1.2 ForecastingApproaches
Thereweretwodifferentmethodologiesusedforpopulationprojects.Choice1waschosenbecauseitisalignedwiththetrendsinbothcurrentandfuturegrowth.Changein RMCboundaryin2021(161.86sq.km)boughtahugedifferenceinRUDA'sCAGR.Foreverytwodecades,anaverageof50Sq.kmareasisbeenaddedtoRMCfromRUDA.A consistentgrowthwasseenoverprojections.Studyareashowedaconsistentgrowthoverprojections.DP2031proposalswillalsohelptohavearapiddevelopmentofRUDA.
Graph1.2: ProjectedPopulationforHorizonYear 2041(Choice1,2020MUTSbatch,data)
40
35
30
25
20
15
45 Population (in lakhs) Population GrowthCAGR Density (PPH)
10
5
15
21
19
30
41 13
38 2 1 2 3 0
M2022 Pre FeasibilityOfMassRapidTransitSystemslStudiolRajkot,Gujarat. 2011 2022 2031 2041
StudyArea(RMC+RUDA) 15,35,112 20,53,754 29,57,406 41,04,433 RMC 1286995 19,35,612 27,29,213 38,20,898 SurroundingVillagesofRUDA 2,48,117 1,18,142 2,28,193 2,83,535
27
123 120 169 236
Graph1.2: ProjectedPopulationforHorizonYear 2041(Choice2,Electoraldata) • 3%ofapopulationgainintheagegroup<18(Dropin18+)from2014to2017
Population (In Lakh) Population 18+ (In Lakh) Less than 18 2014 15,51,000 1057069 4,93,931 2017 17,10,000 1119294 5,90,706 Source: eci.gov.in
Overall
• ItseemsFertilityRateisbeingbalancedinRajkot.
Understanding fertility rate through Electoral Population year Introducing Rajkot 2022 2031 2041 2011
02
RMC+ RUDA RMC 22 30 43 60 2.7% 3.4% 3.0%
Administrative Zone 1981 1991 2001 2011 2021 (Estimate d ) 2031 (Projected ) 2041 (Projected ) RMC+ RUDA Population 510725 615406 1094315 1535112 1922460 2499198 3248957 CAGR 1.88% 5.92% 3.44% 2.28% 2.66% 2.66% Area (Sq km) 552 552 587.85 686.31 686.31 686.31 686.31 Change in Area (%) 0.0 6.5 16.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 Population Density(pph) 11.15 18.62 22.37 28.01 36.41 47.34 Population Est (21) 19.22 Lakh Population Projection (41) 32.48 Lakh • Constant CAGR of 3% was observed • Gradual decrease in the
• Population exactly got replaced itself from one generation to the next. Thus, leadingtozeropopulationgrowth. Population Est (21) 20.5 Lakh Population Projection (41) 41 Lakh
CAGR
M2022 Pre FeasibilityOfMassRapidTransitSystemslStudiolRajkot,Gujarat.
3.1UniversalDesignPrincipals
3.2StationHardwareSystem
3.3StationCapacity
A.Surveillancedevices
This includes information like timetables, tariff information, route maps, and maps of the surrounding area at stations andstops.
B.
Electronic schedule board in the BRT station informs passengers about the next departures
*For corridor ANR (Automatic number plate recognition) cameras were used for identifying unauthorisedvehicles.
It will allow control central to continually monitor and assess the onboard and offboardsituationtodetermineappropriatehelp bytransitsecurity.
• Evacuationroutes,greaterthan1500mm wide,toensureawheelchairuserandan able-bodiedpersonareabletopasseach otheralongtheroute.
• signages installed frequently along the evacuationroute
• Emergency Lighting Units, for visually impaired
.
• Brailleengravingonthehandrailofexits
04 RecommendedDesignTemplate
Coordinatedtimetables andreal-timeinformation system
M
2022
Pre FeasibilityOfMassRapidTransitSystemslStudiolRajkot,Gujarat.
Design approach on
encouraged to go beyond accessibility, intelligent and innovative design strategies were used to develop flexible,usableandintuitivespaces
everyone.
Use Size and Space for Approach and Use Pedestrian centered infrastructure design MainTargetGroups 1. Peoplewithimpairedmobility 2. Peoplewithvisualimpairment Bollard MajorDesignElements TactilePaving CurbRamp& SlopeRamp
Integratedpassenger informationsystem C.FlapBarrier D.AutomaticBoarding GatesandDocking System
operation shall
RFIDtechnology
Universal
Rajkot streets
for
Equitable
A.
