the GREEN sheet | Jan/Feb 2024

Page 1

Inhabit Real Estate

THE GREEN SHEET

Your Home is Here

Jan/Feb Issue | 2024


The The Green Green Sheet Sheet || Inhabit Inhabit Real Real Estate Estate


MESSAGE FROM OUR FOUNDER As a lifelong resident of San Clemente, there are many things to be grateful for looking back at 2023. At Inhabit Real Estate we believe in supporting the community we live, work, and play in as part of our 1Habit Community Fund. Last year, we participated in supporting the Mako Foundation, Boys and Girls Club, SCHS Educational Foundation, Exchange Club, and the Pet Project Foundation and anywhere else we could lend a hand or provide financial help. We thank you for your support in our business so we could make this possible. Looking forward to the coming year, the real estate landscape in San Clemente is poised for a dynamic shift, influenced by a cooling economy, fluctuating interest rates, and evolving market trends. Let’s delve into the key factors shaping the outlook for 2024. 1. **Interest Rates:** Starting at 6.55%-7.0%, rates will likely dip to 6%-6.5% in summer, possibly dropping below 5% by year-end with a stabilizing U.S. economy. 2. **Inventory Challenges:** Beginning with under 1,700 homes, inventory peaks at 3,000 during summer. The “Hunkering Down” effect may ease, allowing more homes into the market. 3. **Demand Dynamics:** Buyer demand starts slow, but late spring and early summer see an upswing as rates decrease. Affordability improves, reminiscent of the vibrant market from 2020 to mid-2022, with multiple offers and bidding wars. 4. **Closed Sales Surge:** Expect a 12%-18% increase in closed sales compared to 2023, reaching around 23,000 as affordability improves and inventory grows. 5. **Home Values and Market Cycle:** Home values may rise 1%-4%. The market follows a typical cycle, with spring being the strongest, transitioning through summer, autumn, and the holiday season. Luxury housing may see increased volatility in the latter part of the year. In conclusion, 2024 signifies a transitional period for San Clemente’s real estate. As the economy cools and interest rates adjust, heightened demand and increased inventory are expected, with the extent dependent on the timing of the broader economic slowdown. Monitoring economic indicators throughout the year is crucial. Thank you again for your continued support, we hope 2024 brings you and your family joy and prosperity.

Doug Echelberger, CEO

3


TALEGA RESIDENCES REPRESENTED BY DOUG ECHELBERGER

38 Via Alcamo Sold • Represented Seller • Tract: Alta 6 Bed | 6.5 Bath | 5,356 Sf | $3,675,000

The Green Sheet | Inhabit Real Estate


18 Via Alcamo Sold • Represented Seller • Tract: Alta 5 Bed | 5.5 Bath | 4,850 Sf | $2,950,000

51 Via Alcamo Sold • Represented Buyer • Tract: Alta 5 Bed | 5.5 Bath | 4,752 Sf | $2,950,000

13 Via Diego In Escrow • Representing Buyer • Tract: Alta 5 Bed | 5.5 Bath | 5,436 Sf | $3,299,000

5


TALEGA RESIDENCES CONT’D.

