Pig pocketbook 2018

Page 1

Pig Pocketbook – 2018


Produced for you by: AHDB Stoneleigh Park Kenilworth Warwickshire CV8 2TL T 024 7669 2051 E comms@ahdb.org.uk W ahdb.pork.org.uk @TheAHDB This publication and its content is produced by the AHDB Market Intelligence team whose systems are certificated to ISO 9001:2015 If you no longer wish to receive this information, please email us on comms@ahdb.org.uk While the Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board seeks to ensure that the information contained within this document is accurate at the time of printing, no warranty is given in respect thereof and, to the maximum extent permitted by law, the Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board accepts no liability for loss, damage or injury howsoever caused (including that caused by negligence) or suffered directly or indirectly in relation to information and opinions contained in or omitted from this document. Š Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board 2018. All rights reserved. Further publication of the trade data is prohibited, unless expressly permitted by IHS Maritime & Trade. ISBN 978-1-911181-01-9


Chain Contents – PigMarketing Pocketbook Chapter 1 – Marketing chain

4

Chapter 2 – Pig numbers

6

Chapter 3 – Feed prices

9

Table 1.1 Table 1.2 Figure 1.1 Table 2.1 Table 2.2 Figure 2.1 Table 2.3 Figure 2.2

UK pig meat supply balance EU pig meat supply balance UK product flows in the pig meat marketing chain in 2017 UK pig numbers, June survey UK female breeding pig herd and holding numbers, June survey Breeding sow numbers Breeding pig numbers by region, June survey Breeding pig numbers in the EU

4 4 5 6 6 7 7 8

Figure 3.1

Average pig compound feed prices, GB

9

Figure 3.2

Feed wheat and soya meal prices

9

Chapter 4 – Abattoirs Figure 4.1 Table 4.1 Table 4.2 Table 4.3

English pig abattoir numbers Abattoirs slaughtering pigs in England Size profile of all abattoirs slaughtering pigs in England, 2017 Size profile of specialist pig abattoirs in England, 2017

Chapter 5 – Slaughterings and production Table 5.1 Figure 5.1 Figure 5.2 Figure 5.3 Figure 5.4 Figure 5.5 Table 5.2 Figure 5.6 Figure 5.7 Figure 5.8 Figure 5.9

Pig slaughterings, UK Trends in UK clean pig slaughterings Weekly clean pig slaughter, UK Weekly sow culling, UK Average clean pig carcase weights, UK Pig meat production trends, UK Industry trends (productivity and production) Clean pig slaughterings: three-week rolling average, Germany Weekly sow slaughterings, Germany EU pig meat production, 2017 Average pig carcase weights in the EU, 2017

10 10 10 11 11

12 12 12 13 13 14 14 15 16 16 17 17

1


Contents Chapter 6 – Cost of production Table 6.1 Table 6.2 Table 6.3 Table 6.4 Table 6.5 Table 6.6 Figure 6.1 Figure 6.2 Figure 6.3 Figure 6.4 Figure 6.5

18

18 18 19 19 20 21 21 22 22 23 23

Chapter 7 – Technical performance data

24

Chapter 8 – Pig carcase classification

36

Table 7.1 Table 7.2 Table 7.3 Table 7.4 Table 7.5 Table 7.6 Table 7.7 Table 7.8 Table 7.9 Table 7.10 Table 7.11 Table 7.12 Table 7.13 Table 7.14 Table 7.15 Table 7.16 Figure 8.1 Figure 8.2 Figure 8.3 Figure 8.4 Figure 8.5 Figure 8.6

2

GB change in cost of production for change in feed price GB change in cost of production for different levels of pigs weaned per sow per year GB change in cost of production for different levels of feed conversion ratio GB change in cost of production for different levels of daily liveweight gain Average international costs of production in selected countries, 2011–2016 Summary of financial performance, 2016 Cost of production in selected countries, 2016 (cold weight) Changes in feed costs in selected countries Pigs finished per sow per year in selected countries Finishing daily liveweight gain (g/day) GB carcase meat per sow

Distribution of herd size in Agrosoft recorded breeding herds, 2010–2017 Trends in weaning age, 2010–2017 Results for all breeding herds, 2017 Trends in performance and feed costs in the breeding herd, 2010–2017 Breeding herd results by herd size, 2017 Breeding herd results by age at weaning, 2017 Comparison of results for outdoor and indoor breeding herds, 2017 Comparative results for indoor breeding herds, 2010–2017 Comparative results for outdoor breeding herds, 2010–2017 Overall rearing herd results, 2017 Trends in performance and feed costs in the rearing herd 2010–2017 Overall herd results ranked on daily liveweight gain, 2017 Overall finishing herd results, 2017 Trends in performance and feed costs in the finishing herd, 2010–2017 Analysis of pigs born, weaned and re-service rate by parity, 2017 Analysis of total services and returns by parity, 2017 Locations of probing on a pig carcase Distribution of the GB classified sample by carcase weight Average carcase weights of the GB collected sample Distribution of the classified sample in EC grade by weight band, 2017 Distribution of the GB classified sample by EC grade, 2017 Trends in P2 fat depth

24 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 32 33 34 34 35 35

37 38 39 39 40 40


Marketing Chain Contents Chapter 9 – Livestock and meat prices

41

Chapter 10 – Imports and exports

46

Chapter 11 – Consumption

55

Table 9.1 Table 9.2 Figure 9.1 Figure 9.2 Figure 9.3 Figure 9.4 Figure 9.5

Table 10.1 Table 10.2 Table 10.3 Table 10.4 Table 10.5 Table 10.6 Table 10.7 Table 10.8 Figure 10.1 Table 10.9 Table 10.10 Table 10.11 Table 10.12 Table 10.13

Table 11.1 Table 11.2 Figure 11.1 Figure 11.2 Figure 11.3 Figure 11.4 Figure 11.5 Figure 11.6 Figure 11.7 Figure 11.8 Figure 11.9

GB deadweight pig prices GB weaner prices GB average producer pig prices GB average weaner prices Producer retail price spreads UK and EU pig meat reference prices Global export prices for fresh/frozen pork Volume of total UK pig meat imports Value of total UK pig meat imports UK fresh/frozen pork imports by source UK bacon imports by source Volume of total UK pig meat exports Value of total UK pig meat exports Volume of UK fresh/frozen pork exports by destination Value of UK fresh/frozen pork exports by destination Map of UK fresh/frozen pork exports by destination Volume of UK pig offal exports by destination Value of UK pig offal exports by destination EU fresh/frozen pig meat exports to non-EU countries EU fresh/frozen pork exports by destination EU pig offal exports by destination UK per capita consumption of major meats GB retail value sales by type of outlet GB retailer shares of pork market by value, 2017 Trends in GB household pork purchases by volume Change in GB retail volume and value sales of pig meat products, 2017 GB volume sales of pig meat by product, 2017 Average GB retail price of pig meat products, 2017 Share of pig meat products sold on promotion in GB retail outlets Per capita consumption of pig meat in selected EU Member States, 2017 Percentage of product facings with British logo sold in the total GB market Percentage of product facings with Red Tractor quality standard mark sold in the total GB market

41 42 43 43 44 44 45

46 46 47 47 48 48 49 49 50 51 51 52 53 54 55 55 56 56 57 57 58 58 59 60 60

3


Chapter 1 – Marketing chain Table 1.1 UK pig meat supply balance

‘000 tonnes

2014

Production

2015

2016

2017

2018(f)

863

900

919

901

931

1,065

1,092

1,066

1,075

1,060

Fresh/frozen**

513

534

508

524

510

Bacon

300

294

284

257

240

Processed

252

264

274

293

310

233

237

251

264

278

Total consumption

1,578

1,755

1,734

1,712

1,713

Self-sufficiency (%)

54.7

51.3

53.0

52.6

54.3

Domestically used production as a % of consumption

39.9

37.8

38.5

37.2

38.1

Imports

Exports

*2016 figures converted to a 52 week year. Defra changed to calendar months from February 2016 f = Forecast **Fresh/frozen pork imports estimated based on export data for the UK’s seven largest suppliers Total consumption is a balance calculation based upon total supplies available for consumption, ie production + imports - exports Self-sufficiency (%) = production/consumption (where consumption is production + imports – exports) All data is carcase weight equivalent Source: Defra, IHS Maritime and Trade – Global Trade Atlas®/HMRC, Statistics Germany, Agentia Tributaria, CSO Ireland, AHDB

Table 1.2 EU pig meat supply balance

‘000 tonnes Net production Imports

2014

2015

2016(e)

2017(f)

2018(f)

22,568

23,276

23,319

23,242

23,289

14

11

12

12

13

Exports

1,947

2,217

2,795

2,543

2,492

Consumption

20,600

21,050

20,526

20,703

20,801

Self-sufficiency (%)

109.6

110.6

113.6

112.3

112.0

All data is carcase weight equivalent e = Estimate f = Forecast Source: EU Commission 4


Pig slaughterings 10.65 million head £1,643 million

Total available for consumption 1,71 million tonnes

Total - £2,531million Pork - £937 million(a) Bacon - £561 million Processed - £1,034 million

a = Includes pork imports that are subsequently cured in the United Kingdom Fresh/frozen pork imports estimated based on export data for the UK’s seven largest suppliers Volumes are carcase weight equivalent Source: Defra, IHS Maritime and Trade – Global Trade Atlas®/HMRC, Statistics Germany, Agentia Tributaria, CSO Ireland, AHDB

