businessday market monitor
Biggest Gainer Seplat N598
Foreign Exchange
Biggest Loser
NB 10.00 pc N59.75 26,842.07
FMDQ Close
Everdon Bureau De Change
Bitcoin
NSE
-1.26pc
Foreign Reserve - $38.619bn Cross Rates GBP-$:1.33 YUANY - 52.06 Commodities Cocoa US$2,532.00
Gold $1,521.90
news you can trust I ** wednesDAY 01 january 2020 I vol. 19, no 468
₦2,602,910.85 -0.69
N300
Sell
$-N 358.00 362.00 £-N 468.00 481.00 €-N 390.00 400.00
Crude Oil $66.52
I
Buy
g
www.
Market
Spot ($/N)
I&E FX Window CBN Official Rate
364.51 307.00
Currency Futures
NGUS mar 25 2020 364.46
($/N)
A
fter an underwhelming 2019 for the Nigerian economy, focus should rightly turn to expectations for the new year. The biggest economic risks facing Nigeria in 2020 have been the same since 2015 and they include weak economic growth, increasing poverty levels and foreign direct investor apathy. There’s a way out for Nigeria and it is implementing economic reforms that can spur investment, boost growth and create jobs. In 2020, much will depend on six things if the economy is to look nothing like it did in 2019. First is whether private capital will remain ironically shut out of Nigeria – whether the government will retain full ownership of redundant assets that can be transformed with an influx of private capital and expertise. This could have the single biggest impact on economic growth in the new year, seeing that the main driver of growth in 2019 and perhaps each year in the last decade – the oil sector – could run into troubles of its own in 2020. The Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries’ oil production cap imposition on Nigeria, alongside the dearth of new investment in the space, could mute
significant growth in the sector. Threats from the rising adoption of electric vehicles to the waning influence of OPEC are also long-term challenges facing the oil sector.
The non-oil sector has flashed signs of promise but hasn’t been able to wrest the oil sector’s stranglehold on the economy. The need to open up new sectors to private capital as a way
3M 0.00 5.17
6M
5Y
-0.88 4.12
0.00
10 Y 0.04
30 Y 0.01
10.30
11.66
12.89
NGUS jun 24 2020 365.37
of boosting economic growth is hardly new counsel in Nigeria but nothing has changed. What’s worse from a NigeContinues on page 34
367.48
g
Stock market closes last trading day of 2019 in green …amid year-end portfolio rebalancing Iheanyi Nwachukwu
T
he Nigerian stock market wrapped up the year 2019 in the green amid year-end portfolio rebalancing ahead of new year positioning. Following that positive on Tuesday, December 31, the record 2019 negative return moderated to -14.6 percent. Increased rally this week pushed the positive returns higher by 1.61 percent. The Nigerian equity market had started the week in the green territory, sustaining the gain recorded in the last trading days of the prior week. The Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) All Share Index (ASI) appreciated by 87 points to close the year at 26,842.07 points. Stocks value closed the year at N12.958 trillion, while capitalisation of listed bonds and Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) on the NSE stood at N12.91 trillion and N6.5 billion, respectively. The benchmark index benefitted from the upward movements recorded in major large Continues on page 34
Inside
President Muhammadu Buhari (r), receiving Akinwunmi Adesina, president, African Development Bank (AfDB), during his courtesy visit at the Presidential Villa in Abuja. NAN
NGUS jan 27 2021
@
g
Nigerian economy in 2020: Here’s what to expect LOLADE AKINMURELE
fgn bonds
Treasury bills
Poverty and the Nobel Prize laureates: What can Nigeria learn? P. 32