21 Calle De La Luna Sold • Represented Seller • Tract: Cantabria 3 Bed | 2.5 Bath | 3,100 Sf | $2,621,500

17 Calle Careyes Sold • Represented Buyer • Tract: Careyes 5 Bed | 5.5 Bath | 5,061 Sf | $3,300,000

The Green Sheet | Inhabit Real Estate


115 Via Plumosa Sold • Represented Seller • Tract: Monterey 4 Bed | 3 Bath | 3,011 Sf | $2,650,000

12 Calle Anacapa Sold • Represented Seller • Tract: Pacifica Summit 5 Bed | 4.5 Bath | 4,372 Sf | $2,350,000

20 Corte Jaime Sold • Represented Seller • Tract: Ravenna 4 Bed | 4.5 Bath | 4,468 Sf | $2,420,000

7


TALEGA RESIDENCES CONT’D. ADDITIONAL RESIDENCES 2023 Closings Address

Tract

Price

Bed

Bath

Garage

SQ FT

38 Via Alcamo

Alta

$3,675,000

6

7

2

5,356*

17 Calle Careyes

Careyes

$3,300,000

5

6

3

5,061**

18 Via Alcamo

Alta

$2,950,000

5

6

4

4,850*

51 Via Alcamo

Alta

$2,950,000

5

6

4

4,752**

115 Via Plumosa

Monterey

$2,650,000

4

3

3

3,011*

21 Calle De La Luna

Cantabria

$2,621,500

3

3

2

3,100*

20 Corte Jaime

Ravenna

$2,420,000

4

5

3

4,468*

12 Calle Anacapa

Pacifica Summit

$2,350,000

5

5

3

4,372*

40 Via Cancion

Miraleste

$1,845,000

4

3

3

3,338*

14 Corte Sevilla

Sandbridge

$1,790,000

3

3

2

3,634*

18 Calle Altea

Bella Vista

$1,725,000

3

4

3

3,604*

10 Calle Verdadero

San Lucar

$1,675,000

4

3

2

2,615*

25 Via Garona

Catania

$1,675,000

4

4

2

2,941*

21 Via Cristobal

Sabella

$1,640,000

5

3

3

2,817*

105 Plaza Via Sol

Terra Linda

$1,650,000

5

3

3

2,888**

5 Corte Sevilla

Sandbridge

$1,600,000

3

2

2

2,401*

50 Avenida Cristal

Carmel

$1,395,000

3

2

2

2,050*

26 Calle Akelia

Sabella

$1,295,000

4

3

2

2,627*

6 Camino Lozano

Carmel

$1,150,000

2

2

2

2,043*

* Represented Seller

** Represented Buyer

The Green Sheet | Inhabit Real Estate

*** Represented Seller and Buyer


MARKET REPORT TOWNHOMES Home Values in December Tract/Street

Status

Price

Price/SQ FT

SQ FT*

Bed/Bath

Garage

Lot Size*

COE

406 Calle Campanero

Active

$799,999

$545

1,468

2/3

2

(A)

12 Paseo Luna

Sold

$700,000

$568

1,232

2/3

2

11.29.23

Sold

$1,450,000

$702

2,066

3/2

2

9.21.23

Pending

$750,000

$540

1,388

2/2

2

(B)

Sold

$830,000

$614

1,351

2/2

2

11.17.23

ALASSIO

CARMEL 66 Avenida Cristal SANTALANA No activity TRINIDAD 10 Camino Celeste VERANO 23 Via Huelva

Call us today for a complimentary home evaluation from Talega’s most experienced real estate agent.

Doug Echelberger 949.463.0400 | doug@echelberger.com

(A): Century 21 Affiliated (B): Gary Fallis Real Estate Svcs The Green Sheet is based on information from the Association of REALTORS®/Multiple Listing Service as of 12.29.2023 and/or other sources. The Talega Green Sheet and MLS data is deemed reliable, but is not guaranteed accurate by the MLS. The Broker/Agent providing the information contained herein may or may not have been the Listing and/or Selling Agent. The properties listed above are not all Inhabit Real Estate and include listings from other brokers. If you notice any incorrect information or a property that is not listed, please call my office immediately at 949.498.7711. To preserve space, old sales before 9.1.2023 have been eliminated.