Total - £391 million Pork - £294 million Bacon - £54 million Processed - £43 million

Wholesalers/depots/ traders

Live pig imports 507,817 £61.1 million

Meat Imports Total - 1,075,000 tonnes Pork - 524,000 tonnes(a) Bacon - 257,000 tonnes Processed - 293,000 tonnes

Deadweight sales 10.6 million head £1,638 million

Slaughtered production 900,800 tonnes

Liveweight sales 0.4% 0.04 million head £5 million

Meat exports Total - 263,600 tonnes Pork - 227,900 tonnes Bacon - 22,600 tonnes Processed - 13,100 tonnes

Live pig exports 2,277 head £0.1 million

Figure 1.1 UK product flows in the pig meat marketing chain in 2017

Marketingchain Chain Marketing

5


Chapter 2 – Pig numbers Table 2.1 UK pig numbers, June survey

'000 head

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

Sows in pig

284

282

285

295

297

Gilts in pig

66

57

56

55

55

Other sows

70

67

66

65

64

Total breeding sows

421

406

408

415

417

Gilts for breeding

86

80

85

79

81

Boars for service

15

14

15

15

14

Feeding pigs

4,363

4,315

4,232

4,356

4,457

Total pigs

4,885

4,815

4,739

4,866

4,969

Source: Defra

Table 2.2 UK female breeding pig herd and holding numbers, June survey

Breeding pigs (‘000 head)

Number of holdings (‘000)

Average breeding herd size (head)

2005

470

6.8

69

2006

468

6.2

76

2007

455

6.1

74

2008

421

6.1

75

2009

426

5.8

78

2010

427

6.0

71

2011

432

6.0

72

2012

425

6.1

70

2013

421

6.0

70

2014

406

6.0

68

2015

408

6.6

62

2016

415

6.0

69

2017

417

n/a

n/a

2000

6

610

7.2

85

Census methodology changed in June 2010 and, as a result, smaller units were omitted from the survey. n/a = not available Source: Defra


Marketing Chain Pig numbers Figure 2.1 Breeding sow numbers Number ('000 head) 440 430

432

427

425

423

420

421

415

409

410

400

400

406

417 409

407

Jun Dec 16 16

Jun Dec 17 17

408 401

398 390

390 380 370 360

Jun Dec 10 10

Jun Dec 11 11

Jun Dec 12 12

Jun Dec 13 13

Jun Dec 14 14

Jun Dec 15 15

Source: Defra

Table 2.3 Breeding pig numbers by region, June survey

%

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

England

83.1

82.0

81.5

81.8

81.4

Wales

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.7

Scotland

6.7

7.2

7.5

7.1

7.1

Northern Ireland

9.2

9.8

10.3

10.3

10.7

Please note that totals may not add up to 100% because of rounding Source: Defra

7


Pig numbers Figure 2.2 Breeding pig numbers in the EU Number ('000 head) 2,750 2,500 2,250 2,000 1,750 1,500 1,250 1,000 750 500

Dec-16

Source: Eurostat

8

Dec-17

Romania

Belgium

United Kingdom

Italy

Poland

France

Netherlands

Denmark

Germany

0

Spain

250


Chain Chapter 3 –Marketing Feed prices Figure 3.1 Average pig compound feed prices, GB Price (£/tonne) 300 280

278

260

249

240

232

220

232

231

2017

Qtr 1

232

233

232

213

200 180

2013

2014

2015

2016

Source: Defra

Qtr 2 Qtr 3 2017

Qtr 4

Figure 3.2 Feed wheat and soya meal prices Price (£/tonne) 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Jan 16

Jul 16

Feed wheat (Nearby Futures)

Jan 17

Jul 17

Jan 18

Soya meal Brazilian (48%) ex-store Liverpool

Source: AHDB

9


Chapter 4 – Abattoirs Figure 4.1 English pig abattoir numbers Number 200

185

180 160

147

140

124

120

116

118

2015

2016

112

100 80 60 40 20 0

2000

2005

2010

2017

Source: AHDB data based on abattoirs operating in the calendar year

Table 4.1 Abattoirs slaughtering pigs in England

Abattoir numbers

Of which specialist pig abattoir numbers

Average annual throughput (head)

2000

185

24

53,003

2005

147

15

48,620

2010

124

15

59,237

2015

116

14

77,299

2016

118

14

76,339

2017

112

15

77,723

Source: AHDB data based on abattoirs operating in the calendar year 10


Marketing Chain Abattoirs Table 4.2 Size profile of all abattoirs slaughtering pigs in England, 2017

Number of abattoirs

Total throughput (head)

Average throughput (head)

Share of throughput (%)

1–10,000

77

214,203

2,782

2.5

10,001–30,000

16

263,581

16,474

3.0

30,001–100,000

8

391,764

48,971

4.5

100,001–500,000

3

697,783

232,594

8.0

> 500,001

8

7,137,687

892,211

82.0

112

8,705,018

77,723

100.0

Size group (head)

Total

Source: AHDB data based on abattoirs operating in the calendar year

Table 4.3 Size profile of specialist pig abattoirs in England, 2017

Size group (head)

Number of abattoirs

Total throughput (head)

Average throughput (head)

Share of throughput (%)

1–100,000

6

60,673

10,112

0.9

100,001+

9

6,393,808

710,423

99.1

Total

15

6,454,481

430,299

100.0

Note: Specialist pig abattoirs are defined as plants where 95 per cent of slaughterings are pigs Source: AHDB data based on abattoirs operating in the calendar year

The eFoodChainMap from AHDB is an interactive UK map which plots a range of information, including the location of abattoirs, auction markets, meat processors and meat traders using colour coded pins. The map can be accessed at the website: www.emap.org.uk/map.aspx 11


Chapter 5 – Slaughterings and production Table 5.1 Pig slaughterings, UK

'000 head

Sows and boars

Clean pigs

Total pigs

2000

321

12,370

12,692

2005

202

8,971

9,173

2010*

225

9,411

9,635

2015

245

10,627

10,872

2016**

257

10,733

10,990

2017

228

10,420

10,648

Note: *53-week statistical year **Defra changed to calendar months from February 2016 Source: Defra

Figure 5.1 Trends in UK clean pig slaughterings Number ('000 head) 14,000 12,000

12,370

10,000

8,791

9,411

10,627

10,733

10,420

8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0

2000

2005

2010*

*53-week statistical year **Defra changed to calendar months from February 2016 Source: Defra

12

2015

2016**

2017


Marketing Chain Slaughterings and production Figure 5.2 Weekly clean pig slaughter, UK Number ('000 head) 260 240 220 200 180 160 140 120 100

Jan

Feb

2016

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

2017

Source: AHDB, Defra

Figure 5.3 Weekly sow culling, UK Number ('000 head) 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0

Jan

Feb

Mar

2016 2017 Source: AHDB, Defra

Apr

May

Oct

Nov

Dec

13


Slaughterings and production Figure 5.4 Average clean pig carcase weights, UK Weight (kg) 84

81.3

82 80

82.1

83.2

2016

2017

78.4

78 75.2

76 74 72

70.8

70 68 66

2000

2005

2010

2015

Source: Defra

Figure 5.5 Pig meat production trends, UK Weight ('000 tonnes) 1,000 923.1

900.3

900

800

14

900.8

772.3 705.6

700

600

919.2

2000

2005

2010*

*53-week statistical year **Defra changed to calendar months from February 2016 Source: Defra

2015

2016**

2017


Marketing Chain Slaughterings and production Table 5.2 Industry trends (productivity and production)

2000

2005

2010**

2015

2016***

2017

UK average sow productivity(a) Pigs per sow

19.0

17.7

20.2

25.4

25.9

25.6

Pig meat per sow (kg)

1,345

1,331

1,587

2,066

2,126

2,129

12,370

8,971

9,411

10,627

10,733

10,420

ACW* (kg)

70.8

75.2

78.4

81.3

82.1

83.2

= clean pig production ('000 tonnes)

875

674

738

864

881

868

Sow/boar slaughter ('000 head)

321

202

225

245

257

228

148.4

155.5

154.5

146.5

146.0

145.4

= sow/boar meat production ('000 tonnes)

48

31

35

36

38

33

Total pig meat production ('000 tonnes)

923

706

772

900

919

901

Slaughterings and production Clean pig slaughter ('000 head)

ACW* (kg)

*ACW = average carcase weight **53-week statistical year ***Defra changed to calendar months from February 2016 Production volumes are carcase weight equivalent (a) NOT survey results. Based on relationship between clean pig slaughter and lagged breeding herd Source: AHDB, Defra

15


Slaughterings and production Figure 5.6 Clean pig slaughterings: three-week rolling average, Germany Number ('000 head) 1,100 1.050 1,000 950 900 850 800 750

Jan

Feb

2016

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

2017

Source: AMI

Figure 5.7 Weekly sow slaughterings, Germany Number ('000 head) 26 24 22 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6

Jan 2016

Source: AMI 16

Feb

Mar 2017

Apr

May

Jun

Jul


Marketing Chain Slaughterings and production Figure 5.8 EU pig meat production, 2017 Weight ('000 tonnes) 6,000

