S.C.S.C. POMARIUM Fruct S.R.L. Financing Memorandum
Consilium Advisors | 63 Polona St., 1st Floor, ap. 2, Bucharest Romania, www.consiliumadvisors.ro
CONTENTS
I.
IMPORTANT NOTICE ............................................................................................................................. 3
II. THE COMPANY AND OPERATIONS .................................................................................................... 4 II.1. BRIEF D ESCRIPTION OF THE COMPANY ............................................................................................. 4 II.2. MANAGEMENT ................................................................................................................................... 4 II.3. OPERATIONS .................................................................................................................................... 4 II.4. SALES ANALYSIS ................................................................................................................................ 5 III. INDUSTRY OVERVIEW ........................................................................................................................... 6 III.1.T HE ROMANIAN FRUIT MARKET....................................................................................................... 6 III.2. ROMANIAN SUPER /HYPERMARKETS .................................................................................................. 6 IV. PROFIT AND LOSS ACCOUNT ANALYSIS ........................................................................................... 8 V. BALANCE SHEET ANALYSIS .................................................................................................................. 10 V.1. THE STRUCTURE OF ASSETS ..................................................................................................... 10 V.2. THE STRUCTURE OF THE FOUNDING SOURCES ............................................................... 11 V.3. LIQUITY AND SOLVABILITY ANALYSIS .................................................................................. 12 VI. CREDIT FINANCING PROPOSAL ........................................................................................................ 14 VII. FINANCIAL FORECAST ......................................................................................................................... 15
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I. IMPORTANT NOTICE This Debt Memorandum („DM‟) has been prepared by CONSILIUM ADVISORS by order of S.C. POMARIUM Fruct S.R.L. (the “Company”) in relation to the possibility of raising bank financing for working capital investments. The present DM has been prepared using information supplied by or on behalf of the Company. This DM and its contents are confidential and the property of the Company. It is made available subject strictly to a binding confidentiality agreement. It does not constitute an offer in any form. The purpose of the DM is to assist the recipient in deciding whether it wishes to proceed with working capital financing and to assist with their decision in relation to what additional information they may require in order to proceed with further analysis and in the decision in respect of the financing terms. While the information in this DM has been prepared in good faith, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is or will be construed as having been made and no responsibility or liability, however arising is or will be accepted by the Company or any member of their respective groups or their directors, officers, employees, agents, controlling persons or advisers as to or in relation to the fairness, accuracy or completeness to of this DM or any other information supplied or made available, in writing or orally, in connection with any negotiations and any such liability is expressly disclaimed. In particular, but without prejudice to the generality of the foregoing, no representation or warranty is given as to the achievement or reasonable of any future projections, management estimates prospects or returns contained in this DM or in such other written or oral information. This DM has been delivered to interested parties for information only and on the express understanding that they will use it only for the purpose set out above. Neither the information set out in this DM nor referred to in such other written or oral information nor its delivery to any recipient shall form the basis of or be relied on in any connection with any contract. The content of this DM shall not be taken as any form of commitment on the part of the Company to proceed with any transaction.
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II. THE COMPANY AND OPERATIONS II.1. BRIEF D ESCRIPTION OF THE COMPANY “S.C. POMARIUM Fruct S.R.L.” started its operations in 2009. The company‟s shareholders are: Mr. Suat Alpozu (50%) Mr. Vargin Muslu (50%) The company‟s administrator is Mr. Kose Hamza. The company‟s headquarters are located in Bucharest, 4 Alba Iulia sq, floor 10, sect.3. The warehouses and operation offices are located at No. 86 DN2, Afumati, Ilfov. POMARIUM Fruct is wholesaling fruits and vegetables (CAEN code 4631), especially bananas and apples. The company also distributes the following fruits: peaches, nectarines, grapes, tangerines, oranges, lemons, kiwi and vegetables: onions, potatoes, etc. The merchandise is acquired from internal and external suppliers and sold to large and medium size distribution networks. The merchandise is acquired from international suppliers and partners from Italy and Austria.