9


SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES Home Values in December Tract/Street

Status

Price

Price/SQ FT

SQ FT*

Bed/Bath

Garage

Lot Size*

COE

13 Via Diego

Pending

$3,299,000

$607

5,436

5/6

2

9,483

(A)

51 Via Alcamo

Sold

$2,950,000

$621

4,752

5/6

4

12,169

12.22.23

18 Via Alcamo

Sold

$2,950,000

$608

4,850

5/6

4

9,610

10.25.23

5 Via Huesca

Sold

$1,330,000

$595

2,237

3/3

2

4,035

9.25.23

11 Via Oviendo

Sold

$1,299,000

$581

2,237

3/3

2

3,661

9.29.23

Sold

$1,725,000

$479

3,604

3/4

3

7,063

12.7.23

40 Via Adrian

Sold

$1,650,000

$639

2,583

4/3

2

4,737

12.21.23

20 Via Alonso

Sold

$1,555,000

$630

2,469

4/3

2

6,202

12.20.23

34 Via Adrian

Sold

$1,450,000

$597

2,427

3/3

2

5,054

11.28.23

67 Calle Careyes

Active

$3,199,900

$682

4,689

5/6

3

10,454

(B)

15 Calle Sonador

Sold

$3,530,000

$745

4,736

5/6

3

10,672

9.27.23

Sold

$1,700,000

$481

3,538

4/4

3

6,007

12.14.23

26 Via Fontibre

Active

$2,159,000

$609

3,547

5/4

2

5,793

(C)

40 Via Cartama

Sold

$1,799,000

$507

3,547

5/4

2

5,500

9.25.23

13 Via Fontibre

Sold

$1,795,000

$610

2,941

5/4

2

5,837

12.1.23

29 Via Garona

Sold

$1,780,000

$605

2,941

4/4

2

8,389

11.6.23

Sold

$2,500,000

$612

4,082

5/5

3

8,673

10.5.23

ALORA No activity ALTA

AMALFI

BELLA VISTA 18 Calle Altea CANTABRIA No activity CAPRIZI

CAREYES

CARILLON 19 Via Lucena CATANIA

CAZADERO 18 Corte El Brazo

(A): GreenTree Properties (B): Keller Williams OC Coastal Realty (C): Dolce & Associates

The Green Sheet | Inhabit Real Estate


SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES Home Values in December Tract/Street

Status

Price

Price/SQ FT

SQ FT*

Bed/Bath

Garage

Lot Size*

COE

Pending

$1,625,000

$645

2,520

4/3

2

6,540

(A)

Sold

$2,729,000

$580

4,706

5/6

3

9,632

11.13.23

2 Via Belleza

Sold

$2,100,000

$629

3,338

5/4

3

9,883

10.30.23

4 Via Belleza

Sold

$1,725,000

$572

3,015

5/3

3

6,120

10.26.23

324 Via Promesa

Pending

$1,225,000

$421

2,912

4/4

2

6,341

(C)

115 Via Plumosa

Sold

$2,650,000

$880

3,011

4/3

3

11,413

12.8.23

17 Calle Pacifica

Sold

$2,599,000

$600

4,333

5/5

3

9,333

12.18.23

12 Calle Anacapa

Sold

$2,350,000

$538

4,372

5/5

3

6,707

12.11.23

Pending

$2,499,900

$612

4,085

6/4

3

7,622

(D)

ESCALA 27 Via Ceramica FARRALON RIDGE No Activity LUCIA No Activity MIRADOR 23 Calle Canela MIRALESTE

MONTELLANO No Activity MONTEREY

PACIFICA SUMMIT

PACIFICA TALEGA 428 Camino Bandera PORTOFINO No Activity PORTOMARIN No Activity RAVENNA No Activity

(A): Luxre Realty, Inc. (B): Conrad Realtors Inc. (C): Hughes Realty Group (D): Coldwell Banker Realty

11


SINGLE-FAMILY HOMES Home Values in December Tract/Street

Status

Price

Price/SQ FT

SQ FT*

Bed/Bath

Garage

Lot Size*

COE

21 Via Cristobal

Pending

$1,650,000

$586

2,817

5/3

3

5,777

(A)

