World Futures Studies Federation: Human Futures - April 2020 Issue

Page 8

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FUTURE MATTERS MARCH 2020 by Claire Nelson, PhD The year 2020 got off to a quick start and we were

about, but no one wants to discuss, such as the

sprinting down to the first turn of the track when

herd of environmental black elephants gathering

we got hit by a black elephant.

Yes… Covid-19

out there — global warming, deforestation,

hereinafter known as The Big-C is an elephant

ocean acidification, mass extinction and massive

not a black swan… What is a black elephant?

freshwater pollution. Thankfully, while most of us

Environmentalists have combined black swan with

have avoided thinking about pandemics for fear

white elephant to form the term black elephant,

they could happen like it did in films like ‘Contagion’

meaning “something likely to happen that will

the experts at World Health Organization and the

have a detrimental impact” or in other words

Global Preparedness Monitoring Board have been

a rare but significant risk that everyone knows

aware for some time that the 100 year run of luck

8 HUMAN FUTURES


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