Africans investing in Africa
• Ghana/Côte d’Ivoire Growth engines • Lagos Maximum City • African Union Candidate games
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The CEOs
who bring it home Think global, invest local: backing continental projects
From left to right: Gavin Dalgleish, MD of SA agribusiness ILLOVO Ismaïl Douiri, Co-CEO ATTIJARIWAFA Bank Ade Ayeyemi, Group CEO ECOBANK Tabitha Karanja, Kenyan CEO of Keroche Breweries
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Who runs Nigeria? MuhAMMADu BuhARi LAMIDO SANUSI KEMI ADEOSUN
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CHIMAMANDA NGOZI ADICHIE NASiR AhMAD el-RufAi
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Published by Groupe Jeune Afrique, The Africa Report has established itself as the international publication of reference dedicated to African affairs. It is the guide used by decision makers to anticipate economic and political changes in Africa and relied upon for the expertise of an independent editorial team in its survey, sector reports and country focus published in each issue. The Africa Report has three times (2012, 2007 and 2006) been awarded best pan African business publication. Its recognized high-quality coverage of the African business environment is combined with the strongest pan African and international circulation.
is d analys y data an al watch, ke through the politic to e pl Peo ead you to guide economic year ah d an
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Double issue
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For half a century, Groupe Jeune Afrique has been the leading economic, political and cultural media group throughout Africa and worldwide thanks to its top-end publications Jeune Afrique (in French) and The Africa Report (in English).
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MONTHLY INSIGHT AND ANALYSIS The Africa Report provides more than 400 000 African and international readers with expert analysis of Africa’s fast-changing political and economic landscape. With Africa becoming an investment destination of choice, The Africa Report responds to the growing business need for solid analysis of the political situation and assessment of the risks.
Rwanda Focus Stepping out of the neighbours’ shadows
• Nigeria: Can Buhari put out Delta blaze? • Kenyatta/Ruto: End of the Bromance • Power: Green energy is the real deal
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Growth
After the crash,
the fightback African leaders try economic nationalism to beat the commodity trap GROUPE JEUNE AFRIQUE INTERNATIONAL EDITION
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KEY FACTS & FIGURES •55,000 copies. 10 times a year. The highest circulation of any English-language pan African magazine •400,000 regular readers. Targets African and international decision-makers, senior management and public officials. Circulated in 64 countries. •The only media to have been awarded Media of the Year three times (Diageo Africa Business Reporting Award in 2012, 2007 and 2006 in London). •The preferred English-language pan African advertising media (advertising leader in volume and revenues). (source: DIFCOM)
THE MOST CIRCULATED PAN-AFRICAN ANGLOPHONE MAGAZINE MIDDLE EAST & NORTH AFRICA
The Africa Report offers a unique mix of international and African circulation.
2%
While being the best-selling international magazine in most African countries, The Africa Report also targets international investors and government officials directly concerned by Africa.
EAST & CENTRAL AFRICA
REST OF THE WORLD
20%
20%
ONBOARD DISTRIBUTION
9%
SOUTHERN AFRICA
23%
WEST AFRICA
26%
COP22 Morocco blazes a green path
Nigeria Yabacon Valley searches for unicorns
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South Africa Companies go intercontinental
N ° 8 5 • N O V E M B E R 2 016
Elections on the edge Is populism leading us down a dangerous path?
GROUPE JEUNE AFRIQUE
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Algeria 550 DA • Belgium €5.90 • Canada CA$ 7.95 • DR Congo US$ 9 • Denmark 60 DK • Ethiopia 90 Birr • France €5.90 • Germany €5.90 • Ghana GH¢ 10 • Italy €5.90 • Kenya KES 410 • Morocco 40 DH • Netherlands €5.90 • Nigeria 800 NGN • Norway NK 70 • Portugal €5.90 • Rwanda RWF 6,000 • Sierra Leone LE 15,000 • South Africa R40 (tax incl.) • Spain €5.90 • Sweden SEK 70 • Switzerland 9.90 FS • Tanzania TZS 10,000 • Tunisia 5.4 DT • Uganda UGX 10,000 • UK £4.50 • United States US$ 6.95 • Zambia 40 ZMW • Zimbabwe US$ 4 • CFA Countries 3,500 F CFA • Euro Zone €5.90
Influencing metal
Influencing oceans
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REACHING POLICY MAKERS AND BUSINESS ELITE.
