Himachal Pradesh State Brief

Page 1

Himachal Pradesh Indicators at a Glance

HIMACHAL PRADESH

ALL INDIA

POPULATION 1991

2001

2011

2011

Total population (million)

5

6

7

1211

Urban share (%)

9

10

10

31

Share of adults (% age 15+)

65

70

75

70

Child sex ratio (age 0-6)

951

896

909

919

1994

2005

2012

2012

POVERTY & INEQUALITY Poor (million) Poverty rate (%)

Gini coefficient

2

1

1

270

All

35

23

8

22

Rural

37

25

8

25

Urban

14

5

4

14

0.27

0.30

0.30

0.32

1994

2005

2012

2012

21,445

37,731

60,311

42,647

Agriculture

32

25

17

14

Industry

28

38

40

28

Services

40

36

43

57

All

INCOME & GROWTH Real GSDP per capita (2005 rupees) By sector (%)

Annual growth rate of real GSDP per capita (%)

1994 to 2005

2005 to 2012

2005 to 2012

5.3

6.9

6.7

JOBS Labor force participation rate (%)

Workers by sector (%)

Workers by wage-type (%)

1994

2005

2012

2012

All

78

75

70

56

Male

87

82

77

80

Female

69

68

63

31

Agriculture

75

64

58

49

Industry

11

18

23

24

Services

13

17

19

27

Self-Employed

81

73

68

52

Salaried

10

14

18

18

8

13

14

30

Casual Wage

1

June 20, 2017


Himachal Pradesh Indicators at a Glance

HIMACHAL PRADESH

ALL INDIA

HEALTH 2001

2006

2013

2013

#N/A

#N/A

#N/A

167

Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births)

54

50

35

40

Stunting (% age 0-5)

—

39*

34~

39~

1994

2005

2012

2012

Literate (% adults)

60

74

79

70

Secondary education and above (% adults)

21

32

47

32

INFRASTRUCTURE & AMENITIES Power

1994

2005

2012

2012

All

92

96

97

80

Rural

91

98

98

73

Urban

99

88

92

96

2008

2012

2012

All

55

61

56

Rural

53

54

46

Urban

74

94

77

All

42

22

44

Rural

47

26

60

Urban

9

4

9

Connectivity

2005

2012

2012

Road density - km. per million people

3,683

7,275

3,231

Road density - km. per 1,000 sq. km.

421

906

1,206

2012

2013

2014

2014

Debt to GSDP ratio (%)

54

52

49

51

Fiscal Deficit (% of GSDP)

2.6

4.0

4.8

4.4

Real GSDP growth rate (%)

7.3

6.1

6.2

6.9

Maternal mortality ratio (per 100,000 live births)

EDUCATION

Electrification (% households)

Water and sanitation Drinking water on premises (% households)

Open defecation (% households)

RECENT GROWTH AND FISCAL PERFORMANCE

* NFHS III, ~ RSOC

2

June 20, 2017


Himachal Pradesh Poverty, Growth & Inequality

With poor people making up less than a tenth of its population, Himachal Pradesh is one of India’s more prosperous states. Since 1994, there has been a steady decline in poverty in the state, specially in the rural areas. As a result, the difference in poverty levels between the state’s rural and urban areas has narrowed considerably. In spite of this, Himachal Pradesh’s western and central districts record higher levels of poverty than its other regions. Growth in the state has been modest after 2005, driven mainly by the non-farm sectors of the economy. In urban areas, consumption inequality has increased.

Poverty in Himachal Pradesh is among the lowest in the country Population below poverty line, 2012 (%) 50

40

40 37

37

35

34

33

32

32 29

30

22

22

21

20

20

19

17

17

15

15 12

12

10

11

11

11

10

9

9

8

8

8 5

0 CG JH MN AR BH OD AS MP UP AI MZ KA WB NL MH GJ TR RJ MG TN UK HR JK DL AP SK

PJ

KL HP GA

Low Income States are highlighted in orange, AI is All India.

Districts in the west and center of Himachal Pradesh have higher poverty than the rest District level poverty, 2012

Patna

Population below the poverty line, 2012 (%)

N

1

June 20, 2017

0.6-5.2 0-1 5.3-13.2 1-4 13.3-17.2 4-8 17.3-22.6 8-9 22.7-62.8 9-18


Himachal Pradesh Poverty, Growth & Inequality

Since 1994, a steady decline in poverty in Himachal Pradesh Population below poverty line, (%) 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 MN JH BH OD AR AS CG KA MH UP AI TN AP MP WB RJ

● 1994

● 2005

GJ MG HR HP UK TR SK KL JK

PJ

GA NL DL MZ

● 2012

Low Income States are highlighted in orange, AI is All India.

