September Housing Outlook Report

Page 1

September 2010 For the twelve-month period from October 2009 through September 2010, Pending Sales for condo properties increased 55.6 percent with 537 contracts written. Single-family percent during g y Pending g Sales increased 16.0 p g the same period. The $100,000 and below price range had a huge jump in activity compared to the previous twelve-month period driven by condo sales. Because this market is smaller in terms of actual units, the percentage changes are much more dramatic. There were 95 condos sold between October 2008 and September 2009, and 321 condos sold between October 2009 and September 2010. Inventory is an important metric to watch these days. Inventory across all property types fell 8.1 percent, due to the uptick in pending sales activity. Three bedroom condos were the only property type to have an increase in this metric, up 8.2 percent with 289 homes for sale. Let’s not forget about prices. The median sales price of single-family homes increased 1.8% to arrive at $280,000, while condo prices fell 28.4 percent to land at $161,000 – yet another reason condos saw so much activity.

Number of Bedrooms Analysis Inventory Months Supply Home Sales Percent of List Price Received Median Sales Price Days on Market Until Sale

2 2 3 3 4 4

Price Range Analysis Inventory Months Supply Home Sales Percent of List Price Received Days on Market Until Sale

5 6 7 8 9

All data provided by Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island ©2010 HHIMLS - powered by 10K Research and Marketing and sponsored by the South Carolina Association of REALTORS®

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Housing Supply Outlook September 2010 Inventory of Homes for Sale 9-2009

9-2010

Change

3,856 2,653 1,203 1,215

3,544 2,439 1,105 1,086

- 8.1% - 8.1% - 8.1% - 10.6%

Single-Family Condo

304 911

295 791

- 3.0% - 13.2%

All Single-Family Condo 2 Bedrooms and Under

3 Bedrooms

1,441

1,386

- 3.8%

Single-Family Condo

1,174 267

1,097 289

- 6.6% + 8.2%

4 Bedrooms or More

1,200

1,072

- 10.7%

Single-Family Condo

1,175 25

1,047 25

- 10.9% - 0.0%

September 2009

3,856 3,544

1,215

1,441

1,386

1,086

9-2010

Change

All Single-Family Condo 2 Bedrooms and Under

22.8 20.7 29.6 23.1

15.7 15.6 16.0 13.2

- 31.2% - 24.6% - 46.0% - 43.2%

Single-Family Condo

14.8 28.5

11.0 14.2

- 25.6% - 50.3%

3 Bedrooms

19.4

15.5

- 20.3%

Single-Family Condo

17.7 33.0

14.3 22.7

- 19.5% - 31.4%

4 Bedrooms or More

28.2

19.9

- 29.4%

Single-Family Condo

28.1 16.7

19.7 21.4

- 30.0% + 28.6%

1,200

1,072

- 8.1%

- 10.6%

- 3.8%

- 10.7%

All

2 Bedrooms and Under

3 Bedrooms

4 Bedrooms or More

Months Supply of Inventory 9-2009

September 2010

September 2009

September 2010

28.2 23.1

22.8

19.9

19.4 15.7

15.5 13.2

- 31.2%

- 43.2%

- 20.3%

- 29.4%

All

2 Bedrooms and Under

3 Bedrooms

4 Bedrooms or More

All data provided by Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island - powered by 10K Research and Marketing and sponsored by the South Carolina Association of REALTORS速

2


Housing Supply Outlook September 2010 Pending Home Sales Last Twelve Months 10-2008 through 9-2009

10-2009 through 9-2010

Change

2,159 1,622 537 671

2,718 1,882 836 991

+ 25.9% + 16.0% + 55.6% + 47.7%

Single-Family Condo

258 413

322 669

+ 24.8% + 62.0%

3 Bedrooms

938

1,075

+ 14.6%

Single-Family Condo

833 105

922 153

+ 10.7% + 45.7%

4 Bedrooms or More

550

652

+ 18.5%

Single-Family Condo

531 19

638 14

+ 20.2% - 27.1%

All Single-Family Condo 2 Bedrooms and Under

2,718

October 2008 through September 2009

October 2009 through September 2010

2,159

991

938

1,075

671

+ 25.9% All

550

652

+ 47.7%

+ 14.6%

+ 18.5%

2 Bedrooms and Under

3 Bedrooms

4 Bedrooms or More

Percent Of List Price Received Last Twelve Months October 2008 through September 2009

10-2008 through 9-2009

10-2009 through 9-2010

Change

All Single-Family Condo 2 Bedrooms and Under

93.3% 91.5% 93.9% 92.1%

93.8% 93.4% 94.0% 93.6%

+ 0.5% + 2.0% + 0.1% + 1.6%

Single-Family Condo

93.2% 91.4%

93.8% 93.5%

+ 0.6% + 2.2%

3 Bedrooms

94.4%

94.1%

- 0.2%

Single-Family Condo

94.6% 92.2%

94.4% 92.6%

- 0.2% + 0.5%

4 Bedrooms or More

93.1%

93.5%

+ 0.4%

Single-Family Condo

93.1% 91.3%

93.5% 89.9%

+ 0.4% - 1.6%

93.8%

93.3%

+ 0.5% All

92.1%

93.6%

94.4%

+ 1.6% 2 Bedrooms and Under

94.1%

October 2009 through September 2010

93.1%

93.5%

- 0.2%

+ 0.4%

3 Bedrooms

4 Bedrooms or More

All data provided by Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island - powered by 10K Research and Marketing and sponsored by the South Carolina Association of REALTORS速