II.2. MANAGEMENT The shareholders are involved in the high level management of the company and have impressive experience in the wholesaling of bananas and apples in Romania. Mr. Suat Alpozu managed to set-up several banana distribution businesses with impressive results since starting his activity in Romania 25 years ago.
II.3. OPERATIONS In a nutshell, POMARIUM acquires fruits based on existing orders with virtually no merchandise returns. After purchase, the fruits are delivered to clients except for bananas that have to ripen another 5 days in warehouses. Warehousing agreements are very flexible, allowing for a charge per case as opposed to a fixed rent. Due to the high negotiation power of large retailers (super/hypermarkets) the number of accounts receivable days is between 19-30 while for other retailers it is around 10 days. The average account payable number of days is between 7 for bananas and 15 other fruits and vegetables. In order to cover this turnover gap, POMARIUM Fruct is looking for a credit line / factoring facility. POMARIUM‟s sales increased aggressively in the first year of operations. October and November 2011 were the first month with solid, stabilized results after 12 months of gaining market share and policy to enter and sign contracts with important key accounts like Metro, Lidl, Kaufland, Real, Auchan. POMARIUM is preparing for the second stage of its development: increasing its portfolio of distribution networks and improving operational performance. The recently signed contracts with Real, Lidl, Metro and Auchan will boost sales by more than 100% requiring a working capital increase.
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To handle the new sales volume POMARIUM will hire more warehouse workers in December, resulting in 25% increase in personnel expenses. POMARIUM acquired an apple sorting machine (mainly destination represent sorting and packing in casseroles with 4-8 pieces for retail market purpose) that will drop costs by 0.04 Euro/kg of packaged apples, totalling 80,000 Euro cost reduction per year after its set-up in Q1 2012. The machine cost of 67,000 Euro is financed through a 2 years leasing contract for 67,000 Euro.
II.4. SALES ANALYSIS POMARIUM exhibits an obviously increasing sales trend affected only by the apple and banana seasonality. Until October 2011 Kaufland was the only hypermarket client, while “Others” are dealing with proximity or specialty shops, etc. We present below the evolution of sales in 2011 for Kaufland and other distributors, focusing on the last 4 months. The last column represents average monthly sales adjusted for seasonality. More information on seasonality assumptions can be found in the annexes. POMARIUM Fruct Net Monthly Sales in 2011 (000 Euro)
Jan Kaufland Others Total
n/a n/a n/a
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a
Seasonality adj. factor 1.29 n/a 445 n/a 510 n/a 955
4 mo. avg
Management predictions for 2012 are listed below: POMARIUM Fruct Forecasted Sales for 2012 (000 Euros)
Bananas 1,619 2,024 810 2,024 1,619 12,090 20,187
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a TOTAL
Apples 1,609 805 563 402 241 1,127 4,747
Other 1,836 651 651 651 651 368 4,808
TOTAL 5,065 3,480 2,024 3,077 2,512 13,585 29,742
Avg. monthly sales 422 290 169 256 209 1,132 2,479
We can see that in 2012 Kaufland average monthly sales are decreasing from 445 to 422 (000 Euro) due to a different product mix. The management targets a 122% (yoy) increase in sales to “Other” retailers fuelled by bananas.