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N°1 AMONGST INFLUENTIAL, HIGH-INCOME READERS.
•73% of African political decision makers consider The Africa Report indispensable. •68% of The Africa Report readers make or influence their companies’ investment or recruitment decisions.
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BUSINESS AFRICA-ASIA
Sharing Asian know-how The two fastest-growing continents need each other for a multitude of reasons – business, geopolitics, demography. Japan is the latest Asian country to move onto the front foot in this relationship, but it is not alone By Nicholas Norbrook in Tokyo, Rosie Collyer in Nnewi and Jacey Fortin in Addis Ababa i t s u m e i k a n Asia Pacific University (APU) sits on a hill overlooking the spa resort town of Beppu in south-west Japan. Silver-haired tourists simmer happily in steamy bathhouses while students of all stripes walk up steep lanes to reach their classrooms. “In the beginning, people would just stop and stare,” laughs Eugene Wanyama, a Ghanaian who came for his master’s degree and stayed to work at APU. “But the local community has been very supportive”.
R
•65% of The Africa Report readers are upper management.
Opened in 2000, APU is distinct because 50% of its student body is from overseas, compared to 5% in other Japanese universities. “We had to battle the education minister to get our licence,” recalls APU’s dean, Yuichi Kondo. But the maverick is now the model, with many universities trying to internationalise. “Over 450 companies come to visit the campus every year, banging on our doors, saying: ‘Whereareyourstudents?Wewant more!’”Kondosays.Theplacement rate for graduates is 95%, a sign that Japanese corporates prize the
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global outlook such a cosmopolitan establishment brings. Japan needs to open up. Prime Minister Shinzo Abe knows it. In 2013, he explained: “The future of Japan’s economic growth depends on ushaving the willpower and the courage to sail without hesitation onto the rough seas of global competition”. Leading ministers like ShigeruIshibaandTaroKonohave spoken out in favour of increasing immigration levels. The International Monetary Fund says labour shortages are hampering Japan’s growth, which is already anaemic. SHRINKING GIANT
And whereas in Africa the youth bulges, in Japan, the sun sets. The population is set to fall from 127 million people today to 87 million in2060,bywhichtimenearlyhalfof the population will be over the age of 65. Katsumi Hirano, executive vice-presidentoftheJapanExternal Trade Organization (JETRO), tells The Africa Report: “We must have a more open economy. It’s part of therevitalisationofJapan’ssociety.” This global turn is in part spurred by criticism of Japan’s role in the international community. Howevercrudely,Republicancandidate for the White House Donald Trump articulated US gripes over the cost of maintaining the American security umbrella over Japan and sharing the burdens of Middle Eastern wars. Meanwhile, Japan’s backyard hasnotgotanysafer.TheSenkaku/ Diaoyu Islands dispute is just one of many maritime wrangles with Beijing, which is keen to extend its claimsovertheSouthChinaSea.In February, North Korea launched a long-range missile over a part of Japan, and in January detonated a nuclear device underground for the fourthtime. ●●●
©DANIEL LAFLOR/GETTY IMAGES; JOSE LUIS PELAEZ INC/GETTY IMAGES
•78% of top management and high-income Africans regularly read The Africa Report.
(Source: TAR reader survey)
A MULTI-CHANNEL DISTRIBUTION Mostly sold through newsstand, The Africa Report offers a multi-channel distribution network to secure its target of influential and hard-to-target readership. On average per issue, newsstand account for 56% of the distribution, Street vendors for 10%, Airlines and Airport lounges for 12% and subscribers for around 7%; we also circulate 5% of our print-run through major events, 6% trough hotels and other selected venues, while 4% is free distribution to VIP decision makers (company MDs and CEOs and government officials).
