Does Parental Quality Matter? Evidence on the Transmission of Human Capital Using Variation in Parental Influence from Death, Divorce, and Family Size Eric D. Gould Hebrew University Avi Simhon Hebrew University Bruce Weinberg Ohio State University 1
Does Parental Education Affect Kids?
• Every Data Set: Strong positive correlation between schooling of parents and children. • Causation or Correlation? • Nature or Nurture? And what kind of Nurture?
2
Does Parental Education Affect Kids? Why is this important? • If it is correlation (genetic): more limited policy options to improve well-being and opportunities for children. • If causal: suggests that policy interventions can affect not only this generation, but also the next. • Especially true: education affects many non-labor market outcomes – marriage, divorce, health, crime. 3
Our Contributions • New identification strategy • Exploit variation in the amount of time children spend with each parent (parental death, divorce, family size) • Our results are different → larger causal effects • Reconcile contradictory findings in the literature. • Shed light on casual mechanisms: effect of parental education depends on amount of parental control. 4
Our Contributions • Help us understand a puzzle → why educated parents spend more time with their children? • Guryan, Hurst, and Kearney (2008)
5
Existing Literature Three Basic Strategies • Twins: control for common genes between twins • Adoptions: parents and children don’t share genes. • IV: Instrumental Variables for Parental Education
• All three have benefits but also limitations. 6
Existing Literature - Adoptions • Plug and Vijverberg (2003), Plug (2004), Bjorklund et al. (2006), Sacerdote (2007). • Strategy: use variation in adopting parents’ schooling levels to see how it affects adopted child’s schooling. • Results: mostly nature, some but much less nurture. • But larger effects on non-school outcomes.
7
Existing Literature - Adoptions Critique of Adoptions Strategy: (1) Adopted children are not randomly placed (except for Sacerdote (2007)). (2) Variation comes the whole environment not just parental education.
8
Existing Literature - IV • Black, Devereux, and Salvanes (2005) • Instrument for Parental Education: the increase in compulsory schooling in Norway from seventh to ninth grade during the 1960’s. • Results: little evidence for a causal relationship between parent and child schooling. • However, maternal education does affect sons when sample is restricted to low education women. 9
Existing Literature - IV • Advantages: identifies effect of a parent’s education. • Disadvantages: 1. Effect could be due to spouse’s education or income.
2. Spouse’s education is tricky – Oreopoulos et. al. sums both parent’s education together. 3. Compulsory schooling laws may have been accompanied by other changes in school system – violating IV assumptions. 10
Summary of Existing Literature • Parents have little effect on child schooling levels. • Although, some IV evidence that mother’s education from the low-end of the distribution matters. • Bigger effects found using other academic outcomes: 1. 2. 3. 4.
grade retention dropouts test scores behavioral issues 11
Reconciling Conflicting Results • Holmlund et al. (2010) and Haegeland et al. (2010) • Differences in results comes from the methods, not the different sources of data. • IV produces bigger effects because it uses variation at the lower end of the education distribution. • Adoptees uses variation at the upper end of the parental distribution. • Our results will confirm these findings. 12
Related Literature Parental Time Use • Guryan, Hurst, and Kearney (2008) • Educated men and women spend more time with their kids, despite higher wages and hours worked. • At the same time, they reduce time spent on every other non-labor market activity. • Why? We show they are more productive. 13
Our Data • Jewish, native, non ultra-orthodox • Scheduled to graduate high school between 1992 and 2009 (born between 1974 and 1991). • Student info: matriculation grades, birth date, number of siblings, birth order, gender, 12th grade school id, socioeconomic index for neighborhood. • Parental info: schooling level, date of birth, date of death (as of 2010), last change in marital status, income 1988-2008. 14
Table 1: Summary Statistics
Death of Mother Analysis
Mother Did Not Die
Mother Died before 18
Mother Died after 18
