YEAR END 2011 INVESTOR PRESENTATION March 2012
Disclaimer This document does not constitute or form part of and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer to buy or acquire securities of AFI Development Plc (the "Company") or any of its subsidiaries in any jurisdiction or an inducement to enter into investment activity. No part of this document, nor the fact of its distribution, should form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever. No representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or the opinions contained herein. None of the Company or any of its affiliates, advisors or representatives shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this document or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with the document. This communication is only being distributed to and is only directed at (1) qualified institutional buyers (within the meaning of Rule 144A of the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Securities Act") or (2) accredited investors (as defined in Rule 501(a) of Regulation D adopted pursuant to the Securities Act). Any person who is not a "qualified institutional buyer" or "accredited investor" should not act or rely on this document or any of its contents. This document contains "forward-looking statements", which include all statements other than statements of historical facts, including, without limitation, any statements preceded by, followed by or that include the words "targets", "believes", "expects", "aims", "intends", "will", "may", "anticipates", "would", "could" or similar expressions or the negative thereof. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other important factors beyond the Company's control that could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking, including, among others, the achievement of anticipated levels of profitability, growth, cost and synergy of recent acquisitions, the impact of competitive pricing, the ability to obtain necessary regulatory approvals and licenses, the impact of developments in the Russian economic, political and legal environment, volatility in stock markets or in the price of our shares or GDRs, financial risk management and the impact of general business and global economic conditions. Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding the Company's present and future business strategies and the environment in which the Company will operate in the future. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. These forward-looking statements speak only as at the date as of which they are made, and the Company expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking to disseminate any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect any change in the Company's expectations with regard thereto or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statements are based. Neither the Company, nor any of its agents, employees or advisors intends or has any duty or obligation to supplement, amend, update or revise any of the forward-looking statements contained in this document. The information contained in this document is provided as at the date of this document and is subject to change without notice. 2
Contents 1. 2. 3. 4.
5.
6.
7.
AFI Development at glance Key Moscow projects Portfolio overview Company update a. Main events during 2011 Projects update a. AFIMALL City project highlights b. AFIMALL City Operational Summary c. Yielding Properties d. Property under construction e. Projects next for development f. Pipeline and land bank
2011 Financial Results a. Income Statement b. Balance Sheet
4 5 6 8 11 12 13 17 20 22 24
Annex a. b. c. d. e. f. g.
Senior Management Team Outstanding Corporate Governance Issues Completed Macroeconomic Update Moscow office market Moscow retail market Moscow and Moscow region residential market Development process in Moscow
26 27 28 29 30 31 32
3
AFI Development at Glance Market Cap, as of Mar 23, 2012
US$ 0.65bn
Market Cap, 12months average 2011
US$ 0.75 bn
Price per share, as of 23 Mar, 2012
US$ 0.63
NAV(Equity), Dec 31, 2011
US$ 1.87 bn
NAV per share, Sep 30, 2011
US$ 1.78
Portfolio MV*
US$ 2.7 bn
•Full cycle real estate developer
BUSINESS
•Focus on unique large scale commercial and residential projects
•Strong liquidity position with around US$84,8 mn in cash as at Dec 31, 2011 FINANCIAL STABILITY
•Primary market: Moscow, Russia
•Low leverage: Debt/Total assets* is 22%
•Active on the market for 11years
HISTORY
•Admitted to LSE in 2007 (Tickers: AFID.IL; AFRB.LN). Received premium listing in 2010
•10 completed projects with total c. 500,000 sqm of space TRACK RECORD
Projects Under Construction 7%
•Free float – 36.3%
Land Bank 15%
Income Producing Projects 12%
BRAND AFIMALL 43%
•Substantial income generating portfolio. Major project AFIMALL (p.11) completed in Q1 2011
•Strong global brand
•Affiliate of Africa Israel Group (63.7% owner) , a major conglomerate with global focus on real estate, construction and infrastructure
•Impeccable credit history •Market reputation for high quality and professional property management
Portfolio market breakdown* Next for Development 23%
•Secured financing for on-going projects
PORTFOLIO
•2 projects under construction (p.15), 3 project are next for development (p.18) •Pipeline and land bank (p.20)
* Latest JLL report as of 31 December, 2011
* Bank loans only 4
Key Projects in Moscow Current Portfolio Yielding Assets / Trading Stock
Botanic Garden
AFIMALL City
Aquamarine II
H2O
Four Winds
Berezkovskaya
Value (JLL): US$ 1.5 bn GLA: 169.9K sqm NOI stab.(AFID share) US$ 165.8 mn GSA: 2.2Ksqm Price US$ psqm: 13K – 15K
*Plaza Spa *Outside of Moscow
Pochtovaya, Phase I
Tverskaya Plazas
AFIMALL City
Paveletskaya, 1
Aquamarine Hotel