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III. INDUSTRY OVERVIEW III.1.THE ROMANIAN FRUIT MARKET Romania has significant strengths in the fresh fruits and vegetables sector, especially the quality and safety of its products, but there are several factors that negatively affect its competitiveness. These include the high fragmentation of agricultural land and the profusion of small-scale subsistence farms, unable to produce for either the domestic or foreign market. Distribution channels of fruits and vegetables are grouped in 2 categories:
Short distribution channel – direct sales and local producers‟ markets
Traditional distribution channel – wholesale (distributors, importers) and retail markets (hyper and supermarkets, open markets, specialized shops) Marketing and sales to the public are the most important functions at the retail level. The structure of the retail trade for fruit and vegetables offers consumers the possibility to make a choice from various points of sale, the most important being:
Specialized fruit and vegetables shops;
Hyper / supermarkets;
Open-air markets;
Producers / farmers. Domestic supply could be structured in two main categories: local production and imports. There are two season peaks: summer and winter. Imports are frequently used during the winter season, when supply is mainly provided by distributors and specialized companies. Internal offer is not covering the entire 12 months of the year, so there are some shortages between summer and winter. Moreover, changing climate has affected the products quality, so that local producers cannot comply with the standards requested by retailers. In this context, domestic demand is covered by significant imports. There is a visible change in Romanian consumers‟ behavior. These consumers request high quality products and, ultimately, they are willing to pay a higher price for a good product. There is also a relatively limited consumers segment which is loyal to cheap products, the quality factor being ignored. The main fruits sold by retailers in Romania remain the bananas, followed by oranges, apples and raisin. During 2003-2007, Romanian fruits exports value rose, in average, by 9%. Yet, during 2008, it registered a 22.8% decline compared to year ago and compared to a 3.3% rise in 2006. Main importing countries of Romanian fruits in 2008 were Germany (34.2% of total Romanian fruits exports), Italy, Turkey, Slovenia, Croatia, Russian Federation, Hungary, Bosnia & Herzegovina and Croatia. Main fruits exported by Romania on these markets were walnuts, apricots, cherries, peaches, plums, berries and apples.
III.2. ROMANIAN SUPER/HYPERMARKETS Since the arrival of the first international store in 1996, the structure of Romanian retail has changed dramatically and rapidly. By the end of 2005, 182 huge new international supermarkets and hypermarkets were in operation, with numbers still continuing to increase. Initially concentrated around Bucharest, the supermarket chains have now expanded to other towns and cities across Romania. Comfortable shopping environments - warm in winter and air-conditioned in summer – Consilium Advisors | 63 Polona St., 1st Floor, ap. 2, Bucharest Romania, www.consiliumadvisors.ro 6|P a g e
they offer a wide range of competitively priced products to attract customers. Supermarkets and hypermarkets now capture more than 1/3 of all consumers spending in Romania. The majority of large retail chains in Romania have central buying and distribution centers based in Bucharest, that are responsible for purchasing products for all the stores in the Romanian chain. This system of centralized buying, combined with the rise in the volumes of products being sold in supermarkets and hypermarkets, has resulted in: i)
a small number of individuals/retail buyers responsible for buying huge volumes of food products, and
ii) a significant reduction in the number of buyers for products retailed in Romania. In addition, strong price competition between the many retail chains to attract consumers, has resulted in downward pressure on prices paid to suppliers.
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IV. PROFIT AND LOSS ACCOUNT ANALYSIS As we described in Chapter one of this report, the company‟s past activity is not significant in judging its prospects as the business to be developed will be much larger than the current one. Moreover, the company will be able the gain larger margins given that it has a sales record and will get better prices from suppliers. However, the Profit and Loss Account main figures are available while the appropriate comments are discussed within this chapter. October-10
PROFIT & LOSS ACCOUNT (Values in EUR)
(%)
NET SALES
100%
Less: Cost of Goods Sold Merchandise
100% 98%
Utilities (water, energy, gas)
0%
Ripening & Storage Transportation Other COGS GROSS PROFIT ON SALES Add: Other Operating Revenues Less: Selling and Marketing Expenses Less: General and Administrative Expenses Rent Depots and Offices Salaries expenses Banking & Financial Services Other operating expenses Add: Other income/expenses (net) (f/x, discounts) EBITDA Less: Depreciation + Provisions NET OPERATING PROFIT (LOSS) - EBIT Less: Financing Expenses (net) Add: Gain/loss from extraordinary items NET PROFIT (LOSS) BEFORE INC. TAXES Less: Income Taxes Add: Minority Interest NET PROFIT (LOSS) AFTER INC. TAXES
0% 0% 2% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% -1% 0% -1% 0% 0% -1% 0% 0% -1%
December-10 (%)
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
100% 100% 97% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% -1% 0% -1% 0% 0% -1% 0% 0% -1%
June-11 (%)
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
100% 99% 98% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% -1% 0% -1% 0% 0% -1% 0% 0% -1%
September-11 (%)
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
100% 99% 98% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 2% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% -1% 0% -1% 0% 0% -1% 0% 0% -1%
October-11 (%)
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
100% 99% 97% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 2% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% -1% 0% -1% 0% 0% -1% 0% 0% -1%
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
In the past year, the company‟s net sales were given by the revenues from the merchandise selling, with no contribution from services and works. Regarding the evolution we note the increasing trend biased by seasonality. Regarding the profitability, we notice the relevance of COGS, so that some comments are necessary. First, the largest contributor to these costs is the merchandise expenses, so that the trend in COGS was strongly influenced by the evolution of these expenses. Gross Profit margin is steadily increasing. Continuing the analysis of the Profit and Loss Account one observes that the company only incurred minimal selling and marketing expenses (protocol). Thus, given the extremely good connections of the company‟s management with distribution networks, large advertising expenses or other marketing expenses were not justified. Furthermore, for a complete analysis of the Profit and Loss Account we provide below the Table of the Intermediate Management balances, as this grouping of expenditures is useful in helping identifying underlying factors and trends.