Passed Matriculation Exam
0.60
0.54
Mother's Education
12.52
Father's Education
Death of Father Analysis
Father Did Not Die
Father Died before 18
Father Died after 18
0.53
0.61
0.50
0.49
11.92
11.88
12.56
11.84
11.58
12.47
12.34
11.97
12.51
11.34
11.55
Mother's Log Income FixedEffect
-0.14
-0.15
-0.26
-0.13
-0.32
-0.34
Father's Log Income FixedEffect
-0.08
-0.17
-0.23
-0.07
-0.35
-0.38
Number of Siblings
2.29
2.11
2.36
2.28
2.44
2.56
11.88
15 11.94
Socioeconomic Index of the Locality
12.57
12.66
12.34
12.60
Appendix Table 1: Causes of Parental Deaths (Cohorts 1992-2004) Mother Loss before Age 18
Infections Neoplasms Endocrine Blood Disease Mental Nervous System Circulatory Respiratory Digestive Urinary Pregnancy Skin Musculatory-Skeletal Congenital Unknown Illness Traffic Accident
Father Loss before Age 18
Frequency
Percent
Frequency
Percent
66
1.23
53
0.39
3,574
66.42
4,007
29.71
68
1.26
321
2.38
23
0.43
35
0.26
70
1.30
317
2.35
29
0.54
74
0.55
496
9.22
3,719
27.58
85
1.58
354
2.62
76
1.41
435
3.23
37
0.69
156
1.16
40
0.74
3
0.06
7
0.05
22
0.41
19
0.14
12
0.22
28
0.21
178
3.31
1,146
8.50
208
3.87
925
6.86
148
2.75
579
4.29
16
Table 1 Comments • Large sample (relative to literature). • Matriculation passing is important, lots of variation ≈ 60% • Students who lost a parent have lower passing rates, but are not randomly selected (parental education). • Losing a mother seems more random than losing a father. • Widowed Fathers remarry more often than grieving mothers. 17
Table 2: Descriptive Regressions for Individuals that Did Not Suffer Parental Loss Dependant Variable: Pass Matriculation Exam
(1)
Mother's Education
(2)
0.044***
(4)
(5)
(6)
(7)
(8)
0.026*** 0.020*** 0.018***
(0.00) Father's Education
(3)
(0.00) 0.042*** (0.00)
(0.00)
0.015***
(0.00)
(0.00)
0.026*** 0.019*** 0.017*** (0.00)
(0.00)
0.014***
(0.00)
Mother's Log Income Fixed-Effect
(0.0003)
0.077*** 0.054*** 0.053*** (0.00)
Father's Log Income Fixed-Effect
(0.00)
(0.00)
0.072*** 0.050*** 0.056*** (0.00)
Socioeconomic Index for Locality
(9)
(0.00) (0.0008)
0.032*** (0.00) 0.036*** (0.00)
0.008***
0.011***
0.007***
(0.00)
(0.00)
(0.00)
Other controls: ages of both parents when the child was born, number of siblings, birth Number School Fixed order, aofdummy for being male, and a dummy for each cohort. Effects
Sample Restriction
850
847
851
848
847 18
Table 3: Comparing Students Who Lost a Parent to Those That Did Not Dependant Variable: Pass Matriculation Exam Did Not Lose a Parent (1)
Mother's Education
Father's Education
(2)
Lost Mother Before Age 18 (3)
(4)
Lost Father Before Age 18 (5)
0.018***
0.009***
0.022***
(0.00)
(0.003)
(0.00)
0.017***
0.019***
0.009***
(0.00)
(0.003)
(0.00)
0.008***
0.012***
0.009***
(6)
Mother's Log Income Fixed-Effect
Father's Log Income Fixed-Effect
Socioeconomic Index for Locality
(0.00) when the child (0.00) Other controls: ages of both parents was born, number (0.00) of siblings, birth 19 order, a dummy for being male, and a dummy for each cohort.
Table 3: Comparing Students Who Lost a Parent to Those That Did Not Dependant Variable: Pass Matriculation Exam Did Not Lose a Parent (1)
Mother's Education
Father's Education
(3)
(4)
Lost Father Before Age 18 (5)
0.018***
0.009***
0.022***
(0.00)
(0.003)
(0.00)
0.017***
0.019***
0.009***
(0.00)
(0.003)
(0.00)
Mother's Log Income Fixed-Effect
Father's Log Income Fixed-Effect
Socioeconomic Index for Locality
(2)
Lost Mother Before Age 18
0.008***
(6)
0.053***
0.005
0.050***
(0.00)
(0.01)
(0.004)
0.055***
0.066***
0.016***
(0.00)
(0.01)
(0.00)
0.011***
0.012***
0.015***
0.009***
0.013***
(0.00) when (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) (0.00) Other controls: ages of both parents the child was born, number (0.00) of siblings, birth 20 order, a dummy for being male, and a dummy for each cohort.
Table 4: Mother Loss Analysis - The Effect of Losing a Mother Interacted with Parental Education Dependant Variable: Pass Matriculation Exam (1)
Mother Died
(2)
(3)
(4)
-0.038*** (0.0038)
Mother Died when Child < 18
0.0021 (0.0245)
Mother's Education
0.0260*** (0.0003)
Father's Education
0.0262*** (0.0003)
Mother Died when Child < 18 interacted with: Mother's Education
-0.0056** (0.0023)
21
Table 4: Mother Loss Analysis - The Effect of Losing a Mother Interacted with Parental Education Dependant Variable: Pass Matriculation Exam
Mother Died
Mother Died when Child < 18
Mother's Education
Father's Education