Projects close to completion
Four Winds
Value(JLL): US$ 191.1 mn GLA: 51.9K sqm NOI stab.(AFID share): US$ 24.8 mn
Aquamarine Complex Berejkovskaya Otradnoe
Paveletskaya, Phase # II H2O Office Paveletskaya, 1
Aquamarine III Kosinskaya
*Kalinina Hotels *Outside of Moscow
Development Projects
Tverskaya Plazas
Otradnoe
Pochtovaya, Phase I
Value(JLL): US$ 625.6mn GLA: 100.2K sqm NOI stab.(AFID share): US$ 99.7 mn GSA: 607.1K sqm CF from sale: US$ 2.3 bn
Pipeline and Land Bank
Kosinskaya
Botanic Garden
Paveletskaya, Phase # II
Other projects
Value(JLL): US$ 399,1 mn GBA upon completion: 559.6K sqm
5 Note: the NOI projections are “forward looking statements” based on JLL valuation assumptions and Company estimations and they can be realized or not realized due to factors beyond the Company's control including, among others, the impact of competitive pricing, the ability to obtain necessary regulatory approvals and licenses, the impact of developments in the Russian economic, political and legal environment, volatility in stock markets or in the price of our shares or GDRs, financial risk management and the impact of general business and global economic conditions
Portfolio Overview Track record* (sqm) hotel Delivered 12,665 office Under construction 78,647 retail 174,802 hotel 36,130
Company track record – c. 500K sqm of commercial and residential space
Current portfolio – up to 2 mn sqm
Active pipeline projects– c. 1.1 mn sqm
AFIMALL is the flagship yielding asset with 166K sqm GBA operation started in Q1 2011
residential 69,783
Aquamarine III delivery will add 79K sqm of high quality office stock to the Company yielding portfolio in H1 2012
office 102,376
*total gross area of projects shown inclusive of shares owned by partners and projects sold, exclusive of pipeline and land bank projects
Market Value breakdown** Next for Development 23%
Land Bank 15% Income Producing Projects 12%
Projects Under Construction 7%
Current portfolio MV – US$ 2.7 bn**
Current MV of yielding properties – US$ 1.5 bn**
Selection of attractive pipeline projects provides with wide opportunities for
future development
AFIMALL 43%
** MV according to JLL’s valuation
as of December 31, 2011
6
SECTION 1
Company Update
Main Events Events during during 2011(1/2) 2011(1/2) Main TARGETS FOR 2011
COMMENTS
Strengthen SMT (Senior Management Team)
The team has been substantially renewed and stabilized in 2011 (Mark Groysman as a CEO, Natalia Pirogova as a CFO, Vitaliy Tkachenko as a CDO, Vyacheslav Khlopunov as a CLO)
Reduce debt service costs
AFIMALL City: • Interest rate decreased from 13,25% to approximately 9,5% (potential annual savings up to US$ 16 mn) FOUR WINDS OFFICE: • Interest rate decreased from 10,5% to 5% (potential annual savings up to US$ 4,7 mn)
FINANCIAL
MANAGEMENT
STATUS
TVERSKAYA MALL: • Interest rate increased from 9,5% to 11% (additional annual expense US$ 1,5 mn)
Obtain new financing
The company secured financing with VTB to buy-out City share and parking in AFIMALL (US$ 155 mn and US$ 124 mn respectively)
VAT reimbursement
The company has reimbursed significant VAT amount: US$ 12 mn construction VAT on Aquamarine III project and US$ 21 mn construction VAT reimbursement at AFIMALL City
Loan extension on Aquamarine III
The company secured extension of the draw down period on the existing loan with Sberbank till June 2012
8
Main events during 2011(2/2)
CONSTRUCTION AND OPERATION
ACQISITION AND DISPOSITION
STATUS
TARGETS FOR 2011
COMMENTS
AFIMALL
The company finalized agreement with the City for 25% City share and parking buy-out Negotiations regarding disposition of 665 parking lots to VTB are ongoing (see more details on the slide # 13)
Aquamarine Residential
11 apartment sold
Aquamarine III
Active negotiations to sell the projects or leased it up
Restructuring the deal on Kosinskaya
The deal on Kosinskaya sale was forfeited as the buyer stopped payments. Following that AFID reached a financial settlement agreement with the buyer: the Company has retained US$ 28 mn as a penalty and will pay back the rest to the buyer in installment payments scheduled for Q4 2011- Q2 2012. As a result AFID will remain a sole owner of the asset
Tverskaya Project
Under a non-binding agreement, the City of Moscow will re-approve and renew the Company’s development rights and leasehold interests in land plots at the Plaza Ic (part of Plaza I), Plaza IIa and Plaza IV projects (which were subject to termination at the end of 2011) with a total gross buildable area of approximately 170,000 sq. m. In addition, the City will not charge AFI Development municipal development rights costs of approximately US$ 95 mn, which the Company had expected to pay in the course of the initial construction. The City of Moscow has also confirmed that the land plots can be developed as office space
AFIMALL
Obtained the ownership certificate; Operation and footfall rates are continuing to increase (achieved 30K ; 77% leased)
Aquamarine III
Delivery is expected in Q1 2012 (shifted from Q4 2011)
Kalinina Hotel
Delivery is expected in Q2 2012 (shifted from Q1 2012)
Aquamarine Hotel
In 2011 NOI in Aquamarine Hotel has stabilized
9
SECTION 2
Projects Update
AFIMALL City Project Highlights Key advantages
The largest mall in the city center Best quality construction and fit-out Attractive consumer target group, employed by worldwide institutional companies in the surrounding offices Perfect tenant mix: Banana Republic, Inditex, H&M, X5 Good transport accessibility – metro station underneath, 100 m distance to the Third Transport Ring PROJECT HIGHLIGHTS (as of Dec 2011)
Ownership
100%
Land area
4.4 ha in the unique business district
GBA, sqm
165,924
GLA, sqm Parking units, #
107,121 2,700
Forecast NOI*(stab.)
