Auckland Council staff May 2014

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Facing the transport challenge for a Master 21st Click to edit Century Auckland

style

May 2014

title

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Overview

Click to edit Master title • Auckland’s Transport Challenge •style The City Rail Link • Shaping Auckland

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Auckland in 2041 Auckland is pivotal to the social, economic and cultural development of New Zealand 2,500,000

• • • • •

More than 700,000 new residents

Click to edit Master title style 2,000,000

An extra 400,000 dwellings

Twice as many city centre and city fringe residents and employees

1,500,000

Growth to 2041

2011 Population 1,000,000

City Centre student numbers up by 30% City centre producing 25% of Auckland’s GDP currently 17%

500,000 729,000

0 Auckland

Christchurch

Wellington

Waikato

Bay of Plenty

Otago

Growth in Auckland to 2041

Auckland’s economy •

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Auckland employment composition Advanced business services, finance and insurance 12% 24%

Government, health and education Wholesaling and retailing

23%

Other 23% 18%

• • • •

Manufacturing

Auckland accounts for 34% of jobs in NZ and most are in the urban areas

Auckland generates 37% of NZ’s GDP Wellington, Hamilton and Tauranga combined, account for 13% of jobs Transport is critical to shape urban form and lead economic development in cities

City centre – economic contribution • About one in six workers in Auckland work in the city centre • Average city centre earnings 27% higher than the rest of Auckland • City centre accounts for 17% of Auckland GDP, 25% by 2041 • Agglomeration benefits drive higher productivity and wages • Improved access is key to Auckland’s economic growth

• CRL biggest contributor to improved city centre access

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The challenge Using medium growth forecasts and assuming all major transport projects other than City Rail Link in place By 2021: • Most bus networks are at capacity, some are over; can’t physically be provided for within existing road corridor • Private vehicle speeds in city centre halve in the morning peak to 7 km/h • Britomart has reached capacity By 2041: • Bus network significantly over capacity • Private vehicle journey times to city centre from west and south will increase by 30-50% • Private vehicle speeds in morning peak drop to 5km/h (average walking speed)

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Strategic option assessment Criteria

Effect on city centre access

Surface Bus

Underground Bus

Underground Rail (CRL)

Integrated CRL and SB

Worst

Poor

Better

Best

Impact on wider regional movement Improving economic performance & potential Reducing impacts on environment & amenity

Implementation costs and difficulty Reduction in exposure to harm

• CRL has the strongest strategic fit when assessed against recognised transport criteria. Greater improvement will be achieved with bus optimisation

City Rail Link- the project

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Comparative projects

Motunui $4b Clyde Dam $2.5b

Click to edit Master title style Glenbrook $4b

Waterview $1.4b

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Timeline

Council

AT

2011

2012

2013

2014

Endorsed City Rail Link as top transport project and directed AT to seek a designation.

Strategy and Finance Committee moved that AT progress the land acquisition and technical requirements.

Agreed to enter negotiations with Precinct Properties in relation to the Downtown Shopping Centre.

Independent commissioners support Notices of Requirement.

Notices of Requirement notified.

Public consultation and hearing.

Principal Technical Advisor appointed.

Property purchases start.

Notices of Requirement recommendation, decision and appeals.

Early concept design finalised.

Project team Iwi and landowner established. engagement.

Designation work City Centre Future starts.

Access Study released.

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Government position - 28 June 2013 Patronage Target 25,000,000 .

• Broadly agrees with the December 2012 CCFAS findings

• Government has indicated that it is committed to:  a joint business case with Auckland Council in 2017, or earlier if patronage and employment conditions are met  providing its share of funding for a construction start in 2020

20,000,000

10,000,000

Govt Target

5,000,000

Linear (Patronage)

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Employment Target 140,000 120,000

100,000 80,000 60,000

40,000 20,000 0

Not if but when

Patronage

15,000,000

CBD Employment Govt Target Linear (CBD Employment)

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Vertical alignment

• Britomart to Eden Terrace • 3 new city centre stations

• 3.4km – mainly underground

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City Rail Link- the route Trains every 5 to 10 minutes

City shaping and placemaking

• Leading growth with transport infrastructure is vital to city shaping

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Britomart- from seedy to sought after

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10 years old- 40 million passengers- 24,000 a day • Britomart Precinct has the lowest vacancy rates and some of the highest lease rates in the city centre •

Relocations attracted from the city centre, city fringe and outside Commercial Vacancy Rates All City Centre

Britomart Precinct

Core

Western Corridor

1995

14.6%

13.5%

17.5%

13.5%

2003

12.7%

14.9%

16.7%

8.6%

2011

11.3%

1.3%

14.3%

8.8%

Annual Average Employment Growth

Source: Colliers International 2012

10.0%

Employee annual growth

8.0% 6.0% 4.0%

2.0% 0.0%

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

-2.0% Britomart images thanks to Cooper and Co

-4.0% Britomart precinct

Auckland except City Centre

City Centre

Timing and construction implications Co-ordination critical to ensure transport networks function • Albert St dug up progressively over two years • Aotea station under construction for up to five years • Major east/west intersections closed for months at a time

While this can be well managed, timing is critical.

Forecast and potential city development and events: • • • • •

International Convention Centre Elliot Tower Downtown Shopping Centre 2015 Cricket World Cup 2017 World Masters Games

CRL timing affects delivery of other important city centre projects: • • • •

Bus corridors/interchanges Ferry basin redevelopment Quay St upgrade Victoria St Linear Park

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Aotea station entrance concept

Click to edit Master title style

Next steps 2014 Design optimisation Continuing landowner, tenants, community and iwi engagement Property purchase continues- 27 to date

2015+ Design ready for tender Regional consents and enabling works Tender/construction

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Transport - Conclusions There is an established way of approach transport appraisal based on straight line growth forecasts and values of time with fixed population and employment patterns, but it is not clear that it reflects what actually happens

Click to edit Master title style

In reality transport drives land use patterns just as much as land use drives transport demand

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AP& Integrated Transport Programme

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Auckland Plan Transformational Shifts Dramatically accelerate the prospects of Auckland’s children and young people

Move to Strongly commit Radically outstanding to environmental improve the public transport action and green quality of urban within one growth living network

Substantially raise living Significantly lift standards for Māori social all Aucklanders and economic and focus on wellbeing those most in need

ITP Benefits Better use of Reduced adverse transport environmental resources to effects from maximise return Auckland’s on existing transport system assets

Increased access to a wider range of transport choices

Auckland’s transport system better connects communities and supports a high quality urban form

Auckland’s transport system moves people and goods efficiently

Improved safety of Auckland’s transport system

Cost summary

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Cost breakdown