11 Via Cristobal

Sold

$1,675,000

$637

2,629

4/3

3

5,933

10.10.23

28 Via Cristobal

Sold

$1,440,000

$613

2,351

4/3

2

5,316

12.1.23

24 Paseo Canos

Sold

$1,330,000

$566

2,351

4/3

2

5,248

10.25.23

15 Corte Limonada

Sold

$1,650,000

$524

3,147

4/4

3

7,771

9.11.23

13 Via Destino

Sold

$1,545,000

$591

2,615

4/3

2

5,209

9.8.23

513 Via El Risco

Sold

$2,005,000

$536

3,738

6/5

2

6,212

9.18.23

309 Via Los Tilos

Sold

$1,788,200

$506

3,531

5/5

2

7,405

10.23.23

Sold

$2,425,000

$726

3,340

5/3

2

6,863

10.3.23

Sold

$1,698,880

$643

2,641

5/3

3

4,668

10.3.23

30 Calle Boveda

Sold

$1,260,000

$630

2,000

4/3

2

3,499

10.3.23

19 Calle Tejado

Sold

$1,236,000

$627

1,972

4/3

2

5,500

9.7.23

114 Via Malaga

Sold

$1,725,000

$638

2,702

4/3

3

7,561

12.28.23

229 Via Malaga

Sold

$1,650,000

$571

2,888

5/3

3

5,420

9.5.23

Active

$2,499,000

$499

5,013

6/6

3

10,189

(B)

SABELLA

SAN LUCAR

SAN RAFAEL

SANSOL 14 Corte Vidriosa SEASIDE 18 Calle Almeja SOLANA

STELLA MARE No Activity TERRA LINDA

VITTORIA No Activity VIZCAYA 4 Corte Vizcaya

(A): Inhabit Real Estate (B): DiMarco, Realtors

The Green Sheet | Inhabit Real Estate


SENIOR 55 & OLDER Home Values in December Tract/Street

Status

Price

Price/SQ FT

SQ FT*

Bed/Bath

Garage

Lot Size*

COE

Pending

$1,785,000

$628

2,841

2/2

2

5,389

(A)

Pending

$1,099,000

$535

2,053

2/3

2

3,000

(B)

Active

$1,449,000

$693

2,092

2/2

2

5,026

(C)

Sold Price

Sold $ PSF

$1,927,093

$602

$993,333

$864

SANDBRIDGE 53 Camino Lienzo SEAGARDEN 15 Corte Pinturas WATERLEAF No activity WAVECREST 8 Corte Sagrada

TALEGA AVERAGES Type

List Price

SQ FT

DOM

List $ PSF

Active (4)

$2,401,725

3,835

35

$636

Pending Sale (6)

$2,145,988

3,612

79

$592

Sold (33)

$1,995,778

3,201

32

$623

Active (1)

$799,999

1,468

31

$545

Pending Sale (2)

$924,500

1,721

52

$538

Sold (3)

$984,967

1,550

11

$635

SINGLE FAMILY

CONDO/TOWNHOME

(A): Distinctive Coast Properties (B): Circa Properties, Inc. (C): First Team Real Estate

13


OC MARKET UPDATE 01 The active listing inventory in the past couple of weeks

range represents 12% of the active inventory and 11% of

plunged by 129 homes, down 6%, and now sits at 2,180, its

demand.

lowest level since May. In November, 33% fewer homes came on the market compared to the 3-year average before COVID (2017 to 2019), 743 less. Last year, there were 3,182 homes on the market, 1,002 more homes, or 46% higher. The 3-year average before COVID (2017 to 2019) was 4,988, or 129% extra, more than double. 02 Demand, the number of pending sales over the prior month, decreased by 60 pending sales in the past two weeks, down 5%, and now totals 1,113, its lowest December level since tracking began in 2004. Last year, there were 1,133 pending sales, 2% more than today. The 3-year average before COVID (2017 to 2019) was 1,774, or 59% more. 03 With supply and demand dropping at similar rates, the Expected Market Time, the number of days to sell all Orange County listings at the current buying pace, remained unchanged at 59 days in the past couple of weeks. It was 84 days last year, slower than today. The 3-year average before COVID (2017 to 2019) was 87 days, also slower than today. 04 For homes priced below $750,000, the Expected Market Time increased from 41 to 45 days. This range represents 19% of the active inventory and 26% of demand.