US$ 134 mn
Average rent per sqm pa
US$ 1,147 per sqm pa
Market Value (JLL)*
US$ 1,160 mn
Area leased
77%
* Valuation conducted by JLL as at December 31, 2011
Surrounding offices and apartments GBA: • Already completed – 1.1 mn sqm • In mid-term GBA to reach – 1.6 mn sqm • Total pipeline – over 2.5 mn sqm Source: http://eng.citynext.ru 11
AFIMALL City Operational Summary PROGRESS IN 2011: City share buy-out: The Company has completed the acquisition of the 25% stake in AFIMALL City, previously owned by the City of Moscow. The total consideration of RUR 5 bn (approximately US$155mn) was financed in full through a loan facility provided by VTB Bank Parking buy-out: The Company singed agreement on parking buy-out from the City of Moscow at the end of 2011 for the total consideration of RUR 4bn (US$ 124 mn). The consideration will be paid in four tranches. Two tranches amounting to US$ 41 mn have been already paid in Jan-Feb 2012 Finance: The Company has drawn down RUR 5 bn to finance 25% city share acquisition under a supplement agreement to the loan agreement. The interest blended rate was decreased from previous 11.5% to approximately 9.5% pa after mortgage registration The Company has reimbursed US$ 21 mn construction VAT Parking operation: The company has put into operation the first 300 parking units from the total of 2,700 in March 2012. The delivery of the whole parking facility is expected in Q4 2012
Next steps on track to project promotion
Complete construction works on parking facilities
Increase footfall by putting parking into operation (up to 50K)
The Company is continuing its negotiations regarding potential sale of 665 parking lots to VTB
12
Yielding Properties
Building Year of construction Administrative District Ownership Location GLA, sqm Parking lots (total), # WAULT, year Ocupancy rate, %
Four Winds Office
AFIMALL 2011 Central 100% Moscow, Moscow City 107,121
Paveletskaya, bld. 1
Berezkovskaya
2008 Central 50% Moscow, CBD 21,876
Aquamarine Hotel
H2O
2006 Central 74%
2010 Central 99.10%
2006 Central 100%
Moscow
Moscow
Moscow
11,378
13,615
Plaza Spa
2009 Central 100% Moscow, CBD
2006 Kislovodsk 50% 50% Caucasian region
8,996
159 keys
274 keys 162,986*** 3,179
2,700
138
128
126
72
15
4
3
1
2
1
n/a
100%
85%
100%
86%
77%
TOTAL
n/a
Average rent, $/sq m
1,147
1,468
544
416
404
ADR 201
ADR 104
Market Rent, US$ (JLL)
1,179
900 - 950
550
280
320
ADR 238
ADR 125
Class
Retail
Office A
Office B
Office B
Office B
Hotel
64.4
15.0
3.0
2.2
1.3
3.8
3.7 3.7
1,160
138
38
28
19
45
30
NOI 2012E, US$ mn* MV, US$ mn* *JLL estimation
Hotel 93.4 1,456**
**Total MV does not include Ozerkovskaya II residential (US$ 30 mn) and Four Winds Residential (US$ 22 mn) value
*** offices and retail only
13
Assets under Construction
Aquamarine III KEY ADVANTAGES:
Located in Zamoskvorechye, Moscow’s prestigious business area without the Garden Ring
3-rd phase of Ozerkovskaya Embankment development site
4 Class A office buildings comprising one complex
PROGRESS IN 2011: Construction:
PROJECT HIGHLIGHTS (as of Dec 2011)
2012 and building commissioning and handover in Q2 2012
Ownership
50%
GBA,sqm*
78.6K
and sale
GLA, sqm*
46.4K
Finance:
Parking, # lots Delivery MV upon completion(JLL est.)* Exp. NOI (JLL est.), pa* * For 100% of the projects
Progressed towards completion in shell&core in Q1
Disposition:
The project has been put on the market for both lease up
The outstanding limit of the loan facility from Sberbank
551
(US$16mn limit) is enough to cover most of the outstanding
H1 2012
construction works. The availability period has been extended until
US$ 430.8 mn c. US$40.9mn
June 2012 The
company has reimbursed significant VAT amount on construction:
US$ 12 mn
15
Kalinina Spa Hotel KEY ADVANTAGES:
Located in Russia’s south region in the city of Zheleznovodsk, popular resort destination
Inspired by the success of Plaza Spa Hotel in Kislovodsk
PROGRESS IN 2011:
Construction: construction is ongoing and completion is expected in Q2 2012 Design: Comments form Plaza Spa management regarding optimization of hotel planning and equipment received and are PROJECT HIGHLIGHTS (as of Dec 2011)
under consideration. The number of keys has been decreased from
Ownership
100%
GBA,sqm
12,665
175 to 136 following request of the hotel management team Finance: As of December 2011 the Company has drawn down
# of keys
136
Delivery
Q2 2012
municipality subsidy and 6.25% after it. Management is currently
71%
extending drawdown period until the end of Q2 2012 to secure
US$ 26.2 mn
debt financing of the construction expenses. The loan together
US$ 136.7
with the expected VAT reimbursement are enough to cover
Stabilized occupancy(JLL est.) MV upon completion (JLL.) Average Room Rate (Jll est.)
