GLOBAL RESOURCES OUTLOOK
Scenarios
Continuation of historical patterns of resource use and management
Absence of urgent and concerted action
HISTORICAL TRENDS Climate mitigation and removal
Resource efficiency
Landscape and biodiversity protection
Healthy diets and reduced food waste
TOWARDS SUSTAINABILITY The Towards Sustainability scenario shows that changes in policies and behaviors can achieve decoupling of natural resource use and environmental impacts from economic growth and human wellbeing.
Global GDP
increase by 8%
Global GDP per capita
increase by 25%
~ US$ 233 trillion US$ 216 trillion
increase by 100%
Current
100%
Current
US$ 76.5 trillion HISTORICAL TRENDS
TOWARDS SUSTAINABILITY
Global material extraction HISTORICAL TRENDS
190 billion tonnes over 100% increase
TOWARDS SUSTAINABILITY
143 billion tonnes
25% lower than under Historical Trends
CURRENT
92 billion tonnes
HISTORICAL TRENDS
TOWARDS SUSTAINABILITY
Domestic material consumption per capita HISTORICAL TRENDS
18 tonnes 50% increase
TOWARDS SUSTAINABILITY
14 tonnes
only 17% increase
CURRENT
12 tonnes
The projections are based on the understanding that growth rates in emerging and other developing economies must be balanced by absolute reductions in resource use in developed countries.