Geotech_Earlug_2015_VTEM_Colour3.pdf 1 2015-09-25 9:59:47 AM
VTEM™ ZTEM™ Gravity Magnetics Radiometrics Data Processing Interpretation 905 841 5004 | geotech.ca
TURQUOISE HILL RESOURCES Lands $4.4B to go underground at Oyu Tolgoi / 3
Short Road to Silver Production/Earning TSX.V: GRG www.goldenarrowresources.com
COMMENTARY
Reviving exploration in Manitoba / 4
NGEX RESOURCES
Grows resource at Filo del Sol / 16
DECEMBER 28, 2015-JANUARY 3, 2016 / VOL. 101 ISSUE 46 / GLOBAL MINING NEWS · SINCE 1915 / $3.99 / WWW.NORTHERNMINER.COM
Klondex buys Rice Lake complex for US$32M
A sobering look at gold M&A since 2010
BANKRUPTCY SALE
FALLOUT
| Phil Russo finds 40% of past deals aren’t viable today
| Miner buys former San Gold asset at a deep discount
BY SALMA TARIKH
R
starikh@northernminer.com
aymond James analyst Phil Russo has reviewed 67 mergers and acquisitions (M&A) in the gold space since 2010 to determine how many are viable producing, developing and streaming deals. He has found that 40% of transactions would not recoup their total costs, based on current reserves and resources at today’s gold prices. In an emailed response to The Northern Miner, Russo concedes that he expected the negative outcome, given the number of bad deals, but not the magnitude of the loss, or the pricing environment those transactions need to become “better or break-even deals.” He says that “the gold space needs higher prices to rationalize deals, or there needs to be incremental reserve and resource growth shown post-transaction.” Despite the metrics used to gauge the economics of a deal, Russo argues that a transaction is a success if it covers its total cost. This includes upfront acquisition costs and any initial development capital required before producing cash f lows. To assess a deal’s total cost, he used two metrics — payback period and internal rate of return (IRR). “We observe in the industry the rationale for M&A being driven by net asset value, production, cash flow, reserve, diversification ... but rarely do we hear executives discuss the recoupment of all capital — that is total cost. We’d like to see more discussion on that principle, which is where the real benefits flow to shareholders.” Using a US$1,150 per oz. gold price, the analyst calculated the payback and IRR for each deal’s total cost. He also projected the commodity price needed for each deal to break even, and the metal price needed to produce a 10% IRR on total costs. Of the 67 transactions assessed, an estimated 27 cannot repay their total costs in today’s commodity price See GOLD DEALS / 13
San Gold opened the now-suspended Rice Lake gold mine nearly a decade ago. It sits 250 km northeast of Winnipeg, Manitoba. SAN GOLD
“WHEN YOU CONSIDER A $32-MILLION PRICE TAG … THIS THING IS A NO-BRAINER.”
BY SALMA TARIKH starikh@northernminer.com
K
londex Mines (TSX: KDX; NYSE-MKT: KLDX) is buying the idled Rice Lake gold mine and mill near Bissett, Man., to complement its flagship operations in Nevada. The Rice Lake complex was formerly San Gold’s core asset, but declining gold prices, rising costs and unmanageable debt sent the junior producer into creditor protection in December 2014. Six months later, it sold the assets to a Manitoba numbered company as part of its court-supervised bankruptcy. Under the proposed acquisition, Klondex will pay US$32 million. The purchase price includes US$20 million in cash and a US$12-million deferred debt payment that it will repay in three installments of US$4 million a year, at a 4% annual interest rate. “We are happy of the fact that we have no dilution to our share-
PM40069240
PAUL HUET PRESIDENT AND CEO, KLONDEX MINES
holders. We are able to pay cash for this asset,” Paul Huet, the company’s president and CEO, said on a conference call. The fully permitted Rice Lake complex includes a functional 2,500-ton-per-day (2,268-tonneper-day) mill, valued at US$80 million to US$100 million. It also comes with 220 pieces of mobile equipment valued at up to US$20 million. Klondex intends to use some of this equipment at its underground Fire Creek and Midas gold-silver mines in Nevada. Since 2007, San Gold spent $375 million on the Rice Lake mine and mill, including underground development. Between 2007 and 2015,
the operation produced 390,000 oz. gold, Klondex said in a related presentation. Rice Lake has a historical reserve estimate of 455,000 oz. gold (2.4 million tonnes grading 5.9 grams gold per tonne), plus measured and indicated resources of 634,000 oz. (2.9 million tonnes grading 6.8 grams gold). Its reserve and resource base is similar in size to Klondex’s combined Nevada operations. Given the large amount of capital previously invested at Rice Lake, Klondex will not need to spend a lot to get the operation up and See RICE LAKE / 2
OBAN MINING: EXTENDING ACQUISITION STREAK INTO 2016 / 14
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