5,455

5,000 4,249

3,000 1,467

1,453

Source: Eurostat

Netherlands

Italy

Denmark

Poland

France

Spain

0

Germany

1,000

1,045

901

505 Austria

1,544

United Kingdom

2,000

2,535 1,990

Belgium

2177

Others

4,000

Figure 5.9 Average pig carcase weights in the EU, 2017 Weight (kg) 140 130

128.9

94.3

93.0

90

91.4

90.2

88.4

85.6

84.6

France

95.4

United Kingdom

96.0

Spain

98.1

100

Denmark

110

Poland

120

80

Hungary

Germany

Belgium

Netherlands

Source: Eurostat

Austria

60

Italy

70

17


Chapter 6 – Cost of production Table 6.1 GB change in cost of production for change in feed price

Feed type

Base CoP Feed (p/dw kg) price + £5

Feed price + £10

Feed price + £15

Feed price + £20

Sow feed

143.6

143.9

144.2

144.6

144.9

Rearing feed

143.6

143.9

144.2

144.6

144.9

Finishing feed

143.6

144.8

146.0

147.3

148.5

CoP = cost of production Source: AHDB

Table 6.2 GB change in cost of production for different levels of pigs weaned per sow per year

Bottom third

Average

Pigs weaned per sow per year

22.3

25.5

29.0

CoP (p/dw kg)

149.9

144.0

139.0

CoP = cost of production Source: AHDB

18

Top third


Chain CostMarketing of production Table 6.3 GB change in cost of production for different levels of feed conversion ratio

Bottom third

Average

Top third

Rearing FCR

1.97

1.77

1.55

CoP (p/dw kg)

145.6

143.6

141.2

Finishing FCR

3.40

2.86

2.47

CoP (p/dw kg)

154.0

143.6

136.3

Combined FCR

2.72

2.36

2.16

CoP (p/dw kg)

150.8

140.3

134.4

CoP = cost of production FCR = feed conversion ratio Source: AHDB

Table 6.4 GB change in cost of production for different levels of daily liveweight gain

Rearing DLWG (g/day) CoP (p/dw kg) Finishing DLWG (g/day) CoP (p/dw kg) Combined DLWG (g/day) CoP (p/dw kg)

Bottom third

Average

Top third

397

516

583

144.5

143.5

143.2

704

833

955

144.6

143.6

142.8

583

703

821

145.6

143.7

142.4

CoP = cost of production DLWG = daily liveweight gain Source: AHDB 19


Cost of production Table 6.5 Average international costs of production in selected countries, 2011–2016

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

(% change)

Austria

1.47

1.46

1.54

1.35

1.16

1.31

13

Belgium

1.41

1.42

1.48

1.26

1.08

1.17

8

Brazil (MT)

1.03

0.95

0.96

0.84

0.70

0.91

30

Brazil (SC)

1.18

1.19

1.13

1.04

0.87

1.16

34

Canada

1.13

1.18

1.20

0.98

0.92

1.01

10

Denmark

1.39

1.37

1.44

1.24

1.09

1.16

6

Finland

n/a

n/a

n/a

1.35

1.17

1.30

11

France

1.44

1.39

1.49

1.29

1.10

1.20

9

Germany

1.55

1.49

1.56

1.33

1.15

1.25

9

Great Britain

1.51

1.55

1.61

1.41

1.33

1.26

-5

Ireland

1.50

1.47

1.63

1.40

1.25

1.32

5

Italy

1.70

1.61

1.71

1.58

1.34

1.50

12

Netherlands

1.40

1.36

1.50

1.32

1.18

1.29

9

Spain

1.40

1.34

1.39

1.20

1.06

1.13

6

Sweden

1.71

1.70

1.77

1.47

1.27

1.39

9

USA

1.01

1.08

1.04

0.83

0.80

0.86

7

EU

1.50

1.47

1.56

1.35

1.18

1.27

8

MT = Mato Grosso SC = Santa Catarina n/a = not applicable Source: InterPIG

20

2016/15

ÂŁ/kg dw


Chain CostMarketing of production Table 6.6 Summary of financial performance, 2016

GB

EU average

Feed

0.75

0.75

Other variable costs

0.22

0.21

Total variable costs

0.98

0.96

Labour

0.13

0.12

Depreciation and finance

0.16

0.19

Total fixed costs

0.29

0.31

Total

1.26

1.27

ÂŁ/kg dw

Source: InterPIG

Figure 6.1 Cost of production in selected countries, 2016 (cold weight) Price (ÂŁ/kg) 1.60 1.40 1.20 1.00 0.80 0.60 0.40

Feed Depreciation and finance MT = Mato Grosso SC = Santa Catarina Source: InterPIG

EU Average

USA

Sweden

Spain

Italy

Other variable costs UK average price

Netherlands

Republic of Ireland

Great Britain

France

Germany

Finland

Denmark

Canada

Brazil (SC)

Brazil (MT)

Austria

0.00

Belgium

0.20

Labour EU average price

21


Cost of production Figure 6.2 Changes in feed costs in selected countries Price (ÂŁ/kg) 1.00 0.80 0.60 0.40

Denmark

Finland

Brazil (MT)

USA

Belgium

Netherlands

Denmark

Canada

Germany

Germany

Netherlands

France

Austria

Sweden

Belgium

Spain

2015

MT = Mato Grosso Source: InterPIG

Great Britain

2016

Ireland

Brazil (SC)

0.00

Italy

0.20

SC = Santa Catarina

Figure 6.3 Pigs finished per sow per year in selected countries No. of pigs finished per sow 35 30 25 20 15 10

2016

22

2015

MT = Mato Grosso Source: InterPIG

SC = Santa Catarina

Ireland

France

Brazil (SC)

Finland

Brazil (MT)

Spain

Sweden

Austria

USA

Great Britain

Italy

0

Canada

5


Chain CostMarketing of production Figure 6.4 Finishing daily liveweight gain (g/day) Liveweight gain (g/day) 1,000 800 600 400 200

Finland

Denmark

Sweden

Canada

Ireland

Great Britain

Brazil (MT)

USA

Germany

Brazil (SC)

France

Netherlands

2015

Austria

Italy

2016

Spain

Belgium

0

MT = Mato Grosso SC = Santa Catarina Source: InterPIG Source: InterPIG

Figure 6.5 GB carcase meat per sow Weight per year (kg/year) 1,950 1,900 1,850 1,800 1,750 1,700 1,650 1,600 1,550

2011

MT = Mato Grosso Source: InterPIG

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

SC = Santa Catarina 23


Chapter 7 – Technical performance data Table 7.1 Distribution of herd size in Agrosoft recorded breeding herds, 2010–2017 Sow size group (head)

% of herds 2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

100–249

16

14

11

10

13

250–499

26

26

25

26

23

500–749

29

28

29

25

750–999

15

17

18

20

1,000–1,499

12

11

13

1,500–3,000

2

4

4

>3,000 Total

2016

2017

11

9

13

26

25

24

29

27

25

25

10

13

17

15

17

20

19

19

8

2

5

4

4

15

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

Totals may not add up to 100 because data have been rounded up Source: AgroSoft Ltd

Table 7.2 Trends in weaning age, 2010–2017 Age at weaning (days)

% of herds 2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

<19

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

20-25

29

27

29

49

37

34

28

10

26-32

68

69

68

48

60

63

68

85

33-39

1

1

1

1

3

3

4

4

>39

2

3

2

1

0

0

0

0

Total

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

Totals may not add up to 100 because data have been rounded up Source: AgroSoft Ltd

24


Marketing Chain Technical performance data Table 7.3 Results for all breeding herds, 2017

Average*

Top third*

Top 10%*

Average number sows and gilts

757

686

946

Average number unserved gilts

73

67

170

Replacement rate (%)

51.6

58.2

66.1

Sow sales and deaths (%)

53.2

57.8

64.0

Sow mortality (%)

5.4

6.0

7.4

Successful services (%)

84.2

88.0

90.8

Litters per sow per year**

2.3

2.4

2.4

17.6

12.4

11.1

Alive

12.8

13.8

14.3

Dead

0.6

0.7

0.7

Mummified

0.2

0.2

0.2

Total

13.5

14.7

15.2

Pigs born alive per sow per year

30.6

34.6

36.3

Pre-weaning mortality (%)

12.5

11.0

10.7

Pigs weaned per litter

11.2

12.3

12.7

Pigs weaned per sow per year**

25.5

29.0

30.4

Average weight of weaned pig (kg)

7.2

7.2

7.0

Average weaning age (days)

26.6

26.7

26.1

Sow feed per sow per year (tonnes)

1.39

1.31

1.19

Feed per pig weaned (kg)

50.9

45.9

36.9

Herd structure

Sow performance

Non-productive days per litter

#

Pigs born per litter

Feed usage##

*Selected on the basis of pigs weaned per sow per year **Per sow data excludes unserved gilts. # Non-productive days excludes gestation, lactation and a six-day weaning to service interval ## Per sow data includes unserved gilts Source: AgroSoft Ltd 25


Technical performance data Table 7.4 Trends in performance and feed costs in the breeding herd, 2010–2017 2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

Average number sows and gilts

605

682

580

591

714

697

740

757

Sow sales and deaths (%)

49.2

47.6

51.5

53.3

51.6

58.7

52.5

53.2

Sow mortality (%)