With rapid poverty reduction in rural areas, the rural-urban gap in poverty is closing in Himachal Pradesh Population below poverty line, (%) 40 Rural Total

37 35

30 25 23

20

Urban 14

10

8

5

8

4

0 1994

2

June 20, 2017

2005

2012


Himachal Pradesh Poverty, Growth & Inequality 0

10

20

30

Annual decline in poverty rate, 2005 - 2012 (%)

-1

40

50

60

70

80

High poverty, declining slowly

AS

Growth in Himachal Pradesh is similar to the national average -3 JH

Annual growth 2005- 2012 - 2012 Annual growthrate, rate, 2005 (%) (%)

11

CG

-5

9 8 7 6

WB

-9

All India

GJ HR

-11 KL PJ RJ

BH -13

OD CGHP MP

-17 Lagging

4

BH

Leading OD

Data for 19 large states and All India. Low Income States are highlighted in orange.

TN

-15

5

MP

KA

-7

Improving

10

UP

UK

Low poverty, UP declining fast

GJ

AP MH RJ

MH

KL HP

TN

HR

Interpreting the graph

KA

UK

Improvement from 2005 to 2012

12

PJ

WB AP

JH AS

Weakening

3 2

0

Leading High income, high growth

Lagging Low income, low growth

Weakening High income, low growth

Standard of living, 2005

5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000

per capita, (2005 RealReal GSDPGSDP per capita, (2005 Rupees)

Improving Low income, high growth

Rupees) All India

Non-farm sectors drive Himachal Pradesh’s growth Annual growth rate, (%)

Components of GSDP growth rate, (%)

15 15

12 12 10 10 8

10 10

5

5

4.7

8

6

6

4

4

2

2

3.6

0

0 20052006 20062007 20072008 20082009 20092010 2010201120112012 2012 2005

■ Himachal Pradesh GSDP

■ All India GDP

0

2.8

1.4 4.4 3.3

5.2

3.9 3.8

3.7

5.7 3.8

1.7

0

4.1

1.7 3.2 2.1

2.0

1.6 -0.2

5.9

-0.7

-0.2 -2.4

-2 -2 -4 -4

2005 2006 2006 2007 20072008 20082009 20092010 2010 20112011 2012 2012 2005

■ Services

3

June 20, 2017

■ Industry

■ Agriculture


Himachal Pradesh Poverty, Growth & Inequality

The pace of poverty reduction in Himachal Pradesh has been among the fastest after 2005 Poverty rate, 2005

Annual decline in poverty rate, 2012 Annual decline in poverty rate,2005 2005 --2012 (%)(%)

0

10

20

30

-1

40

50

60

70

80

High poverty, declining slowly

AS

-3

JH CG UP

-5

MP

KA

-7

WB

-9

BH

All India

OD

Data for 19 large states and All India. Low Income States are highlighted in orange.

GJ HR

-11

RJ KL PJ

-13

TN

HP

-15

Low poverty, declining fast

MH

UK AP

-17

A very small share of India’s poor live in Himachal Pradesh bubble size: number of poor (millions)

UP

20

Data for 19 large states and All India. Low Income States are highlighted in yellow.

BH

15

What % of India’s poor lives in this state?

Stateshare share in poor, 20122012 (%) (%) State in India’s India’s poor,

25

MP

10

MH

JH

5

OD

HP

0

WB

RJ

CG GJ

AS

0

KA

HR KL UK PJ

5

TN

AP

10

15

20

State sharein inIndia’s India’s population, 20122012 (%) (%) State share population,

4

June 20, 2017

25

Interpreting the graph Share of poor > share of population

e ar Sh

or po of

e ar sh

of

n io at ul p po

=

Share of poor < share of population

What % of India’s population lives in this state?


Himachal Pradesh Poverty, Growth & Inequality

Consumption inequality has risen in urban areas of Himachal Pradesh, but dropped marginally in rural areas Gini coefficient 0.4 0.34

0.3

0.30 0.30

0.29

0.27

0.31 0.28

0.28

0.25

0.2

0.1

0.0 Total

Rural

■ 1994

■ 2005

Urban

■ 2012

Consumption inequality in Himachal Pradesh is lower than the national average Gini coefficient, 2012 0.4

0.3

0.2

0.1 KL DL KA MH AR TN AI HR WB MP CG UP

Low Income States are highlighted in orange, AI is All India.

5

June 20, 2017

PJ

HP GA UK AP GJ MZ OD JK JH RJ AS TR NL BH SK MG MN


Himachal Pradesh Jobs

Most of Himachal Pradesh’s people are engaged in farming. Non-farm jobs account for a lower share of employment than in most other states. Over two-thirds of Himachal Pradesh’s workforce is self-employed, and very few of the rest have salaried jobs. Since 2005, jobs in the state have grown, albeit slowly. Many of the jobs created during this period were in construction. While female labor force participation in the state is high, it has been declining in recent times.

A majority of Himachal Pradesh’s workforce is still employed on the farm Employment share by sector, (%) 100

25

36

42

80 75

60

■ Non-farm

64

■ Farm

58

40

20

0 1994

2005

2012

The share of non-farm employment in Himachal Pradesh is lower than in most states Non-farm employment share, 2012 (%) 100

80

100

96

74

73 65

60

64

61

61

58

57 51

51

40

51

51

50

50

50

48

47

45

44

44

43

42

41

40

38

38 32

27

20

0 DL GA KL TR TN PJ MN WB JK HR GJ UK AI MH JH KA RJ UP AP MZ OD AS MG HP MP NL SK BH AR CG

Low Income States are highlighted in orange, AI is All India.

