Fabruary 2012 Housing Outlook

Page 1

Housing Supply Overview A RESEARCH TOOL PROVIDED BY THE HILTON HEAD AREA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS速

February 2012

Quick Facts

When anecdotal evidence echoes what the empirical data is telling us, it's wise to listen. For the 12-month period spanning March 2011 through February 2012, Pending Sales in the Hilton Head region were up 10.9 percent overall. The price range with the largest gain in sales was the $100,001 to $225,000 range, where they increased 16.5 percent. The overall Median Sales Price was down 0.5 percent to $232,515. The price range that tended to sell the quickest was the $100,000 and Below range at 109 days; the price range that tended to sell the slowest was the $650,001 and Above range at 218 days. Market-wide, inventory levels were down 14.0 percent which amounts to 10.4 months supply for Single-Family homes and 12.1 months supply for Condos.

+ 16.5%

+ 14.7%

+ 13.3%

Price Range With the Strongest Sales:

Bedroom Count With Strongest Sales:

Property Type With Strongest Sales:

$100,001 to $225,000

3 Bedrooms

Single-Family Homes

Pending Sales Days on Market Until Sale Median Sales Price Percent of List Price Received Inventory of Homes for Sale Months Supply of Inventory

2 3 4 5 6 7

Click on desired metric to jump to that page.

All data from the Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island. Provided by the Hilton Head Area Association of REALTORS速 and South Carolina REALTORS速. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | 1


Pending Sales A count of properties on which offers have been accepted. Based on a rolling 12-month total.

By Price Range 2-2011

2-2011

2-2011

2-2012 1,243

874 1,091

750

709

565

2-2012

2,135

1,084

1,885

974

629 538

By Property Type

By Bedroom Count

2-2012

512

544 662 304

690 895

848

338

+ 5.0%

+ 16.5%

+ 12.7%

+ 6.3%

+ 11.2%

+ 12.0%

+ 14.7%

+ 4.2%

+ 13.3%

+ 5.5%

$100,000 and Below

$100,001 to $225,000

$225,001 to $375,000

$375,001 to $650,000

$650,001 and Above

2 Bedrooms or Less

3 Bedrooms

4 Bedrooms or More

Single-Family Homes

Condos

All Properties By Price Range

2-2011

2-2012

$100,000 and Below

538

$100,001 to $225,000

750

$225,001 to $375,000 $375,001 to $650,000 $650,001 and Above All Price Ranges

By Bedroom Count 2 Bedrooms or Less 3 Bedrooms

Single-Family Homes

Condos

Change

2-2011

2-2012

Change

2-2011

2-2012

Change

565

+ 5.0%

184

226

+ 22.8%

354

339

- 4.2%

874

+ 16.5%

570

656

+ 15.1%

180

218

+ 21.1%

629

709

+ 12.7%

464

526

+ 13.4%

165

183

+ 10.9%

512

544

+ 6.3%

404

433

+ 7.2%

108

111

+ 2.8%

304

338

+ 11.2%

263

294

+ 11.8%

41

44

+ 7.3%

2,733

3,030

+ 10.9%

1,885

2,135

+ 13.3%

848

895

+ 5.5%

2-2011

2-2012

Change

2-2011

2-2012

Change

2-2011

2-2012

Change

974

1,091

+ 12.0%

309

422

+ 36.6%

665

669

+ 0.6%

1,084

1,243

+ 14.7%

919

1,033

+ 12.4%

165

210

+ 27.3%

4 Bedrooms or More

662

690

+ 4.2%

656

679

+ 3.5%

6

11

+ 83.3%

All Bedroom Counts

2,733

3,030

+ 10.9%

1,885

2,135

+ 13.3%

848

895

+ 5.5%

All data from the Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island. Provided by the Hilton Head Area Association of REALTORS速 and South Carolina REALTORS速. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 2


Days on Market Until Sale Average number of days between when a property is listed and when an offer is accepted. Based on a rolling 12-month average.