3.6

3.3

3.6

4.6

4.5

5.2

4.9

5.4

Litters per sow per year*

2.3

2.3

2.3

2.3

2.3

2.3

2.3

2.3

Pigs born alive per litter

11.2

11.4

11.5

11.8

12.1

12.2

12.4

12.8

Pre-weaning mortality (%)

12.7

12.6

12.7

13.1

12.7

12.4

12.7

12.5

Pigs weaned per litter

9.8

10.0

10.1

10.3

10.5

10.7

10.8

11.2

Pigs weaned per sow per year*

22.1

22.5

22.9

23.5

23.9

24.1

24.6

25.5

Average weaning age (days)

26.7

26.4

26.7

26.4

26.3

26.4

26.6

26.6

1.23

1.17

1.28

1.53

1.40

1.47

1.42

1.39

Herd structure

Sow performance

Sow feed Sow feed per sow per year (tonnes)#

Sow feed cost per 162.87 207.63 207.72 238.02 199.60 184.77 182.02 206.72 tonne (ÂŁ)## *Per sow data excludes unserved gilts # Per sow data includes unserved gilts from 2013 ## Per tonne compound feed cost from AHDB since 2014 (weighted indoor, outdoor, dry and lactating) Source: AgroSoft Ltd

26


Marketing Chain Technical performance data Table 7.5 Breeding herd results by herd size, 2017 100– 249

250– 499

500– 749

750– 999

Average number sows and gilts

198

416

680

974

1387

2515

Average number in-pig gilts

29

75

110

161

201

350

Average number unserved gilts

17

25

53

70

144

222

Replacement rate (%)

50.0

48.4

52.9

49.4

51.9

54.5

Sow sales and deaths (%)

52.3

50.2

52.6

50.8

54.3

56.8

Sow mortality (%)

4.2

5.0

5.6

4.5

5.4

6.7

Successful services (%)

82.6

84.3

84.9

81.3

84.4

86.7

Non-productive days per litter#

20.0

18.7

15.4

20.2

17.3

17.1

Litters per sow per year*

2.2

2.3

2.3

2.3

2.3

2.3

Alive

12.5

13.1

13.0

12.3

12.6

13.2

Dead

0.8

0.8

0.7

0.5

0.6

0.6

Mummified

0.3

0.3

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

Total

13.4

14.0

13.8

12.8

13.2

13.9

Pigs born alive per sow per year

29.9

31.8

31.4

28.3

30.4

32.1

Pre-weaning mortality (%)

12.8

11.6

11.0

12.4

13.6

13.1

Pigs weaned per litter

10.9

11.6

11.6

10.7

10.9

11.5

Pigs weaned per sow per year* Average weight of weaned pig (kg) Average weaning age (days)

24.3

26.3

26.8

23.8

24.9

26.4

Number of sows

1,000– >1,500 1,500

Herd structure

Sow performance

Pigs born per litter:

7.5

7.3

7.3

7.3

7.2

7.0

30.3

27.4

26.7

26.8

26.0

26.0

1.25

1.31

1.39

1.42

1.50

1.21

66.9

48.9

56.5

53.4

50.0

42.9

Feed usage## Sow feed per sow per year (tonnes) Feed per pig weaned (kg)

*Per sow data excludes unserved gilts # Non-productive days excludes gestation, lactation and a six-day weaning to service interval ## Per sow data includes unserved gilts Data includes both indoor and outdoor herds Source: AgroSoft Ltd

27


Technical performance data Table 7.6 Breeding herd results by age at weaning, 2017 Age at weaning

Less than 26 days Top third

Top 10%

Avg.

Top third

Top 10%

Herd structure Average number sows and gilts

26 days+

Avg. 1,050

1,043

1,938

768

689

848

Average number in-pig gilts

177

213

445

114

103

118

Average number unserved gilts

135

155

261

55

55

62

Replacement rate (%)

57.6

66.4

72.2

49.4

55.0

61.6

Sow sales and deaths (%)

58.8

64.5

69.5

51.2

55.1

59.8

Sow mortality (%)

5.6

6.5

7.4

5.3

5.7

7.5

Successful services (%)

85.2

87.5

72.2

83.9

88.1

91.2

Non-productive days per litter#

17.2

12.7

11.4

17.8

12.4

10.9

Litters per sow per year*

2.3

2.4

2.4

2.3

2.4

2.4

Alive

12.9

13.9

14.3

12.7

13.8

14.2

Dead

0.6

0.7

0.7

0.6

0.8

0.8

Mummified

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.2

0.3

Total

13.7

14.7

15.1

13.4

14.7

15.2

Pigs born per sow per year

31.8

35.1

36.7

30.2

34.4

36.0

Pre-weaning mortality (%)

13.2

11.7

12.2

12.2

10.6

9.6

Pigs weaned per litter

11.2

12.2

12.5

11.1

12.3

12.9

Pigs weaned per sow per year* Average weight of weaned pig (kg) Average weaning age (days)

26.1

29.3

30.4

25.3

28.9

30.4

6.9

6.7

6.4

7.3

7.3

7.4

24.4

24.3

23.7

27.4

27.6

28.0

1.37

1.21

1.13

1.40

1.41

1.34

53.7

41.7

37.9

49.9

48.2

35.9

Sow performance

Pigs born per litter:

Feed usage## Sow feed per sow per year (tonnes) Feed per pig weaned (kg)

*Per sow data excludes unserved gilts # Non-productive days excludes gestation, lactation and a six-day weaning to service interval ## Per sow data includes unserved gilts Data includes both indoor and outdoor herds 28 Source: AgroSoft Ltd


Marketing Chain Technical performance data Table 7.7 Comparison of results for outdoor and indoor breeding herds, 2017 Herd structure Average number sows and gilts

Outdoor herds

Indoor herds

1,011

721

Average number in-pig gilts

145

118

Average number unserved gilts

99

60

Replacement rate (%)

47.7

54.8

Sow sales and deaths (%)

50.3

55.6

Sow mortality (%)

4.3

6.3

Sow performance Successful services (%)

83.6

84.8

Non-productive days per litter#

18.45

16.91

Litters per sow per year*

2.28

2.3

Alive

12.11

13.3

Dead

0.43

0.79

Mummified

0.22

0.23

Total

12.54

14.26

Pigs born per sow per year

28.56

32.41

Pre-weaning mortality (%)

13.1

12.0

Pigs weaned per litter

10.52

11.7

Pigs weaned per sow per year*

23.97

26.8

Average weight of weaned pig (kg)

7.27

7.22

Average weaning age (days)

26.34

26.71

Sow feed per sow per year (t)

1.463

1.299

Feed per pig weaned (kg)

58.69

42.31

Sow feed cost per tonne (ÂŁ)

205.12

207.78

Pigs born per litter:

Feed usage##

Feed costs##

*Per sow data excludes unserved gilts # Non-productive days excludes gestation, lactation and a six-day weaning to service interval ## Per sow data includes unserved gilts Source: AgroSoft Ltd 29


95 47.6 41.5 1.4

Sow replacements (%)

Sow sales and deaths (%)

Sow mortality (%)

2.3

Litters per sow per year**

23.0 7.4 27.0 1.17 51.2 164.32

Pigs weaned per sow per year**

Average weight of weaned pig (kg)

Average weaning age (days)

Sow feed per sow per year (tonnes)

Feed per pig weaned (kg)

Sow feed cost per tonne (ÂŁ)

Feed costs###

Feed usage##

10.2

Pigs weaned per litter

12.6

Total 12.2

1.0

Dead***

Pre-weaning mortality (%)

11.6

Alive

Pigs born per litter:

19.9

Non-productive days per litter#

Sow performance

492

Average number unserved gilts

2010

215.23

46.1

1.06

27.0

7.5

23.4

10.4

12.8

12.9

1.1

11.9

2.3

20.8

2.9

47.9

49.2

37

586

2011

210.28

49.8

1.22

26.9

7.4

24.1

10.6

12.4

13.1

1.1

12.1

2.3

18.9

3.2

52.9

51.8

37

481

2012

212.31

50.2

1.48

26.9

7.3

24.9

10.8

12.3

13.2

0.9

12.4

2.3

16.2

5.2

55.4

53.0

85

549

2013

201.94

47.3

1.35

26.6

7.1

25.7

11.2

11.5

13.5

0.7

12.6

2.3

16.9

5.2

54.0

52.9

36

598

2014

186.15

51.2

1.35

26.4

7.2

26.0

11.3

11.5

13.7

0.7

12.8

2.3

17.4

6.2

62.3

52.4

28

592

2015

183.38

48.3

1.27

26.7

7.3

26.2

11.5

11.8

13.9

0.8

13.0

2.3

17.3

6.0

57.2

53.6

62

703

2016

n/a

50.0

1.44

27.0

7.4

28.6

12.1

10.1

14.4

0.7

13.5

2.4

12.6

5.9

58.9

55.3

59

Top third* 673

207.78

42.3

1.30

26.7

7.2

26.8

11.7

12.0

14.3

0.8

13.3

2.3

16.9

6.3

55.6

54.8

60

661

2017

n/a

41.8

1.29

26.5

7.1

29.6

12.5

11.1

5.0

0.8

14.1

2.4

12.0

6.6

59.1

61.0

89

Top third* 770

*Selected on basis of pigs weaned per sow per year **Excludes unserved gilts *** Includes mummified pigs born # Non-productive days excludes gestation, lactation and a six-day weaning to service interval ## Per sow data includes unserved gilts ### Per tonne compound feed cost from AHDB since 2014 (weighted dry and lactating) n/a = not applicable Source: AgroSoft Ltd