1

June 20, 2017


Himachal Pradesh Jobs

Job growth in Himachal Pradesh was positive but slow after 2005 Number of jobs added, 2005-2012 (mn)

Annual job growth, 2005-2012 (%)

WB UP RJ MH CG BH OD AP DL MP GJ TN

WB

1.8

UP

0.8

RJ

1.1

MH

0.5

CG

1.6

BH

0.5

OD

0.7

AP

0.3

DL

2.2

MP

0.4

GJ

0.3

TN

0.2

PJ

PJ

0.5

TR HP SK MG GA MZ MN AR AS KL JH HR NL UK KA

TR

4.4

-1

0

1

2

3

4

HP

1.3

SK

3.9

MG

0.7

GA

1.3

MZ

1.1

MN

0.1

AR

-0.1

AS

0.0

KL

-0.1

JH

-0.2

HR

-0.3

NL

-3.6

UK

-1.0

KA

-0.5

5

Low Income States are highlighted in orange, AI is All India.

Construction led job creation in Himachal Pradesh after 2005 Number of jobs, (mn)

Annual job growth, 2005-2012 (%)

FARM

FARM

0

CONS

CONS

6

PUB

PUB

3

THR

THR

-1

MANU

MANU

4

TRAN

TRAN

2

MINE+UTIL

0

FIRB

18

MINE+UTIL FIRB

0.0

2

0.5

1.0

■ 2005 June 20, 2017

1.5

■ 2012

2.0

2.5


Himachal Pradesh Jobs

Since 2005, more casual wage jobs in Himachal Pradesh Employment by wage type, (%) 100

80

13

14

14

18

73

Wage Labor

68

60

40 Self Employed

20

0 2005

■ Casual Wage

2012

■ Salaried

■ Self Employed

The share of salaried jobs in Himachal Pradesh is similar to the national average Salaried jobs share, 2012 (%) 70 63

60

60

50 40 30

28

27

26

25

24

24

23

22

22

22

20 10

21

19

18

18

18

18

17

17

14

14

13

13

11

11

11

10

10 6

0 DL GA PJ MH TN GJ NL HR KA KL MZ SK JK AR HP AP AI UK WB MG MN AS RJ TR MP UP OD JH CG BH

Low Income States are highlighted in orange, AI is All India.

3

June 20, 2017


Himachal Pradesh Jobs

Despite positive job growth, not enough jobs for the size of the working age population in Himachal Pradesh Million

Annual growth, 2005-2012 (%)

5 5

â– 2005 4 4

â– 2012

Working age population not in school

+0.6

2.0

+0.3 All Workers

3 3

+0.1

2 2

Male Workers

+0.2

1 1

0 0

1.3

0.9

Female Workers

Working age population not in school

All Workers

Male Workers

Female Workers

0.00.0

1.7

0.50.5

1.0 1.0

1.5 1.5

Female labor participation in Himachal Pradesh is high but declining Labor force participation rate, (%) 100 89

80

86 78

73

82

72

71

76

60

67

Rural Male Urban Male Rural Female Urban Female

40 36

20

30

28

0 1993-94

4

June 20, 2017

2004-05

2011-12

2.02.0

2.5 2.5


Himachal Pradesh Gender

Himachal Pradesh has made good progress on gender issues. Women complete higher levels of secondary school than in many other states. Moreover, gender gaps in schooling are closing. And, female labor force participation in the state is the highest in the country. Despite these achievements, challenges remain. The state’s ratio of girls to boys is below the national average, having improved only slightly in recent times. While female labor force participation in the state is high, it has declined after 2005. In rural areas, there are very few non-farm jobs for women. In contrast, urban women work less, but they have the same types of jobs as urban men.

Child sex ratio in Himachal Pradesh is below the national average Child sex ratio, 2011 (age 0-6) females per 1,000 males 1,000 972 970 970 969 964 962 957 957 956

950

948 948

943 943 942 941 939 936 935 919 918

900

909

902

894 890 890 888 871

862 846

850

834

800 AR MG MZ CG KL AS SK TR WB KA JH NL TN GA OD AP MN BH AI MP HP UP MH GJ UK RJ DL JK

Low Income States are highlighted in orange, AI is All India.

Slight increase in Himachal Pradesh’s child sex ratio after 2001 Child sex ratio, (age 0-6) females per 1,000 males 1,000 951

950 896

909

900

850

800 1991

1

June 20, 2017

2001

2011

PJ HR


Himachal Pradesh Gender

Secondary school attainment of women in Himachal Pradesh is higher than in many other states Secondary education attainment among women, 2012 (% adults) 70 60

57 52

50

46

43

40

41

38

38

35

34

34

33

31

30

30

28

28

26

26

26

26 22

20

21

21

20

20

20 16

16

16

15

14

10 0 DL GA NL KL HP MN PJ MH TN HR KA UK MG MZ AR JK AP AI

GJ SK AS UP JH WB MP CG OD RJ BH TR

Low Income States are highlighted in orange, AI is All India.