(1)
(2)
(3)
-0.038***
-0.0247***
-0.0238***
(0.0038)
(0.0035)
(0.0037)
0.0021
0.0287
0.032
(0.0245)
(0.0228)
(0.0241)
0.0260***
0.0203***
0.0182***
(0.0003)
(0.0003)
(0.0003)
0.0262***
0.0189***
0.0171***
(0.0003)
(0.0002)
(0.0003)
Socioeconomic Index for Locality
(4)
0.0082*** (0.0002)
Mother Died when Child < 18 interacted with: Mother's Education
-0.0056**
-0.0079***
-0.0073***
(0.0023)
(0.0021)
(0.0023)
22
Table 4: Mother Loss Analysis - The Effect of Losing a Mother Interacted with Parental Education Dependant Variable: Pass Matriculation Exam (1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
Mother Died
-0.038***
-0.0247***
-0.0238***
-0.0238***
Mother Died when Child < 18
(0.0038) 0.0021
(0.0035) 0.0287
(0.0037) 0.032
(0.0037) -0.0322***
Mother's Education
(0.0245) 0.0260***
(0.0228) 0.0203***
(0.0241) 0.0182***
(0.0065) 0.0182***
Father's Education
(0.0003) 0.0262***
(0.0003) 0.0189***
(0.0003) 0.0171***
(0.0003) 0.0171***
(0.0003)
(0.0002)
(0.0003)
(0.0003)
0.0082***
0.0082***
(0.0002)
(0.0002)
Socioeconomic Index for Locality
Mother Died when Child < 18 interacted with: Mother's Education
Father's Education
-0.0056**
-0.0079***
-0.0073***
(0.0023)
(0.0021)
(0.0023)
0.0027
0.0029
0.002
(0.0023)
(0.0021)
(0.0022)
23
Table 4: Mother Loss Analysis - The Effect of Losing a Mother Interacted with Parental Education
(5)
Mother's Education
(6)
(7)
(8)
0.0260*** (0.000)
Father's Education
0.0262*** (0.000)
Mother Died when Child < 18 interacted with: Mother's Education
-0.0287*** (0.006)
Father's Education
0.0166*** (0.006)
Mother's Educ*Age of Child when Mother Died
0.0021*** (0.001)
Father's Educ*Age of Child when Mother Died
-0.0013*** (0.001)
Mother's Educ - Father's Educ
24
Table 4: Mother Loss Analysis - The Effect of Losing a Mother Interacted with Parental Education
Mother's Education
Father's Education
(5)
(6)
(7)
0.0260***
0.0203***
0.0182***
(0.000)
(0.000)
(0.000)
0.0262***
0.0189***
0.0171***
(0.000)
(0.000)
(0.000)
-0.0287***
-0.0270***
-0.0246***
(0.006)
(0.005)
(0.006)
0.0166***
0.0143***
0.0125**
(0.006)
(0.005)
(0.006)
0.0021***
0.0017***
0.0016***
(0.001)
(0.000)
(0.000)
-0.0013***
-0.0011**
-0.0010**
(0.001)
(0.000)
(0.000)
(8)
Mother Died when Child < 18 interacted with: Mother's Education
Father's Education
Mother's Educ*Age of Child when Mother Died
Father's Educ*Age of Child when Mother Died
Mother's Educ - Father's Educ
25
Table 4: Mother Loss Analysis - The Effect of Losing a Mother Interacted with Parental Education
(5)
(6)
(7)
(8)
Mother's Education
0.0260***
0.0203***
0.0182***
0.0182***
Father's Education
(0.000) 0.0262***
(0.000) 0.0189***
(0.000) 0.0171***
(0.000) 0.0171***
(0.000)
(0.000)
(0.000)
(0.000)
-0.0287***
-0.0270***
-0.0246***
(0.006)
(0.005)
(0.006)
0.0166***
0.0143***
0.0125**
(0.006)
(0.005)
(0.006)
0.0021***
0.0017***
0.0016***
(0.001)
(0.000)
(0.000)
-0.0013***
-0.0011**
-0.0010**
(0.001)
(0.000)
(0.000)
Mother Died when Child < 18 interacted with: Mother's Education
Father's Education
Mother's Educ*Age of Child when Mother Died
Father's Educ*Age of Child when Mother Died
Mother's Educ - Father's Educ
-0.0195*** 26 (0.005)
(Mother's Educ - Father's Educ)*Age of Child when Mother
Table 4 Results • Mother’s education is important only if you spend time with her. • Value of mother’s education increases with every year with her. • Value of father’s educ decreases with every year spent with mother. • Suggests that “interaction time” with children is important. • If you don’t interact, your education is irrelevant for your kids. • Robust to including school fixed-effects, socioeconomic index. 27
Table 4 Comments Threats to Identification • Effects are due to parental income, not education. • Effects are due to some other omitted variable. What you have to believe: some omitted variable is correlated in one direction with mother’s education and the other way with father’s education (each one interacted with years with mother). Seems unlikely → educ of both parents are positively correlated. But, we address this with a “Placebo Analysis.”
28
Placebo Analysis Use a Sample of Individuals who lost a mother above age 18 • Amount of interaction time after age 18 cannot directly affect success on matriculation exam taken before age 18. • If previous results are due to omitted variable, we should get similar results with this sample. • If previous results are causal, we should not get similar results.
