ARM Holdings

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By Daniel Dorman, Julio Escalona and Aaron Mederos

Buy Recommendation $53

Price

Equity Research│March 17, 2015│NASDAQ: ARMH│ARM Holdings

2018 Target

$93

$68

Value

Cap.

$25bln

Beta

1.2

The Business ARM designs and licenses low-power microprocessors predominantly for use in mobile devices such as phones. ARM does not manufacture its chip technology but merely develops and licenses it. The company has been able to able to build significant market share, with around 95% of all mobile phones currently using ARM cores. A total of 12 billion ARM processor-based devices were shipped in 2014.

Performance

Key Numbers 2014

2018

60

50

$1.15

$1.85

95.5%

96%

Operating

50%

55%

Net Income

42%

46%

R&D

21%

21%

PE TTM EPS

Margins Gross

1 yr Beginning March 16, 2015

S&P 500

ARMH

15%

5%

-5%

-15%

Growth Sales

16%

12%

EBIT

18%

14%

-25% Mar-14

Jun-14

Sep-14

Dec-14

Mar-15

Thesis  Increasing smartphone shipments and increasing smartphone share within all phones shipped will drive royalty growth  Increasingly complex chips within each device increases royalties per device  Increasing penetration of newest technology within all segments raises royalties per device  Increasing market share within enterprise and embedded computing increases licensing and royalty revenue  Total addressable market growth, through the Internet of Things, will increase both licensing and royalty revenue

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