09 For homes priced between $2 million and $4 million, the Expected Market Time in the past two weeks increased from 115 to 122 days. For homes priced between $4 million and $6 million, the Expected Market Time decreased from 240 to 213 days. For homes priced above $6 million, the Expected Market Time decreased from 444 to 372 days. 10 The luxury end, all homes above $2 million, account for 35% of the inventory and 13% of demand. 11 Distressed homes, both short sales and foreclosures combined, comprised only 0.4% of all listings and 0.2% of demand. Only five foreclosures and four short sales are available today in Orange County, with nine total distressed homes on the active market, up one from two weeks ago. Last year, 12 distressed homes were on the market, similar to today. 12 There were 1,632 closed residential resales in October, 5% less than October 2022’s 1,726 closed sales. October marked a 1% drop compared to September 2023. The sales-to-list price ratio was 98.9% for all of Orange County. Foreclosures accounted for 0.1% of all

05 For homes priced between $750,000 and $1 million, the

closed sales, and there were no closed short sales. That

Expected Market Time increased from 38 to 42 days. This range

means that 99.9% of all sales were good old fashioned

represents 16% of the active inventory and 22% of demand.

sellers with equity.

06 For homes priced between $1 million and $1.25 million, the Expected Market Time decreased from 44 to 36 days. This range represents 10% of the active inventory and 16% of

For more information on current OC housing market,

demand.

visit our market reports at

07 For homes priced between $1.25 million and $1.5 million,

echelberger.com

the Expected Market Time decreased from 44 to 39 days. This range represents 8% of the active inventory and 12% of demand. 08 For homes priced between $1.5 million and $2 million, the Expected Market Time decreased from 68 to 65 days. This

The Green Sheet | Inhabit Real Estate

We respect your time, and value your business. We know you could go anywhere for your real estate needs, and appreciate having the opportunity to serve you the best way we can. For more information, or to be the first to learn about pocket listings, open houses, market reports, and local events visit us online or call 949.498.7711


DOUG ECHELBERGER HAS A PROVEN TRACK RECORD IN TALEGA REAL ESTATE. “We just closed our second transaction with Doug and his amazing team. From listing to closing they were there to make this a smooth process keeping us in the loop in every way possible. Their extreme knowledge of the real estate market especially in Orange County again put us at ease knowing everything was being handled in our best interest. We can’t say enough about this team, we would highly recommend using any of the Echelberger associates.” - Arianne B.

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Jan/Feb Issue | 2024

Inhabit Real Estate

PRESORTED STANDARD US POSTAGE

302 N El Camino Real, Suite 214 San Clemente, CA 92672

PAID

PERMIT #1007 SANTA ANA, CA

Office 949.498.7711 inhabitrealestate.com

Inhabit Real Estate

Your Home is Here

FROM THE BLOG

A 2024 Forecast

Calendar of Events

SC Train Station Guide

The economy will cool sometime

Events happening in and around

The Orange County Register

in 2024. When that occurs, rates

San Clemente for the month of

published a new blog series called

will drop, and the housing market

January inlcuding Spirit of Dana

“Train Station Dining Guide”? The

will heat up. How hot the housing

Point, NFL Sundays, Laughin’ in

train system in Orange County has

market gets in 2024 depends

SC, Coffee Concerts, Village Art

11 stations, many of which offer a

upon when the overall economy

Faire, and more events for families

bevy of eateries, cafes and cocktail

downshifts.

during the holidays.

spots near the depots.

Read More on the Blog

Read More on the Blog

Read More on the Blog


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