US$11.7 mn of Sberbank loan facility, interest rate is 13% before
outstanding costs on the property development
16
Projects next for Development
Projects Next in Line for Development
Project
GBA (sqm) Odintsovo (Otradnoye)
GBA, sqm
Apartments left/occupancy Tverskaya Plazas
Bolshaya Pochtovaya
703,317 *
231,680*
169,700*
436,494 residential and 39,557 commercial *
123,750 residential*
100,175*/7,070*
Parking
2,053*
1,904 lots *
588 lots*
Ownership
100%
100%
100%
design stage
design stage
design stage
Expected revenue / outstanding investment costs *
US$ 1,331 mn/ US$ 871 mn*
US$ 807 mn/ US$ 334 mn*
US$ 1,207 mn/ US$ 358 mn*
• The project is located in the Moscow Central District on the Yauza river bank; total site area is 4.5 ha • Phased mixed use development dominated by residential component
• Located in one of Moscow’s most central neighborhoods near Belorussky rail terminal, on the intersection with Tverskaya Street
Details
• Located on 32 ha site in the town of Odintsovo, one of the newest and most environmentally clean areas bordering Moscow • Project includes multifunctional infrastructure with schools, kindergardens and sports facilities for children • Currently on-going concept refinement and design
GLA /GSA, sqm
Delivery
* Based on valuation conducted by JLL as of December 31, 2011, excl. entrepreneur's profit from investment costs
Note: All pipeline projects projections are “forward looking statements” based on JLL valuation assumptions and Company estimates and they can be realized or not realized due to factors beyond the Company's control including, among others, the impact of competitive pricing, the ability to obtain necessary regulatory approvals and licenses, the impact of developments in the Russian economic, political and legal environment, volatility in stock markets or in the price of our shares or GDRs, financial risk management and the impact of general business and global economic conditions
18
Tverskaya Plazas PROGRESS IN 2011:
Under a non-binding agreement, the City of Moscow will re-approve and renew the Company’s development rights and leasehold interests in land plots at the Plaza Ic (part of Plaza I), Plaza IIa and Plaza IV projects (which were subject to termination at the end of 2011) with a total gross buildable area of approximately 170,000 sq. m. In addition, the City will not charge AFI Development municipal development rights costs, which the Company had expected to pay in the course of the initial construction. The City of Moscow has also confirmed that the land plots can be developed as office space
Based on the Jones Lang LaSalle LLC, valuation report as at 31 December 2011, this settlement represents full compensation for the book value of Tverskaya Zastava shopping centre project
During this year our negotiations with the City of Moscow on the Tverskaya Zastava area reached a very favourable result. AFI Development has achieved a green light for new office construction in central Moscow at a time when the City's policy is not to allow new office construction in the area. The Company has also received full compensation from the City of Moscow for the City’s decision to terminate the Tverskaya Zastava shopping centre project
19
Pipeline and Land Bank
Project
Type
GBA upon completion (sqm)
Land (ha)
MV as of 31/12/2011, US$K (JLL)*
8.07
111,770
146,120
Residential
3.2
173,300
68,300
Park Plaza Kislovodsk
Hotel resort
5.3
40,000
10,000
Versailles, Kislovodsk
Hotel resort
0.6
11,762
6,900
Ruza
Mixed use
387
n/a
3,922**
St. Petersburg
Mixed use
3.7
n/a
1,850
Paveletskaya, II
Mixed use
4.0
106,250
47,800
Boryspol
Residential
130.7
n/a
13,500
Tverskaya Plazas(Ib, II)
Mixed use
116,526
100,700
559,608
399,092
Kosinskaya
Office
Botanic Garden
TOTAL
Extensive land bank Land bank – projects the Company is currently put on hold
* Valuation by JLL as at 31, 2011
** Value presented as a BS value
Over 500 ha of land
Land bank strategy Activate projects upon securing required financing and evaluation of demand level from prospective tenants/buyer
Full flexibility regarding future development in various cycles of the economy – the major competitive advantage for the Company
