReform ationIncomplete
WorldWarII
Industrialization Collectivization
mln tons
Total Oil Supply
Volga-Urals Oil Province Western SIberia
Caucasus
2000
1990
1980
1970
1960
1950
1940
1930
1920
100
600 500 400
Restoration complete Industrialization
300 200
Conserva- Perestroi caDeterio tion System rationEco Crisis nomicalC Slowdownrisis Debt Devellopment
Collapse
Civill War
700
Attemptof ReorganizationReform ationIncomplete
WorldWarII
Industrialization Collectivization
mln tons
Total Oil Supply
Volga-Urals Oil Province Western SIberia
Caucasus
2000
1990
1980
1970
1960
1950
1940
1930
1920
100
Предистория К 1917 году в Российской Империи:
Coal Prodaction
Coal Supply to Central Industrial Region
Japan
Spane
Sweden
Holland
France
Germany
Belgium
U.S.
Britain
y an Rus
in Brita and G e rm
stic prod e m uc Do ti
m ro
on
Imp or tf
План ГОЭЛРО
Electrification
17%
ry t s u d M i ni ng i n
47%
Государственный план электрификации России
ing industry
nsport infra a r str T u
ur cr fa
программма электрификации 1.2 млрд. золотых рублей
Ma nu
e r u ct
% 29
Суммарное финансирование 17 млрд. золотых рублей
7%
Предистория Российская Империя являлась
Сельскохозяйственной страной К 1917 году в России: Вовлечено в сель-хоз производство
Доля сельского населения
75%
85%
Remainders per capita (poods)
0
5000 50
4000 40
3000 30
2000 20
1000 10
Remainders for consumtion (poods per capita)
60
1913
1910
External trade balance
1905
Yield
1900
1895
-1000
Wheat yields and expots 1800 USA Russia Germany Austria Argentina France Italy Canada Romania Spain Japan Austaralia Britain Denmark Swiss Belgium Holland Switzerland Norway
6000
1893
ths poods
Yields and trade (thausands poods)
Yield and consumptiom of main crops by countries in 1913
0
-10
1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200
d
o Fo
1890
1880
1870
1910
1900
0
1940
1930
1920
1960
1950
92
-1
16
19 is
is Cr
Кризис сельского хозяйства 19
in
46
33
-1 9
-1 9
19
32
Th e
La
e
in
US SR
as sF am
in
st M
sF am
as
47
M
2 Vo 0-19 lg 22 aR eg Ma io ss n Fa an m d in Uc e ra ne
19
e
in
in
US SR
t gh
ou Dr
is 46
19
d
o Fo
1910
1900
0
1940
1930
1920
1960
1950
92
-1
16
19
is Cr
Массовый голод в Поволжье 1921-22 em
en to fn 19 19 5 56 Virg 4-1 in 96 -1 96 so 1 0 i V6 l up tu 19 rn Se 59 ed ve -19 n 6 Ye 5 ar V7 sP la n
1 Re 946 co -19 ve 50 ry 5- V4 ye ar sP la 19 n 4 St 8 a 19 l 1 51 ins’ 965 P ( -1 95 lan 59) 5 o V5 f er fin
re
at u
io tic
W ar
lin
of J.V .S ta
19 M 46 as -1 s F 94 am 7 Th i n 05 e eL .0 in a 3. 19 53 US st De at SR h
19 in 20 Vo -19 lg 22 aR eg M a io ss n Fa an m d in 19 28 Uc e -1 93 ra 3 Th 1 ne eT 93 hi rs 0tF ive 19 19 -Y ea 32 19 33 rP -1 33 l 9 an -1 33 93 Co (V M 7 1) a V2 ss lle Fa 19 m ct in 30 e iv in isa US 19 SR 19 tio 37 3 -1 9 94 n 2 I n V3 du 06 st (U .41 rio SS -0 R 5.4 in 5 lis W Th W e at 2) G io ra it n Pa tr
1 Th 914 e -19 Ru 1 ss 7 ia n Em pi 19 re 1 at 7 19 F W 18 eb W -1 r 1 u 92 ar 3T ya he n Ci d O c vi l W tob e ar /In r R vo te lu rv tio en ns tio n
19 05 -1 90 7T he St Th ol irs ip in tR ’s ev Ag ol ric ut ul io tu na ra lr ef or m
ндустриализаци
сельского хозяйства
Oil products export 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0
7 5 4 3 2 1 0
cost
physical volume
million tons
6
19 29 19 30 19 31 19 32 19 33 19 34 19 35 19 36 19 37 19 38 19 39 19 40
million rubles
Использование механизированной техники в сельском хозяйстве
1989—1993 “Особый период” Экономический кризис, падение - 34% ВВП Импорт нефти упал с до млн.тонн/год 1992 — США ужесточает Эмбарго поставки еды, медикаментов на 750 mln.$ прерваны
13.5 4
Food imports fall by 80%. Transport stopped, factories closed, Electricity
storage food,
block-outs 14-16 hours a day.No friges to
К 1994 году средний кубинец потерял 9.5 кг
Будущее без нефти. Кубинская модель.