29
Table 8: Placebo Analysis using those that Lost a Parent Above the Age of 18 Child Passed Matriculation Exam at 18 Children Who Lost a Mother after Age 18
Mother's Education
Father's Education
Mother's Educ*Age of Child when Parent Died
(1)
(2)
0.0234***
0.0226**
(0.0021)
(0.0107)
0.0240***
0.0129
(0.0020)
(0.0102)
-0.0002 (0.0004)
Father's Educ*Age of Child when Parent Died
0.0001 (0.0004)
Age of Child When Parent Died
-0.0008 (0.0038) 30
Table 5: Mother Loss Analysis with Parental Income Includes Parents with Zero Income (5)
(6)
(7)
Excludes Parents with Zero Income (12)
(13)
(14)
Mother Died when Child < 18 interacted with:
Mother's Education
-0.0182*
-0.0439***
Father's Education
0.0071
0.0033
Mother's Educ*Age of Child when Mother Died
0.0013*
0.0033***
Father's Educ*Age of Child when Mother Died
-0.0006
-0.0004
Mother's Log Income Fixed-Effect
-0.0287
-0.0149
Father's Log Income Fixed-Effect Mother's Log Income Fixed-Effect*Age of Child when Mother Died Father's Log Income Fixed-Effect*Age of Child when Mother Died
0.0457
0.0714
0.0001
-0.0022
-0.0027
-0.0041
Observations
634944
434003
-0.0143
-0.0267** 31
Mother Died when Child < 18 interacted with:
Mother's Educ - Father's Educ (Mother's Educ - Father's Educ)*Age of Child when
Table 5: Mother Loss Analysis with Parental Income Includes Parents with Zero Income (5)
(6)
Excludes Parents with Zero Income
(7)
(12)
(13)
(14)
Mother Died when Child < 18 interacted with:
Mother's Education
-0.0208**
-0.0182*
-0.0510***
-0.0439***
Father's Education
0.0128
0.0071
0.0162
0.0033
Mother's Educ*Age of Child when Mother Died
0.0013*
0.0013*
0.0034***
0.0033***
Father's Educ*Age of Child when Mother Died
-0.001
-0.0006
-0.0012
-0.0004
Mother's Log Income Fixed-Effect
-0.0531
-0.0287
-0.0533 -0.0149
Father's Log Income Fixed-Effect Mother's Log Income Fixed-Effect*Age of Child when Mother Died Father's Log Income Fixed-Effect*Age of Child when Mother Died
0.0458
0.0457
0.0323
0.001
0.0001
0.0000 -0.0022
-0.0024
-0.0027
-0.0011 -0.0041
645467
634944
434003
-0.0143
-0.0349***
Observations
634944
0.0714
434003 434003
Mother Died when Child < 18 interacted with:
Mother's Educ - Father's Educ (Mother's Educ - Father's Educ)*Age of Child when
-0.0171*
-0.0267** 32
Variations and Interesting Subgroups • Cause of death – maybe results are due to different types of death at different ages. (Results are similar if restricted to cancer.) • Father getting re-married. (A bit stronger.) • Do effects differ across subjects? Math, Hebrew, etc. (Hebrew has strongest effects.) • Do effects differ for boys and girls? (Bigger for Girls) • Effects coming from high or low end of parental educ distribution? (Low end). 33
Table 9: Mother Loss Analysis within Subgroups of Students who Lost a Mother Dependant Variable: Pass Matriculation Exam All
(1)
Dad Not Boys Remarried (2)
(3)
Girls
Mom Died <= Age 9
Mom Died > Age 9
Mom Less than HS
Mom At Least HS Grad
(4)
(5)
(6)
(7)
(8)
Mother Died when Child < 18 interacted with:
Mother's Educ - Father's Educ (Mother's Educ - Father's Educ)*Age of Child when Mother Died
Number of School Fixed Effects Observations
-0.0185*** -0.0191*** 0.0012*** 0.0014***
651
646
19905
18936
34
Table 9: Mother Loss Analysis within Subgroups of Students who Lost a Mother Dependant Variable: Pass Matriculation Exam Girls
Mom Died <= Age 9
Mom Died > Age 9
Mom Less than HS
Mom At Least HS Grad
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
(7)
(8)
-0.012
-0.025***
0.001
0.002***
Number of School Fixed Effects
564
563
Observations
9584
10321
All
(1)
Dad Not Boys Remarried (2)
Mother Died when Child < 18 interacted with:
Mother's Educ - Father's Educ (Mother's Educ - Father's Educ)*Age of Child when Mother Died
35
Table 9: Mother Loss Analysis within Subgroups of Students who Lost a Mother Dependant Variable: Pass Matriculation Exam Girls
Mom Died <= Age 9
Mom Died > Age 9
Mom Less than HS
Mom At Least HS Grad
(4)
(5)
(6)
(7)
(8)
-0.030***
-0.010
0.002***
0.001
Number of School Fixed Effects
554
564
Observations
8515
11390
All
(1)
Dad Not Boys Remarried (2)
(3)
Mother Died when Child < 18 interacted with:
Mother's Educ - Father's Educ (Mother's Educ - Father's Educ)*Age of Child when Mother Died
36
Table 9: Mother Loss Analysis within Subgroups of Students who Lost a Mother Dependant Variable: Pass Matriculation Exam Girls
Mom Died <= Age 9
Mom Died > Age 9
Mom Less than HS
Mom At Least HS Grad
(4)
(5)
(6)
(7)
(8)
-0.0185*** -0.0191*** -0.012
-0.025***
-0.015**
-0.016
-0.030***
-0.010
0.0012*** 0.0014***
0.001
0.002***
0.001
0.001
0.002***
0.001
564 9584
563 10321
616 15531
644 18225
554 8515
564 11390
All
(1)
Dad Not Boys Remarried (2)
(3)
Mother Died when Child < 18 interacted with:
Mother's Educ - Father's Educ (Mother's Educ - Father's Educ)*Age of Child when Mother Died
Number of School Fixed Effects Observations
651 19905
646 18936
37
Father Loss Results • Robustness check. • Results should be similar, but the mirror image of results up to now.
– Mother’s educ → more important when father dies. – Father’s educ → less important.
