‘South, East Asia, Pacific to grow amid risks’
C
AWESM CEBU Get ready to immerse yourself in unforgettable festival experiences at SM Seaside— from mesmerizing dance parades to the enchanting Sto. Niño de Cebu exhibitions, the amazing Sinulog Festival Queen Runway Competition, the mouth-watering Lechon Festival, and more! All set against the vibrant backdrop of AweSM Artscape Installations. Don’t miss out on these extraordinary moments, available until January 31, 2024. SM SUPERMALLS
ROTARY CLUB OF MANILA JOURNALISM AWARDS
2006 National Newspaper of the Year 2011 National Newspaper of the Year 2013 Business Newspaper of the Year 2017 Business Newspaper of the Year 2019 Business Newspaper of the Year 2021 Pro Patria Award PHILIPPINE STATISTICS AUTHORITY 2018 Data Champion
OUNTRIES in South and East Asia and the Pacific, including the Philippines, are expected to buck the global trend and post either moderate or strong GDP growth this year, according to the latest report of the World Economic Forum (WEF). In its Chief Economists Outlook for January 2024, WEF said South Asia and East Asia and the Pacific will see the “most buoyant economic activity” in 2024. This is amid the increased risk of shocks and geopolitical rifts that could heighten global economic volatility that are expected to worsen in Africa, the Middle East, and Latin America.
“Chief economists continue to see the most buoyant economic activity in the economies of Asia, although no region is slated for very strong growth in 2024,” the WEF report said. Based on the report, some 56 percent of Chief Economists expect East Asia and the Pacific to post moderate growth, while 41 percent expect the same level of growth in South Asia. The data showed 30 percent of Chief Economists project East Asia and the Pacific to post strong growth while it was higher at 52 percent in South Asia. Only 15 percent of respondents expect East Asia and the Pacific to post weak GDP growth in 2024
and much less (7 percent) of them estimate that South Asia will post weak growth. “The outlook for South Asia and East Asia and Pacific remains positive and broadly unchanged compared to the last survey, with 93 percent and 86 percent expecting moderate or stronger growth for South Asia and East Asia and Pacific, respectively,” the report stated. However, WEF said China is considered the exception, given that a smaller majority or 69 percent of Chief Economists expect it to post moderate growth. This is on the back of weak consumption, lower industrial production, and property market concerns that would weigh on the
prospects of a stronger economic rebound. “A mid accelerating divergence, the resilience of the global economy will continue to be tested in the year ahead. Though global inflation is easing, growth is stalling, financial conditions remain tight, global tensions are deepening and inequalities are rising— highlighting the urgent need for global cooperation to build momentum for sustainable, inclusive economic growth,” WEF Managing Director Saadia Zahidi said in a statement. The report also said inflation is expected to ease, signaling the end of the tightening cycle.
BusinessMirror
See “South,” A2
EJAP JOURNALISM AWARDS
BUSINESS NEWS SOURCE OF THE YEAR
(2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021) DEPARTMENT OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
2018 BANTOG MEDIA AWARDS
11-MONTH REMITTANCES w
n
Tuesday, January 16, 2024 Vol. 19 No. 93
P25.00 nationwide | 2 sections 20 pages |
UP 2.8% TO $30.2B: BSP T By Cai U. Ordinario
@caiordinario
HE steady growth of remittances is expected to continue and indicates that Overseas Filipino Workers (OFWs) may have already recovered from the pandemic.
Data from the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) showed that cash remittances grew 2.8 percent to $2.7 billion in November 2023 from $2.6
billion in the same month of 2022. In the 11-month period, cash remittances also grew 2.8 percent to See “Remittances,” A2
‘SENATE-LED’ CHA-CHA REVIEW STARTS AS ZUBIRI FILES RESO
PUBLIC PULSE ON POGOS In Parañaque City, POGO workers take a break at a gasoline station. Senator Win Gatchalian said a recent poll by Pulse Asia Research Inc., shows most Filipinos reject allowing Philippine Offshore Gaming Operators (POGOs) to continue their operations in the country. However, on Monday, Pagcor chairman Al Tengco told journalists a call for the wholesale ban on such operations must weigh the economic ramifications: mainly, on tens of thousands of jobs in balance, and the hit to the property market. Related stories on Pagcor on pages A12 and B3. NONIE REYES
SENATE President Juan Miguel Zubiri files a resolution to kickstart discussions on amending the economic provisions of the 1987 Constitution. ROY DOMINGO By Butch Fernandez @butchfBM
& Jovee Marie N. dela Cruz @joveemarie
E
NCOURAGED by President Ferdinand Marcos’s view that the ongoing campaign to use a “People’s Initiative” mode to amend the Constitution by marginalizing senators is “too divisive,” Senate President Juan Miguel Zubiri filed on Monday a resolution paving the way for discussions on amending the economic provisions of the 1987 Constitution. Zubiri said this was the result of his meetings last
week w ith House Speaker Martin Romualdez and President Marcos Jr. who, he said, designated the Senate to lead the process. With him in that January 11 meeting was Senate President Pro Tempore Loren Legarda. Also on Monday, the leadership of the House of Representatives on Monday expressed its unwavering support for the Senate’s initiative to file a Resolution of Both Houses of Congress, noting the importance of unity and purpose as the two houses work together to enact this modification to the Constitution. See “Cha-cha,” A2
WEF: AI to boost economies; IMF: AI imperils 60% of jobs
T
HE use of artificial intelligence (AI) is expected to expand and change global economic activity, according to a World Economic Forum (WEF) report that indicated 50 percent of respondents expect technology to become commercially disruptive by the end of 2024. The International Monetary Fund (IMF), however, had words of caution, saying AI remains a threat to 60 percent of global jobs. All Chief Economists of the WEF expect generative AI to boost global productivity and increase GDP worldwide. The most optimistic estimate is for AI deployment to increase global output by as much as 30 percent by the end of the century.
“One estimate suggests that generative AI alone could boost global productivity growth by 1.5 percentage points a year and increase global GDP by 7 percent over a 10-year horizon,” WEF said. However, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said AI remains a threat to 60 percent of global jobs. While Emerging Market economies are less affected by AI, the lack of infrastructure and digital skills to support this technology could worsen inequality in these countries. “Model simulations suggest that, with high complementarity, higher-wage earners can expect a See “WEF,” A2
PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 55.9840 n JAPAN 0.3863 n UK 71.4132 n HK 7.1581 n CHINA 7.8092 n SINGAPORE 42.0584 n AUSTRALIA 37.4141 n EU 61.3193 n KOREA 0.0426 n SAUDI ARABIA 14.9282 Source: BSP (January 15, 2024)