Деиндустриализация и деурбанизция
600 500 400
Restoration complete Industrialization
300 200
Conserva- Perestroi caDeterio tion System rationEco Crisis nomicalC Slowdownrisis Debt Devellopment
Collapse
Civill War
700
Attemptof ReorganizationReform ationIncomplete
WorldWarII
Industrialization Collectivization
mln tons
Total Oil Supply
Volga-Urals Oil Province Western SIberia
Caucasus
2000
1990
1980
1970
1960
1950
1940
1930
1920
100
600 500 400
Restoration complete Industrialization
300 200
Conserva- Perestroi caDeterio tion System rationEco Crisis nomicalC Slowdownrisis Debt Devellopment
Collapse
Civill War
700
Attemptof ReorganizationReform ationIncomplete
WorldWarII
Industrialization Collectivization
mln tons
Total Oil Supply
Volga-Urals Oil Province Western SIberia
Caucasus
2000
1990
1980
1970
1960
1950
1940
1930
1920
100
600
The basic economical indicators growth, %. 1940-1960.
500 400 300 200 100 0 1940
Gros industrial product
National income
1950
Basic production assets
1955
Gros agricultural product
1960
Ускоренное послевоенное восстановление и развитие в большой степени обеспечивались растущим потоком нефти от освоения новых месторождений.
600 500 400
Restoration complete Industrialization
300 200
Conserva- Perestroi caDeterio tion System rationEco Crisis nomicalC Slowdownrisis Debt Devellopment
Collapse
Civill War
700
Attemptof ReorganizationReform ationIncomplete
WorldWarII
Industrialization Collectivization
mln tons
Total Oil Supply
Volga-Urals Oil Province Western SIberia
Caucasus
2000
1990
1980
1970
1960
1950
1940
1930
1920
100
600 500 400
Restoration complete Industrialization
300 200
Conserva- Perestroi caDeterio tion System rationEco Crisis nomicalC Slowdownrisis Debt Devellopment
Collapse
Civill War
700
Attemptof ReorganizationReform ationIncomplete
WorldWarII
Industrialization Collectivization
mln tons
Total Oil Supply
Volga-Urals Oil Province Western SIberia
Caucasus
2000
1990
1980
1970
1960
1950
1940
1930
1920
100
600 500 400
Restoration complete Industrialization
300 200
Conserva- Perestroi caDeterio tion System rationEco Crisis nomicalC Slowdownrisis Debt Devellopment
Collapse
Civill War
700
Attemptof ReorganizationReform ationIncomplete
WorldWarII
Industrialization Collectivization
mln tons
Total Oil Supply
Volga-Urals Oil Province Western SIberia
Caucasus
2000
1990
1980
1970
1960
1950
1940
1930
1920
100
600 500 400
Restoration complete Industrialization
300 200
Conserva- Perestroi caDeterio tion System rationEco Crisis nomicalC Slowdownrisis Debt Devellopment
Collapse
Civill War
700
Attemptof ReorganizationReform ationIncomplete
WorldWarII
Industrialization Collectivization
mln tons
Total Oil Supply
Volga-Urals Oil Province Western SIberia
Caucasus
2000
1990
1980
1970
1960
1950
1940
1930
1920
100
600 500 400
Restoration complete Industrialization
300 200
Conserva- Perestroi caDeterio tion System rationEco Crisis nomicalC Slowdownrisis Debt Devellopment
Collapse
Civill War
700
Attemptof ReorganizationReform ationIncomplete
WorldWarII
Industrialization Collectivization
mln tons
Total Oil Supply
Volga-Urals Oil Province Western SIberia
Caucasus
2000
1990
1980
1970
1960
1950
1940
1930
1920
100
600 500 400
Restoration complete Industrialization
300 200
Conserva- Perestroi caDeterio tion System rationEco Crisis nomicalC Slowdownrisis Debt Devellopment
Collapse
Civill War
700
Attemptof ReorganizationReform ationIncomplete
WorldWarII
Industrialization Collectivization
mln tons
Total Oil Supply
Volga-Urals Oil Province Western SIberia
Caucasus
2000
1990
1980
1970
1960
1950
1940
1930
1920
100
Коммунизм это Советска власть + электрификация всей страны
Царствование его величества пара, перевернувшего мир в прошлом столетии, окончилось. На его место станет неизмеримо более революционная сила - электрическая искра.
«Мы должны уменьшить унизительную зависимость от сырьевого экспорта, прекратить выжимать последние капли из научно-промышленного потенциала советского периода...» 11.02.10 Президент РФ Д.А. Медведев.
«Должна быть программа, сегодня мы не имеем программу разворота страны от нефтяной зависимости.» 25.04.13 Президент РФ В.В. Путин.