The Distributional Impacts of Trade

Page 113

BOX 4.1 Active Labor Market Policies and Programs in Developing Countries and Their Impacts In Latin America, most labor market programs are not trade-specific. They instead offer general assistance that can help eligible firms boost their productivity and competitiveness or maintain their employment levels. Overall, the programs tend to be effective at supporting displaced workers. In Mexico, the PROCAMPO program was established in 1993 to compensate for expected price declines in crops after the initiation of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). It provided farmers with cash transfers and covered 90 percent of Mexico’s cultivated area (Lederman, Lopez-Acevedo, and Savchenko 2014). In Vietnam, the unemployment insurance program was established after the financial crisis of 2008 and later expanded to cover most workers in the formal economy (Cutler and Bell 2018). To receive benefits, workers had to have been laid off from a firm experiencing a business downturn or a natural disaster. Although benefits include a basic salary, childcare bonuses, job search allowances, and job training, coverage is limited, given Vietnam’s large informal economy. Over the years, a growing number of workers have claimed the unemployment insurance. At least one study finds that the reemployment rate is not high. A major opportunity area for the government is to improve the quality of and access to training because less than 5 percent of all people receiving the unemployment allowance receive vocational training (Ngo 2016). In China, a universal unemployment insurance scheme was established in 1986 to protect displaced workers from the large-scale privatization of many state-owned enterprises. The program was later expanded to include private firms and other public firms, farmers, and, recently, migrant workers (Cutler and Bell 2018). The goal was to encourage further migration from rural areas to cities, and this worked. The benefits include unemployment insurance payments, medical subsidies, coverage of daily expenses, and possible job training to improve employment qualifications and help workers find reemployment (Lee 2000). Coverage, however, is narrow, and the program has a weak role in promoting reemployment and preventing or stabilizing unemployment (ILO 2013). In addition, a trade adjustment program for firms was launched in 2017 in the Shanghai Pilot Free Trade Zone. Its objective is to provide trade adjustment assistance (TAA) for firms experiencing losses as a result of trade frictions, following the rationale of TAA in other countries. TAA includes consulting, employee training, export credit insurance, and supply chain and risk management for two years. Given the TAA program’s recent implementation, its efficacy on helping firms is still uncertain. In India, the information technology (IT) boom of the 1990s and 2000s resulted in a shortage of skilled workers, causing the Indian government to establish public IT colleges in less-developed areas that also struggled to attract private IT colleges. Ghose (2019) reviews the impact of this intervention and finds that it increased the supply of workers with IT skills, provided educational opportunities to less-favored communities, and helped reduce income inequalities. In Africa, the literature on adjustment programs is more limited, but a recent World Trade Organization volume, Making Globalization More Inclusive (Bacchetta, Milet, and Monteiro 2019) offers evidence from Morocco. BeIghazi and Berbich (2019) review labor market adjustment policies adopted in response to the 2008 financial crisis to support jobs in the textile, clothing, leather, and footwear industries. They find that only a small number of firms and workers benefited from the scheme and that it failed to address key competitive risks by firms, including competition from smuggling and informal sector firms, as well as the declining attractiveness of the sector to younger workers.

Fostering Inclusive Trade: A Policy Agenda 91


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Articles inside

A.1 Methodological Approaches Applied in the Case Studies

5min
pages 128-131

References

16min
pages 119-127

Flourish

4min
pages 116-117

Their Impacts

2min
page 113

Implementing a Policy Agenda for Inclusive Trade

4min
pages 114-115

4.1 Overview of Complementary Policies

22min
pages 103-112

Complementary Policy Priorities for Inclusive Trade

2min
page 102

3.1 Assessment of Trade Policy Changes on Sri Lankan Welfare

2min
page 93

Conclusion

4min
pages 94-95

Subnational Level

2min
page 90

Brazil: How Trade Shocks Affect Wages and Job Opportunities across Regions and Industries

4min
pages 85-86

South Africa: How Apartheid’s Legacy Shapes the Impact of Trade Liberalization on Local Communities

2min
page 83

Bangladesh: How a Shock in Textiles and Apparel Spreads through Local Communities and across the Economy

2min
page 79

and Are More Unequal

4min
pages 77-78

Mexico: How Rising Exports Affect Local Poverty and Inequality

2min
page 76

Introduction

4min
pages 74-75

References

14min
pages 66-72

Notes

2min
page 65

Conclusion

2min
page 64

Imperfect Pass-Through of Tariff Prices to Consumers

2min
page 63

2.4 New Approaches to Measure Consumption Impacts

6min
pages 60-62

Impacts on Consumer Prices and Cost of Living

2min
page 59

Understanding Hefty Adjustment Costs

6min
pages 56-58

Tariffs Database

5min
pages 50-51

2.3 Informal Labor Markets and Trade

4min
pages 54-55

Local Labor Markets in Developing Countries

2min
page 49

2.1 Extensions of “The China Syndrome”

4min
pages 47-48

A Framework for Understanding the Distributional Impacts of Trade

4min
pages 43-44

Value Added and Road Map

7min
pages 34-36

Impacts on Labor Market Outcomes

4min
pages 45-46

2 Understanding Winners and Losers with the Household Impacts of

2min
page 24

ES.1 Case Studies Show Different Political and Economic Dynamics in Trade Reforms

3min
pages 27-28

1.4 Structure of This Report

1min
page 37

Why Distributional Issues Matter

2min
page 33
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