Note: MV upon completion and GBA upon completion are “forward looking statements” based on JLL valuation assumptions and they can be realized or not realized due to factors beyond the Company's control including, among others, the impact of competitive pricing, the ability to obtain necessary regulatory approvals and licenses, the impact of developments in the Russian economic, political and legal environment, volatility in stock markets or in the price of our shares or GDRs, financial risk management and the impact of general business and global economic conditions
20
SECTION 3
2011 Financial Results
Income Statement Income statement for the period from 01/01/2011 to 31/12/2011 US$ mn Revenue Construction consulting/management services Rental income Sale of residential
4q 2011
4q 2010
Change 4q 2011 / Change TY 2011 / TY 2011 TY 2010 4q 2010 TY 2010
0.2 33.8 1.2 35.2
0.2 11.8 9.1 21.1
0.0 22.0 (7.9) 14.1
0.3 (23.5) (5.3) (11.7) (1.0) 0.3 (41.1)
0.2 (7.4) (4.3) (7.1) (3.9) (22.5)
0.1 (16.2) (1.0) (11.7) 6.1 4.2 (18.5)
Gross profit
(5.9)
(1.4)
(4.4)
310%
Impairement of prepayment for investments Valuation gains on investment property Negative goodwill Impairement loss for trading property and hotels
69.4 3.7
124.1 (4.0)
(54.7) 7.7
Results from operating activities
67.2
-
67.2
2.8
8.2
(15.1)
Expenses Other income Operating expenses Administrative expenses Bad debt provisions and write-offs Cost of sales of residential Other expenses
Finance income Finance expense Impairement of financial asset Net finance income/(costs) Profit before income tax Income tax expense Profit from continuing operations
11% 186% -87% 67%
1.0 117.0 15.9 133.9
0.9 44.0 30.2 75.0
0.1 73.0 (14.2) 58.9
15% 166% -47% 79%
53% 0.7 220% (72.1) 22% (17.0) n/a (13.3) -86% (10.4) n/a (2.3) 82% (114.4)
0.2 (18.7) (13.2) (20.2) (7.9) (59.7)
0.5 (53.4) (3.8) (13.3) 9.8 5.5 (54.7)
209% 286% 29% n/a -48% -70% 92%
19.5
15.3
4.2
27%
n/a -44% n/a n/a
(1.2) 268.0 1.0
(17.7) 93.9 (18.1)
16.5 174.1 19.1
-93% 185% n/a n/a
287.3
73.4
213.9
(5.4)
n/a n/a -66%
1.4
(16.6)
n/a n/a
8.2 (48.9) (40.6)
13.7 (16.8) (3.1)
(5.4) (32.1) (37.5)
291% n/a -40% 360% n/a 1194%
52.1
120.1
(68.0)
-57%
246.6
70.3
176.4
251%
(27.6)
(40.3)
12.8
-32%
(75.1)
(44.4)
(30.7)
69%
24.6
79.8
(55.2)
-69%
171.5
25.9
145.7
563%
Revenue from sales and leasing in Q4 2011 amounted to
US$35.2mn. On the annual basis rental income has increased from US$44mn to US$117mn following operational start of AFIMALL City project In Q4 costs have increased to US$41.1mn – excess is
mainly explained through bad debt provisions (US$ 11.7mn) Valuation gain on investment property amounted to
US$69.4mn in Q4 2011 and US$268mn on the annual basis Finance expense significantly increased compared to
the same period of 2010 following completion of the AFIMALL asset and transfer of interest payments under the construction loan on this property to P&L from BS Following significant revaluation gain and improved
operational results the Company profit was positive in Q4 and for the whole year of 2011; equal to US$24.6mn and US$171.5mn respectively
22
Loans and Cash Position as of Dec 31, 2011 Gross balance of the loan portfolio (as of Dec 31, 2011) – US$609mn (excl. parking draw down of US$ 41 mn) Total cash balance (as of Dec-31, 2011) – US$ 85 mn Max debt limit Project
Lending bank
Balance as of Dec-31, 2011
(US$ mn)
(US$ mn)
AFIMALL (construction loan)
VTB
262
262
AFIMALL 25% share buyout
VTB
155
155
AFIMALL parking buyout
VTB
124
41
Tverskaya Mall
Sberbank
73
73
Ozerkovskaya III (100%)
Sberbank
37
Kalinina Hotel
Sberbank Nordea Bank
Four Winds (100%)
Available (US$ mn)
Nominal Interest rate
-
9.5%
-
9.5%
83 n/a
23
20 85
Total/Blended interest rate *
LTV%
*
Maturity Currency (dd.mm.yy)
RUB
23.08.2013
RUB
23.08.2013
10.8%
RUB
23.08.2013
-
(6-month LIBOR, min 1,5% + 9,5%)
USD
16.08.2014
13%
16
13.0%
RUB
17.06.2015
12
89%
8
6.75%
RUB
20.12.2014
84
62%
-
3-month LIBOR + 4,5%
USD
13.07.2018
40%
**
*** 650
*
9.24%
Effective from March 1, 2012
** First draw down on parking loan has been conducted in February 2012 *** Inclusive first tranche of parking loan drawn down made in February 2012
23
Balance Sheet 2011 US$ ’000
2010 US$ ’000
1,403,580 983,598 92,034 34 66,221 5,370 153 2,550,990
192,973 1,674,585 88,402 38 68,842 8,893 153 2,033,886
from US$2,033.9mn at year beginning to US$2,551.0 mn at
11,053 129,598 665 786 107,170 84,820 334,092
21,386 105,962 576 79 136,706 689 129,839 395,237
Total current assets have decreased following drop in cash
Total assets
2,885,082
2,429,123
