Sustainable dividend yield
Description: Sustainable dividend yield. Interest rates down in 4Q but margins flattish. DNB top pick among Nordic Financials NDA remain our Swedish favorite Oil price shock in 4Q We believe investor focus will turn from fully valued Swedish names towards less demanding pricing of Norwegian banks which could double dividends over the next years.In 4Q we have seen a 60% drop in oil price, Swedish politics in upheaval which have halted the proposed bank tax, a drop in interest rates in Sweden and Norway of ~20bp, SEKNOK parity. Despite all this the Nordics show continued stable development and hence our top pick are unchanged–DNB and NDA. Mild NII headwind, 21bps drop in short term rates in 4Q vouch for increased pressure on NII as deposit margins suffer again.With continued subdued credit growth banks have increased attention to costs. We hike EPS as lower costs more than outweigh a slight margin pressure. Soft macro outlook in Finland and the sharp drop in oil price in 4Q are not visible in increased losses yet.
Reference URL: http://business.wesrch.com/paper-details/pdf-BU187QVG8HCML-sustainable -dividend-yield