BusinessMirror January 22, 2024

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Has PHL lost 6-yr run as 2nd top banana exporter? By Jasper Emmanuel Y. Arcalas @jearcalas

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HE Philippines may have ended its six-year reign as the world’s second largest banana exporter last year as preliminary estimates by the United Nations indicated that the country has been outrivaled by Guatemala amid faltering production. In its latest preliminary report, the United Nations’ Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) projected that the Philippines dropped to the third place last year in terms of banana exports as its shipments declined by nearly 3 percent yearon-year to 2.206 million metric tons (MMT). The Philippines exported 2.272 MMT of bananas in 2022.

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With its estimated full-year exports last year, the Philippines was overtaken by Guatemala, which the FAO projected to have exported a total of 2.415 MMT of bananas last year. It should be noted that the projections made by the FAO were only preliminary, with its full-year export estimates being based on the figures reported by countries as of September 2023. The FAO also made the projections using country responses to its 2023 questionnaire as well as secondary data and information from its desk research. It may be recalled that in the FAO’s preliminary report last year it projected that Guatemala has already stripped the Philippines of its status as world’s second largest banana ex-

porter in 2022 but was revised in its final report issued in July last year. (Related story: https://businessmirror .com.ph/2023/01/26/ phl-loses-no-2-spot-for-bananaexporters/) If the FAO’s latest forecast for the global banana market last year materializes, then the Philippines snaps its six-year rule as the world’s second largest banana exporter, a status that it regained in 2017, based on FAO historical data. Based on FAO’s estimates, Ecuador remained as the world’s top banana exporter last year with a total volume shipment of 6.193 MMT.

Pest, logistics challenges

THE FAO explained that it projected the drop in the Philippines’s

banana exports last year due to the “devastating spread” of Fusarium Wilt Tropical Race 4 disease across plantations. “The main exporter from the [Asian] region continues to be the Philippines, which supplies some 60 percent of Asian banana shipments on average but has seen production severely affected by the spread of TR4 in the country,” it said. “According to information released by the Pilipino Banana Growers and Exporters Association in April 2023, approximately 15,000 plantations in the Philippines are affected by TR4, causing grave concern about the prospects for the country’s banana industry in 2023 and beyond,” it added.

BusinessMirror Monday, January 22, 2024 Vol. 19 No. 99

Continued on A4

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CUTS IN RRR, NOT JUST w

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P25.00 nationwide | 2 sections 18 pages |

RATES, POSSIBLE–BSP By Cai U. Ordinario

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@caiordinario

ISING food costs may not stop the Monetary Board, the highest policy making body of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP), from cutting not just policy rates but the reserve requirements of banks this year. In a briefing over the weekend, BSP Governor Eli M. Remolona Jr. told reporters that it is possible that the policy rate would ease in the first semester, while a reduction in the RRR is also possible within the year. “I don’t know [if the policy will ease in the first semester]. It depends on the data, as we always say, but it’s looking good. We like the trend so far. I would say it’s possible but maybe not likely,” Remolona said. “Within the year, I think [an RRR cut is] very possible.” Nonetheless, the BSP governor, who had just arrived from the World Economic Forum meeting in Davos, Switzerland, said the Philippines is “not out of the woods” yet; nor do they “see a smoking gun” regarding inflation. The BSP expects inflation to be around 4 to 4.2 percent this year, which is close but not within the government’s 2 to 4 percent target. He added that while they expect the supply shocks, particularly in food, to dissipate, there are risks that could drive second-round effects of inflation. These risks, such as wage and transport fare increases, will have to be evaluated using the data that will come out and will define the actions of the Monetary Board. See “Cuts,” A2

FEAST OF FAITH Residents of Malibay, Pasay City, representing diverse backgrounds, come together to joyously celebrate the feast of Santo Niño in the streets. Designated as the third Sunday of January, this day holds special significance in the Philippines as it commemorates the Santo Niño (Holy Child Jesus), symbolizing the birth of Catholicism in the country over 500 years ago. NONIE REYES

GROWTH AS PRIORITY MEANS MORE INEQUALITY–ECONOMIST By Cai U. Ordinario @caiordinario

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F the government is keen on making the economy more inclusive to allow a greater number of Pinoys to take part in the country’s growth story, it must be willing to temporarily sacrifice fast GDP growth, according to an economist. In a recent interview, Ateneo de Manila University (ADMU) Depar tment of Economics Chairperson Alvin P. Ang said for this year, the economy could easily grow at 5.5 percent, even

without any major reforms. But, he said, this steady growth rate is not good in addressing inequality. Ang said structural reforms are needed to ensure that more Filipinos benefit from growth, which could slow GDP growth to around 4 percent. “Actually, that’s [steady growth of 5.5 percent] problematic because it is an inequalityworsening type of growth. Because only certain sectors are growing,” Ang said. “For example, agriculture. You have to make a drastic move. See “Growth,” A2

PHL, EU ‘aligned’ on key issues ahead of FTA talks

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HEAD of the resumption of formal talks on the free trade agreement between the Philippines and the European Union, Manila said it is seeing “alignment” with EU on environmental protection and social governance, among others. As Trade Undersecretary Allan B. Gepty expressed hope that the “stock-taking exercise” for the free trade agreement (FTA) between the Philippines and the EU would wrap up the assessments within the first quarter of this year, he told reporters at a recent forum that on the part of the Philippines, “we see a lot of alignments when it comes to policy direction.” Adhering to what’s contained in

the Philippine Development Plan (PDP) 2023-2028 which is to pursue “forward-looking” FTAs, Gepty said, “we want also to position the Philippines as prime investment destination for environment, social governance-related investments.” He said this after he explained that the trade agenda of the EU is “very particular” on their sustainable development, environment, climate change, among others. In December, Gepty said the two parties were able to finish the stock-taking exercise, which he explained was meant to discuss “what would be the elements that we will include in the FTA, what would be our levels of ambitions depending See “PHL,” A2

EXPLAINER »B4

AI TAKES CENTER STAGE AT DAVOS 2024:

GENERATIVE AI, GOVERNANCE, AND FUTURE WORK TRENDS

PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 55.8280 n JAPAN 0.3768 n UK 70.9406 n HK 7.1384 n CHINA 7.7582 n SINGAPORE 41.5449 n AUSTRALIA 36.6790 n EU 60.7297 n KOREA 0.0417 n SAUDI ARABIA 14.8855 Source: BSP (January 19, 2024)


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