38
Table 9: Father Loss Analysis - The Effect of Losing a Father Interacted with Parental Education Dependant Variable: Pass Matriculation Exam (1)
Father Died
(2)
(3)
(4)
-0.0529*** (0.0025)
Father Died when Child < 18
0.001 (0.0151)
Mother's Education
0.0260*** (0.0003)
Father's Education
0.0260*** (0.0003)
Socioeconomic Index for Locality
Father Died when Child < 18 interacted with: Mother's Education
0.0052*** (0.0015)
39
Table 9: Father Loss Analysis - The Effect of Losing a Father Interacted with Parental Education Dependant Variable: Pass Matriculation Exam
Father Died
Father Died when Child < 18
Mother's Education
Father's Education
(1)
(2)
(3)
-0.0529***
-0.0362***
-0.0309***
(0.0025)
(0.0023)
(0.0024)
0.001
0.0206
0.019
(0.0151)
(0.0140)
(0.0148)
0.0260***
0.0202***
0.0182***
(0.0003)
(0.0003)
(0.0003)
0.0260***
0.0188***
0.0170***
(0.0003)
(0.0002)
(0.0003)
Socioeconomic Index for Locality
(4)
0.0082*** (0.0002)
Father Died when Child < 18 interacted with: Mother's Education
0.0052***
0.0030**
0.0032**
(0.0015)
(0.0014)
(0.0015)
40
Table 9: Father Loss Analysis - The Effect of Losing a Father Interacted with Parental Education Dependant Variable: Pass Matriculation Exam (1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
-0.0529***
-0.0362***
-0.0309***
-0.0310***
Father Died when Child < 18
(0.0025) 0.001
(0.0023) 0.0206
(0.0024) 0.019
(0.0024) -0.0275***
Mother's Education
(0.0151) 0.0260***
(0.0140) 0.0202***
(0.0148) 0.0182***
(0.0041) 0.0182***
Father's Education
(0.0003) 0.0260***
(0.0003) 0.0188***
(0.0003) 0.0170***
(0.0003) 0.0170***
(0.0003)
(0.0002)
(0.0003)
(0.0003)
0.0082***
0.0082***
(0.0002)
(0.0002)
Father Died
Socioeconomic Index for Locality
Father Died when Child < 18 interacted with: Mother's Education
Father's Education
0.0052***
0.0030**
0.0032**
(0.0015)
(0.0014)
(0.0015)
-0.0073***
-0.0068***
-0.0072***
(0.0014)
(0.0013)
(0.0014)
41
Table 9: Father Loss Analysis - The Effect of Losing a Father Interacted with Parental Education
(5)
(6)
(7)
(8)
Father Died when Child < 18 interacted with: Mother's Education
0.0070** (0.0035)
Father's Education
-0.0138*** (0.0032)
Mother's Educ*Age of Child when Father Died
-0.0002 (0.0003)
Father's Educ*Age of Child when Father Died
0.0006** (0.0003)
Mother's Educ - Father's Educ (Mother's Educ - Father's Educ)*Age of Child when Mother Died 42
Table 9: Father Loss Analysis - The Effect of Losing a Father Interacted with Parental Education
(5)
(6)
(7)
0.0070**
0.0043
0.0052
(0.0035)
(0.0032)
(0.0034)
-0.0138***
-0.0122***
-0.0129***
(0.0032)
(0.0030)
(0.0031)
-0.0002
-0.0002
-0.0002
(0.0003)
(0.0003)
(0.0003)
0.0006**
0.0005**
0.0005**
(0.0003)
(0.0002)
(0.0003)
(8)
Father Died when Child < 18 interacted with: Mother's Education
Father's Education
Mother's Educ*Age of Child when Father Died
Father's Educ*Age of Child when Father Died
Mother's Educ - Father's Educ (Mother's Educ - Father's Educ)*Age of Child when Mother Died 43
Table 9: Father Loss Analysis - The Effect of Losing a Father Interacted with Parental Education
(5)
(6)
(7)
0.0070**
0.0043
0.0052
(0.0035)
(0.0032)
(0.0034)
-0.0138***
-0.0122***
-0.0129***
(0.0032)
(0.0030)
(0.0031)
-0.0002
-0.0002
-0.0002
(0.0003)
(0.0003)
(0.0003)
0.0006**
0.0005**
0.0005**
(0.0003)
(0.0002)
(0.0003)
(8)
Father Died when Child < 18 interacted with: Mother's Education
Father's Education
Mother's Educ*Age of Child when Father Died
Father's Educ*Age of Child when Father Died
Mother's Educ - Father's Educ
0.0100*** (0.0029)
(Mother's Educ - Father's Educ)*Age of Child when Mother Died
-0.0004* (0.0002)44
Comments on Father Loss Results • Results show: value of a parent’s education increases with time spent with the parent. • Results are a mirror of the results for “mother loss”. • Robust to controls for school FE, socioeconomic index, and wages. • Results go away for those that lost a father above age 18. • Supports a causal interpretation of both sets of results.
