The Distributional Impacts of Trade

Page 59

Sector- and occupation-specific human capital costs. Some studies focus on mobility issues that can arise from sector-specific worker experience or the nonadaptive nature of human capital. In analyzing an intersectoral reallocation of labor in response to trade reforms in Brazil, for instance, Cosar (2013) develops a small two-sector open economy model of equilibrium search with overlapping generations and sector-specific human capital. Simulation results show that labor market adjustment in response to a reallocation shock can take a long time because of a combination of labor market frictions and sector-specific human capital. The uniqueness of human capital at the sector level, though, poses a much bigger barrier to labor mobility than search frictions. In contrast, using a dynamic equilibrium model with labor market frictions and occupation-specific human capital, Ritter (2012) finds that, in light of the surge in trade in goods and services observed between 1990 and 2010 in the United States, a flexible labor market plays a bigger role in the adjustment process than the specific human capital of workers in high-skill service occupations. The bottom line is that large labor adjustment costs may lead to large unrealized gains from trade, and these costs could be triggered by geographical barriers, sector- or occupation-specific human capital barriers, or policy distortions. The understanding of these costs remains indispensable to better informing our knowledge of subnational impacts of trade, as well as understanding the different kinds of costs that workers bear. This is because governments will need to choose among a wide range of policies to help workers cope with job loss (see chapter 4). This report focuses on labor market costs because they can be very high, can have considerable political influence, and are key in developing countries that are specialized in labor-intensive manufacturing. However, the nature of adjustment costs differs depending on the country context. In several low-income countries where the primary sector of employment, production, and trade is agriculture, for instance, adjustment at the smallholder or farmer level5 is much more relevant than labor market adjustment costs. There are often also large capital adjustment costs in industrial production.

Impacts on Consumer Prices and Cost of Living Viewing the distributional impacts of trade through the lens of household consumption is particularly relevant for low-income countries, given that a substantial share of the workforce are not formally employed. In these contexts, work often takes place in household businesses and family farms, and a substantial amount of time is devoted to producing goods and services used for personal consumption by the workers (Goldberg and Pavcnik 2007a). Impacts through prices or cost of living constitute a key piece in the discussion of distributional impacts of trade as individuals with different levels of income consume goods at different intensities, and the proportion of imported versus domestic goods significantly varies depending on

Lessons from the Literature on Distributional Impacts 37


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A.1 Methodological Approaches Applied in the Case Studies

5min
pages 128-131

References

16min
pages 119-127

Flourish

4min
pages 116-117

Their Impacts

2min
page 113

Implementing a Policy Agenda for Inclusive Trade

4min
pages 114-115

4.1 Overview of Complementary Policies

22min
pages 103-112

Complementary Policy Priorities for Inclusive Trade

2min
page 102

3.1 Assessment of Trade Policy Changes on Sri Lankan Welfare

2min
page 93

Conclusion

4min
pages 94-95

Subnational Level

2min
page 90

Brazil: How Trade Shocks Affect Wages and Job Opportunities across Regions and Industries

4min
pages 85-86

South Africa: How Apartheid’s Legacy Shapes the Impact of Trade Liberalization on Local Communities

2min
page 83

Bangladesh: How a Shock in Textiles and Apparel Spreads through Local Communities and across the Economy

2min
page 79

and Are More Unequal

4min
pages 77-78

Mexico: How Rising Exports Affect Local Poverty and Inequality

2min
page 76

Introduction

4min
pages 74-75

References

14min
pages 66-72

Notes

2min
page 65

Conclusion

2min
page 64

Imperfect Pass-Through of Tariff Prices to Consumers

2min
page 63

2.4 New Approaches to Measure Consumption Impacts

6min
pages 60-62

Impacts on Consumer Prices and Cost of Living

2min
page 59

Understanding Hefty Adjustment Costs

6min
pages 56-58

Tariffs Database

5min
pages 50-51

2.3 Informal Labor Markets and Trade

4min
pages 54-55

Local Labor Markets in Developing Countries

2min
page 49

2.1 Extensions of “The China Syndrome”

4min
pages 47-48

A Framework for Understanding the Distributional Impacts of Trade

4min
pages 43-44

Value Added and Road Map

7min
pages 34-36

Impacts on Labor Market Outcomes

4min
pages 45-46

2 Understanding Winners and Losers with the Household Impacts of

2min
page 24

ES.1 Case Studies Show Different Political and Economic Dynamics in Trade Reforms

3min
pages 27-28

1.4 Structure of This Report

1min
page 37

Why Distributional Issues Matter

2min
page 33
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