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EUR Merchandise revenues
Oct-10
Dec-10
Jun-11
Sep-11
Oct-11
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Merchandise costs
Production of the year
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Raw material costs Other material costs Energy and water Third parties expenses
n/a n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a
Added value
-2,192
-2,006
152
- 25,210
- 2,760
Subventions Taxes and others Personnel expenses
n/a n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a
n/a n/a
n/a n/a
n/a n/a
n/a n/a
Trade margin Stored and sold production Production for own use
Gross operating surplus Provisions incomes Other exploitation revenues Depreciation Other exploitation costs
Operating profit Financial incomes Financial costs
Gross profit Tax on income
Net profit
In December 2010, a couple of month after the company set-up, the companyâ€&#x;s trade margin turned to black. The trade margin is steadily increasing due to better terms obtained from suppliers, reaching 6.8% in October 2011. The target for 2012 is a realistic 7%. Ripening and transportation are the most important direct costs apart from merchandise, both under 1% of net sales. They are included in third party expenses. Energy, gas and water will keep a level of 1.5% of sales. The cumulative results for October 2011 show a drastic improvement of the added value indicator, although still negative. Going further, it is easily noticed that the personnel expenses diminished their influence on gross operating surplus, as the volume of sales grows. It is expected that personnel salaries will increase by 25% in December, way below the increase in sales. Gross, Operating and Profit Margins have all improved significantly during 2011. Target values for 2012 are 2.6%, 1.8% and 1.3% respectively. The key success factor is timing supply and demand in order to maximize gross profit. Based on the managementâ€&#x;s experience and connections with suppliers the company will be able to reach this objective. % Net profit margin Gross profit margin Operating profit margin Return on assets (ROA) Return on capital employed (ROCE) Operating return on assets
Dec-10 - 0.89 0.07 - 0.90 - 1.46 - 1.45
Oct-10 - 1.34 1.28 - 1.36 - 8.97 - 8.22
Jun-11 - 0.63 2.07 - 0.63 - 2.15 - 2.02
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Sep-11 - 1.49 2.00 - 1.50 - 8.73 - 8.57
Oct-11 -1.09 2.62 - 1.10 - 5.18 - 5.05
V.