45
Table 8: Placebo Analysis using those that Lost a Parent Above the Age of 18 Child Passed Matriculation Exam at 18 Children Who Lost a Father after Age 18
Mother's Education
Father's Education
Mother's Educ*Age of Child when Parent Died
(3)
(4)
0.0207***
0.0092
(0.0013)
(0.0065)
0.0234***
0.0122*
(0.0012)
(0.0062)
0.0002 (0.0002)
Father's Educ*Age of Child when Parent Died
0.0002 (0.0002)
Age of Child When Parent Died
-0.0042* (0.0022)
46
Table 11: Father Loss Analysis with Parental Income Includes Parents with Zero Income (5)
(6)
Excludes Parents with Zero Income
(7)
(11)
(12)
(15)
Mother's Education
0.0182***
0.0150***
0.0176***
0.0134***
Father's Education
0.0170***
0.0138***
0.0168***
0.0123***
Mother's Log Income Fixed-Effect
0.0523***
0.0315***
0.0607*** 0.0381***
Father's Log Income Fixed-Effect
0.0545***
0.0350***
0.0683*** 0.0450***
Father Died when Child < 18 interacted with:
Mother's Education
0.0180***
0.0213***
0.0024
0.006
Father's Education
-0.0213***
-0.0182***
-0.0201**
-0.0141
Mother's Educ*Age of Child when Father Died
-0.0011**
-0.0013***
-0.0002
-0.0005
Father's Educ*Age of Child when Father Died
0.0011**
0.0010**
0.0012*
0.001
Mother's Log Income Fixed-Effect Father's Log Income Fixed-Effect Mother's Log Income Fixed-Effect*Age of Child when Father Died Father's Log Income Fixed-Effect*Age of Child when Father Died
-0.0202
-0.032
-0.0533***
-0.0402**
0.0014
0.0023*
0.0016
0.0014
-0.0111
-0.0101
-0.0940*** -0.0698*** 0.0017
0.0016
0.0041*** 0.0033** 47
Table 10: Father Loss Analysis within Subgroups of Students who Lost a Father Dependant Variable: Pass Matriculation Exam
Mother's Educ - Father's Educ (Mother's Educ - Father's Educ)*Age of Child when Father Died
Number of School Fixed Effects Observations
All
Mom Not Remarried
0.0112***
0.0118***
(0.003)
(0.003)
-0.0005**
-0.0005**
(0.000)
(0.000)
749
747
49590
48600
Boys
Girls
Dad At Dad Died Dad Died Dad Less Least HS <= Age 9 > Age 9 than HS Grad
48
Table 10: Father Loss Analysis within Subgroups of Students who Lost a Father Dependant Variable: Pass Matriculation Exam All Mother's Educ - Father's Educ
0.0112*** (0.003)
(Mother's Educ - Father's Educ)*Age of Child when Father Died
Number of School Fixed Effects Observations
-0.0005**
Mom Not Remarried
Boys
Girls
Dad At Dad Died Dad Died Dad Less Least HS <= Age 9 > Age 9 than HS Grad
0.0117*** 0.0123*** (0.005)
(0.004)
-0.0004 -0.0007**
(0.000)
(0.000)
(0.000)
749
656
675
49590
23254
26336
49
Table 10: Father Loss Analysis within Subgroups of Students who Lost a Father Dependant Variable: Pass Matriculation Exam All Mother's Educ - Father's Educ (Mother's Educ - Father's Educ)*Age of Child when Father Died
Number of School Fixed Effects Observations
Mom Not Remarried
Boys
Girls
Dad At Dad Died Dad Died Dad Less Least HS <= Age 9 > Age 9 than HS Grad 0.0112**
0.0024
(0.005)
(0.005)
-0.0006*
0.0002
(0.000)
(0.000)
672
655
25029
24561
50
Table 10: Father Loss Analysis within Subgroups of Students who Lost a Father Dependant Variable: Pass Matriculation Exam
Mother's Educ - Father's Educ (Mother's Educ - Father's Educ)*Age of Child when Father Died
Number of School Fixed Effects Observations
All
Mom Not Remarried
0.0112***
0.0118***
(0.003)
(0.003)
-0.0005**
-0.0005**
(0.000)
749 49590
Boys
Girls
0.0117*** 0.0123***
Dad At Dad Died Dad Died Dad Less Least HS <= Age 9 > Age 9 than HS Grad 0.0076**
0.0201**
0.0112**
0.0024
(0.004)
(0.009)
(0.005)
(0.005)
-0.0004 -0.0007**
0.0001
-0.0011*
-0.0006*
0.0002
(0.000)
(0.000)
(0.000)
(0.001)
(0.001)
(0.000)
(0.000)
747 48600
656 23254
675 26336
732 38453
740 44626
672 25029
655 24561
(0.005)
(0.004)
51
Summary of Results and a Causal Interpretation • The education of the parent becomes more important the longer you live with them. • Robust to controlling for school fixed effects, parental wages, and cause of death → all are very correlated with student performance. • Placebo results: not significant for those that lost parent above 18. • Results bigger for cases where widow did not re-marry – implying that re-marriage “replaces” the deceased spouse. 52
Other Contexts with Variation in Parental Control Divorce • Most children live with their mothers. • Should expect mother’s education to be more important than father’s. • Caveat: could be another case where the mechanism is through the mother’s earning power.
