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news you can trust I ** wednesDAY 22 july 2020 I vol. 19, no 611
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How to replicate Benin City gaspowered vehicle model across Nigeria ISAAC ANYAOGU, Lagos, IDRIS UMAR MOMOH & CHURCHILL OKORO, Benin
T
he model used in Benin City to covert thousands of taxis and private vehicles from petrol-powered to run on Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) offers Nigeria the best way to ramp up the plan to shift towards gas-powered vehicles. In January 2010, the management of NIPCO plc commissioned its first CNG plant and filing station in Benin City with a promised that the new initiative will not only reduce the cost motorists spent on powering their vehicles but also get value for their money. One of the factors accounting for its success is that it was implemented in a closed system. This means that rather than general adoption, it was started among cab operators and filling stations within a closed loop, which makes it easier to provide support. A major impediment to adoption of Natural Gas Vehicles Continues on page 30
Inside
3rd Mainland Bridge: 132,406 road users to be affected P. 2
L-R: Abubakar Aliyu, minister of state for works and housing; Babatunde Fashola, minister of works and housing, and Boboye Oyeyemi, corps marshal, Federal Road Safety Corps, after a news conference on the closure of Lagos Third Mainland Bridge for rehabilitation/maintenance in Abuja, yesterday. See story on page 2
CBN’s benign economic outlook for Q2 deviates from consensus expectations N LOLADE AKINMURELE
igeria’s central bank had a more benign outlook for economic growth in the second quarter (Q2) 2020 than the expectations of many economists, and even the local finance ministry. The Central Bank of Nigerian (CBN) expects economic growth to decline by 1.03 percent in the second quarter, it said in a note published on its website. The forecast of 10 economists polled
by BusinessDay shows expectations for a 2.5 percent contraction in same period, which about doubles the CBN’s forecast. “The CBN is significantly more optimistic about the economy than we are because Q2 was when we saw consumption spending eased considerably,” said Omotola Abimbola, an analyst at Chapel Hill Denham. “The most brutal effects of the pandemic probably happened in Q2, so it is hard to find factors that could drive a different outcome,” Abimbola said.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) last month downgraded its growth forecast for Nigeria to a contraction of 5.4 percent from 3.4 percent. The economy is however tipped to exit recession in 2021, after growing by 2.6 percent. The IMF said the forecast was influenced by the larger than expected storms to global value chains due to the coronavirus, affecting global demand for goods and services. “Disruptions due to the pandemic as well as significantly
lower disposable income for oil exporters after the dramatic fuel price decline, imply sharp recessions in Russia (–6.6 percent), Saudi Arabia (–6.8 percent), and Nigeria (–5.4 percent), while South Africa’s performance (–8.0 percent) will be severely affected by the health crisis,” the IMF said. The pandemic was at its peak during the second quarter and there are expectations for the worst of the pandemic to have
Continues on page 30