•55% OF THE AFRICA REPORT READERS DO NOT READ ANY OTHER INTERNATIONAL OR PAN AFRICAN MAGAZINE. (Source: TAR reader survey)
A GHANA
The NPP A-team
w w w.t hea f r ic arep o r t .c om
South Africa The money wars
Youth The Millennial ultimatum
N ° 8 4 • O C T O B E R 2 0 16
14-PAGE SPECIAL
Nigeria
How to survive cheap oil
A guide for governments, companies and banks who want to avoid the drop
INTERNATIONAL EDITION
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Algeria 550 DA • Belgium €5.90 • Canada CA$ 7.95 • DR Congo US$ 9 • Denmark 60 DK • Ethiopia 90 Birr • Finland €5.90 • France €5.90 • Germany €5.90 • Ghana GH¢ 10 • Italy €5.90 • Kenya KES 410 • Morocco 40 DH • Netherlands €5.90 • Nigeria 800 NGN • Norway NK 70 • Portugal €5.90 • Rwanda RWF 6,000 • Sierra Leone LE 15,000 • South Africa R40 (tax incl.) • Spain €5.90 • Sweden SEK 70 • Switzerland 9.90 FS • Tanzania TZS 10,000 • Tunisia 5.4 DT • Uganda UGX 10,000 • UK £4.50 • United States US$ 6.95 • Zambia 40 ZMW • Zimbabwe US$ 4 • CFA Countries 3 500 F CFA • Euro Zone €5 90
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OUTLOOK is a supplement to THE AFRICA REPORT N°78
COUNTRY FOCUS
OUTLOOK |
FINANCE
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PEOPLE
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INVESTMENT
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Nigeria
ENERGY
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INFRASTRUCTURE
In every issue of The Africa Report, the central section of the magazine is dedicated to a specific
NEWS OF CIVIL SERVICE DOWNSIZING CAME SHORTLY BEFORE MAY PROTESTS AGAINST THE FUEL HIKE IN ABUJA
STAND AND DELIVER
Kenya FACUNDO ARRIZABALAGA/MAXPPP
Linking Asian investors with African markets
After President Muhammadu Buhari halved the number of ministries and sacked several permanent secretaries, he told civil servants that he was determined to reform the bureaucracy and stamp out corruption By Charles Idem in Abuja and Patrick Smith
THE AFRIC A REPORT
●
FINANCE SPECIAL
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country, close-ups of performance and prospects in a high-growth African market.
F
ulfilling the grand hopes for prosperity and security that greeted Muhammadu Buhari’s accession to the presidency last yearwillrestas muchonhisabilityto galvanise the civil service as on hightable political deals with the bumptious national assembly and 36 state governors. The grim landscape of crashing oil prices and approaching recession has made the government all the more dependent on effective public administrators to eke out scarce state resources. From the start, Buhari warned his officials that he would insist that the ● ● ●
S E P T E M B E R 2 0 16
Not to be sold separately
MONEY A S U P P L E ME N T TO TH E A F R IC A R E P O R T N ° 80
OUTLOOK is a supplement to THE AFRICA REPORT N°70
GHANA SPECIAL
OUTLOOK Ecowas at 40 DIPLOMACY
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I N T E G R AT I O N
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SUPPLEMENTS - OUTLOOK & MONEY
GHANA SPECIAL
The Africa Report has expanded its range of special issues and supplements. These include the
THE PROMISE OF A
NEW WEST
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We also produce OUTLOOK supplements that highlight regional business trends. Not to be sold separately Not to be sold separately
DOSSIER
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Mozambique’s gas infrastructure and wider economy will be forever changed after huge investments both upstream and downstream. Can its government handle the challenge of resource riches?
Gas-fired development IS Murderous utopia comes to Africa
• Nigeria The Buhari gamble • South Africa Asleep at the wheel • Tanzania 100 days of rectitude
A brighter future for Mozambique lies offshore
By Douglas Mason in Maputo ozambique’s future as a significant energy exporter is closer to being assured following agreement on fiscal and operational terms for $40bn in foreign direct investment (FDI) to develop liquefied natural gas (LNG) facilities. Two consortiums led by Anadarko of the US and Eni of Italy wish to develop the reserves in the offshore Rovuma Basin. Approval of the special regime by the Mozambique authorities in December established investment conditions, most importantly stability provisions preventing terms from being changed for 30 years, although the fiscal terms can be renegotiated after 10 years. Recoverable gas reserves for Area 1 and Area 4 of the offshore Rovuma Basin, held by Anadarko’s and Eni’s consortiums, stand at 120 trillion cubic feet, according to energy analysts. Companies say that the upside for additional discoveries is considerable, making the Rovuma Basin one of the largest new global gas regions. Development of the gas fields will lead to the construction of a major industrial complex at Palma, in Mozambique’s remote northern province of