The Distributional Impacts of Trade

Page 60

the level of household income. Only a few publications explore this question, though, primarily because of data limitations. As previously highlighted by Goldberg and Pavcnik (2007a), household surveys so far have had a limited focus on the selfemployed and a poor response rate to consumption questions. Despite these challenges, the literature on consumption effects of trade integration has evolved in recent years, both in terms of methodological innovations and the aspects of globalization being studied (box 2.4). Whereas initial studies used reducedform methods that relied on household consumption surveys and simulated price changes at the product group level (Deaton 1989; Porto 2006), more recent studies have used structural models with cross-country trade flows to quantify these impacts (Fajgelbaum and Khandelwal 2016). There has also been a growing interest in the shifts in purchasing patterns of households from traditional stores to foreign retailers, which

BOX 2.4 New Approaches to Measure Consumption Impacts New methodologies. One innovation is the use of reduced-form and quantitative trade ­models to quantify the impact of trade integration on income inequality through its effects on the price index relevant to individuals with different income levels using the methodology outlined by Deaton (1989). The most heavily cited study is that of Porto (2006), who explores the impact of Argentina’s trade reform on consumers by combining scheduled Argentine tariff changes under the Southern Common Market (MERCOSUR) with household expenditure shares across seven consumption sectors to simulate household inflation differences. Since then, several studies have analyzed consumption and income channels to ­estimate the net effects of tariff reforms for developed and developing countries on ­welfare (Borusyak and Jaravel 2018; Hasan, Mitra, and Ural 2007; Nicita 2009; Nicita, Olarreaga, and Porto 2014; Ural Marchand 2012). Other studies have used quantitative trade models to estimate the impacts of changes in tariffs on consumption (Fajgelbaum and Khandelwal 2016). New aspects of globalization. Shifting the focus away from changes in traditional measures of trade (like tariffs or export prices), a few recent studies have concentrated on other aspects of globalization (like retail trade and tariff reductions for intermediate inputs). Atkin et al. (2018) attempt to capture the first-order effects of retail globalization by using a rich collection of ­microdata to assess the consequences of expanding foreign direct investment in the retail sector in Mexico. Faber (2014) examines Mexico’s entry into the North American Free Trade Agreement to study the effect of input tariff reductions on the price changes of final goods of different quality. He shows that access to imported inputs reduces the relative price of higher-quality products in the country.

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The Distributional Impacts of Trade


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A.1 Methodological Approaches Applied in the Case Studies

5min
pages 128-131

References

16min
pages 119-127

Flourish

4min
pages 116-117

Their Impacts

2min
page 113

Implementing a Policy Agenda for Inclusive Trade

4min
pages 114-115

4.1 Overview of Complementary Policies

22min
pages 103-112

Complementary Policy Priorities for Inclusive Trade

2min
page 102

3.1 Assessment of Trade Policy Changes on Sri Lankan Welfare

2min
page 93

Conclusion

4min
pages 94-95

Subnational Level

2min
page 90

Brazil: How Trade Shocks Affect Wages and Job Opportunities across Regions and Industries

4min
pages 85-86

South Africa: How Apartheid’s Legacy Shapes the Impact of Trade Liberalization on Local Communities

2min
page 83

Bangladesh: How a Shock in Textiles and Apparel Spreads through Local Communities and across the Economy

2min
page 79

and Are More Unequal

4min
pages 77-78

Mexico: How Rising Exports Affect Local Poverty and Inequality

2min
page 76

Introduction

4min
pages 74-75

References

14min
pages 66-72

Notes

2min
page 65

Conclusion

2min
page 64

Imperfect Pass-Through of Tariff Prices to Consumers

2min
page 63

2.4 New Approaches to Measure Consumption Impacts

6min
pages 60-62

Impacts on Consumer Prices and Cost of Living

2min
page 59

Understanding Hefty Adjustment Costs

6min
pages 56-58

Tariffs Database

5min
pages 50-51

2.3 Informal Labor Markets and Trade

4min
pages 54-55

Local Labor Markets in Developing Countries

2min
page 49

2.1 Extensions of “The China Syndrome”

4min
pages 47-48

A Framework for Understanding the Distributional Impacts of Trade

4min
pages 43-44

Value Added and Road Map

7min
pages 34-36

Impacts on Labor Market Outcomes

4min
pages 45-46

2 Understanding Winners and Losers with the Household Impacts of

2min
page 24

ES.1 Case Studies Show Different Political and Economic Dynamics in Trade Reforms

3min
pages 27-28

1.4 Structure of This Report

1min
page 37

Why Distributional Issues Matter

2min
page 33
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