Secondary school completion is lower for women than men in Himachal Pradesh, rural women further lag behind urban Education attainment, 2012 (% adults) 60 53

Rural Females

50 41

40

30

21

11

38

29

30

12

Urban Females

20

20

20

15

16

11

10

12

10

63

0

Males

■ Illiterate

2

Females

■ Literate or primary school completed

June 20, 2017

0

20

■ Middle school completed

40

60

80

100

■ Secondary school or higher completed


Himachal Pradesh Gender

Gender gaps in schooling have narrowed for the young in Himachal Pradesh Enrolled in education institutes, (%)

2005 21-23

9

24

15

Female

Male

15-17

5

51

46

18-20

86

Age

83

9-11

98

6-8

98

100

4

97

93

12-14

3

1

99

-2

96

80

60

40

20

0

20

40

60

80

100

Enrolled in education institutes, (%)

2012 21-23

30

3

60

18-20 15-17

Male -1

59

Age

90

1

91

12-14

96

99

3

9-11

97

100

3

6-8

98

99

1

100

3

27

Female

June 20, 2017

80

60

40

20

0

20

40

60

80

100


Himachal Pradesh Gender

Himachal Pradesh has the highest female labor force participation in the country Female labor force participation rate, 2012 (%) 70 63

60

63 55

55 49

50

47 43

40

41

40

38

38

37

37

36

33

30

33

32

32

31

31

30

27

25

25

25

24 19

20

17

15 9

10 0 HP SK CG MG MZ AP RJ NL TN MH AR TR UK MN KA OD JK KL AI MP GJ

PJ

JH WB UP GA HR AS DL BH

Low Income States are highlighted in orange, AI is All India.

Female labor force participation in Himachal Pradesh has declined after 2005 Labor force participation rate, (%) 100 89

80

86 78

73

82

72

71

76

60

67

Rural Male Urban Male Rural Female Urban Female

40 36

20

30

28

0 1993-94

4

June 20, 2017

2004-05

2011-12


Himachal Pradesh Gender

Rural women in Himachal Pradesh work mainly in farming, more non-farm jobs for rural men Share of employed, 2012 (%) Rural Males

Rural Females

2

6

5

23 40 22

87 16

■ Farm - All

■ Non-farm Self Employed

■ Non-farm Salaried

■ Non-farm Casual Wage

When urban women in Himachal Pradesh work, they have similar jobs as urban men Share of employed, 2012 (%) Urban Males

11

Urban Females

5

4 19 24

61

■ Farm - All

5

June 20, 2017

■ Non-farm Self Employed

58

■ Non-farm Salaried

19

■ Non-farm Casual Wage


Himachal Pradesh Social Inclusion

Despite overall progress in poverty reduction, some groups have been left behind. Scheduled Castes, in particular, have a higher incidence of poverty than other groups, and have witnessed a slower pace of poverty reduction. Moreover, Scheduled Castes and Scheduled Tribes lag behind others in education. People belonging to the general category have more salaried jobs than others. On the bright side, most groups in the state have lower rates of open defecation and enjoy greater access to drinking water than the rest of the country.

Slower poverty reduction for Scheduled Castes than other groups in Himachal Pradesh Population below poverty line, (%) 40

Households by Social Group, 2012 (%)

37 34

All India Himachal Pradesh Scheduled Tribe

9

6

Scheduled Caste

19

22

Other Backward Caste

43

19

General

29

53

Pace of poverty reduction

30

19

20

-17% per year

16

16 -12% per year

-24% per year

9

10

6 -13% per year

3

0 2005

■ Scheduled Tribe

2012

■ Scheduled Caste

■ Other Backward Caste

■ General

Poverty among Scheduled Castes in Himachal Pradesh is lower than in most other states SC population below poverty line, 2012 (%) 60 50 40

51

47

44

41

40

40

39 33

30

33

29

29

24

20

21

20

19

19

19

19

18

18

16

16

16

10

15

15

13

10 0

0 BH CG MN UP JH MP OD KA GA AI AS HR WB MH DL TN RJ

Low Income States are highlighted in orange, AI is All India.

