2011
2013 2011
Quarter
second second A PRIL Quarter
VIRGINIA VIRGINIA Home HomeSAleS SAleSRepoRt RepoRt
Analysis by the Virginia Center for Housing Research at Virginia Tech
速 速 Published by by Virginia association of reaLtors , the advocate for for Published Virginia association of reaLtors , the advocate realreal estate professionals andand property owners in Virginia. estate professionals property owners in Virginia.
Virginia Monthly Home Sales Report
April 2013
Virginia's Monthly Pace of Residential Sales Single Family, Townhomes, Condos
12,000
9,748
10,000 9,072
8,671 8,000
9,033 8,540
7,709 7,219
7,265
7,408
7,366 6,913 5,906
6,000
5,511
+10.8%
4,000
2,000
0
Apr-12
May-12
Jun-12
Jul-12
Aug-12
Sep-12
Oct-12
Nov-12
Dec-12
Jan-13
Feb-13
Mar-13
Apr-13
The pace of Virginia home sales continued to climb in April 2013 with a 10.8% year-over-year increase to 8,540 home sales (compared to a 2% increase between March 2012 and 2013). Low unemployment rates in Virginia, as well as a decrease in mortgage interest rates, likely have influenced demand.
Published by the Virginia Association of REALTORS速 Analysis by the Virginia Center for Housing Research at Virginia Tech
Page 2
Virginia Monthly Home Sales Report
April 2013
Virginia Median Residential Sales Price Single Family Homes, Townhomes, Condos
$250,000
$240,000
$230,000
$225,000
$242,600
$248,000
$235,000
$240,000
$247,900
$257,000
$258,000
$250,000
$238,990
$225,000
$210,000
$204,450
$225,000
$220,000
$223,820
$239,900
$241,000
$245,000
$225,000
$215,000
Median Sales Price
$250,000
$225,000
$300,000
$200,000
+5%
$150,000
+11%
$100,000
Alongside a 10.8% year-over-year increase in the pace of home sales in Virginia (see Page 2), we also experienced continued increases in median sales prices in Virginia. The median sales price in April 2013 ($250,000) marks a 5% increase from one year earlier ($238,990), and a 11% increase from two years ago. As prices increase along with the pace of sales, we can expect more inventory to enter the market.
Published by the Virginia Association of REALTORS速 Analysis by the Virginia Center for Housing Research at Virginia Tech
Page 3
Virginia Monthly Home Sales Report
April 2013
Virginia Monthly Residential Sales Volume Single Family Homes, Townhomes, Condos
3,500 3,118 3,000
Millions of Dollars of Residential Sales
2,805
2,724
2,802 2,658
2,500 2,277
2,271 2,159
2,241 2,108
2,089
2,000 1,675 1,531 1,500
1,000
+16.7% 500
0
Apr-12
May-12
Jun-12
Jul-12
Aug-12
Sep-12
Oct-12
Nov-12
Dec-12
Jan-13
Feb-13
Mar-13
Apr-13
The total volume of real estate sold in Virginia during April 2013 ($2.7B) marks a significant 16.7% increase in the volume of real estate being transferred as compared to last April. We also see an important acceleration in the change in volume compared to the beginning of last year. Since increased volume is composed of both increased sales prices (see Page 3) and increased pace (see Page 2), it is a strong sign that the recovery is well underway and that more inventory should be attracted to the market.
Published by the Virginia Association of REALTORS速 Analysis by the Virginia Center for Housing Research at Virginia Tech
Page 4
Virginia Monthly Home Sales Report
April 2013
Virginia Average Days On Market Single Family Homes, Townhomes, Condos
120 106 100
99
96 89
89
93
97
99
101 101
104
102 91 84
Average Days On Market
80
88 80
81
89
83
87
90
93
94 86 78
-8% -14%
60
40
20
0
With an April average of 78 days on the market, Virginia experienced a 14% decline in this metric over the past year. This year-over-year decline is further evidence of the strengthening housing market.
Published by the Virginia Association of REALTORS速 Analysis by the Virginia Center for Housing Research at Virginia Tech
Page 5
Virginia Monthly Home Sales Report
April 2013
Virginia Unemployment Rate
Apr-11
Jul-11
Oct-11
Jan-12
Apr-12
Jul-12
Oct-12
Jan-13
5.2%
5.3%
5.6%
5.6%
5.6%
5.7%
5.8%
5.9%
5.9%
6.0%
6.0%
5.9%
5.9%
5.9%
5.9%
6.0%
6.2%
6.3%
6.5%
6.6%
6.6%
6.6%
6.5%
6.4%
6.3%
Source: Bureau of Labor & Statistics
9% 9% 8% 8% 7% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4%
Apr-13
Virginia’s unemployment rate continued to decline through April, likely bolstering consumer confidence. Lower unemployment and low interest rates signal that demand will remain strong.
Average 30-Year Mortgage Interest Rates Source: FreddieMac
4.0% 3.9%
3.91%
3.8%
3.80%
3.7%
3.68%
3.6%
3.55%
3.5%
3.60%
3.53%
3.47%
3.4%
3.38%
3.3%
3.35%
3.35%
Nov-12
Dec-12
3.57% 3.45%
3.41%
3.2% 3.1% 3.0%
Apr-12
May-12
Jun-12
Jul-12
Aug-12
Sep-12
Oct-12
Jan-13
Feb-13
Mar-13
Apr-13
Average 30-year fixed mortgage interest rates have been rising since December, but fell in April. Low interest rates continue to make a compelling argument for buyers to step into the market. Lower interest rates combined with the falling unemployment rate and increasing inventory may have spiked demand last month.
Published by the Virginia Association of REALTORSÂŽ Analysis by the Virginia Center for Housing Research at Virginia Tech
Page 6
Virginia Monthly Home Sales Report
April 2013
The Virginia Association of REALTORS® (VAR) is the business advocate for real estate professionals in Virginia. VAR represents more than 28,000 REALTORS® active in all phases of real estate brokerage, management, development and appraisal. Our mission is to enhance our membership’s ability to achieve business success. All inquiries regarding this report should be directed to: Stacey Ricks, Director of Public Relations Virginia Association of REALTORS® 10231 Telegraph Road, Glen Allen, VA 23059 (804) 249-5716 Stacey@VARealtor.com www.VARealtor.com/HomeSales Information sourced from multiple listing services across the state with data compiled by RE Stats Inc. All information is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed. Figures might not match those reported elsewhere.
Published by the Virginia Association of REALTORS® Analysis by the Virginia Center for Housing Research at Virginia Tech
Page 7