By Price Range 2-2011

2-2011

2-2011

2-2012 159

218 199 164

109

By Property Type

By Bedroom Count

2-2012

130

122

137

120

125

129

2-2012 138

162

137 136

135

149

128

83

128

+ 31.0%

+ 6.4%

- 6.3%

- 9.1%

+ 9.5%

+ 4.2%

+ 4.8%

+ 1.7%

+ 1.0%

+ 8.4%

$100,000 and Below

$100,001 to $225,000

$225,001 to $375,000

$375,001 to $650,000

$650,001 and Above

2 Bedrooms or Less

3 Bedrooms

4 Bedrooms or More

Single-Family Homes

Condos

All Properties By Price Range

Single-Family Homes

2-2011

2-2012

Change

$100,000 and Below

83

109

$100,001 to $225,000

122

130

$225,001 to $375,000

137

$375,001 to $650,000

164

$650,001 and Above All Price Ranges

By Bedroom Count

2-2011

2-2012

Change

+ 31.0%

90

120

+ 6.4%

119

125

128

- 6.3%

121

149

- 9.1%

157

199

218

+ 9.5%

133

137

Condos 2-2011

2-2012

Change

+ 33.7%

80

102

+ 27.1%

+ 5.6%

131

143

+ 8.5%

112

- 7.9%

180

181

+ 0.3%

144

- 8.5%

190

170

- 10.3%

203

224

+ 10.5%

171

172

+ 0.3%

+ 3.1%

136

137

+ 1.0%

128

138

+ 8.4%

2-2011

2-2012

Change

2-2011

2-2012

Change

2-2011

2-2012

Change

2 Bedrooms or Less

120

125

+ 4.2%

121

104

- 13.9%

120

140

+ 16.6%

3 Bedrooms

129

135

+ 4.8%

124

135

+ 9.1%

155

133

- 14.4%

4 Bedrooms or More

159

162

+ 1.7%

159

162

+ 2.1%

200

148

- 25.6%

All Bedroom Counts

133

137

+ 3.1%

136

137

+ 1.0%

128

138

+ 8.4%

All data from the Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island. Provided by the Hilton Head Area Association of REALTORS速 and South Carolina REALTORS速. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 3


Median Sales Price Median price point for all closed sales, not accounting for seller concessions. Based on a rolling 12-month median.

By Bedroom Count 2-2011

By Property Type 2-2011

2-2012

2-2012 $270,000

$480,000

$475,000

$233,700

$266,000

$232,515

$154,500 $265,000 $159,000

$271,940

$137,000

$160,000

+ 0.6%

+ 2.6%

2 Bedrooms or Less

3 Bedrooms

- 1.0%

- 0.5%

4 Bedrooms or More

All Properties By Bedroom Count

- 1.5%

All Properties

Single-Family Homes

Single-Family Homes

- 11.3% Condos

Condos

2-2011

2-2012

Change

2-2011

2-2012

Change

2-2011

2-2012

Change

2 Bedrooms or Less

$159,000

$160,000

+ 0.6%

$180,000

$185,000

+ 2.8%

$124,000

$108,000

- 12.9%

3 Bedrooms

$265,000

$271,940

+ 2.6%

$255,000

$267,098

+ 4.7%

$305,000

$280,000

- 8.2%

4 Bedrooms or More

$480,000

$475,000

- 1.0%

$477,500

$475,000

- 0.5%

$857,500

$500,000

- 41.7%

All Bedroom Counts

$233,700

$232,515

- 0.5%

$270,000

$266,000

- 1.5%

$154,500

$137,000

- 11.3%

All data from the Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island. Provided by the Hilton Head Area Association of REALTORS速 and South Carolina REALTORS速. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 4


Percent of List Price Received Percentage found when dividing a property’s sales price by its last list price, then taking the average for all properties sold, not accounting for seller concessions. Based on a rolling 12-month average.