Exchangeinformationbasedon theoperationalrequirements ofthesystem.
be achieved throughuseof
Total number of cameras
2
Type
BRTS Station
Corridor 2 Bus-Mounted 2
strategies C.Stationpeakhourcapacity 280sq.m StationArea (2x2dockingbays) 338sq.m StationArea (3x3dockingbays) 2000per/hr 1000per/hr Ahmedabad
RecommendedDesignTemplate Source:IRC,2017 Source:BRTSControlCentre,Ahmedabad Ahmedabad Ahmedabad ImageSource:Secondarysource,google
B. Evacuation
3.
3.4Stations
• Ramp:Accessibletoall,withtactilepaverblocks(slope1:15)
• Bus docking positioned in either direction of the station will help in easy circulationofpeopleinsidethestation
• Turnstilesorflap gateswerebeprovidedforoff boardfarecollection
Image: Proposeddedicated&Prioritystationsfordifferentpotentialcorridors
Dedicated &ElevatedCorridor:Stationplans
Unitsinmeters
338sq.m StationArea (3x3dockingbays)
Kerb side Median
Two structures on one road Single station structure for one road
Higher construction costs Lower construction costs
Higher operation and maintenance cost Lower operation and maintenance cost
Commuters have to move out of one station and cross the carriageway for a transfer
Transfers are easy for either directions
Normal buses with left hand side (LHS) doors can be used Special buses with right hand side (RHS) doors have to be used
Delhi, Pune, Vijayawada, Guangzhou, Curitiba Bogota, Ahmedabad, Surat, Istanbul, Pereira
Table: Comparisonofbusstationonamedianside&kerbside
Median
Dedicated &ElevatedCorridor
280sq.m StationArea (2x2dockingbays)
“ThemediantypebusstationisadvisedfortheRajkot BRTduetoitsexistingBRTstationswerealsoonmedian &ithasconvenienttransferoptions,commutersafety, andlowerinitial,ongoing,andmaintenancecosts.”
KeyRecommendation
140sq.m StationArea (2x2dockingbays)
• TheriskisespeciallyhighatBRTstations,aspeople frequentlyattempttocutacrossbuslanestoenter ordepartthestation,eithertoavoidpayingthefee orjusttosavetime.
• Theproposedlayoutsenablebetterstationaccess designaswellasbetterspaceorganisationto accommodatepedestrianmid blockcrossings.This approachhasthepotentialtosignificantlyimprove busroutesafety.
BusPriority:StationPlan
108sq.m StationArea (1x1dockingbays)
Source:IRC,2017
Kerb BusPriority
“Thekerbsidetypebusstationisadvisedforthe Rajkot’sBusPriorityduetoitsconstraints,suchas existingflyovers,lesserROW&heavyfreight movement.”
05
M2022 Pre FeasibilityOfMassRapidTransitSystemslStudiolRajkot,Gujarat.
RecommendedDesignTemplate
3.5DedicatedCorridorAtJunction&MidBlock
PlanviewofBRTCorridorwithpassinglanes(33&24mstreet)
UsedforIntraandInter UrbanAreas TransitReadyStreets(TRS)
80mAwayfromthejunction StationArea
Elevatedpedestriancrossing pavinglevel+100mm
Raisedcrosswalksatstationarea
Gradient1:8
Restricted20mbeforeand afterJunction Parking
Jamnagar & Bhavnagar Road
Elevatedpedestriancrossing Pavinglevel+100mm
12m&8m TransitZone 3.3m Footpath
BRT Station Station Ramp (1:15)
Ramp to reduce speeds; mixed traffic (1:8)
Bollards at 1m interval
Raised crosswalk
Landscape on either sides of the station
Footpath (100 mm above carriageway)
Vehicle Parking Zone
M2022 Pre FeasibilityOfMassRapidTransitSystemslStudiolRajkot,Gujarat. 06
RecommendedDesignTemplate
Unitsinmeters
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
SegregatedCorridorAtJunction&MidBlock
viewofBRTCorridor(Dedicated&PriorityLane)withpassinglanes(44&60mstreet) UsedforIntraandInter UrbanAreas TransitReadyStreets(TRS) M2022 Pre FeasibilityOfMassRapidTransitSystemslStudiolRajkot,Gujarat. 07 Raisedcrosswalksatstationarea Gradient1:8 Elevatedpedestriancrossing Pavinglevel+100mm AtJunction AtMidBlock Elevatedpedestriancrossing pavinglevel+100mm 8m&6m TransitZone 2m Footpath Notallowed20mbefore andafteranyJunction Parking 50mAwayfromthejunction StationArea
3.6
Plan
Safety Elements
Pedestrian Crossing
Traffic calming measures
Yuraj Nagar
•
•
Speed Breakers
Central Median
Railings
•
Bollards
Street furniture & lights Street Elements
Footpath
Bus Stops
•
•
BRTS Lanes
Mixed Vehicle Lane
Shoulder
Parking RecommendedDesignTemplate
•
Stationisatamaximumpedestrian crossingdistancefrommajor
thestationusers
Intersection, whichdoesn’taffect
Aswerestrictedthetrafficfromthecross streets,it’llnotallowvehiclestocrossthe prioritycorridor
Recommendation Unitsinmeters
Key
M
2022 Pre FeasibilityOfMassRapidTransitSystemslStudiolRajkot,Gujarat.
3.7DedicatedCorridorCrossSections
3.8SegregatedCorridorCrossSections
RecommendedDesignTemplate
TheconceptfordevelopingtheroadsectionsistoshowourintendtodemonstratehowallthemajoraspectsofaBRTmaybeaccommodatedwithoutrequiringmoreroad width;andwithoutremovingorloweringthewidthofotherroadfeaturessuchastrafficlanes,parking,orfootpath.