30

Average number sows and gilts

Herd structure

Technical performance data

Table 7.8 Comparative results for indoor breeding herds, 2010–2017


45 39.2 38.6 1.1

Sow replacements (%)

Sow sales and deaths (%)

Sow mortality (%)

2.2

Litters per sow per year**

9.3 21.0 7.0 26.0

Pigs weaned per sow per year**

Average weight of weaned pig (kg)

Average weaning age (days)

160.34

Feed per pig weaned (kg)

Sow feed cost per tonne (ÂŁ)

194.44

63.0

1.3

27.0

7.9

21.3

9.5

12.4

11.4

0.5

10.8

2.2

21.0

3.5

47.0

52.4

84

771

2011

204.31

64.3

1.4

26.5

7.7

21.7

9.6

13.0

11.6

0.5

11.0

2.3

19.9

4.0

49.1

51.3

70

676

2012

226.82

76.1

1.6

25.8

7.0

21.7

9.6

14.0

11.6

0.4

11.1

2.3

19.4

3.4

46.7

52.9

66

932

2013

196.10

72.5

1.5

26.1

7.0

21.8

9.8

14.2

11.9

0.5

11.4

2.2

21.5

3.8

48.5

51.0

55

928

2014

182.72

75.5

1.7

26.4

6.9

22.1

9.9

13.4

11.9

0.4

11.5

2.2

23.0

4.2

54.7

48.9

30

867

2015

179.98

67.9

1.6

26.5

7.3

22.8

10.1

13.8

12.1

0.5

11.7

2.3

19.7

3.8

48.6

50.0

91

959

2016

n/a

65.9

1.6

25.8

7.3

24.6

10.6

13.0

12.8

0.6

12.2

2.3

16.0

4.0

47.3

53.2

111

Top third * 870

205.12

58.7

1.5

26.3

7.3

24.0

10.5

13.1

12.5

0.4

12.1

2.3

18.5

4.3

50.3

47.7

99

912

2017

n/a

57.7

1.6

25.7

7.6

26.3

11.2

12.2

13.3

0.6

12.7

2.4

13.5

5.1

52.4

51.8

87

Top third * 860

*Selected on basis of pigs weaned per sow per year **Excludes unserved gilts ***Includes mummified pigs born # Non-productive days excludes gestation, lactation and a six-day weaning to service interval ## Per sow data includes unserved gilts ### Per tonne compound feed cost from AHDB since 2014 (weighted dry and lactating) n/a = not applicable Source: AgroSoft Ltd

Feed costs###

1.3 64.5

Sow feed per sow per year (tonnes)

Feed usage##

13.1

11.3

Total

Pigs weaned per litter

0.5

Dead***

Pre-weaning mortality (%)

10.7

Alive

Pigs born per litter:

19.2

Non-productive days per litter#

Sow performance

735

Average number unserved gilts

2010

Average number sows and gilts

Herd structure

Marketing Chain Technical performance data

Table 7.9 Comparative results for outdoor breeding herds, 2010–2017

31


Technical performance data Table 7.10 Overall rearing herd results, 2017

Average

Top third*

Top 10%*

2,406

2,132

1,356

7.4

7.5

7.2

37.5

34.3

31.9

3.8

2.9

2.6

Herd structure Average number of pigs Pig performance Average weight of pigs at start (kg) Average weight of pigs produced (kg) Rearing mortality (%) Feed conversion ratio

1.8

1.6

1.4

Daily gain (g)

516

568

558

Days in herd

60

50

44

*Selected on feed conversion ratio Source: AgroSoft Ltd

Table 7.11 Trends in performance and feed costs in the rearing herd, 2010–2017

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Herd structure Average number of pigs

Pig performance Average weight of pigs at start (kg) Average weight of pigs produced (kg) Rearing mortality (%)

3,345

1,984

2,237

2,607

2,523

2,983

2,195

2,406

7.4

7.4

7.4

7.2

7.5

7.6

7.5

7.4

34.6

36.8

35.9

31.5

37.1

36.9

36.8

37.5 3.8

2.7

2.6

2.5

4.0

2.8

2.8

3.6

Feed conversion ratio

1.8

1.7

1.8

1.8

1.7

1.9

1.7

1.8

Daily gain (g)

486

489

489

479

502

463

484

516

Feed usage and costs* Feed cost per tonne (ÂŁ) 297.11 261.95 346.89 352.17 282.15 252.56 249.25 273.01

32

*Per tonne compound feed cost from AHDB since 2014 Source: AgroSoft Ltd


516

58

Daily gain (g)

Days in herd

58

583

1.76

3.3

41.6

7.6

2,486

58

631

1.84

4.1

44.2

7.6

2,692

87

833

2.86

2.8

110.9

38.1

1,769

Average

75

944

2.59

2.2

110.0

38.9

1,757

Top Third

* Rearing; Feeding; and Combined rearing/feeding do not necessarily directly correspond Source: AgroSoft Ltd

3.8

1.77

Feed conversion ratio

37.5

Average weight of pigs produced (kg)

Mortality (%)

7.4

2,406

Average weight of pigs at start (kg)

Pig performance

Average number of pigs

Herd structure

Average

Feeding

Top Third

Top 10%

Rearing

77

991

2.64

2.0

110.6

34.7

1,278

Top 10%

146

703

2.36

4.2

109.9

7.6

3,857

Average

130

819

2.31

3.3

114.1

7.8

3,041

Top Third

125

852

2.33

3.0

114.6

7.8

3,457

Top 10%

Combined rearing/feeding*

Marketing Chain Technical performance data

Table 7.12 Overall herd results ranked on daily liveweight gain, 2017

33


Technical performance data Table 7.13 Overall finishing herd results, 2017

Average

Top third*

Top 10%*

3,857

5,053

3,852

7.6

7.6

7.3

109.9

111.6

109.0

4.2

4.1

5.6

Herd structure Average number of pigs Pig performance Average weight of pigs at start (kg) Average weight of pigs produced (kg) Rearing mortality (%) Feed conversion ratio

2.4

2.2

2.0

Daily gain (g)

703

728

649

Days in herd

149

145

159

*Selected on feed conversion ratio Source: AgroSoft Ltd

Table 7.14 Trends in performance and feed costs in the finishing herd, 2010–2017

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Herd structure Average number of pigs

1,788

Pig performance Average weight of pigs 38.0 at start (kg) Average weight of pigs 103.9 produced (kg) Rearing mortality (%) 3.0

2,066

1,764

1,660

1,733

1,828

1,554

1,769

39.8

38.4

38.9

35.0

37.2

36.3

38.1

103.0

102.7

99.4

106.1

107.9

109.8

110.9 2.8

2.9

2.5

3.1

3.2

2.7

3.0

Feed conversion ratio

3.0

2.8

2.7

2.8

2.7

2.7

2.7

2.9

Daily gain (g)

766

784

822

786

801

817

850

833

Feed usage and costs* Feed cost per tonne (ÂŁ) 177.46 261.83 241.52 248.06 231.70 205.56 198.78 220.04

34

*Per tonne compound feed cost from AHDB since 2014 Source: AgroSoft Ltd


Marketing Chain Technical performance data Table 7.15 Analysis of pigs born, weaned and re-service rate by parity, 2017

Born alive Born dead per litter per litter

Total born Weaned inc. per litter mummified

Weaned per sow per year

Parity

% of total

Gilt

24.2

12.2

0.5

12.8

11.4

2

19.8

12.7

0.5

13.2

11.5

26.5

3

16.6

13.3

0.6

14.0

11.4

26.4

4

14.0

13.3

0.7

14.1

11.1

25.7

5

11.4

13.1

0.8

14.0

10.9

25.2

6

8.1

12.8

0.8

13.7

10.6

24.3

7

2.7

12.3

0.9

13.3

10.4

23.5

8

2.0

11.8

0.8

12.8

10.1

22.7

9

0.7

11.4

0.9

12.4

10.0

22.2

10

0.3

10.9

0.8

11.9

9.7

21.6

11< 13

0.3

10.7

0.9

11.7

9.7

21.5

26.0

Source: AgroSoft Ltd

Table 7.16 Analysis of total services and returns by parity, 2017

Percentage share of dead and culled

Parity

% of total

Farrowing rate %

Re-service rate %

Farrowing index

Gilt

24.2

86.0

6.7

170.4

2

19.8

82.6

8.0

160.6

10.8

3

16.6

85.0

6.8

157.9

9.1

4

14.0

85.3

6.3

158.4

9.9

5

11.4

85.3

5.6

159.5

11.6

6

8.1

84.0

5.6

160.6

12.9

7

2.7

82.6

6.5

162.7

11.5

8

2.0

81.0

8.4

165.5

8.6

9

0.7

79.7

8.7

166.8

4.9

10

0.3

76.6

11.0

169.0

3.1

11< 13

0.3

77.7

12.0

166.3

2.4

Source: AgroSoft Ltd

12.8

35


Chapter 8 – Pig carcase classification The Meat and Livestock Commercial Services Ltd (MLSCL) Independent Authentication Service Christine Walsh, Managing Director

The information provided by MLCSL’s Pig Carcase Authentication Service is used widely as the basis for transactions between producers and slaughterers. The current service, which incorporates all of the mandatory requirements of the EU Pig Carcase Grading Scheme, was introduced in Great Britain in 2010. The service provides pig slaughterers with technically trained MLCSL staff who independently establish all of the important criteria for trade between pig suppliers and abattoirs.