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Housing Supply Outlook September 2010 Median Sales Price Last Twelve Months 10-2008 through 9-2009

10-2009 through 9-2010

Change

All Single-Family Condo 2 Bedrooms and Under

$266,500 $275,000 $225,000 $190,000

$245,000 $280,000 $161,000 $162,500

- 8.1% + 1.8% - 28.4% - 14.5%

Single-Family Condo

$185,000 $194,500

$180,000 $128,250

- 2.7% - 34.1%

3 Bedrooms

$282,000 $280,000

- 0.7%

Single-Family Condo

$275,000 $335,000

- 3.6% - 3.0%

4 Bedrooms or More

$475,000 $510,000

+ 7.4%

Single-Family Condo

$473,500 $582,500

+ 6.8% + 22.7%

$265,000 $325,000 $505,875 $715,000

October 2008 through September 2009

October 2009 through September 2010

$510,000 $475,000

$266,500

$282,000 $280,000 $245,000 $190,000

$162,500

- 8.1%

- 14.5%

- 0.7%

All

2 Bedrooms and Under

3 Bedrooms

+ 7.4% 4 Bedrooms or More

Days on Market Until Sale Last Twelve Months 10-2008 through 9-2009

10-2009 through 9-2010

Change

All Single-Family Condo 2 Bedrooms and Under

150 143 171 158

144 146 140 135

- 3.8% + 1.9% - 17.9% - 14.8%

Single-Family Condo

132 175

135 135

+ 1.7% - 22.9%

October 2008 through September 2009

3 Bedrooms

136

136

- 0.3%

Single-Family Condo

133 159

130 169

- 2.5% + 6.3%

4 Bedrooms or More

164

172

+ 4.6%

Single-Family Condo

164 159

172 119

+ 5.0% - 25.5%

October 2009 through September 2010

164

158

150

144

135

136

172

136

- 3.8%

- 14.8%

- 0.3%

+ 4.6%

All

2 Bedrooms and Under

3 Bedrooms

4 Bedrooms or More

All data provided by Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island - powered by 10K Research and Marketing and sponsored by the South Carolina Association of REALTORS速

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Housing Supply Outlook September 2010 Inventory of Homes for Sale All Price Range

9-2009

Single-Family

9-2010

Change

9-2009

Condo

9-2010

Change

9-2009

9-2010

Change

$100,000 and below

248

266

+ 7.3%

65

106

+ 63.1%

183

160

- 12.6%

$100,001 to $225,000

883

796

- 9.9%

568

544

- 4.2%

315

252

- 20.0% + 1.4%

$225,001 to $375,000

741

759

+ 2.4%

450

464

+ 3.1%

291

295

$375,001 to $650,000

928

818

- 11.9%

622

534

- 14.1%

306

284

- 7.2%

$650,001 and above

1,068

919

- 14.0%

951

793

- 16.6%

117

126

+ 7.7%

All Price Ranges

3,868

3,558

- 8.0%

2,656

2,441

- 8.1%

1,212

1,117

- 7.8%

1,068

September 2009 September 2010

928

883

818

796 741

248

919

759

266

+ 7.3% $100,000 and below

- 9.9% $100,001 to $225,000

+ 2.4% $225,001 to $375,000

- 11.9%

- 14.0%

$375,001 to $650,000

$650,001 and above

All data provided by Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island - powered by 10K Research and Marketing and sponsored by the South Carolina Association of REALTORS速

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Housing Supply Outlook September 2010 Months Supply of Inventory All Price Range $100,000 and below

Single-Family

Condo

9-2009

9-2010

Change

9-2009

9-2010

Change

9-2009

9-2010

Change

21.9

6.8

- 69.1%

13.9

8.4

- 39.5%

27.5

6.0

- 78.2%

$100,001 to $225,000

16.5

12.1

- 26.5%

13.9

10.8

- 22.7%

24.5

16.5

- 32.7%

$225,001 to $375,000

16.3

15.5

- 5.2%

13.2

13.3

+ 0.4%

25.9

21.1

- 18.5% - 31.1%

$375,001 to $650,000

26.9

18.8

- 30.1%

23.4

16.3

- 30.5%

38.7

26.6

$650,001 and above

43.2

31.6

- 26.8%

42.4

30.7

- 27.6%

37.6

38.8

+ 3.1%

All Price Ranges

22.8

15.7

- 31.2%

20.7

15.6

- 24.6%

29.6

16.0

- 46.0%

September 2009

September 2010

43.2

31.6 26.9 21.9 18.8 16.5

16.3

15.5

12.1 6.8

- 69.1%

- 26.5%

- 5.2%

- 30.1%

- 26.8%

$100,000 and below

$100,001 to $225,000

$225,001 to $375,000

$375,001 to $650,000

$650,001 and above

All data provided by Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island - powered by 10K Research and Marketing and sponsored by the South Carolina Association of REALTORS速