BALANCE SHEET ANALYSIS
V.1. THE STRUCTURE OF ASSETS BALANCE SHEET ASSETS
Note
Cash and equivalents Short term investments Receivables (net of allowances for doubtful accounts) of which: intra-group receivables Inventory Advances to suppliers Deferred income tax (assets) other current assets
1
0%
3
41%
TOTAL ASSETS
0% 41% 0% 11%
8
0%
9 10
3% 0% 3%
11 12
n/a
10% 0%
0% 0%
December10 n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
0% 28% 0% 0% 9% 90% 0%
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
n/a
100%
n/a
0%
n/a n/a
0% 12% 0% 0% 2%
99% 0%
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
1%
n/a
0%
n/a
100%
n/a
100%
n/a
0%
0%
1% 0%
n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
1%
(%) 1% 0%
n/a 0% 13% 0% 0% 4% 96% 0%
0% 1% 0% 0%
October11 n/a n/a n/a
66%
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
1%
0%
0%
0%
September -11 n/a
77%
0%
10%
2%
n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
1%
10%
0%
6%
(%)
79%
11%
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
June-11 (%)
n/a 42%
4%
13
(%)
n/a
96%
TOTAL FIXED ASSETS &SLOW ASSETS Settlement accounts
October10 n/a
0%
4 5 6 7
NET FIXED ASSETS Other assets (intangible & financial) Fixed assets under construction
3%
2
TOTAL CURRENT ASSETS Land Property Plant and Equipment (other than land) Less: Depreciation
(%)
0% 24% 0% 0% 5%
97% 0%
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
1%
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
0%
0% 0% 0%
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
1%
1% 4%
n/a
2%
n/a
100%
n/a
100%
n/a
The assets structure recorded important changes from year to year during the analyzed period as the graph nearby shows, due to the level of activity. Analyzing assets structure, we observe that current assets are much more significant than fixed assets, especially given the companyâ€&#x;s activity profile. Concerning the percentage of fixed assets of total assets we note that it remained quite constant during the first year of operations and is not supposed to increase during the next years. Regarding the current assets structure, we note that they mainly include receivables and inventories (approx. 90% of total assets value) as the cash and equivalents are extremely low (approx. 1% of total assets value in October 2011). Concerning assets posts evolution, we note that the receivables and inventories increased significantly while the cash and equivalents post remained almost constant during the last three months. We should also mention that he balance between Accounts Receivables and Inventory will fluctuate depending on merchandise seasonality, as it can be seen in the graph below. Other asset classes are much less relevant.
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As we can observe from the graph detailing assets‟s structure and evolution, company‟s assets were largely determined by receivables post which recorded an important increase in September 2011. In this respect, we note that receivables collection risk is low as the company‟s merchandise are sold to one of the most important distribution networks from the national market. The details of these contracts are summarized below: Company's top clients
Balance at 31.10.2011
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Turnover (days)
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
TOTAL
Collection method
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
V.2. THE STRUCTURE OF THE FOUNDING SOURCES LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS EQUITY
Current funded debt (bank and non-bank related) Account payables, net Taxes payables Accrued payrolls. Other current accrued liabilities Dividends payable Clients' advances
Note
(%)
TOTAL SLOW LIABILITIES TOTAL LIABILITIES
n/a
(%)
December10 n/a
June-11 (%)
(%)
n/a
n/a
(%)
October11 n/a
0%
15
94%
n/a
90%
n/a
64%
n/a
75%
n/a
82%
n/a
16
0%
1%
n/a n/a
0%
n/a n/a
0%
0%
n/a n/a
0%
17
n/a n/a
n/a n/a
18 19
0%
n/a n/a n/a
0%
n/a n/a n/a
0%
n/a n/a n/a
0%
n/a n/a n/a
0%
0%
94%
20 21 22
7%
n/a n/a n/a n/a
101%
n/a
0% 7% 0%
0%
0%
0%
90%
18%
n/a n/a n/a n/a
108%
n/a
0% 18% 0%
0%
0%
0%
64%
39%
n/a n/a n/a n/a
103%
n/a
0% 39% 0%
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September11
14
TOTAL CURRENT LIABILITIES Term debt (bank and non bank related) Company's debts to shareholders Other liabilities
October10
0%
0%
0%
75%
0%
0%
0%
82%
n/a n/a n/a
34%
n/a n/a n/a n/a
24%
n/a n/a n/a n/a
109%
n/a
106%
n/a
0% 34% 0%
0% 24% 0%
Paid in capital stock Earned surplus (deficit) Distribution of profit Minority interest
23 24 25
0%
Provisions for bad debts
26
0%
Revaluation Reserves
27 28
0%
0%
TOTAL NET WORTH Settlement account TOTAL LIABILITIES&NET WORTH
0% -1%
29
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
-1%
n/a n/a n/a
0%
n/a
0%
1% -9% 0% 0% 0%
-8%
n/a n/a n/a
0%
n/a
0% 0%
n/a 100%
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
0% -3% 0% 0% 0%
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
-3%
n/a n/a n/a
0%
n/a
0% 0%
n/a
0% -9% 0% 0% 0%
0% -6% 0% 0% 0%
-9%
-6%
n/a n/a n/a
0%
n/a
0%
n/a
0%
0% 0%
n/a
100%
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
n/a n/a n/a
0%
n/a
100%
n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
100%
n/a 100%
After reviewing the structure of the liabilities and shareholders‟ net worth it is noticed that the company maintained until 2010 its financial independence as it never used credit financing. Thus, during 2011, the company debts are largely given by the current debts due to suppliers and shareholders. The value of payables raised in October 2011 up to 900,000 Euro. The other financing source is shareholder debt which remained at 260,000 Euro for the last few months. Shareholders have proved their commitments in sustaining this business as they provide the needed funds to cover for increases in working capital.