Methods and Probes MLCSL offers all methods of pig carcase classification for the prediction of lean meat percentage in accordance with EU legislation. Each method involves taking carcase measurements with EU approved equipment at specified positions on each carcase.

The Service Includes

• Hennessey Grading Probe (HGP)

Identification – Carcases are individually serial numbered and the slap marks are read and recorded to identify each consignment of pigs. The Pigs (Records, Identification and Movement) Order 2003 requires all pigs going to slaughter to be identified by a Defra-allocated herdmark on both shoulders. This must be legible before and after slaughter to allow correct tracing of the pigs for both payment and biosecurity. Weighing – Carcases are individually weighed. Hot weights are recorded, with hot weight rebates and dressing coefficients deducted to establish the payment weight. Regular scale and tare checks form an integral part of the service. Mature boars and sows are not covered by the mandatory scheme, but a weighing service is available as part of the Authentication Service. Backfat measurement and lean meat percentage – MLCSL classifiers are trained to operate all of the approved classification equipment. 36

The following equipment is approved for use in the UK: • Optical Probe • Fat-O-Meater (FOM) • AutoFOM • CSB Ultra-Meater The HGP, FOM, AutoFOM and CSB UltraMeater are all automatic recording probes. Method 1 Optical Probe is used to measure backfat and rind thickness at the P1 and P3 positions, level with the head of the last rib. The probe is inserted 4.5cm and 8cm from the dorsal midline respectively. The sum of the P1 and P3 measurements is recorded. Method 2 Optical Probe is used to measure backfat and rind thickness at the P2 position, level with the head of the last rib. The probe is inserted 6.5cm from the dorsal midline.


Chain Pig carcaseMarketing classification Method 3 HGP or FOM are used to measure: ●● Backfat and rind thickness at the P2 position, as for Method 2. The HGP or FOM probes are inserted 6cm from the dorsal midline. ●●

●●

Backfat and rind thickness at a point 6cm from the dorsal midline between the third and fourth last rib. This measurement is referred to as rib fat. Longissimus dorsi (eye muscle) depth at a point 6cm from the dorsal midline between the third and fourth last rib. This measurement is referred to as rib muscle.

Figure 8.1 Locations of probing on a pig carcase

Lean Meat Percentage and EU Grade Lean meat percentage is calculated as follows: Optical probe Cold carcase weight and P2 (or P1 + P3) fat depths are used to estimate lean meat percentage. An EU grade can be allocated to a carcase by using the lean meat percentage figure.

Lean meat percentage EU grade 60% and above

S

55–59%

E

50–54%

U

45–49%

R

40–44%

O

39% or less

P

Visual Appraisal This is the identification of pigs with carcase faults. These are described as ‘Z’ carcases. Carcases that are scraggy, deformed, blemished, pigmented and coarse-skinned, those with soft fat or pale muscle and those devalued by being partially condemned are recorded as ‘Z’ on the carcase record (PCC1 or computer equivalent). Young boars are identified and recorded. Carcases with poor conformation are recorded as ‘C’ carcases at the request of the abattoir. Dressing Specification Carcase dressing specifications are closely monitored by MLCSL staff and provide a vital element of the carcase record.

37


Pig carcase classification Classification Consistency To ensure consistency of pig carcase classification standards by MLCSL staff, various procedures are strictly applied to the operation of the scheme. Extensive training programmes, both in-plant and centrally, ensure that classifiers maintain the required standards of proficiency. Classifiers are checked regularly by Divisional Managers and nominated checkers on a local basis, with the Quality Manager providing a link in Great Britain.

Each check requires the manager/checker to separately classify and record 20 carcases. The classification measurements assessed by the classifier are then checked against the manager’s measurements and an analysis of accuracy levels for the 20 carcases is made. This analysis measures both bias (the tendency of a classifier to measure higher or lower classifications than the checker) and consistency (the overall level of agreement between classifier and checker). All checks are analysed at MLCSL HQ to ensure classifiers are meeting accuracy levels.

Figure 8.2 Distribution of the GB classified sample by carcase weight % of sample 30 25 20 15 10 5 0

<60 2016

60–65 2017

Source: AHDB, MLCSL

38

65–70

70–75

75–80

80–85

Weight range (kg)

85–90

90–95

95+


Chain Pig carcaseMarketing classification Figure 8.3 Average carcase weights of the GB collected sample Weight (kg) 85 80

83.0

81.9

81.1

79.2 75.1

75 70.8

70 65 60

2000

2005

2010

2015

2016

2017

Source: AHDB, MLCSL

Figure 8.4 Distribution of the classified sample in EC grade by weight band, 2017 % of sample 100 90 80 70

All pigs other grades

60

All pigs grade U

50 40

All pigs grade E

30 20

All pigs grade S

>95

90–95

85–90

80–85

75–80

70–75

65–70

60–65

0

<60

10

Weight range (kg) Source: AHDB, MLCSL 39


Pig carcase classification Figure 8.5 Distribution of the GB-classified sample by EC grade, 2017 %

76.9

80 70 60 50 40 30

22.0

20 10 0 S

E

1.1

0.0

U

Other grades

EC grade Source: AHDB, MLCSL

Figure 8.6 Trends in P2 fat depth Fat depth (mm) 18 16 14 12 10 8 6

1990 80kg

40

1995

2000

60-80kg

Source: AHDB, MLCSL

2005

2010

<60kg

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017


Chain Chapter 9 – Livestock andMarketing meat prices Table 9.1 GB deadweight pig prices

GB SPP (EU Specification) 2015

2016

2017

2016–17

GB APP (EU Specification) 2015

2016

2017 2016–17

p/kg dw

% change

p/kg dw

% change

January

140.70 117.37 150.66

28.4

144.06 121.59 153.85

26.5

February

135.02 112.70 149.75

32.9

138.72 116.66 153.19

31.3

March

132.65 112.33 151.53

34.9

136.54 115.98 154.61

33.3

April

132.07 113.19 156.11

37.9

136.02 116.83 159.03

36.1

May

131.28 116.01 159.64

37.6

136.02 119.46 163.23

36.6

June

132.15 120.88 162.08

34.1

136.88 124.35 165.60

33.2

July

133.02 128.05 164.36

28.4

137.18 130.67 167.90

28.5

August

132.45 135.57 164.28

21.2

136.78 137.85 167.82

21.7

September 130.75 139.91 161.65

15.5

134.88 141.93 165.23

16.4

October

127.81 144.84 156.95

8.4

131.83 147.26 160.00

8.7

November

126.25 149.92 153.25

2.2

129.91 152.08 156.30

2.8

December

124.75 151.70 150.76

–0.6

128.98 154.54 154.17

–0.2

Annual price

131.67

21.4

135.64 132.07 160.13

21.2

129.12 156.72

Source: AHDB 41


Livestock and meat prices Table 9.2 GB weaner prices

30kg weaners 2015

2016

2017

7kg weaners 2016–17 2015

£ per head

% change

2017 2016–17

£ per head

% change

January

45.78

37.60

55.15

46.7

34.15

30.38

38.66

27.3

February

45.20

36.62

55.73

52.2

33.51

29.13

38.49

32.1

March

44.87

36.73

56.65

54.2

32.98

28.50

39.02

36.9

April

44.60

37.44

58.21

55.5

33.16

28.85

40.50

40.4

May

44.27

38.56

59.90

55.3

33.09

29.18

42.90

47.0

June

44.23

40.14

60.06

49.6

32.92

30.06

44.04

46.5

July

44.29

42.71

60.52

41.7

32.85

31.20

44.26

41.9

August

43.87

45.96

60.08

30.7

32.80

33.11

44.55

34.6

September

44.37

47.40

59.07

24.6

32.69

34.89

43.77

25.5

October

43.40

49.65

56.94

14.7

32.25

36.62

42.54

16.2

November

41.47

53.93

55.52

2.9

31.46

37.37

41.13

10.1

December

40.75

54.60

52.69

–3.5

30.91

38.53

40.40

4.9

Source: AHDB 42

2016


Marketing Chain Livestock and meat prices Figure 9.1 GB average producer pig prices Price (p/kg dw) 180 170 160 150 140 130 120 110 100 Jan 12 Jul 12 Jan 13 Jul 13 Jan 14 Jul 14 Jan 15 Jul 15 Jan 16 Jul 16 Jan 17 Jul 17 Jan 18 Deadweight Average Pig Price (DAPP)

Standard Pig Price (SPP)

All Pig Price (APP)

Source: AHDB

Figure 9.2 GB average weaner prices Price (ÂŁ/head) 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 Jan 12 Jul 12 Jan 13 Jul 13 Jan 14 Jul 14 Jan 15 Jul 15 Jan 16 Jul 16 Jan 17 Jul 17 Jan 18 30kg