1

16

June 20, 2017

JK

GJ SK KL HP NL

0

PJ UK AR AP TR MG MZ


Himachal Pradesh Social Inclusion

Scheduled Tribes and Scheduled Castes in Himachal Pradesh have less schooling than other groups Education attainment, 2012 (% adults) 27

Scheduled Tribe

26

26

Scheduled Caste

18

Other Backward Caste

0

23

20

19

General

8

■ Illiterate

15

37

17

18

20

39

45

11

53

40

60

80

100

■ Literate or primary school completed

■ Middle school completed

■ Secondary school or higher completed

More salaried jobs for those belonging to the General category Share of employed, 2012 (%) Scheduled Tribe

Scheduled Caste

20

21

9 72

18

61

■ Casual Wage ■ Salaried Other Backward Caste

General

■ Self-employed

8 20 14

2

June 20, 2017

21 66

71


Himachal Pradesh Social Inclusion

Households across all social groups in Himachal Pradesh practice less open defecation than the rest of the country Households practicing open defecation, 2012 (%) 100

80 69 59

60

48

44

40

32

31

22

22

21

20

15

0 All

Scheduled Tribe

Scheduled Caste

■ Himachal Pradesh

Other Backward Caste

General

■ All India

Access to drinking water for the Other Backward Castes is lower than other social groups in Himachal Pradesh Households with drinking water on premises, 2012 (%) 100

80

60

67

61

56

58

57

55

69

44

48

40 27

20

0 All

Scheduled Tribe

Scheduled Caste

■ Himachal Pradesh

3

June 20, 2017

Other Backward Caste

■ All India

General


Himachal Pradesh Health and Education 60 50

Himachal Pradesh has40made significant progress in education. Over two-thirds of its adults have completed secondary school, higher than in many other states. Moreover, enrollment in higher 30 education has increased after 2012, and children’s learning outcomes are the highest in the 20 country. In health, however, progress is mixed. On the positive side, fewer households practice open defecation than10in the rest of the country. And, infant mortality, already lower than the national average, is declining. On the other hand, malnutrition levels are high, especially among lower income groups. 0 Total Rural Urban Infant mortality is declining in Himachal Pradesh Infant mortality rate Number of infant deaths per 1,000 live births 60

52

50

40

35

35

26

23

20

■ 2006

0 Total

Rural

■ 2013

Urban

Himachal Pradesh’s infant mortality is lower than the national average Infant mortality rate, 2013 Number of infant deaths per 1,000 live births 60

50

46

40 31

30

18

20

10

9

10

21

22

24

24

31

32

32

35

35

36

26

26

PJ

TR KA WB AR UK HP MZ GJ

37

37

39

40

41

47

47

50

51

54

54

42

12

0 GA MN KL NL TN SK MH DL

Low Income States are highlighted in orange, AI is All India.

1

June 20, 2017

JK JH AP AI HR BH CG MG RJ UP OD AS MP


Himachal Pradesh Health and Education

Malnutrition in Himachal Pradesh is lower than the national average Stunting in children <5 years, 2014 (%) 50

47

40

30

20

27

19

21

28

28

29

29

32

33

34

34

34

35

35

35

36

37

38

39

41

42

42

43

49

50

43

31

31

PJ

TR JK MN UK HP KA WB AP MH RJ HR OD AI AS MP GJ MG CG JH BH UP

23

10

0 KL GA TN MZ SK AR DL NL

Low Income States are highlighted in orange, AI is All India.

Malnutrition is high for lower income households in Himachal Pradesh Stunting in children <5 years, 2006 (%) 70 62

60

59 54

48

50 40

60

47

49 41

39

36 29

30

25

20 10 0

All

Quintile 1

Quintile 2

â– Himachal Pradesh Latest stunting data by wealth class available for 2006.

2

June 20, 2017

Quintile 3

â– All India

Quintile 4

Quintile 5


Himachal Pradesh Health and Education

Fewer households in Himachal Pradesh practice open defecation compared to the rest of the country Households practicing open defecation, 2012 (%) 100

80 68 58

60

40

34

30

20

0

0

0

0

1

0

1

2

4

7

12

16

16

16

17

35

35

39

42

44

61

68

73

74

61

45

22

NL DL SK MZ MN TR KL MG GA AS AR PJ UK HR HP WB MH GJ

JK AP TN AI KA RJ MP UP BH CG OD JH

Low Income States are highlighted in orange, AI is All India.

Barring the very rich, levels of open defecation are similar across income groups in Himachal Pradesh Households practicing open defecation, 2012(%) 100

78

67

78

69

75

93

80

60

40 33

20

27

22

31 25

7

0 All

Quintile 1

Quintile 2

â– Access and use of latrine

3

June 20, 2017

Quintile 3

Quintile 4

â– Open defecation

Quintile 5


Himachal Pradesh Health and Education

Secondary school attainment of adults in Himachal Pradesh is higher than in many other states Secondary education attainment, 2012 (% adults) 70 62 58

60 52

50 38

40 30 20

48

47

18

21

24

24

25

25

25

26

26

27

28

30

32

32

32

32

34

39

40

43

41

43

43

34

10 0 TR OD CG BH WB RJ SK MP AS UP JH MZ GJ AR MG AI AP JK UK TN KA PJ MH KL HR HP MN NL GA DL

Low Income States are highlighted in orange, AI is All India.