Equity Share capital Share premium Translation reserve Retained earnings Equity attributable to owners of the Company Non-controlling interests Total equity
1,048 1,763,409 (178,491) 277,503 1,863,469 3,887 1,867,356
1,048 1,763,409 (142,632) 106,571 1,728,396 3,225 1,731,621
Liabilities Long-term loans and borrowings Long-term amounts payable Deferred tax liabilities Deferred income Non-current liabilities
528,116 71,627 142,093 22,622 764,458
434,352 81,194 28,239 543,785
Short-term loans and borrowings Trade and other payables Current tax liabilities Current liabilities
98,973 154,092 203 253,268
33,883 119,834 153,717
Total liabilities
1,017,726
697,502
Total equity and liabilities
2,885,082
2,429,123
Assets Investment property Investment property under development Property, plant and equipment Long-term loans receivable Inventory of real estate VAT recoverable Goodwill Non-current assets Trading properties Trading properties under construction Inventories Short-term loans receivable Trade and other receivables Current tax assets Cash and cash equivalents Current assets
In 2011 non-current Company assets have increased in value
year end. The change was mainly driven by acquisition of
AFIMall parking and city-share as well as by revaluation of other assets over the year
and trade receivables Retained earnings grew by US$170.9mn in 2011 due to
portfolio revaluation effect on the Company profits Acquisitions in AFIMall subsequently resulted in long-term
loans increase as the city share buy-out was financed through VTB loan facility Trade and other payables (both current and non-current)
include payables due on AFIMALL parking to the city, on Aquamarine III to the partner in the project, on Kossinskaya to the former project buyer
24
Annex
Senior Management Team* The Senior management team is formed by professionals capable to implement the Company strategy CEO Mark Groysman
Finance Natalia Pirogova
Legal Vyacheslav Khlopunov
Marketing and BD Tzvia Leviev
Development Vitaly Tkachenko
Approvals Evgeny Potashnikov
•Mark has long and successful experience in the Russian real estate market. He has built up a reputable facility & asset management company (Sawatsky) and in partnership with Mr. Leviev managed a lucrative Novie Veshki complex (a large single-family houses residential community located north to Moscow) •Natalia has joined the management team as CFO in October 2011. She has long and successful background in the Russian real estate with a focus on M&A deals and tax issues. For the last seven years Natalia was involved in the Russian business of Fleming Family and Partners Limited as the Financial Director and the Managing Partner and worked for Marbleton Advisers Limited as the Managing Director
•Before joining the company Vyacheslav practiced as a lawyer for many years. With AFID, he has already substantially progressed on several negotiation processes and law suits currently held by the Company
•Tzvia’s core experience is concentrated in management of large shopping centers. Before coming to Moscow she was managing shopping centers for Africa Israel Investments in Israel and had established long-term business relationships with a variety of international retail chains. Mrs. Tzvia Leviev Eliazarov is currently responsible for managing AFIMALL City •Vitaly has extensive experience in development of residential and retail properties. Before his assignment with AFID he worked as a CEO for Hermitage Construction & Management – a Russian investment company and Heliopark – a chain of countryside hotels
•Evgeny has been with the company since 2005 when he left the post of Deputy Chief Engineer in the Mayor’s office of Arara Ba Negev, Israel. Evgeny has successfully settled most complex approval issues with the Moscow authorities
* Management team of AFI-RUS LLC
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Outstanding Corporate Governance Issues Completed During 2011 the Company has completed all outstanding Corporate Governance issues for compliance with UKLA rules ISSUE
TREATMENT/COMPLETION
The Chairman is not deemed to be independent since he is a major shareholder of the Company
AFID believes that Chairman’s existing significant time commitment to AFI Development is of great value to the Company and can only be perceived as positive for the Company. This is stated in the Annual Report.