53
Other Contexts with Variation in Parental Control Larger Families • Larger division of parenting responsibilities in larger families. • If so, mother’s education should become more important than the father’s, since the mother has more responsibility. • Mothers in larger families tend to work less. • So, the mechanism is not coming through a greater importance on earning power. 54
Table 13: The Effect of Parental Education on Child Education According to Parental Divorce Status Child Passed Matriculation Exams All
Mother's Education
Father's Education
Parents Parents Not Divorced at Divorced at Age < 18 Age < 18
(1)
(2)
(3)
0.0265***
0.0288***
0.0261***
(0.000)
(0.001)
(0.000)
0.0248***
0.0232***
0.0250***
(0.000)
(0.001)
(0.000)
(Mother's Educ - Father's Educ)* Parents Divorced at Age < 18 (Mother's Educ - Father's Educ)* Age of Child when Parents Divorced if under Age 18
Parents Divorced
Parents Divorced at Age < 18
-0.0698***
-0.0703***
(0.002)
(0.002)
-0.0501*** (0.003)
Age Parents Divorced if Age was < 18 55 Socioeconomic Index for Locality
Table 13: The Effect of Parental Education on Child Education According to Parental Divorce Status Child Passed Matriculation Exams All
Mother's Education
Father's Education
Parents Parents Not Divorced at Divorced at Age < 18 Age < 18
All
(1)
(2)
(3)
(6)
0.0265***
0.0288***
0.0261***
0.0185***
(0.000)
(0.001)
(0.000)
(0.000)
0.0248***
0.0232***
0.0250***
0.0166***
(0.000)
(0.001)
(0.000)
(0.000)
(Mother's Educ - Father's Educ)* Parents Divorced at Age < 18
(7)
0.0019*** (0.001)
(Mother's Educ - Father's Educ)* Age of Child when Parents Divorced if under Age 18
Parents Divorced
Parents Divorced at Age < 18
Age Parents Divorced if Age was < 18
-0.0698***
-0.0703***
-0.0725***
(0.002)
(0.002)
(0.007)
-0.0501***
-0.0233***
(0.003)
(0.005) 0.0009*** (0.000)
Socioeconomic Index for Locality
0.0079***
56
Table 13: The Effect of Parental Education on Child Education According to Parental Divorce Status Child Passed Matriculation Exams All
Mother's Education
Father's Education
Parents Parents Not Divorced at Divorced at Age < 18 Age < 18
All
(1)
(2)
(3)
(6)
(7)
0.0265***
0.0288***
0.0261***
0.0185***
0.0185***
(0.000)
(0.001)
(0.000)
(0.000)
(0.000)
0.0248***
0.0232***
0.0250***
0.0166***
0.0166***
(0.000)
(0.001)
(0.000)
(0.000)
(0.000)
0.0019***
0.0027*
(0.001)
(0.002)
(Mother's Educ - Father's Educ)* Parents Divorced at Age < 18 (Mother's Educ - Father's Educ)* Age of Child when Parents Divorced if under Age 18
-0.0001 (0.000)
Parents Divorced
Parents Divorced at Age < 18
Age Parents Divorced if Age was < 18
Socioeconomic Index for Locality
-0.0698***
-0.0703***
-0.0725***
-0.0729***
(0.002)
(0.002)
(0.007)
(0.007)
-0.0501***
-0.0233***
-0.0230***
(0.003)
(0.005)
(0.005)
0.0009***
0.0009***
(0.000)
(0.000) 57 0.0079***
0.0079***
Table 13: The Effect of Parental Education on Child Education According to Parental Divorce Status Male
Female
Mother's Education
(10) 0.0191***
(11) 0.0179***
(12) 0.0052***
(13) 0.0158***
Father's Education
(0.000) 0.0182***
(0.000) 0.0148***
(0.001) 0.0163***
(0.000) 0.0168***
(0.000)
(0.000)
(0.001)
(0.000)
0.0015
0.0022**
0.0055***
0.0026***
Parents Divorced
(0.001) -0.0720***
(0.001) -0.0732***
(0.002) -0.0611***
(0.001) -0.0698***
Parents Divorced at Age < 18
(0.011) -0.0198***
(0.010) -0.0263***
(0.014) -0.0169*
(0.009) -0.0262***
Age Parents Divorced if Age was < 18
(0.007) 0.0009**
(0.006) 0.0008**
(0.009) 0.0006
(0.005) 0.0007*
Socioeconomic Index for Locality
(0.000) 0.0078***
(0.000) 0.0079***
(0.001) 0.0074***
(0.000) 0.0070***
(0.000)
(0.000)
(0.000)
(0.000)
840 285,029
828 298,499
824 186,096
843 397,432 58
(Mother's Educ - Father's Educ)* Parents Divorced at Age < 18
Number of School Fixed-Effects Observations
Mother < 12 Educ Mother > 12 Educ
Table 14: The Effect of Parental Education on Child Education According to Family Size Child Passed Matriculation Exams
Mother's Education
Father's Education
Number of Siblings
Number of Siblings Squared (Mother's Educ - Father's Educ)* Number of Siblings
Socioeconomic Index for Locality
Log Total Family Income 1988-1989
Number of Siblings <=2
Number of Siblings>2
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
0.0238***
0.0311***
0.0243***
0.0222***
0.0183*** 0.0141***
(0.0004)
(0.0006)
(0.0007)
(0.0008)
(0.0008)
0.0250***
0.0259***
0.0277***
0.0242***
0.0238*** 0.0186***
(0.0004)
(0.0006)
(0.0007)
(0.0008)
(0.0008)
(0.0007)
0.1106***
-0.0370***
-0.0030*
0.0014
0.0035*
0.0016
(0.0102)
(0.0051)
(0.0018)
(0.0019)
(0.0019)
-0.0366***
0.0005
(0.0036)
(0.0005)
All
-0.0044*** -0.0044***
(5)
(6)
(0.0007)
(0.0018) -0.0044*** 0.0029***
(0.0003)
(0.0003)
(0.0003)
(0.0003)
0.0010***
0.0008**
0.0008** 0.0008***
(0.0003)
(0.0003)
