The national december 26 2016

Page 1

Ready for fireworks? Volume 9 Issue 254

The complete guide to what’s going on across the UAE at New Year arts & life, pages 4 and 5

Monday, December 26, 2016 www.thenational.ae

Assad eyes up his next target

Silent night, holy day

analysis Idlib is the strongest remaining enclave of Syrian rebels – but experts question whether the regime will risk the sacrifices required to recapture it Josh Wood Foreign Correspondent

BEIRUT // With the recapture of Aleppo complete, Assad regime forces are looking to build on their battlefield successes and are weighing up their next target. The most probable location is Idlib. Syria’s north-western province has been almost entirely in rebel hands since May last year and, with tens of thousands of fighters there, it is the strongest rebel enclave. Their numbers have been boosted by the arrival of fighters who left other parts of the country under deals with the government, most recently from Aleppo. But dislodging the rebels will not be easy. Idlib is the main stronghold of both Jabhat Fatah Al Sham, the former Al Qaeda affiliate that dominates the province, and the powerful, hardline Ahrar Al Sham. And unlike Turkish-backed rebels in northern Syria’s other opposition pocket along the Turkish border north of Aleppo, who are restrained from attacking government forces as they carry out Ankara’s bidding, Idlib’s rebel fighters have no such constraints. “If they did go for Idlib, I think it would be a really big challenge,” said Charles Lister, a

senior fellow at the Middle East Institute in Washington. “I don’t think it’s an impossible objective, but I think the level of destruction and casualties, and the resources it would need to take the entire province back – or even just Idlib city – would probably not be worth it.” Fabrice Balanche, a Syria expert at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, estimated it would take at least a year to recapture all of Idlib. The government would have to retake nearly 6,000 square kilometres of rebel territory, fighting through cities, farmland and mountains. The varied geography could be advantageous to the rebels, particularly if they adopt guerrilla tactics. And with a local population that largely detests the government, insurgency could continue even in areas that have been recaptured. The regime would also be facing Syria’s most effective and feared rebel groups. Jabhat Fatah Al Sham has spearheaded many offensives. Its experience, training and tactics – including suicide attacks, which other opposition groups are not willing to carry out – have enabled them to achieve victories that other rebel fighters could not. Idlib, continued on 4 →

A nativity scene at St Joseph’s Cathedral compound on Christmas Day. Churches across Abu Dhabi and throughout the emirates were busy as Christians flocked to masses and services to mark the birth of Jesus. Eight masses, five languages, page 2. Reem Mohammed / The National

Tunisia warned of returning jihadis Security forces say militants must not be allowed back TUNIS // Tunisia’s security forces yesterday called on the government to take “exceptional measures” to stop the return of citizens who fought for extremist groups abroad. “The return of terrorists from hotbeds of unrest is worrying and could lead to the ‘Somalisation’ of the country,” the internal security forces’ national

Zayed inspires Year of Giving Crown Prince lauds humanitarian vision of UAE’s Founder The National staff

ABU DHABI // Fostering a sense of duty to give to society will be one of the main aims of a campaign announced for the new year. The Year of Giving 2017 seeks to promote a culture of social responsibility – a cause held in

high regard by Sheikh Zayed, the nation’s Founder. The initiative, which was announced by the President Sheikh Khalifa on Saturday, has three main pillars: creating a sense of community responsibility in the private sector, encouraging a spirit of volunteering and instilling loyalty and commitment in a new generation of Emiratis to serve their country. “In the UAE, we are combining our efforts in generous giving and are one in sowing the seeds of giving to promote happi-

ness for all humanity,” Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed, Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi and Deputy Supreme Commander of the Armed Forces, was reported by government news agency Wam as saying. The country’s many achievements would not have been possible without the philanthropy and guiding vision of the country’s Founder, as well as the UAE’s policies which strongly uphold humanitarian principles, said Sheikh Mohammed.

union said, referring to the collapse of Somalia and its division into warring tribes and factions in the 1990s and the presence of Al Shabab violence that threatens its recovery today. Battle-hardened fighters “have received military training and have learnt to use all sorts of sophisticated weapons”, it said. The warning came a day after Tunisian authorities said they had arrested three members of a suspected terrorist cell , including the nephew of Anis Amri – a Tunisian who had pledged allegiance to ISIL and who drove a lorry into a crowd-

more A GENERATION FIT TO SERVE National Service recruits will be urged to shape up and improve their fitness standards, page 5

FILIPINOS FEAR FOR THEIR LOVED ONES Expats in UAE seek reassurance as typhoon rages across the Philippines, world, page 8

Year of Giving, continued on 5 →

Red Army Choir killed in plane crash TOUGH ROAD FOR ARAMCO IPO

MOSCOW // Sixty-four mem-

bers of the Red Army Choir died in a plane crash yesterday. The Tu-154 military aircraft carrying 84 passengers and eight crew crashed into the Black Sea minutes after taking off from Sochi. There were no survivors. The plane was taking the choir, the Alexandrov Ensemble, to the Hemeimeem air base in Latakia in Syria, where they were to perform a New Year concert for Russian forces. The ensemble, formed in the 1920s by the composer of the Soviet national anthem, has entertained audiences worldwide. Among the dead was its leader, Valery Khalilov, a conductor and composer. “Losing such a

Changing of the guard in Washington poses questions for Saudi oil, business, page 1

ANSWERS TO THE CHELSEA QUESTION

Bodies were recovered from the wreckage. Viktor Klyushin / AP Photo

great collective all at once is a great tragedy,” Moscow city’s culture chief Alexander Kibovsky said. Also among the victims was Yelizaveta Glinka, a Russian

doctor who has won acclaim for her work in war zones. She was taking a shipment of medicine to a hospital in Syria. Plane crash tragedy, page 6

Conte’s strategy gives Premier League opponents big problems, sport, page 3

TASTE OF HOME BUT SO FAR AWAY Syrian chef brings special touch to fare at refugee camp in Greece, World, page 9

ed Christmas market in Berlin last Monday. Tunisia has suffered a number of extremist attacks since its 2011 revolution, including violence against foreign tourists, and the United Nations estimates there are more than 5,000 Tunisians fighting for extremist outfits, mainly in Iraq and Syria. Hundreds of people gathered outside parliament in Tunis on Saturday to protest against letting those militants back in the country. On Friday, interior minister Hedi Majdoub told parliament that 800 citizens who had fought

for extremist groups abroad had since returned. President Beji Caid Essebsi said this month the government would refuse to pardon Tunisians who fought for extremist groups but could not stop them from returning home. “Many of them want to return, and we can’t prevent a Tunisian from returning to his country,” he said, “but we will be vigilant”. Following criticism in the press and on social media, Mr Caid Essebsi later said “we will not be indulgent with the terrorists”.

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Agence France-Presse


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