7kg

The methodology for collecting 30kg weaner prices changed from November 2013 Figures after that date are not directly comparable with earlier months Source: AHDB

43


Livestock and meat prices Figure 9.3 Producer retail price spreads % of retail price 50 38.6

40

42.0

38.2

36.6

35.0

34.7

2015

2016

30 20 10 0

2000

2005

2010

2017

Graph shows the average percentage of the retail price received by producers Source: AHDB

Figure 9.4 UK and EU pig meat reference prices Price (p/kg dw) 180 170 160 150 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70

Jan 10

44

Jul 10

Jan 11

Jul 11

Jan 12

Source: UKEU Commission EU average

Jul 12

Jan 13

Jul 13

Jan 14

Jul 14

Jan 15

Jul 15

Jan 16

Jul 16

Jan 17

Jul 17

Jan 18


Marketing Chain Livestock and meat prices Figure 9.5 Global export prices for fresh/frozen pork Price (US$/kg dw) 3.6 3.4 3.2 3.0 2.8 2.6 2.4 2.2 2.0 Jan 13

Jul 13

Jan 14

Jul 14

Jan 15

Jul 15

Jan 16

Jul 16

Jan 17

Jul 17

Jan 18

Global export prices for fresh/frozen pork Global export price is the average price of fresh/frozen pork exported from the four major global exporters - EU, US, Canada and Brazil Source: IHS Maritime and Trade – Global Trade AtlasŽ

45


Chapter 10 – Imports and exports Table 10.1 Volume of total UK pig meat imports

Tonnes, product weight

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

Fresh/frozen meat

351,723

358,138

371,746

439,918

460,282

Bacon/ham

249,847

256,155

251,050

242,713

220,040

Sausages

105,836

109,287

122,682

123,129

134,679

Processed hams, shoulders and pieces*

134,513

138,979

140,125

149,210

157,015

Total

841,919

862,559

885,603

954,970

972,016

Live pigs (head)

339,558

212,961

820,917

577,930

507,817

*Including canned Data as at February 2018 Source: IHS Maritime & Trade – Global Trade Atlas®/HMRC

Table 10.2 Value of total UK pig meat imports

£‘000

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

Fresh/frozen meat

739,834

699,406

613,125

778,199

932,753

Bacon/ham

644,871

601,343

536,356

552,258

560,899

Sausages

344,987

352,876

360,467

395,920

465,534

Processed hams, shoulders and pieces*

464,513

489,614

446,230

495,771

568,443

2,194,205

2,143,239

1,956,178

2,222,148

2,527,629

36,726

18,426

77,460

56,466

61,104

Total

Live pigs (head)

46

*Including canned Data as at February 2018 Source: IHS Maritime and Trade – Global Trade Atlas®/HMRC


Marketing Chain Imports and exports Table 10.3 UK fresh/frozen pork imports by source

Tonnes, product weight

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

351,723

358,138

371,746

439,918

460,282

Denmark

88,835

89,680

97,858

169,668

169,996

Germany

77,651

74,579

67,706

68,488

80,180

Netherlands

56,347

55,774

55,953

49,505

53,655

Spain

24,413

27,089

33,532

37,726

40,198

Ireland

31,864

31,963

32,528

32,478

38,920

Belgium

32,098

35,502

36,673

33,775

31,831

France

30,079

31,879

27,280

25,158

21,526

Poland

2,193

4,493

11,292

14,297

13,391

Italy

3,627

2,567

3,390

2,606

4,220

Portugal

1,548

2,771

2,688

2,673

2,475

3

4

65

535

1,558

946

856

909

954

935

Total

Austria United States

Data as at February 2018 Source: IHS Maritime and Trade – Global Trade Atlas®/HMRC

Table 10.4 UK bacon imports by source

Tonnes, product weight

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

249,847

256,155

251,050

242,713

220,040

Denmark

92,790

88,093

88,613

92,429

103,161

Netherlands

103,680

115,150

95,327

92,472

58,198

Germany

34,126

35,640

47,238

37,665

37,765

Total

Data as at February 2018 Source: IHS Maritime and Trade – Global Trade Atlas®/HMRC

47


Imports and exports Table 10.5 Volume of total UK pig meat exports

Tonnes, product weight

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

Fresh/frozen meat

180,749

181,713

187,080

206,098

215,999

Bacon/ham

13,549

13,909

15,921

16,419

19,299

Sausages

10,866

10,612

9,371

6,265

6,338

Processed hams, shoulders and pieces*

12,024

13,802

13,141

12,708

11,498

Pig offal

41,648

45,084

58,929

77,031

81,476

Total

258,836

265,120

284,442

318,521

334,610

2,079

1,295

126

589

2,277

Live pigs (head)

*Including canned Data as at February 2018 Source: IHS Maritime and Trade – Global Trade Atlas®/HMRC

Table 10.6 Value of total UK pig meat exports

£‘000

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

Fresh/frozen meat

218,136

209,178

197,405

252,278

293,484

Bacon/ham

39,139

38,256

38,132

41,332

53,599

Sausages

17,204

18,269

16,158

15,350

18,241

Processed hams, shoulders and pieces*

29,002

34,241

31,117

25,328

25,399

Pig offal

26,091

35,048

38,464

64,365

79,717

Total

329,572

334,992

321,276

398,653

470,440

1,631

1,481

82

352

67

Live pigs (head)

48

*Including canned Data as at February 2018 Source: IHS Maritime and Trade – Global Trade Atlas®/HMRC


Marketing Chain Imports and exports Table 10.7 Volume of UK fresh/frozen pork exports by destination

Tonnes, product weight

2013

2014

2015

2016

180,749

181,713

187,080

206,098

215,999

127,624

127,490

130,122

131,180

139,001

Germany

30,940

30,977

31,820

32,632

32,695

Ireland

29,110

27,950

31,032

33,587

31,037

Denmark

20,397

23,702

23,604

22,130

30,004

Netherlands

21,467

19,648

18,083

17,486

16,357

Sweden

7,660

7,342

10,025

9,605

9,114

Belgium

5,931

7,213

5,747

5,672

7,481

China

25,006

24,669

27,250

40,016

40,354

Hong Kong

15,842

14,634

11,123

10,837

11,862

United States

3,112

3,267

5,998

8,177

7,711

Total EU-28

2017

Data as at February 2018 Source: IHS Maritime and Trade – Global Trade Atlas®/HMRC

Table 10.8 Value of UK fresh/frozen pork exports by destination

£‘000

2013

2014

2015

2016

218,136

209,178

197,405

252,278

293,484

166,454

157,366

138,118

160,174

196,034

Ireland

61,606

65,509

60,875

71,856

83,635

Germany

41,394

35,872

27,112

32,197

38,260

Denmark

22,274

24,864

22,378

25,000

33,898

Netherlands

19,180

16,319

9,512

10,386

11,405

Belgium

4,455

4,219

2,846

3,443

6,893

Sweden

3,551

2,529

4,259

4,815

6,648

China

20,441

19,619

25,027

43,344

43,115

United States

10,932

10,289

17,699

23,047

23,668

Hong Kong

13,457

11,980

7,632

10,248

12,706

Total EU-28

Data as at February 2018 Source: IHS Maritime and Trade – Global Trade Atlas®/HMRC

2017

49


50

The above map shows the countriesto which the UK exported fresh/frozen pork in 2017, according to IHS Maritime and Trade Global Trade AtlasÂŽ/HM Revenue and Customs The website below provides guidance on exporting, including a list of available Export Health Certificates (EHC) www.ukecp.com Data as at February 2018 Source: IHS Maritime and Trade - Global Trade AtlasÂŽ/HMRC

Imports and exports

Figure 10.1 Map of UK fresh/frozen pork exports by destination


Marketing Chain Imports and exports Table 10.9 Volume of UK pig offal exports by destination

Tonnes, product weight

2013

2014

2015

2016

41,648

45,084

58,929

77,031

81,476

22,375

11,130

13,294

15,951

18,507

Netherlands

7,103

5,097

6,233

8,335

7,698

Denmark

1,824

2,360

3,398

3,331

5,196

Ireland

3,951

2,644

1,891

2,216

2,365

Germany

3,610

399

312

519

1,041

China

7,263

17,202

27,287

36,071

32,330

Hong Kong

8,335

11,980

10,957

15,198

17,089

Philippines

652

1,288

2,005

4,239

6,525

Cote d'Ivoire

317

401

1,093

883

1,998

Japan

700

825

709

702

1,226

Total EU-28

2017

Data as at February 2018 Source: IHS Maritime and Trade – Global Trade Atlas®/HMRC

Table 10.10 Value of UK pig offal exports by destination

£‘000 Total EU-28

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

26,091

35,048

38,464

64,365

79,717

10,111

5,502

5,213

6,958

12,177

Netherlands

2,825

1,598

1,350

3,046

4,935

Denmark

1,309

1,066

1,245

1,306

2,948

Ireland

2,607

2,186

1,737

1,477

1,841

Germany

1,617

121

100

30

1,025

Hong Kong

8,104

14,612

11,157

18,497

28,290

China

5,555

11,654

17,937

31,385

25,948

462

981

1,073

3,121

5,985

9

-

10

-

1,097

254

360

204

301

1,096

Philippines United States Japan

Data as at February 2018 Source: IHS Maritime and Trade – Global Trade Atlas®/HMRC

