Trends and visions for future maritime safety in the Baltic Sea - and potentially for other intencly trafficed sea areas
Trends and visions for future maritime safety
Shipping and Accidents
Godafoss Feb -2011
• 120-140 accidents every year • Slight increase of accidents albeit individual safety increase • Slight increase of accidents in the face of substancial decrease in the Gulf of Finland • More than half, and up to 2/3 of the accidents are due to the human factor
Världsnaturfonden, WWF
Shipping
•
2030 2020 2010
Expected to double by 2030
Wind Energy
•
2030 2020 2010
Expected to expand by 6,000%
Tourism and Recreation
•
45% increase in number of arrivals in hotels 2030
•
600% increase in cruise passengers by 2030
The challenge Commercial Fishing Shipping Dredging Oil and Gas Extraction Pipelines and Cables Physical Exploitations Marine Protected Areas Aquaculture Agricultural Runoff Nitrogen Phosphorous Tourism and Recreation Ports
2030 2020 2010
Wind Energy Industrial Pollution
Trends and visions for future maritime safety
Competition of space – increased pressure Increased pressure increases the need for environmental protection - Protected areas are not competition for space but a counterweight to non-environmental neutral activities
•Areas to be avoided/Protected areas •Safety and consideration
- Resilience and limits
Världsnaturfonden, WWF
Trends and visions for future maritime safety
Accident Frequency Reduction …and lower risk for serious spills
TSS MSP SSC TMS
Världsnaturfonden, WWF
Trends and visions for future maritime safety
Traffic Management Service -
Few operators
-
Spy anomalies early
-
Assistance to shippers / lessen work load
-
Back track possibility
-
Transboundry Cooperation
-
(Aid to maritime security)
V채rldsnaturfonden, WWF
Thank you! www.panda.org/baltic www.wwf.se/