The Distributional Impacts of Trade

Page 79

such barriers protect incumbent firms and prevent the entry of newcomers. Regulatory barriers to competition at the local level, often linked to powerful vested interests, tend to be dispersed across sectors and jurisdictions. Their negative impact depends on how they are applied and the market characteristics that are affected. ■■

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Limited access to finance. Credit to the private sector and deposits remain low, not just when compared to peers at the same income level but also within Latin America. Just one-third of small and medium enterprises have access to loans, and only 12 ­percent of microenterprises receive finance. Moreover, just 32 ­percent of small and medium enterprises need to invest but cannot because of financial constraints. Policy-driven distortions that increase the size of the informal sector. Because social security in Mexico is primarily financed through wage-based contributions, it acts as a tax on salaried employment. This incentivizes firms to move toward nonsalaried contracts, and the illegal evasion of social security, which has n ­ egative consequences on productivity and growth. Settling labor disputes based on formal employment contracts is also a long and expensive process.

Bangladesh: How a Shock in Textiles and Apparel Spreads through Local Communities and across the Economy In the 1990s, Bangladesh took major steps to liberalize international trade. These included (a) cutting the maximum import duty from 350 ­percent in 1993 to 25 ­percent in 2005, (b) reducing the number of tariff bands from 15 in 1993 to 4 in 2016, and (c) lowering the unweighted average tariff rate from 70.0 ­percent in 1992 to 12.3 ­percent in 2008. Together with other measures aimed at reducing the cost of imported inputs and spurring exports, Bangladesh’s liberalization reforms opened the economy to the world. Exports shot up by 2,000 ­percent between 1990 and 2016, the highest increase in the region, and imports (primarily industrial raw material and capital machinery) rose from close to US$4 million to slightly over US$40 million. Most of these exports were destined for two markets: Europe (59 ­percent) and the United States (23 ­percent). A key question at the center of the current debate about the effects of globalization on welfare is whether the gains from trade remain localized or if they spread through the economy. The study “Short and Long-Run Labor Market Effects of Developing Country Exports: Evidence from Bangladesh” by Robertson et al. (2020) is part of a new body of work that focuses on the export-related impacts of trade reforms in developing countries, rather than the impact on import-competing industries, especially at the local level. Bangladesh is a good example for a number of reasons. Lessons from Recent Cases of Trade Reforms in Developing Countries 57


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A.1 Methodological Approaches Applied in the Case Studies

5min
pages 128-131

References

16min
pages 119-127

Flourish

4min
pages 116-117

Their Impacts

2min
page 113

Implementing a Policy Agenda for Inclusive Trade

4min
pages 114-115

4.1 Overview of Complementary Policies

22min
pages 103-112

Complementary Policy Priorities for Inclusive Trade

2min
page 102

3.1 Assessment of Trade Policy Changes on Sri Lankan Welfare

2min
page 93

Conclusion

4min
pages 94-95

Subnational Level

2min
page 90

Brazil: How Trade Shocks Affect Wages and Job Opportunities across Regions and Industries

4min
pages 85-86

South Africa: How Apartheid’s Legacy Shapes the Impact of Trade Liberalization on Local Communities

2min
page 83

Bangladesh: How a Shock in Textiles and Apparel Spreads through Local Communities and across the Economy

2min
page 79

and Are More Unequal

4min
pages 77-78

Mexico: How Rising Exports Affect Local Poverty and Inequality

2min
page 76

Introduction

4min
pages 74-75

References

14min
pages 66-72

Notes

2min
page 65

Conclusion

2min
page 64

Imperfect Pass-Through of Tariff Prices to Consumers

2min
page 63

2.4 New Approaches to Measure Consumption Impacts

6min
pages 60-62

Impacts on Consumer Prices and Cost of Living

2min
page 59

Understanding Hefty Adjustment Costs

6min
pages 56-58

Tariffs Database

5min
pages 50-51

2.3 Informal Labor Markets and Trade

4min
pages 54-55

Local Labor Markets in Developing Countries

2min
page 49

2.1 Extensions of “The China Syndrome”

4min
pages 47-48

A Framework for Understanding the Distributional Impacts of Trade

4min
pages 43-44

Value Added and Road Map

7min
pages 34-36

Impacts on Labor Market Outcomes

4min
pages 45-46

2 Understanding Winners and Losers with the Household Impacts of

2min
page 24

ES.1 Case Studies Show Different Political and Economic Dynamics in Trade Reforms

3min
pages 27-28

1.4 Structure of This Report

1min
page 37

Why Distributional Issues Matter

2min
page 33
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