There is no annual evaluation of the Chairman’s performance; the Chairman’s performance is not subject to a formal appraisal by the Board
Chairman appraisal procedure was conducted in December 2011 Board meeting, in accordance with UK Corporate Governance Code..
The Directors letters of appointment do not set out the expected time commitment and do not refer to a contract period
New versions of standard letters of appointment were approved by the Board in November 2011 and signed by all directors.
There is no formal induction process in place for newly appointed directors
Induction pack was approved at November 2011 Board meeting.
There is no formal performance appraisal process in place for the Board and its committees
In December 2011 the Company completed performance appraisal procedure for the Board and its’ committees. It was conducted in-house with facilitation of the “Board Governance Analysis” of the UK Institute of Directors.
The Company has not designed a formal performance-related remuneration scheme for the Directors
The remuneration scheme for executive directors is approved by the Remuneration Committee individually. The existing remuneration scheme for non-executive directors remains in place, it is consistent with the CG Code
The Company does not have in place a process to formally review the effectiveness of the system of internal control
During 2011 the Company completed and documented its system of internal control. A thorough review and analysis of controls was completed with assistance of Internal Control team of Africa-Israel Group. The Board will receive and review regular reports on Company internal control.
There is no formal whistle blowing policy in place
The whistle blowing policy was introduced and approved by the Board in 2011
STATUS
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Macroeconomic Update
GDP: In 2011 year Russian GDP increased by 4.0%, the world’s third highest growth rate among leading economies. The economy of Russia is the ninth largest economy in the word by nominal value and the six largest by purchasing power parity (PPP). Russia has an abundance of natural gas, oil, coal, and precious metals
Sovereign debt in 2011 remained stable following tight fiscal policy and strong oil revenues backing Russia’s debt position. Sovereign debt to GDP ratio in Russia is the lowest among the country peers
Oil price (Brent): Oil price increased throughout 2011 year from US$100 up to over US$120 per barrel and stabilized at US$107 in December 2011. The country budget for 2012 was developed based on US$100 oil price and further supported by strong reserves of the national government. The growth of the Russian economy is still commodity-driven. Payments from the fuel and energy sector in the form of customs duties and taxes comprise nearly half of the federal budget's revenues
Ruble exchange rate During the last 12 months, the Russian Ruble depreciated 4.1% against the US Dollar. In December 2011 the exchange stabilized at 31 RUB/US$
50
1.8
Exchange Rates USD/RUB
45
EUR/RUB
USD EUR (Right axis) 1.6
40 35
1.4
30 1.2
Dec 31, 2011 USD 30.23 EUR 39.74
25 20
140
1.0
Oil price (Brent, US$ per barrel)
120 100
Political environment in Russia: Following the presidential election in March 2012 the prime-minister Vladimir Putin won the campaign and will lead the country for the next six years. Putin emphasized the importance of institutional reforms as a key driver for the economy going forward
80 60
Dec 31, 2011 US$ 107 / barrel
40 20
Source: EIU, Federal statistics service, JLL
28
Moscow Office Market Class A office supply and vacancy
Units 2,500,000
1000 – 1200
CBD prime rates (US$/sqm/year)
600 - 850
Prime Yields
8%-9%
Vacancy rate (market average)
16%
Vacancy rate, Class A CBD
5%
25%
2,000,000
2,000,000
20%
1,800,000
1,500,000
15%
1,300,000
sqm
Base rent Class A (US$/sqm/year)
2,233,393
Office rates
1,100,000 850,000
1,000,000
10%
USD/psqm/pa
Key indicators
650,000
500,000
5%
0
0% 2005
total supply
2006
2007
2008
2009
vacancy Class A
2010
2011
2,200 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0
2,000
1,500 1,200 1,000
1,400
800
800
850
620
650
2009
2010
1,000 850
750 600
2005
2006
2007
Average Class A
2008
2011
Class A CBD Prime
vacancy Class A CBD
Source: JLL, C&W
Source: JLL, C&W
Current market drivers:
Office transaction volumes and yields
Limited supply of high quality
Office stock per capita
central stock in Moscow and City
3,500
14.00%
Moscow
authorities
on
3,000
13.00%
Budapest
development put upward pressure on
2,500
rents Yield compression is ongoing driven by scarce investment grade assets volume Quality Class A in CBD is expected to have lower vacancies in 2012 – 2013 as postponed demand for
Prague
USD mn
restrictions
1.2 sqm
2,168
2,000
2,270
2,194
2,266
1,730
1,500
12.00%
Warsaw
11.00%
Madrid
10.00%
London
Dublin
1,252
1,000
9.00% 555
Paris
Amsterdam
500
8.00%
Brussels
0
7.00%
Stockholm
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Investment deal volume
yields
Munich Frankfurt 0
Source: JLL, C&W
5
10
15
20
Source: JLL, C&W
quality space emerges 29