Cabo Delgado, which will become an energy hub. The consortiums are planning two LNG facilities or trains each, with Eni proposing both onshore facilities and a floating LNG plant. Both groups are in the final stages of concluding engineering, procurement and construction contracts. The agreement on terms removes a major source of uncertainty at a time when concerns over market timing, falling energy prices and Mozambique’s difficult operating conditions are in danger of stalling its energy boom. The window for Mozambique to develop LNG capacity and begin fulfilling export contracts is narrow and must begin by the early 2020s before a large increase in LNG output from other projects in Asia, Australia and North America creates a possible global oversupply. Officially, the date for
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the first LNG production is 2018 for Anadarko and 2019 for Eni, although there is scepticism about whether these dates will be met. Mozambique is trying to lock in investment as the downside of the commodity cycle leads investors to pull back from energy exploration and development in high-risk and frontier areas, particularly Africa. Already, companies have concerns about Mozambique’s regulatory regime, political economy and operational risks. These worries relate to aspects of the country’s petroleum law, passed in August 2014, which reserve 25% of production for the domestic market to promote industrial development. In addition, local content requirements inserted at the insistence of parliamentarians of the governing Frente de Libertação de Moçambique (FRELIMO) party require that some goods and services be provided exclusively by Mozambican nationals. These provisions may lead to rent-seeking, elite capture and inefficiency, as few local companies are capable of meeting the needs of such large projects. OPAQUE DEAL
Controversy has already arisen over the Pemba Integrated Logistics Centre, which granted monopoly rights for supplying the hydrocarbon sector without public tender to an opaque Nigerian-Italian company, Orlean Invest. The Mozambique branch of the transparency watchdog Centre for Public Integrity brought attention to the deal in 2014, and foreign companies have complained that lack of disclosure over Orlean’s beneficial ownership has created compliance problems for firms with anti-corruption policies. The government has also watered down transparency provisions that made it mandatory for all contracts to be published. The era of resource wealth that beckons could be transformational for Mozambique, the thirteenth poorestcountryintheworld interms of per capita gross domestic product (GDP) in 2013, according to the International Monetary Fund. Gas
Nigeria Repairing the engine
Financial inclusion Banking on women
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COMPANIES
2016 EDITION EXCLUSIVE RANKING
How to thrive in 2016 • Market share up for grabs in great shake-out • Oil companies double down on costs • Cash injection into telecoms infrastructure
and success stories.
ANNUAL FLAGSHIP FEATURES & RANKINGS Thanks to Groupe Jeune Afrique’s 15-years publication of exclusive annual rankings and
New competitors, new technologies and new customers will make or break Africa’s banks
surveys, The Africa Report publishes the “TOP 500 African Companies” and “TOP 200
The banker of tomorrow
African Banks” ranking as well as “Africa Survey”, a forecast of political and economic development
INTERNATIONAL EDITION
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Also, in every issue, an in-depth portrait of one of the continent’s essential industries, its key players
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DOSSIERS
Algeria 550 DA • Angola 600 Kwanza • Austria 4.90 € • Belgium 4.90 € • Canada 6.95 CAN$ • Denmark 60 DK • Ethiopia 75 Birr • France 4.90 € • Germany 4.90 € • Ghana 8 GH¢ • Italy 4.90 € • Kenya 410 shillings • Liberia $LD 300 • Morocco 40 DH • Netherlands 4.90 € • Nigeria 800 naira • Norway 60 NK • Portugal 4.90 € • Sierra Leone LE 12,000 • South Africa 40 rand (tax incl.) • Spain 4.90 € • Switzerland 9.90 FS • Tanzania 9,000 shillings • Tunisia 5.4 DT • Uganda 9,000 shillings • UK £ 4.50 • United States US$ 6.95 • Zambia 30 ZMW • Zimbabwe US$ 4 • CFA Countries 3,000 F CFA
GROUPE JEUNE AFRIQUE
in all 54 countries. Must-reads for anyone who takes the future of Africa seriously.
CONTENTS BRIEFING INTERNATIONAL PEOPLE AGENDA FRONTLINE POLITICS COUNTRY FOCUS INTERVIEW BUSINESS COMPANY NEWS MARKETS DOSSIER ART & LIFE LIFESTYLE
THE AFRICA REPORT BRAND
MONTHLY MAGAZINE OIL & GAS New power generation
South Africa Tailor-made growth
w.t h e a f r i c a r ep o r t .c o m
Nigeria Sanusi’s revival plan
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Innovative Africa Leapfrogging the obstacles, a new wave of entrepreneurs is spurring growth
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