By Price Range 2-2011

By Property Type

By Bedroom Count

2-2012

2-2011

94.6% 93.8%

2-2012 94.2%

94.2%

94.9% 94.4% 93.6%

2-2011

2-2012

93.9% 93.7% 93.5%

93.9%

92.9%

93.6%

93.7%

93.4% 93.5%

91.8%

92.9%

93.3%

91.1%

- 0.7%

+ 0.5%

+ 0.9%

- 0.2%

- 0.8%

+ 0.1%

+ 0.4%

- 0.2%

+ 0.4%

- 0.5%

$100,000 and Below

$100,001 to $225,000

$225,001 to $375,000

$375,001 to $650,000

$650,001 and Above

2 Bedrooms or Less

3 Bedrooms

4 Bedrooms or More

Single-Family Homes

Condos

All Properties By Price Range

2-2011

2-2012

$100,000 and Below

93.6%

$100,001 to $225,000

94.4%

$225,001 to $375,000 $375,001 to $650,000

Single-Family Homes

Condos

Change

2-2011

2-2012

Change

2-2011

2-2012

Change

92.9%

- 0.7%

91.2%

92.5%

+ 1.5%

94.8%

93.2%

- 1.7%

94.9%

+ 0.5%

94.9%

95.3%

+ 0.3%

92.8%

93.8%

+ 1.0%

93.8%

94.6%

+ 0.9%

94.5%

95.5%

+ 1.0%

91.7%

91.8%

+ 0.1%

93.7%

93.5%

- 0.2%

94.0%

93.7%

- 0.4%

92.6%

92.9%

+ 0.4%

$650,001 and Above

91.8%

91.1%

- 0.8%

91.7%

91.3%

- 0.5%

93.1%

90.1%

- 3.2%

All Price Ranges

93.7%

93.8%

+ 0.1%

93.9%

94.2%

+ 0.4%

93.4%

92.9%

- 0.5%

By Bedroom Count

2-2011

2-2012

Change

2-2011

2-2012

Change

2-2011

2-2012

Change

2 Bedrooms or Less

93.6%

93.7%

+ 0.1%

93.6%

95.0%

+ 1.5%

93.6%

92.8%

- 0.9%

3 Bedrooms

93.9%

94.2%

+ 0.4%

94.2%

94.5%

+ 0.3%

92.2%

92.9%

+ 0.8%

4 Bedrooms or More

93.5%

93.3%

- 0.2%

93.5%

93.3%

- 0.2%

88.3%

91.5%

+ 3.7%

All Bedroom Counts

93.7%

93.8%

+ 0.1%

93.9%

94.2%

+ 0.4%

93.4%

92.9%

- 0.5%

All data from the Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island. Provided by the Hilton Head Area Association of REALTORS® and South Carolina REALTORS®. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 5


Inventory of Homes for Sale The number of properties available for sale in active status at the end of the most recent month. Based on one month of activity.