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Housing Supply Outlook September 2010 Pending Home Sales Last Twelve Months All October 2008 October 2009 through through September 2009 September 2010

Price Range

Single-Family October 2008 October 2009 through through September 2009 September 2010

Change

Condo October 2008 October 2009 through through September 2009 September 2010

Change

Change

$100,000 and below

157

472

+ 200.6%

62

151

+ 143.5%

95

321

+ 237.9%

$100,001 to $225,000

678

790

+ 16.5%

516

607

+ 17.6%

162

183

+ 13.0%

$225,001 to $375,000

561

588

+ 4.8%

415

420

+ 1.2%

146

168

+ 15.1%

$375,001 to $650,000

440

522

+ 18.6%

340

394

+ 15.9%

100

128

+ 28.0%

$650,001 and above

326

349

+ 7.1%

290

310

+ 6.9%

36

39

+ 8.3%

2,162

2,721

+ 25.9%

1,623

1,882

+ 16.0%

539

839

+ 55.7%

All Price Ranges

790

October 2008 through September 2009

October 2009 through September 2010

678 561

588 522

472

440 326

349

157

+ 200.6% $100,000 and below

+ 16.5% $100,001 to $225,000

+ 4.8%

+ 18.6%

+ 7.1%

$225,001 to $375,000

$375,001 to $650,000

$650,001 and above

All data provided by Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island - powered by 10K Research and Marketing and sponsored by the South Carolina Association of REALTORS速

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Housing Supply Outlook September 2010 Percent of List Price Received Last Twelve Months All October 2008 October 2009 through through September 2009 September 2010

Price Range

Single-Family

Condo

October 2008 October 2009 through through September 2009 September 2010

Change

Change

October 2008 October 2009 through through September 2009 September 2010

Change

$100,000 and below

92.6%

95.0%

+ 2.6%

94.7%

93.8%

- 0.9%

91.2%

95.5%

+ 4.7%

$100,001 to $225,000

94.7%

94.9%

+ 0.2%

95.9%

95.8%

- 0.1%

91.0%

92.2%

+ 1.3%

$225,001 to $375,000

93.9%

93.7%

- 0.2%

94.5%

94.4%

- 0.1%

91.9%

92.0%

+ 0.1%

$375,001 to $650,000

93.3%

93.3%

- 0.0%

93.6%

93.7%

+ 0.0%

92.3%

92.1%

- 0.3%

$650,001 and above

89.7%

91.1%

+ 1.5%

89.7%

90.9%

+ 1.4%

90.5%

92.6%

+ 2.4%

All Price Ranges

93.3%

93.8%

+ 0.5%

91.5%

93.4%

+ 2.0%

93.9%

94.0%

+ 0.1%

October 2008 through September 2009

95.0%

94.7%

October 2009 through September 2010

94.9% 93.9%

93.7%

92.6%

93.3%

93.3% 91.1% 89.7%

+ 2.6%

+ 0.2%

- 0.2%

- 0.0%

+ 1.5%

$100,000 and below

$100,001 to $225,000

$225,001 to $375,000

$375,001 to $650,000

$650,001 and above

All data provided by Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island - powered by 10K Research and Marketing and sponsored by the South Carolina Association of REALTORS速

8


Housing Supply Outlook September 2010 Days on Market Until Sale Last Twelve Months All October 2008 October 2009 through through September 2009 September 2010

Price Range

Single-Family October 2008 October 2009 through through September 2009 September 2010

Change

Condo October 2008 October 2009 through through September 2009 September 2010

Change

Change

$100,000 and below

98

75

- 23.4%

80

82

+ 2.5%

111

73

$100,001 to $225,000

127

124

- 2.6%

119

115

- 3.2%

153

152

- 0.8%

$225,001 to $375,000

152

138

- 9.4%

138

125

- 9.3%

196

167

- 14.5%

$375,001 to $650,000

165

187

+ 13.1%

151

175

+ 15.9%

212

229

+ 8.2%

$650,001 and above

197

209

+ 6.1%

199

212

+ 6.6%

181

185

+ 2.2%

All Price Ranges

150

144

- 3.8%

143

146

+ 1.9%

171

140

- 17.9%

October 2008 through September 2009

- 34.5%

October 2009 through September 2010

187

197

209

165 152 127

138 124

98 75

- 23.4%

- 2.6%

- 9.4%

+ 13.1%

+ 6.1%

$100,000 and below

$100,001 to $225,000

$225,001 to $375,000

$375,001 to $650,000

$650,001 and above

All data provided by Multiple Listing Service of Hilton Head Island - powered by 10K Research and Marketing and sponsored by the South Carolina Association of REALTORS速

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