V.3. LIQUITY AND SOLVABILITY ANALYSIS Even if POMARIUM Fruct reports a high leverage, it managed to maintain positive liquidity ratios, given the fact that the company‟s current assets declined less than the current debts. As we can see, the best results were recorded in June 2011 when the values of company‟s current assets recorded an important increase compared to the previous period. Analyzing the structure of these assets we observe that this favorable situation was especially the result of the receivables and cash increase.
Current ratio Quick ratio Cash ratio Cash conversion cycle (days)
Dec-10
Oct-10
Jun-11
Sep-11
Oct-11
1.02 1.02 0.04 (19.45)
1.00 0.69 0.11 (11.04)
1.54 1.36 0.10 13.85
1.27 1.10 0.02 6.45
1.19 0.89 0.02 4.65
The current ratio, computed as the ratio between current assets and current liabilities, is useful for assessing the company‟s capacity to pay back its current debts by making use of its liquidities, its receivables collections and the revenues generated by selling its inventory. Therefore, it is recommended that this ratio posts a value higher than one, a level that is respected by S.C. POMARIUM Fruct S.R.L. for the analyzed period.
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However, the comfort is even higher if we also take into account that a lower value does not signal lack of solvability as the company can make use of other resources as well. Moreover, the debts due to suppliers have a permanent component, meaning that they will regenerate once the company acquires new materials / goods. Given that the changes in current ratio are sensitive to the trend experienced by stocks it is also useful to assess the companyâ€&#x;s liquidity in the eventuality that the inventory cannot be sold. Therefore, this adjustment of the ratio must be considered in order to prevent spurious results affected by an upward trend in inventory due to diminishing demand. For POMARIUM Fruct, we note good levels of this ratio during the analyzed period, in October 2010/2011 the reported level is only slightly lower especially due to the current liabilities increase. The third liquidity ratio measured the companyâ€&#x;s capacity to cover current debts by employing its cash. Thus, it mimics the ratio of default if the firm does not manage to sell its inventory and collect its receivables. However, we consider that this ratio is not of great importance for our company as it has a constant demand and also a considerable number of contracts closed for this year. Therefore, it is highly likely that the inventory will be sold.
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VI.
CREDIT FINANCING PROPOSAL
Below we provide a detailing of the destination of the funds needed.
Facility
Factoring Line
Working Capital Credit Line
Letter of Guarantee
Value
700,000 Euro
250,000 Euro
250,000 Euro
Purpose
Covering Accounts Payable until
Covering Accounts Payable until
Covering
the collection of receivables for
the collection of receivables for
onions and potatoes.
sales
banana sales to other retailers
Maturity
1 year
1 year
Grace period
n.a.
n.a.
Available
POMARIUM FRUCT distribution
POMARIUM FRUCT distribution
warranties
contracts with retailers.
contracts with retailers.
imports
of
6 months
Real estate securities: 8,000 sqm plot inside Afumati,
near
the
highway ring, valued at approx. 150 Euro / sqm. Reimbursement
Collections
from
the
above
Collections
from
the
above
mentioned companies from due
mentioned companies from due
Accounts Payable
Accounts Payable
Voluntary
The Borrower may prepay the
The Borrower may prepay the
prepayments
Facility in whole or in part,
Facility in whole or in part,
anytime during the entire life of
anytime during the entire life of
the Facility
the Facility
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VII.
FINANCIAL FORECAST
REVENUES I.
Quantities and
Prices
Average sales are supposed to increase yearly by 5% for all categories of fruits and vegetables. Sales are subject to the following seasonality curves.