By Price Range 2-2011

By Property Type

By Bedroom Count

2-2012

2-2011 756 698

692 616

740

1,252

678

667

579

2-2011

2-2012

2,187 1,081

995

2-2012

1,852 947

829

829 1,017

318

904

216

- 32.1%

- 18.5%

- 16.3%

- 4.4%

- 8.4%

- 16.7%

- 13.7%

- 12.5%

- 15.3%

- 11.1%

$100,000 and Below

$100,001 to $225,000

$225,001 to $375,000

$375,001 to $650,000

$650,001 and Above

2 Bedrooms or Less

3 Bedrooms

4 Bedrooms or More

Single-Family Homes

Condos

All Properties By Price Range

Single-Family Homes

2-2011

2-2012

Change

2-2011

$100,000 and Below

318

216

- 32.1%

$100,001 to $225,000

756

616

- 18.5%

$225,001 to $375,000

692

579

$375,001 to $650,000

698

667

$650,001 and Above

740

All Price Ranges

By Bedroom Count 2 Bedrooms or Less 3 Bedrooms

Condos

2-2012

Change

2-2011

2-2012

Change

140

84

- 40.0%

178

132

- 25.8%

544

409

- 24.8%

212

207

- 2.4%

- 16.3%

407

328

- 19.4%

285

251

- 11.9%

- 4.4%

458

452

- 1.3%

240

215

- 10.4%

678

- 8.4%

638

579

- 9.2%

102

99

- 2.9%

3,204

2,756

- 14.0%

2,187

1,852

- 15.3%

1,017

904

- 11.1%

2-2011

2-2012

Change

2-2011

2-2012

Change

2-2011

2-2012

Change

995

829

- 16.7%

280

214

- 23.6%

715

615

- 14.0%

1,252

1,081

- 13.7%

986

837

- 15.1%

266

244

- 8.3%

4 Bedrooms or More

947

829

- 12.5%

920

799

- 13.2%

27

30

+ 11.1%

All Bedroom Counts

3,204

2,756

- 14.0%

2,187

1,852

- 15.3%

1,017

904

- 11.1%

All data from the Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island. Provided by the Hilton Head Area Association of REALTORS速 and South Carolina REALTORS速. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 6


Months Supply of Inventory The inventory of homes for sale at the end of the most recent month, based on one month of activity, divided by the average monthly pending sales from the last 12 months.

By Price Range 2-2011

By Property Type

By Bedroom Count

2-2012

2-2011

2-2012

2-2011

12.1

14.4

13.9

24.1

10.4

12.3 16.4 13.2

12.1 8.5

7.1

14.4

13.9

17.2

29.2

2-2012

10.4 9.1

14.7

9.8

4.6

- 35.3%

- 30.1%

- 25.8%

- 10.1%

- 17.6%

- 25.6%

- 24.7%

- 16.0%

- 25.2%

- 15.8%

$100,000 and Below

$100,001 to $225,000

$225,001 to $375,000

$375,001 to $650,000

$650,001 and Above

2 Bedrooms or Less

3 Bedrooms

4 Bedrooms or More

Single-Family Homes

Condos

All Properties By Price Range

Single-Family Homes

2-2011

2-2012

Change

$100,000 and Below

7.1

4.6

$100,001 to $225,000

12.1

8.5

$225,001 to $375,000

13.2

$375,001 to $650,000

16.4

$650,001 and Above

29.2

All Price Ranges

By Bedroom Count

2-2011

2-2012

Change

- 35.3%

9.1

4.5

- 51.2%

- 30.1%

11.5

7.5

- 34.7%

9.8

- 25.8%

10.5

7.5

- 28.9%

14.7

- 10.1%

13.6

12.5

- 7.9%

24.1

- 17.6%

29.1

23.6

14.1

10.9

- 22.4%

13.9

Condos 2-2011

2-2012

Change

6.0

4.7

- 22.6%

14.1

11.4

- 19.4%

20.7

16.5

- 20.6%

26.7

23.2

- 12.8%

- 18.8%

29.9

27.0

- 9.6%

10.4

- 25.2%

14.4

12.1

- 15.8%

2-2011

2-2012

Change

2-2011

2-2012

Change

2-2011

2-2012

Change

2 Bedrooms or Less

12.3

9.1

- 25.6%

10.9

6.1

- 44.0%

12.9

11.0

- 14.5%

3 Bedrooms

13.9

10.4

- 24.7%

12.9

9.7

- 24.5%

19.3

13.9

- 27.9%

4 Bedrooms or More

17.2

14.4

- 16.0%

16.8

14.1

- 16.1%

22.5

24.5

+ 9.1%

All Bedroom Counts

14.1

10.9

- 22.4%

13.9

10.4

- 25.2%

14.4

12.1

- 15.8%

All data from the Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island. Provided by the Hilton Head Area Association of REALTORS速 and South Carolina REALTORS速. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 7


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