51


Imports and exports Table 10.11 EU fresh/frozen pig meat exports to non-EU countries

‘000 tonnes, product weight

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

30.1

43.5

24.9

10.5

14.8

1,448.1

1,360.0

1,523.4

2,139.0

1,947.4

31.6

32.1

33

34.4

38.6

1,005.5

1,081.8

1,177.7

1,393.6

1,308.6

Sausages

131.3

121.4

110.5

95.2

100.8

Prepared and preserved

80.4

71.7

65.6

66.3

65.9

Pig fat

10.2

14.5

13.1

13.8

14.6

Lard

359.4

211.5

214

249.7

201.7

Total

3,096.6

2,936.5

3,162.2

4,002.5

3,692.4

Live animals Fresh and frozen pork Salted, dried, smoked pig meat Pig offal

Source: European Commission

52


Marketing Chain Imports and exports Table 10.12 EU fresh/frozen pork exports by destination

Tonnes, product weight

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

1,603,400

1,562,951

1,741,393

2,307,651

2,093,774

China

304,431

290,953

531,362

986,265

711,515

Japan

233,689

317,373

292,736

318,340

331,425

South Korea

99,166

194,935

188,924

219,787

221,015

Hong Kong

116,613

140,995

97,811

138,379

147,979

United States

41,671

66,347

71,663

82,357

107,291

Philippines

40,310

79,884

74,753

89,817

106,110

Australia

44,222

73,256

83,704

81,556

68,687

Taiwan

2,887

26,111

40,668

40,239

50,049

Serbia

10,510

19,472

20,383

22,126

26,906

Cote d'Ivoire

17,391

15,917

20,557

20,381

26,542

New Zealand

12,502

19,520

25,574

30,153

26,110

Singapore

17,738

27,319

27,672

25,725

25,726

South Africa

17,056

17,129

24,314

21,919

23,105

Canada

7,243

11,858

13,470

18,609

22,651

Total

Totals are higher than those of the EU Commission reported in Table 10.11 as the latter exclude meat from non-domestic swine Data as at February 2018 Source: IHS Maritime and Trade – Global Trade AtlasŽ/HMRC

53


Imports and exports Table 10.13 EU pig offal exports by destination

Tonnes, product weight

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

1,003,841

1,083,962

1,176,103

1,391,267

1,307,223

China

399,667

470,984

614,501

823,277

693,770

Hong Kong

288,165

281,451

203,517

237,814

239,134

Philippines

42,589

81,953

78,084

85,613

91,648

South Korea

13,600

31,857

37,049

29,806

42,060

Japan

8,880

12,234

17,790

25,698

36,055

Total

Vietnam

2,315

9,859

25,181

34,782

29,060

Thailand

16,770

26,961

27,594

27,829

26,217

Cote d'Ivoire

20,772

26,514

32,009

20,676

23,266

Ukraine

19,708

22,424

28,313

22,556

22,524

Totals are slightly different from those of the EU Commission possibly because of a different approach to amendments Data as at February 2018 Source: IHS Maritime and Trade – Global Trade AtlasŽ/HMRC

What does this mean for the industry? Helping our levy payers make sense of the issues as they evolve. Helping key stakeholders and Government to seek the best possible deal for our industries outside the EU.

54

www.ahdb.org.uk/brexit


Marketing Chain Chapter 11 – Consumption Table 11.1 UK per capita consumption of major meats

kg/person/year

Pig meat

Poultry meat

Beef & veal

Total meat

2000

23.6

30.5

18.5

79.2

2006

24.9

31.2

20.9

83.2

2005

24.7

2007

25.7

2008

24.5

2009

24.3

2010

24.1

2011

24.6

2012

24.6

2013

23.9

2014

24.4

2015

25.1

2016

26.1

2017

25.9

31.8 30.0 29.5 29.9 31.8 32.7 32.8 32.8 33.0 36.1 37.7 36.3

20.7 20.9 20.0 18.2 18.6 18.1 18.0 17.3 17.8 18.2 18.2 18.2

83.4 82.8 80.0 77.9 79.4 80.0 79.7 78.6 79.8 84.3 86.8 84.9

Per capita consumption is a calculation based upon total supplies available for consumption, ie production + imports – exports divided by the mid-year population estimate All data is carcase weight equivalent Source: AHDB. Calculations based on data from Defra, HMRC, Office for National Statistics

Table 11.2 GB retail value sales by type of outlet

Multiples

Freezer centres

Butchers

Other

2015

86.8

2.7

8.0

2.5

2016

85.7

3.1

8.3

2.9

8.4

3.4

89.9

5.5

3.5

1.1

90.1

5.1

3.3

1.5

90.7

4.8

3.0

1.5

% Pork

2017

85.1

3.1

Bacon

2015 2016 2017

Data covers 52 weeks ending in late December the same year/ early January the next year Source: Kantar Worldpanel

55


Consumption Figure 11.1 GB retailer shares of pork market by value, 2017 30 24.2

20

8.5

7.3

Lidl

Aldi

Morrisons

Sainsbury's

Asda

0

Tesco

5

5.3

3.3

2.5

2.2

1.9

05 Nov

03 Dec

Other

8.1

Total butchers

10.7

Marks & Spencer

10

The Co-Operative

12.9

Iceland

13.1

15

Waitrose

% share of value

25

Data cover 52 weeks ending 31 December 2017 Source: Kantar Worldpanel

Figure 11.2 Trends in GB household pork purchases by volume Volume ('000 tonnes) 180 175 170 165 160 155 150

29 Jan

2015

56

26 Feb 2016

28 Mar

24 Apr 2017

21 May

18 Jun

16 Jul

13 Aug

10 Sep

08 Oct

52 weeks ending

Source: Kantar Worldpanel

31 Dec


Marketing Chain Consumption Figure 11.3 Change in GB retail volume and value sales of pig meat products, 2017 Year on year % change 10 5 0

4.0

0.0

3.0

5.0

-5

5.0

2.0 2.0

2.0 3.0

3.0 2.0

2.0

Bacon

Gammon

Sliced Cooked Ham

Sliced Cooked Pork

-3.0

-10 -15

-11.0 -13.0

-15.0

-20 -25 -30

7.0

-25.0 Fresh Pork

Volume

Frozen Pork

Fresh Frozen Loose Pork Pork Pork Sausages Sausages Sausages

Value

Data covers 52 weeks ending in late December the same year/early January the next year Source: Kantar Worldpanel

Figure 11.4 GB volume sales of pig meat by product, 2017 Volume ('000 tonnes) 220 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0

214.7

159.3 128.0

119.9

57.6 32.3 10.7

5.0 Fresh Pork

Frozen Pork

Fresh Frozen Loose Pork Pork Pork Sausages Sausages Sausages

3.8 Bacon Gammon Sliced Sliced Cooked Cooked Ham Pork

Data covers 52 weeks ending 31 December 2017 Source: Kantar Worldpanel 57


Consumption Figure 11.5 Average GB retail price of pig meat products, 2017 Price per kg (ÂŁ) 14 11.5

12 10

8.5

8 6 4

6.1

4.7

Fresh Pork

Frozen Pork

5.0

2.6

2 0

5.6

4.3

3.9

Fresh Frozen Loose Pork Pork Pork Sausages Sausages Sausages

Bacon

Gammon

Sliced Cooked Ham

Sliced Cooked Pork

Data cover 52 weeks ending 31 December 2017 Source: Kantar Worldpanel

Figure 11.6 Share of pig meat products sold on promotion in GB retail outlets % of total volume 70 60 50 40 30

47.3

40.4

37.1

38.8

38.4 31.6

30.9

27.6

43.2

35.7 34.9

40.0 39.3 26.6 29.7

25.3

20 10 0

2.5 2.9 Fresh Pork

Frozen Pork

52 w/e 03 Jan 17

Fresh Frozen Loose Pork Pork Pork Sausages Sausages Sausages 52 w/e 31 Dec 17

Source: Kantar Worldpanel

58

Bacon

Gammon

Sliced Cooked Ham

Sliced Cooked Pork


Consumption Figure 11.7 Per capita consumption of pig meat in selected EU Member States, 2017 Consumption (kg/head) 70.0 60.0

59.0

53.3

52.2

52.1

50.0

42.0

40.0

41.2

38.9

36.6

32.5

30.0

24.6

20.0 10.0

United Kingdom

France

Italy

Belgium

EU

Netherlands

Poland

Austria

Germany

Spain

0.0

Source: AHDB calculations using data from Eurostat and IHS Maritime & Trade – Global Trade AtlasŽ

59


Consumption Figure 11.8 Percentage of product facings with British logo sold in the total GB market % 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0

85 81 84 83 84

81 82 78 79 79 66 65 63 63 65 49 46 48 49 43

Pork

Bacon Jan 16

July 16

Ham Jan 17

July 17

Sausage Jan 18

Source: AHDB, ESA

Figure 11.9 Percentage of product facings with Red Tractor quality standard mark sold in the total GB market % 70 60 50

56 56

53 54 52

47

50 51 52

40 30

23 23 23 23 23

20

12 14 14 11 10

10 0

Pork

Bacon Jan 16

Source: AHDB, ESA

60

July 16

Ham Jan 17

July 17

Sausage Jan 18

47


Marketing Chain

61


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