Significant progress in schooling in Himachal Pradesh after 2012 Education attainment, (% age 18-30)

Enrollment by age cohort, (%)

80 80 71

19

21-23

70 70 60 60

49

18-20

51

28

+9 59

+10

50 50 85

15-17 95

12-14

30 30

98

+3

99

+0

99

+2

24

20 20 10 10

+6

91

Age

40 40

13

9

16

9-11

99

12

6-8

4

97

00 Illiterate Illiterate

Literateoror Middle Literate Middle primaryschool school completed completed primary completed completed

Secondary Secondary andabove above and

â– 2005

4

June 20, 2017

100 100

â– 2012

80 80

60 60

40 40

20 20

00

20 20

40 40

60 60

80 80

100 100


Himachal Pradesh Health and Education

Enrollment in public schools is higher in Himachal Pradesh than the rest of the country Enrollment in public educational institutes, 2012 (%) 100%

80%

60%

40%

20%

0% TR BH AR AS OD WB CG JH MZ SK HP MP GJ

■ All education levels

JK UK AI DL KA MG TN RJ MH HR AP UP NL

● Elementary

● Secondary and above

Low Income States are highlighted in orange, AI is All India.

Enrollment in private schools increased after 2012, mostly for the rich Enrollment in public educational institutes, 2012 (%) 99

100

93

95 86

85

80

91 76

75

78 69 62

60

48

40

20

0 All

Quintile 1

Quintile 2

■ 2005

5

June 20, 2017

Quintile 3

■ 2012

Quintile 4

Quintile 5

PJ MN KL GA


Himachal Pradesh Health and Education

Learning outcomes of children in Himachal Pradesh are the highest in the country Children in Std V who can read Std II level text*, 2014 (%) 80

75

70

67

60 50 39

40 33

34

42

43

46

47

NL

SK AR UP TR

GJ

44

45

52

52

52

53

54

56

58

67

67

68

60

47

47

47

48

48

RJ

TN KA

AI

BH OD MZ CG WB MH AP MG UK KL MN PJ

34

30 20 10 0 AS MP JH

JK

HR HP

Low Income States are highlighted in orange, AI is All India.

Learning outcomes in Himachal Pradesh have been consistently above the rest of the country Children in Std V who can read Std II level text*, (%) 100

80

60

40

20

■ Himachal Pradesh

■ All India

0 2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

*Data on learning outcomes available for rural areas only.

6

June 20, 2017

2012

2013

2014


Technical Appendix

INDICATORS Demographics

DATA SOURCE

REMARKS

Population

Population Census, Registrar General & Census Commissioner, India

Urban Share

Population Census, Registrar General & Census Commissioner, India

Child Sex Ratio

Population Census, Registrar General & Census Commissioner, India

• Defined as the number of girls per 1,000 boys in the 0-6 age group.

Adults

Employment and unemployment surveys conducted by the National Sample Survey Office (NSSO)

• Individuals of age 15 years and above are classified as ‘adults’. • The NSSO conducts employment and unemployment surveys once every 5 years. The most recent survey data is available for the year 2011-12.

Working age population not in school

Employment and unemployment surveys conducted by the National Sample Survey Office (NSSO)

• Individuals of age 15 years and above that are currently not attending any educational institutes

Poor

Poverty lines based on the ‘Tendulkar’ poverty lines published by the former Planning Commission of India

• Households whose monthly per capita consumption expenditure is below the poverty line are classified as ‘poor’. • Poverty rate is the proportion of population that is counted as poor. • The number of poor is calculated by applying poverty rates, estimated using NSS data, to population estimates. Population for 1994 has been estimated by interpolating the 1991 and 2001 census population to January 1st of 1994. Similarly, population for 2005 has been estimated by interpolating 2001 and 2011 census population to January 1st of 2005. Population for 2012 has been estimated by extrapolating 2011 census population to January 1st 2012. Census data have been interpolated/ extrapolated to noncensus years using the Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR). • The NSSO conducts consumption expenditure surveys once every 5 years. The most recent survey data is available for the year 2011-12.

• The population census is conducted once every 10 years. The most recent population census data available is for the year 2011.

Poverty Poverty rate

Consumption expenditure surveys conducted by the National Sample Survey Office (NSSO)

Inequality Gini coefficient

1

May 20, 2016

Consumption expenditure surveys conducted by the National Sample Survey Office (NSSO)

• The Gini coefficient measures the extent to which the distribution of consumption expenditure among households within an economy deviates from a perfectly equal distribution. • Gini coefficient of 0 represents perfect equality, 1 implies perfect inequality. • Gini coefficient is estimated using survey data on monthly per capita consumption expenditure. Expenditure is adjusted for price differences between rural and urban areas within a state using the Tendulkar poverty lines.


Technical Appendix

INDICATORS Welfare distribution

DATA SOURCE

REMARKS

Consumption expenditure quintiles

Consumption expenditure surveys conducted by the National Sample Survey Office (NSSO)

• Survey data on household consumption is used to estimate consumption expenditure quintiles within each state in India. Expenditure is adjusted for price differences between rural and urban areas within a state using the Tendulkar poverty lines.

