WEF flags gaps in tech absorption, safety nets T
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HE economic growth of countries, including the Philippines, continues to be unsustainable and more needs to be done to address gaps, particularly in technology absorption and social safety nets, according to the World Economic Forum (WEF). In the Future of Growth Report 2024, WEF said the Philippines and other countries like Benin, Brazil, Côte D’Ivoire, Ghana, India, Jordan, Kenya, Morocco, Rwanda, and United Republic of Tanzania are expected to post growth of 5.5 percent this year. This is consistent with international expectations for the Philippine economy, but WEF said more needs to be done in terms of addressing gaps and challenges that would make economic growth more sustainable. “Common challenges preventing a stronger balanced growth performance of this group include technology absorption, lack of social safety nets, insufficient investment in renewable energy and insufficient healthcare system capacity,” the WEF said in a statement. The report said the Philippines’s GDP per capita
was at 9,252 in purchasing power parity (PPP) as of 2023. The average per capita income growth was 1.5 percent, while the average GDP growth was at 4.6 percent between 2018 and 2023. The WEF measured growth and sustainability of economies through the Future of Growth Framework, which is composed of four pillars—innovativeness, inclusiveness, sustainability, and resilience. Innovativeness measures a country’s ability to absorb and evolve in light of technological, social, institutional and organizational developments while inclusiveness measures the extent that a country is able to provide benefits and opportunities to all its citizens and stakeholders. Sustainability captures a country’s ability to keep its ecological footprint within finite environmental boundaries, while resilience measures how well countries can withstand and bounce back from shocks. The report explained that the framework is designed to produce an aggregate result for each pillar on a 0-100 scale, where 100 is an ideal and
hypothetical case where a country achieves perfect performance on every component of the pillar. Based on these, the Philippines’s lowest score was in innovativeness at 42.11 out of 100 followed by inclusiveness, 48.30; and sustainability, 50.68. The country’s highest score was in resilience at 54.14 out of 100. WEF said the global average of the sustainability dimension, which measures the extent to which an economy’s trajectory can keep its ecological footprint within finite environmental boundaries, is 46.8 out of 100. The innovativeness dimension—which captures how an economy’s trajectory can absorb and evolve in response to new technological, social, institutional and organizational developments to improve the longer-term quality of growth—attains the lowest global score, with a global average of 45.2 out of 100. The WEF said the report highlighted a significant economic slowdown, estimated to fall to the lowest rate in three decades by 2030, amid ongoing economic and geopolitical shocks.
This downturn is exacerbating a range of interconnected global challenges, including the climate crisis and a weakening social contract, which are collectively reversing progress in global development. “Reigniting global growth will be essential to addressing key challenges, yet growth alone is not enough,” said Saadia Zahidi, Managing Director, World Economic Forum. “The report proposes a new way for assessing economic growth that balances efficiency with long-term sustainability, resilience and equity, as well as innovation for the future, aligning with both global and national priorities.” Launching alongside this report is the Forum’s Future of Growth initiative, a two-year endeavour aimed at charting a new narrative for economic growth. The WEF also said this aims to support policymakers from around the world, together with economists and other experts, in identifying the best pathways in balance growth, innovation, inclusion, sustainability and resilience goals. Cai U. Ordinario
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Thursday, January 18, 2024 Vol. 19 No. 95
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Recto: Carbon trading setup vital to PHL economy
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HE Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) is expected to cut its rates earlier than expected due to the slowdown in inflation, according to two international financial institutions. In economic briefs released on Wednesday, ANZ Research said the BSP could cut rates by the last quarter of the year; while HSBC said the rate cuts could start in the second half of 2024. ANZ Research said its latest projection arose from its revision of its initial forecast of the first quarter of 2025 to take into consideration the latest inflation print. “With a cautious approach, the progress on inflation should allow the BSP to initiate rate cuts earlier than we had anticipated. Therefore, we now expect the BSP to kickstart rate cutting in Q4 2024 [versus our earlier expectation of Q1 2025],” ANZ Research said. “We are pencilling in 50 basis point cut [bps] in 2024 and another 100 bps in 2025. Our new terminal rate forecast of 6 percent by yearend 2024 [that is, real rate at 2.5 percent] will also manage external imbalances,” it added. The revision, ANZ Research explained, also S “BSP,” A
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DOUGH RISING
A local baker in Las Piñas City showcases freshly baked pandesal for sale. Faced with the rising costs of baking raw materials, a commercial baker association is urging for a price adjustment, proposing an increase of P2 to P2.50 on this breakfast staple. NONIE REYES
STABLISHING a carbon trading system in the country is critical to incentivizing industries to reduce their carbon emissions while improving the country’s fiscal space, according to newly designated Finance Secretary Ralph G. Recto. Recto said on Wednesday the development of a carbon tax and emissions trading system (ETS) in the country is a “crucial” step towards achieving a “low-carbon” economy. “These efforts will incentivize both industries and individuals to actively reduce their carbon footprints, while allowing the government to mobilize financial resources to boost fiscal space,” Recto was quoted as saying in a news release on Wednesday. “There is increased momentum in the establishment of carbon pricing systems in the Asia-Pacific region. This presents an opportunity for the Philippines to not only keep the pace, but to lead with determination,” he added. Recto called for the study of the most suitable carbon pricing instrument in the country as it transitions toward a “greener” future. The former socioeconomic planning secretary and lawmaker recently chaired the Technical Working Group Meeting for Preparing Carbon Pricing Instruments for the Philippines led by the Department of Finance (DOF). During the January 16 meeting, Recto noted that carbon pricing instruments are “powerful” fiscal tools that would allow the national government to “incorporate the social and external costs associated with carbon emissions.” “Identifying the optimal combination of pricing instruments for the country is crucial to ensuring the long-term success of carbon pricC A
5 PINAYS ON FORBES ‘50 OVER 50’
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IVE Filipino women have made it to the list of Forbes magazine’s “50 Over 50”— Asian women who have exerted their influence in the corporate world, the movie industry and peace-keeping efforts. The magazine highlighted Anna Ma. Margarita B. Dy, Ayala Land Inc.’s first female president and CEO. She was appointed in October last year.
“Her rise comes as the company—the real estate arm of the Ayala Group, a conglomerate controlled by billionaire Jaime Zobel de Ayala and his family—accelerates the launch of residential projects to meet surging housing demand,” Forbes said. Before being appointed CEO, Dy, 54, oversaw many of the firm’s luxury housing projects as chief operating officer and head of its S “F,” A
PESO EXCHANGE RATES US 55.8850 ■ JAPAN 0.3797 ■ UK 70.6219 ■ HK 7.1409 ■ SINGAPORE 41.6338 ■ AUSTRALIA 36.7891 ■ SAUDI ARABIA 14.9011 ■ EU 60.7917 ■ KOREA 0.0417 ■ CHINA 7.7756 Source: BSP (January 17, 2024)