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news you can trust I ** wednesDAY 19 february 2020 I vol. 19, no 502
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Border closure bites as inflation hits 12.13% ... soaring food prices wakeup call for agric sector, experts say Bunmi Bailey, Segun Adams (Lagos) & Cynthia Egboboh (Abuja)
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L-R: Adesoji Ogungbesan, chief financial officer, Asharami Synergy (A Sahara Group Downstream Company); Oluwaseun Yussuf, lubricant sales manager; Moroti Adedoyin-Adeyinka, MD/CEO; Foluso Sobanjo, chief operating officer, and Lekan Ogundowole, CTO, at the launch of ASHA Engine Oil in Lagos, yesterday. Pic by Pius Okeosisi
5 takeaways from IMF’s 2020 outlook for Nigerian economy ENDURANCE OKAFOR
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he International Monetar y Fund (IMF ) downgraded its 2020 growth outlook for Nigeria from its initial 2.5 percent to 2 percent on the back of plunging oil price fuelled by the Coronavirus outbreak.
For an oil-dependent nation like Nigeria, the continued spread of Coronavirus could mean additional shock for Africa’s most populous nation as the decline in global oil demand and the consequent fall in prices may throw the country’s 2020 revenue projection in disarray. “Under current policies, the
outlook is challenging. The mission’s growth forecast for 2020 was revised down to 2 percent to reflect the impact of lower international oil prices,” the IMF said in a statement on Monday after concluding its Article IV consultation to Nigeria. The growth cut by IMF was earlier predicted by BusinessDay
after it conducted a survey in January. When a country joins the IMF, it makes a commitment to pursue policies that are conducive to orderly economic growth and reasonable price stability, and to provide the IMF with data about Continues on page 38
igeria’s consumer price index (CPI), which measures inflation, increased by 12.13 percent (year-on-year) in January 2020 for the fifth consecutive time, according to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). While core inflation rose slightly, pressure on food prices suggests that the impact of the border closure is still lingering. It was the fastest increase in the price level in 21 months, according to the statistical agency. “This is higher than the rate recorded in December 2019 (11.98) percent. On a month-onmonth basis, the Headline index increased by 0.87 percent in January 2020, this is 0.02 percent higher than the rate recorded in December 2019 (0.85) percent,” NBS said. The increase in consumer prices surpassed expectations as analysts polled by BusinessDay expected inflation to rise between 12.01 and 12.03 percent. Experts have said the continContinues on page 38
Inside
2 years after Dapchi Girls’ abduction, Buhari reiterates commitment to P. 2 recover all victims