Wealth Index quintiles

National Family Health Survey, Ministry of Health and Family Welfare

• Survey data on asset ownership is used to construct a ‘wealth index’ which forms the basis for estimating wealth quintiles within each state in India.

Real GDP/GSDP growth rate

Central Statistical Office (CSO)

Real GDP/GSDP per capita

Population Census, Registrar General & Census Commissioner, India

• 2014 All-India estimate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) corresponds to the 2011-12 base year (new series). All other All-India GDP and state GSDP estimates correspond to 2004-05 base year and 2004-05 prices (old series). • All estimates of GDP/GSDP are as of March 31st of the corresponding financial year. For e.g. the Real GSDP for the financial year 1993-94 is as on 31st March 1994. • Population for the years 1994 to 2011 has been estimated by interpolating census population to March 31st of the corresponding year. For example, population for 2005 has been estimated by interpolating 2001 and 2011 census population to March 31st of 2005. Population for 2012 has been estimated by extrapolating 2011 census population to March 31st 2012. Census data have been interpolated/ extrapolated to non-census years using the Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR). • Growth rate of GSDP/ GDP across any two consecutive years is the simple growth rate. Growth rate over multiple years is the compounded annual growth rate (CAGR). • Composition of 3 main sectors of the economy (i) Agriculture/Farm - Agriculture, forestry and fishing (ii) Industry - Mining, manufacturing, utilities, construction (iii) Services – Trade, transport, storage, communication, financial services, real estate, professional services • Components of GSDP growth rate represent the contribution of a sector to overall GSDP growth rate. This is estimated by the ratio of increase in value added in a sector to increase in overall value added and multiplying the ratio with the GSDP growth rate.

Income & Growth

Components of GSDP growth rate

Fiscal

2

Debt

Controller General of Accounts (CGA)

Fiscal Deficit

Reserve Bank of India (RBI)

May 20, 2016

• Debt is the government’s outstanding liabilities. • Fiscal deficit is the difference between the total revenue and total expenditure of the government in the financial year. • Both are expressed as a ratio of the nominal GDP/ GSDP (market prices).


Technical Appendix

INDICATORS

DATA SOURCE

REMARKS

Jobs Labor force participation rate

Employment and unemployment surveys conducted by the National Sample Survey Office (NSSO)

• Adult individuals are classified as part of the labor force if they are working (i.e. engaged in economic activity) or if they have been seeking work or have been available for work for a minimum of 6 months during the 365 days preceding the date of survey. This is otherwise known as the “usual status” definition of the labor force.

Workers/Employed/Number of jobs

Population Census, Registrar General & Census Commissioner, India

• Members of the labor force are classified as ‘workers’ if they are working (i.e. engaged in economic activity) for a minimum of 30 days during the 365 days preceding the date of survey. This is otherwise known as the “usual status” definition of the work force. • The number of jobs/workers is arrived at by applying worker participation rates to population estimates. The ‘number of jobs’ estimate corresponds to the ‘number of workers’. • Population for 1994 and 2005 has been estimated by interpolating census population to January 1st of the corresponding year. Population for 2012 has been estimated by extrapolating 2011 census population to January 1st 2012. Census data have been interpolated/ extrapolated to non-census years using the Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR). • Job growth over a certain period is the compounded annual growth rate (CAGR). • Classification of workers by sector (i) Agriculture/Farm - Agriculture, forestry and fishing (ii) Industry - Mining, manufacturing, utilities, construction (iii) Services – Trade, transport, storage, communication, financial services, real estate, professional services • Classification of workers by wage-type (i) Self-employed – Own account workers, employers and unpaid family workers (ii) Salaried –workers with regular salary (iii) Casual wage – workers with causal wages • The categories - ‘farm all’, ‘non-farm self’, ‘non-farm salaried’, ‘non-farm casual’ are a combination of the sector of work and the type of wage earned. • A further disaggregated classification of workers by sector FARM – Agriculture/ farming CONS – Construction THR – Trade, hotels and restaurants MANU – Manufacturing PUB - Community, social and personal services TRAN - Transport, storage and communication FIRB - Financing, insurance, real estate and business services MINE+UTIL – Mining & quarrying + Utilities • Classification of workers by wage-type (i) Self-employed – Own account workers, employers and unpaid family workers (ii) Salaried –workers with regular salary (iii) Casual wage – workers with causal wages • The categories - ‘farm all’, ‘non-farm self’, ‘non-farm salaried’, ‘non-farm casual’ are a combination of the sector of work and the type of wage earned.

Job growth Workers by sector/wage-type

3

May 20, 2016


Technical Appendix

INDICATORS

DATA SOURCE

REMARKS

Education Literacy Education attainment

Enrollment Public educational institutes

Learning: Children in Std V who can read Std II level text*, 2014 (%)

4

May 20, 2016

Employment and unemployment surveys conducted by the National Sample Survey Office (NSSO)

• ‘Literate’ – includes those who have received both formal and informal schooling. • Education levels explained (i) ‘Illiterate’ – individuals who are not literate. (ii) ‘Literate or primary school completed’ – includes individuals who have completed primary school as well as those are literate but have not completed primary school. (iii) ‘Middle completed’ – individuals who have completed middle school. (iv) ‘Secondary and above’ – individuals who have completed secondary schooling or any level higher. Includes individuals who have completed higher secondary, diploma or certificate course or a graduate, postgraduate or higher degree.

