BusinessDay 07 Nov 2019

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news you can trust I **THURSDAY 07 NOVEMBER 2019 I vol. 19, no 430

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Border closure takes toll as manufacturers, exporters suffer Dangote, Cadbury, Unilever biggest hit ODINAKA ANUDU &GBEMI FAMINU

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he closure of Nigeria’s border with Benin Republic may be temporary, but it is hurting manufacturers and exporters who are unable to

bring in raw materials or export their finished products. The biggest hit is Dangote Group whose over 100 containers of inputs and products are stuck at Nigeria-Benin border, according to sources close to the group. Sources at Cadbury, a bever-

age maker, said the company has been unable to bring in c h o c o l a t e s f ro m i t s G h a n a plant and cannot export to other markets on the continent. Cadbury exports Bournvita and other beverages mainly to the African market.

Unilever, a fast-moving consumer goods firm, is also unable to br ing in inputs and products and can’t export to earn foreign exchange, BusinessDay gathered. Aarti Steel, a major steel exporter to Africa, has suspended

DIPO OLADEHINDE

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Angola’s 3-year recession warning Nigeria could easily slip again

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ith debt to GDP at 80.5 percent, weak fiscal consolidation and significant dollar-denominated debt, Angola has struggled to push its way out of the lingering economic recession and in 2018, was advised by the International Monetary Fund to impose austerity measures such as reducing public debt, scrapping fuel subsidies and weakening its currency.

Continues on page 38

Dangote refinery will decrease Africa’s crude export to 5.4m in 2025 – OPEC

Herbert Wigwe (4th l), group managing director/CEO, Access Bank plc; Oba Ewuare II, Oba of Benin (m), and other palace chiefs during a courtesy visit to the Oba’s palace in Benin, yesterday.

SEGUN ADAMS

its export segment till the border reopens, with huge implications on jobs and foreign exchange, a source close to the company told BusinessDay. Analysts foresee a big hit on

The reforms which followed a $3.7bn Extended Fund Facility to Angola, Africa’s second-biggest oil producer, is expected to address some challenges the country has, improving IMF outlook on its growth next year to 1.2 percent from -0.3 percent in 2019. “Macroeconomic stability has been restored and maintained through a more flexible exchange rate regime, restrictive monetary policy, and fiscal consolidation,” the World Bank noted earlier this year.

Although out of a recession, Nigeria, which is Africa’s biggest oil producer, shares similar characteristics with Angola and has barely grown its economy since 2017, averaging less than 2 percent annually. Angola’s GDP on the other hand has contracted for the past three years. Angola’s debt-to-GDP ratio is forecast at 90 percent for 2019. The rising debt burden for Nigeria, though at 17.5 percent of GDP in 2018, has remained worrisome as recurrent expen-

diture and debt servicing take prominence in the new budget plan. Nigeria has earmarked N2.45 trillion or about 24 percent of its 2020 budget estimates for debt servicing, just N10m less than capital budget. Public debt, according to the Debt Management Office, stood at N25.7trn in half-year with N8.32trn external debt and N17.37trn domestic debt. External vulnerability has

Continues on page 38

he coming of Dangote refinery is expected to reduce Africa’s crude export to 5.4 million barrel per day in 2025, says an outlook report by Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). In its closely-watched annual World Oil Outlook (WOO), the Middle East-dominated producer group said significant additions are also expected in Africa with one large project in Nigeria accounting for the largest share. “Due to the expected startup

Continues on page 38

Inside Inside details of NERC’s order to cancel licences of 8 DisCos P. 2


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