(0.0003)
0.0107***
0.0098*** 0.0074***
(0.0002)
(0.0002)
(0.0003)
(0.0002)
0.0219*** 0.0164*** 59
Table 14: The Effect of Parental Education on Child Education According to Family Size Boys
Girls
(9)
(10)
(11)
(12)
Mother's Education
0.0152***
0.0130***
-0.0004
0.0145***
Father's Education
(0.0010) 0.0201***
(0.0010) 0.0171***
(0.0017) 0.0234***
(0.0008) 0.0149***
Number of Siblings
(0.0010) -0.0033
(0.0010) 0.0060**
(0.0016) -0.0124***
(0.0008) 0.0134***
(0.0026) -0.0021***
(0.0024) -0.0036***
(0.0031) -0.0006
(0.0024) -0.0040***
(0.0004)
(0.0004)
(0.0004)
(0.0004)
(Mother's Educ - Father's Educ)* Number of Siblings
0.0006
0.0010**
0.0022***
-0.0008**
Socioeconomic Index for Locality
(0.0004) 0.0074***
(0.0004) 0.0074***
(0.0005) 0.0067***
(0.0004) 0.0067***
Log Total Family Income 1988-1989
(0.0003) 0.0164***
(0.0003) 0.0164***
(0.0004) 0.0146***
(0.0003) 0.0148***
(0.0007)
(0.0006)
(0.0008)
(0.0005)
834 222,463
816 228,809
812 143,766
831 307,506
Number of Siblings Squared
Number of School Fixed-Effects Observations
Mom Less than HS Mom At Least HS Grad
60
Table 15: The Effect of Parental Education on Mother's Labor Force Participation By Family Size Mother Working Full-Time 1988-1989 (1)
Mother's Education
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
(7)
0.0370*** (0.0009)
Father's Education
-0.0002 (0.0009)
Number of Siblings
-0.0477*** (0.0022)
Number of Siblings Squared
-0.0009*** (0.0004)
(Mother's Educ - Father's Educ)* Number of Siblings
-0.0001 (0.0004)
Year of Birth1. Sample Restriction Mother’s LFP
Nonewith education rises 2. Mother’s LFP declines with number of siblings – more specialization. Number of School Fixed-Effects 835 3. No interaction between number of siblings and difference in parental Observations 377,322 education.
61
Table 15: The Effect of Parental Education on Mother's Labor Force Participation By Family Size Mother Working Full-Time 1988-1989 (1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
(7)
Mother's Education
0.0370***
0.0287***
0.0374***
0.0362***
0.0355***
0.0357***
0.0376***
Father's Education
(0.0009) -0.0002
(0.0033) 0.0070**
(0.0034) 0.0014
(0.0035) 0.0037
(0.0034) 0.0032
(0.0036) 0.0046
(0.0035) -0.0007
Number of Siblings
(0.0009) -0.0477***
(0.0033) 0.0204**
(0.0034) 0.0180**
(0.0035) -0.0237***
(0.0033) -0.0432***
(0.0035) -0.0452***
(0.0034) -0.0234***
Number of Siblings Squared
(0.0022) -0.0009***
(0.0087) -0.0058***
(0.0087) -0.0051***
(0.0089) -0.0027*
(0.0085) -0.0013
(0.0089) -0.0007
(0.0090) -0.0042***
(0.0004)
(0.0014)
(0.0014)
(0.0015)
(0.0013)
(0.0015)
(0.0015)
-0.0001
0.0014
-0.0007
0.0013
0.0005
0.0006
-0.0001
(0.0004)
(0.0014)
(0.0014)
(0.0014)
(0.0014)
(0.0014)
(0.0014)
None 835 377,322
1988 433 26,634
1987 441 26,704
1986 442 27,166
1985 434 27,545
1984 429 26,821
1983 411 27,336
(Mother's Educ - Father's Educ)* Number of Siblings
Year of Birth Sample Restriction Number of School Fixed-Effects Observations
1. Mother’s LFP rises with education 2. Mother’s LFP declines with number of siblings – more specialization. 3. No interaction between number of siblings and difference in parental education.
62
Table 16: The Allocation of Parental Time with Children and Family Size
Age
Age Squared
Number of Kids
Female
Female*Number of Kids
Education
Female*Education Female*Education*Number of Kids
Works FullTime
Works Full or Part-Time
Time with Kids
Works FullTime
Works Full or Part-Time
Time with Kids
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
(5)
(6)
0.042***
0.053***
-5.004
0.042***
0.052***
-5.078
(0.011)
(0.011)
(4.176)
(0.011)
(0.011)
(4.176)
-0.001***
-0.001***
0.064
-0.001***
-0.001***
0.064
(0.000)
(0.000)
(0.050)
(0.000)
(0.000)
(0.050)
-0.058***
-0.050***
-7.513
-0.058***
-0.049***
-7.382
(0.015)
(0.014)
(5.501)
(0.015)
(0.014)
(5.502)
-0.883***
-0.822***
-47.542
-0.936***
-0.444***
0.558
(0.133)
(0.126)
(48.644)
(0.176)
(0.166)
(64.512)
-0.004
-0.022
22.532***
0.019
-0.190***
1.150
(0.019)
(0.018)
(6.955)
(0.055)
(0.052)
(20.083)
0.004
0.012*
5.650**
0.004
0.012*
5.637**
(0.007)
(0.007)
(2.523)
(0.007)
(0.006)
(2.523)
0.033***
0.049***
9.143***
0.038**
0.012
4.461
(0.009)
(0.009)
(3.473)
(0.015)
(0.014)
(5.392)
-0.002
0.017***
2.149 63
Conclusion • It is important who is watching your kids. • Strong effects: parental education matters, but depends on how much time you spend with your kids. • Effects are bigger for girls versus boys. • Effects are coming from changes in the bottom part of parental education distribution. • Pattern of results reconciles other findings. • Helps explain why educated parents spend so much time with kids.
64
The End
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67
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