Employment and unemployment surveys conducted by the National Sample Survey Office (NSSO)

• Includes all those currently attending formal primary schooling and above. • Public educational institutes include those that are run by the state/ central governments or by local bodies. This excludes any kind of privately owned and run institutes including private aided institutes.

Annual Status of Education Report (ASER), Trends over time 2006-2014, ASER Centre/ Pratham

• Data available for rural areas only


Technical Appendix

INDICATORS

DATA SOURCE

REMARKS

Health Maternal mortality ratio

Sample Registration System, Registrar General & Census Commissioner, India

• Maternal mortality ratio is derived as the proportion of maternal deaths per 1,00,000 live births reported. • Data for 3 years is pooled to enhance sample size and yield more reliable estimates. • For states split after the year 2000, i.e. Bihar and Jharkhand; Uttar Pradesh and Uttarakhand; Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh, MMR is estimated jointly.

Infant mortality rate

Sample Registration System, Registrar General & Census Commissioner, India

• Infant mortality rate is the number of infant deaths (children aged 1 year or less) per 1,000 live births.

Malnutrition: Stunting

National Family Health Survey (NFHS), Ministry of Health and Family Welfare

• ‘Stunting’ defined as percentage of children below age 5 who are short for their age. • Data for 2006 is from the NFHS and for 2014 is from the RSOC. Though both provide stunting estimates for children below age 5 the numbers for 2006 and 2014 may not be strictly comparable due to differences in survey methodology.

Rapid Survey on Children (RSOC), Ministry of Women and Child Development

Infrastructure & Amenities Electrification

Consumption expenditure surveys conducted by the National Sample Survey Office (NSSO)

• ‘Electrification’ defined as the proportion of households using electricity as primary source of energy for lighting.

Road density

Basic Roads Statistics, Transport Research Wing, Ministry of Road Transport and Highways

• Road density has been defined as road length per million people and road length per 1,000 sq. km. • Road length estimates correspond to ‘total road length’ data published in the Basic Roads Statistics report. • Population for 2005 has been estimated by interpolating 2001 and 2011 census population to January 1st of 2005. Population for 2012 has been estimated by extrapolating 2011 census population to January 1st 2012. Census data have been interpolated/ extrapolated to non-census years using the Compounded Annual Growth Rate (CAGR). • Land area estimates have been taken from the Registrar General & Census Commissioner, India.

Drinking water on premises

Survey of drinking water, sanitation, hygiene and housing condition conducted by the National Sample Survey Office (NSSO)

• The most recent survey data is available for the year 2012.

Open defecation Access to latrine

5

May 20, 2016


Technical Appendix

LABEL Data labels

29 STATES AND ALL INDIA

LABEL

SOCIAL GROUP

ST SC OBC General

‘scheduled tribe’ ‘scheduled caste’ ‘other backward class’ ‘others’

(7 ‘low income states’ highlighted)

AI AP AR AS BH CG DL GA GJ HP HR JH JK KA KL MG MH MN MP MZ NL OD PJ RJ SK TN TR UK UP WB

All India Andhra Pradesh Arunachal Pradesh Assam Bihar Chhattisgarh Delhi Goa Gujarat Himachal Pradesh Haryana Jharkhand Jammu & Kashmir Karnataka Kerala Meghalaya Maharashtra Manipur Madhya Pradesh Mizoram Nagaland Odisha Punjab Rajasthan Sikkim Tamil Nadu Tripura Uttarakhand Uttar Pradesh West Bengal

Adjustments for split states In the year 2000, 3 large states namely, Bihar, Madhya Pradesh and Uttar Pradesh were each split to form two states each. Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh and Uttarakhand were the 3 new states created. The NSSO survey data allows us to separately estimate variables for ‘split’ states, enabling us to construct a consistent and comparable series of variables for the pre-split and post-split period. A consistent and comparable series for population and growth data is not available. Specifically - 1991 population census data for ‘split’ states is not available and GSDP series for ‘split’ states is only available for years after 2000. In order to create a consistent population series, the 1991 population estimates for the parent state have been divided in a way that mirrors the relative shares of the new states’ population in the parent state population in 2001. In order to create a consistent GSDP series, pre-2000 GSDP figures for the parent state have been divided in a way that preserves the relative shares of the new ‘ GSDP in the parent state GSDP for a ten year period after the year 2000. In the year 2014, the state of Telangana was carved out of Andhra Pradesh (AP), with the remaining portion of AP retaining the name of the parent state. Separate estimates for Telangana have not been published in the States Briefs. All state-level estimates for Andhra Pradesh correspond to AP and Telangana combined.

6

May 20, 2016


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