Bananas Apples Other
jan
feb
mar
apr
may
jun
jul
aug
sep
oct
nov
dec
10% 10% 0%
7% 15% 0%
7% 20% 0%
10% 30% 0%
7% 45% 0%
3% 45% 0%
-5% 45% 0%
-20% -20% 0%
-30% -100% 0%
-20% -100% 0%
5% 0% 0%
26% 10% 0%
Prices also tend to increase in peak seasons, with the following seasonality: Bananas Apples Others
jan
feb
mar
apr
may
jun
jul
aug
sep
oct
nov
dec
3% 3% 0%
2% 4% 0%
2% 5% 0%
3% 8% 0%
2% 11% 0%
1% 11% 0%
-1% 11% 0%
-5% -5% 0%
-8% -25% 0%
-5% -25% 0%
1% 0% 0%
7% 3% 0%
Prices (in Euro) are supposed to increase 2% yearly, with the general inflation index. Sales for 2012 will be detailed in the annexes. The ratio of Merchandise Costs to Net Sales is supposed to stay at 93 / 100, meaning that POMARIUM will use an average mark-up of 7,5%. II.
Inventory,
The inventory level is specific to bananas, which are supposed to rip in POMARIUM‟s warehouses: 3 days for shipment to
Accounts Receivable
POMARIUM‟s warehouses and 5 days for ripening. Apples and other fruits and vegetables need to stay only 4 days in POMARIUM‟s
and Accounts
inventory.
Payable
Accounts Receivable are specific to each distribution network: Kaufland – 30 days
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Lidl – 30 days Real – 19 days Metro – 19 days Auchan – 21 days Others – 10 days average Accounts Payable are specific to each type of fruit: Bananas – 7 days Apples – 15 days Other – 15 days average III.
COGS
Ripening and storage costs depend on the number of stocked cases as follows: 0.28 Euro / box of bananas / month, 0.02 Euro / kg / month for other fruits and vegetables Utilities are 1.5% of the net sales Transportation is 0.6% of the net sales
IV. Other Operating Expenses V.
Merchandise
expenses
Rents and salaries are supposed to increase at a rate of 2% each year. Social security expenses are estimated as a percentage of salaries: 27,76% Other COGS are 0.02% of sales, based on their current level These expenses are strongly correlated with the value of the revenues generated by the restaurant activities as they mostly contain the goods sold within the restaurant (beverages, sweets etc). Based on the historical figures and on our discussion with the management, these costs should account for no more than 35 percent of the revenues realized by the restaurant.
VI. Depreciation
The newly acquired sorting machine is supposed to depreciate in 10 years, adding to a current level of 20,16 Euro / months.
VII. Interests
We consider a 8,43% interest rate for leasing (6,9% + Euribor3M) and a maximum 10% (in Euro) for the credit line / factoring facility.
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a) For the Working Capital Credit Line, sales forecast is available below:
Revenues (EURO) OTHERS
Dec-11
Jan-12
Feb-12
Mar-12
Apr-12
May-12
Jun-12
Jul-12
Aug-12
Sep-12
Oct-12
Nov-12
Dec-12
1,317,325
1,129,448
1,090,606
1,090,606
1,129,448
1,090,606
1,039,518
939,746
761,313
648,619
761,313
1,064,962
1,344,219
In order to highlight the POMARIUM Fruct business potential we present below a conservative Net Sales forecast for the following 3 years.
Net Sales Forecast (EURO) 2012 Net Sales BANANAS Net Sales APPLES Net Sales OTHER FRUITS & VEGETABLES
NET SALES
2014
21,613,088 5,115,986 5,130,142
23,151,599 5,509,523 5,472,152
29,742,392
31,859,216
34,133,274
Consilium Advisors | 63 Polona St., 1st Floor, ap. 2, Bucharest Romania, www.consiliumadvisors.ro 17 | P a g e
2013
20,186,660 4,747,435 4,808,297
Consilium Advisors | 63 Polona St., 1st Floor, ap. 2, Bucharest Romania, www.consiliumadvisors.ro 18 | P a g e