33mArterialRoad
UsedforInter UrbanAreas
Jamnagar & Bhavnagar Road
24m
ArterialRoad
UsedforInter UrbanAreas
TransitReadyStreets(TRS)
60mArterialRoad
UsedforIntra& Inter UrbanAreas TransitReadyStreets(TRS)
Existing Station Area
Non Station Area
Raiya Road
Non StationArea (WithPassingLane) Footpath
Footpath
Frontage Zone (0.5m) Pedestrian Zone (1.8m) Furniture Zone (1m)
Yuraj Nagar Yuraj Nagar
2m Footpath
Pedestrian Zone (2m)
44mArterialRoad
UsedforIntra&Inter UrbanAreas TransitReadyStreets(TRS)
TransitReadyStreets(TRS) 08
StationArea (WithPassingLane) 12m&8m TransitZone 3.3m Footpath
Existing LeftSideStationArea Existing LeftSideStationArea 6m Transit Zone
Unitsinmeters
3.9Elevated:OnlyBRTFlyover
Designapproachmadeinsuchaway;lesserinfra&roadspacerequired.TrafficcongestionwillbereducedfortheDhebarroadpassengersandwillbeabletoeasilyreach theirrespectivedestinationsusingtheonlyBRTflyover.
11m
Plan:ElevatedBRTSstation 25m
Elevated BRTS corridor Staircase Stationspace Ticketcounter Lift 3m Busway Busway 8m 18m 25M 85m 135mstationinfluencelength
Carriageway Carriageway
Median 18m
Footpath 1.8mwide
Source:TimesofIndia,2019
4m IPTstand Parking Flyoverpier 2mdia. Tabletop crossing Lift
Carriageway
Plan:StreetbelowBRTSstation
Carriageway Staircase
ROWrequired11Msufficient fortransitzone
Infrastructurereq.for1 stationonly
Lesserspacerequiredat groundlevel,onlyatmedian
2m 7.5m
11M 5.5m
Source:ConceptualIdea,Aviral Station 3mx85m
Busway
3.7m Pier 2mdia.
Source:Section,Aviral
09
M2022 Pre FeasibilityOfMassRapidTransitSystemslStudiolRajkot,Gujarat.
RecommendedDesignTemplate
Unitsinmeters MixedTrafficLane MixedTrafficLane IPTStandunderthe flyover Footpath Footpath
10
2022 Pre FeasibilityOfMassRapidTransitSystemslStudiolRajkot,Gujarat.
Proposedstandardbuswithitsrequirements 3.10vehicle 3.11Depots Image:Twooutoffiveproposeddepotlayouts 12mx2.55m Busdimensions 900mm Floorheight Electrical FuelType Source:Literature;Arshil,Rohit 80 BusCapacity 40sitting+3wheelchair+37standing BothSides LocationofDoor 125kw BatterySize 8Ha Area 300buses Parking 98buses Charging 400 BusCapacity 1.6Ha Area 80buses Parking 28buses Charging 110 BusCapacity
bus
fuel
buses. 1.5hr
90%) Opportunity
2
hr
Depotspace
RecommendedDesignTemplate
M
Image:
BRT
depotandworkshop,wellequippedwithfacilitieslike
station,vehicleinspection,maintenanceandparking,allowsregular maintenanceandupkeepofthe
(from55%to
Charging
-2.5
(from25%to100%) OvernightCharging
hierarchy,charginginfrastructure,operationalstaffbusratiobeencalculatedbasedonthecasestudiesdoneat Naranpura&Vastral,Ahmedabad.
Keylearningsfromthestudio
• As the project covers higher levels of complexity, I learnt that group dynamics is a crucial component in the process of making a prefeasibilityanalysis.
• These proposal have undergone different topics of research such as route rationalization, corridor selection, station, depot, terminal, dedicated & segregated corridor planning & design. Evidently these learnings considerably enhanced and aided me in comprehending the on groundramificationsofpublictransportationinitiativesandhowsuch proposalswouldinfluencethecity.
Akhil Vardhan Borra
Pre-Feasibility Of Mass Rapid Transit Systems l 2041 l CEPT University