Moscow Retail Market Retail supply and vacancies
Units
Retail rental rates
3,500,000
Prime rates, (US$ psqm/year)
4,000
Base rents (US$ psqm/year)
1,350
3,151,000 3,152,000
3,000,000
5.0%
2,500,000
2,200,000
4.0%
1,800,000
sqm
2,000,000
3.0%
1,500,000
1,500,000
1,200,000 1,000,000
Prime yield
9.0% – 9.5%
Vacancy (market average)
4%
Current market drivers:
2.0%
1,000,000
1.0%
500,000 0
0.0%
2005
2006
2007 2008 2009 total area
Moscow citizens spend over 77% of their incomes on consumption. Declining savings rate and the recovery of consumer financing provide with support for retail sales
Retail transaction 2,000
1,554
1,600 1,400
Current lack of supply has continued to push rental rates upward, while keeping downward pressure on vacancy. This trend will continue in 2012
1,200
US$ mn
Existing shopping centers were in high demand and the vacancy rate declined to 4%
1,000 800
s o u r volumes c e :
1,689
1,800
2010 2011 vacancy
0 2006
2007
2008
Investment deals volume
4,000
4,000
1,200
1,350
1,350
2009
2010
2011
3,700
3,500 3,000
1,300
1,500
2006
1,700
2007
2,000
2008
Base rents
Source: JLL, C&W
Retail stock per 1,000 inhabitants 14.00%
274 sqm
Moscow Hamburg
13.00% London 12.00% 11.00% 10.00% 384
2009
9.00% 8.00% 2010
Paris Budapest Berlin Warsaw
C & W
200
4,800
Prime rents
1,700
371
400
4,500
2005
and yields
J L L ,
600
5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0
Source: JLL, C&W
A F I 1,301 D ,
780
2005
6.0%
USD psqm pa
Key indicators
Frankfurt Prague
2011
yields
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Source: JLL, C&W Source: JLL, C&W
30
Moscow and Moscow Region Residential Market Key indicators
Average market price in business-class apartments (US$)
Units
Prime market price (US$ psqm)
15 650
Business class segment (US$ psqm)
6 500
Economy/ comfort class segment (US$ psqm)
3 820
Average prices of residential market by town of Moscow region, US$ psqm
Source: Intermark Savills
Trends and forecast:
Supply for business-class apartments by area
Delivery volume remains stable compared to the level recorded last year
Secondary market remains unchanged
The positive trend in demand for economy and business-class segments are anticipated in the forthcoming years supported by growing level of middle class in Russia
supply
volume
Source: Intermark Savills
31
Development Process in Moscow Development stage
Opportunity identification
Initial permitting (pre project stage)
Project permitting (project stage)
Construction
Operation
Disposal
Activity
Results
Search for land plot for potential development Analysis of possible use of selected land based on City’s General Plan/ land tenure & development regulations Highest and best use analysis Feasibility studies
Project parameters established Preliminary budget estimated Preliminary timeline for construction set
Concept development Architectural design Master planning work Dialog with City authorities – Development of “Regulation Album” for submission to Moscow City Architectural Agency’s (Moscomarchitektura) Project Approvals Committee
Preliminary concept prepared “Regulation Album”, which includes general development plan (height, footage, floor plans, traffic flows, visuals, compatibility with the surrounding community and project economics) approved by the City Moscomarchitektura issues “Town planning Permit” (GPZU) (other City agencies are involved in approval of this permit) Investment contract signed with the municipality
More detailed architectural design Work on project documentation for submission to “The Moscow State Expertise” Documentation is prepared in sections
Each section of project documentation requires separate approval Sections include legal, general plan, architecture, construction solutions; technological solutions; internal & external engineering; fire prevention; power efficiency; environmental protection and security Upon approval, construction permits issued
Work with banks to secure debt financing Work with general contractor to develop “working documentation”, or detailed specifications for construction work Monitoring construction progress and budget Cost control Preleasing/preselling/ advertising Leasing/preselling of remaining space Property management (by AFID or outsourced) Rent collection Tenant relations management
Real estate delivered and commissioned Property rights received Efficient legal structure in place
Property marketing Organizing the tender process amongst willing buyers Support in buyer due diligence
Property sold Funds reinvested in future development
Timeline
1-4 months
3 months
8 – 12 months
2-3 years
Fully operating income generating business Sustainable value through high quality product and strong tenant mix
Any, depending on strategy (3-7 years target)
6 – 12 months
32
Contact Information
Registered office AFI DEVELOPMENT PLC 25 Olympion St., Omiros & Araouzos Tower, 3035 , Limassol, Cyprus. Tel: +357 25 340 058 Principal office of operating subsidiary AFI RUS 16 A Berezhkovskaya Embankment, building 5, Moscow, 121059, Russian Federation. Tel: +7 495 796 99 88 http://investors.afi-development.ru
33